Tropical activity ramping up, chances of rain next week

By: JohnnyParker , 11:55 AM GMT on August 28, 2013

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Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 63 and it feels like 63. Highs will continue to range between 84 and 95 with lows between 63 and 72. There is a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorm on Sunday, and a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Monday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 67 and it feels like 67. Todays high is 93 with a low of 70. Thursdays high is 96.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around August 31st-September 12th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, an area of cloudiness, showers, and a few thunderstorms over South Florida and the straits of Florida is associated with a low pressure system in the middle to upper-levels of the atmosphere. There are currently no signs of a surface circulation, and no significant development of this system while it drifts Northwestward during the next few days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. Also, in the Atlantic, showers and thunderstorms located almost midway between the Cape Verde Islands and the Windward Islands are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this disturbance East of the Lesser Antilles by early next week. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while moving Westward over the tropical Atlantic at 10 to 15mph. Also, in the Atlantic, a tropical wave over West Africa is expected to move off the coast into the Eastern Atlantic on Friday. An area of low pressure could form after the wave moves off the coast, and conditions appear conducive for some development of the low while it moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, a small area of low pressure located about 100 miles Southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to produce showers and a few thunderstorms. This activity has changed little in organization during the past few hours, but the low is still probably producing an area of gale-force winds near its center. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for additional development of the low during the next day or so while it moves quickly Northwestward at about 20mph toward the Southern Baja California Peninsula. The National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The low will begin interacting with land or moving over colder water by Thursday, and development after that time is not likely. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. This disturbance could produce locally heavy rainfall along the Southwestern Coast of Mexico and the Southern Baja Peninsula through Thursday. Also, in the Eastern Pacific, a trough of low pressure is located about 1000 miles Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Upper-level winds appear conducive for some slow development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves Northeastward and North-Northeastward at about 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Upper-level winds could become a little more conducive for development by the weekend, but the low will also be moving Northward toward colder water. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 20. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.