JohnnyParker's Blog

My Winter 2012-2013 Final Outlook For the Southeast
Posted by: JohnnyParker, 2:25 PM GMT on November 30, 2012 +1
I posted my first winter outlook in the month of October. Nothing has substantially changed on this forecast. I still believe this winter will be active and colder than last winter across most of the nation. I believe that parts of the Southeast could see a white Christmas as well as snow/ice this winter. We could see near normal to much above normal snowfall.

So far, I have continued to see talk about having much above average snowfall for the Southeast and the Eastern half of the United States. Below are my percentages that I have created for the potential of seeing snow, ice, and a white Christmas. These percentages are based on the outlooks that I have seen so far.

Probability of seeing a White Christmas: 50-60%
Probability of seeing Ice/Snow: 70-80%

In conclusion, I expect this winter will be very active and colder across much of the nation (especially the Eastern half). I also expect that our best chance of seeing snow this winter will be late December into January (perhaps even into February).
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1. MTWX 3:49 PM GMT on November 30, 2012    
Hopefully you are right, but the latest outlooks I have seen show continued warmth for the vast portion of the lower 48 for at least the next month...

I would love to see a white Christmas here in MS!!

Thinking it's going to be a cold one but not until mid Jan- mid Feb...
Member Since: July 20, 2009 Posts: 22 Comments: 1215
2. WunderAlertBot (Admin) 1:03 PM GMT on December 01, 2012    
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About JohnnyParker
I am Johnny Parker and I am 19. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.

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