Tropical Storm Karen strengthens; Monitoring the Central Pacific for development

By: JohnnyParker , 12:36 PM GMT on August 14, 2014

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Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 60 and it feels like 60. Highs will continue to range between 88 and 98 with lows between 62 and 72. There is a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Monday, a 40% chance of AM thunderstorms on Tuesday, a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Wednesday, and a slight chance of rain on Thursday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 61 and it feels like 61. Todays high is 87 with a low of 61. Fridays high is 90.

Now, for your Severe Weather Update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around August 17th-26th.

Now, for your Nationwide Severe Weather Outlook. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has a (#1) Slight Risk of severe weather Saturday from Eastern Kansas over into Missouri. Threats will be for large hail, damaging winds, heavy rain, and possible flash flooding.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected anytime soon. In the Eastern Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Karina has winds of 60mph, gusting to 70mph, with a pressure of 998mbars. Movement is West at 14mph. Is expected to become a hurricane by late today/early Friday and remain a hurricane until late Monday. May be a threat to Hawaii down to road, but too early to say for certain. (#2) Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of low pressure located about 1150 miles East-Southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has become better defined overnight. Although shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little during the past several hours, gradual development of this disturbance is expected during the next few days and a tropical depression could form by late Friday or Saturday. This system is moving slowly West-Northwestward and is currently crossing 140w longitude, and it will move into the central Pacific basin later this morning. The future discussions on this disturbance will be provided in Tropical Weather Outlooks issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) in Honolulu, Hawaii. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a High chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a High chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. (#3) An area of low pressure is forecast to form well South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula by Saturday. Some gradual development of this system is possible early next week while the system moves generally Northwestward. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this system a Low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a Low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Central Pacific, (#1) Tropical Storm Julio has winds of 70mph, gusting to 85mph, with a pressure of 986mbars. Movement is Northeast at 3mph. Is expected to maintain tropical storm intensity until Sunday through Monday when it will weaken to a tropical depression. Not a threat to land. (#2) An area of low pressure located about 1100 miles East-Southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system during the next two days as it moves slowly North or Northwest. The feature will be in the Central Pacific basin later this morning. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) is giving this system a High chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. In the North Indian Ocean, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South-West Indian Ocean Region), all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Southern Hemisphere (Australian Region), no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the Southern Hemisphere (South Pacific Region), no development is expected over the next couple of days.

Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. God Bless!

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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 20. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.