I posted my first winter outlook in the month of October. Nothing has substantially changed on this forecast. I still believe this winter will be active and colder than last winter across most of the nation. I believe that parts of the Southeast could see a white Christmas as well as snow/ice this winter. We could see near normal to much above normal snowfall.
So far, I have continued to see talk about having much above average snowfall for the Southeast and the Eastern half of the United States. Below are my percentages that I have created for the potential of seeing snow, ice, and a white Christmas. These percentages are based on the outlooks that I have seen so far.
Probability of seeing a White Christmas: 50-60%
Probability of seeing Ice/Snow: 70-80%
In conclusion, I expect this winter will be very active and colder across much of the nation (especially the Eastern half). I also expect that our best chance of seeing snow this winter will be late December into January (perhaps even into February).