JohnnyParker's Blog

Severe weather/heavy rain threat today, watching Eastern Pacific for more development

By: JohnnyParker, 10:50 AM GMT on October 31, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 61 and it feels like 61. Highs will continue to range between 63 and 75 with lows between 38 and 55. There is an 80% chance of thunderstorms/wind tomorrow. Winds out of the South at 20mph with gusts up to 40-50mph. Significant severe weather/tornado outbreak is expected today. Main threats will be for large hail, widespread damaging winds, tornadoes (a few of which could be strong), heavy rainfall of 1-3 inches with locally 3+, and flash flooding. Dr. Greg Forbes, the severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving North MS a 3 on TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) for today. This means that there is a 30% chance of seeing a tornado within a 50 mile radius. Timing of these storms will be from noon-4pm for Western MS, from 3pm-8pm for Central MS, and from 6pm to midnight for Eastern MS. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 66 and it feels like 66. Todays high is 72 and a low of 51 with a 100% chance of thunderstorms/wind. Winds out of the South at 20mph with gusts of 40-50mph. Fridays high is 72.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around November 5th-7th, and around the 10th-15th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, shower activity associated with a broad low pressure area centered 400 miles South-Southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is slowly becoming better organized. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development of the low during the next couple of days while it moves North-Northwestward at about 5mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a high chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Thursday and Happy Halloween. I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Raymond weak, watching another area, severe weather/tornado outbreak tomorrow

By: JohnnyParker, 11:34 AM GMT on October 30, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 61 and it feels like 61. Highs will continue to range between 62 and 81 with lows between 38 and 63. There is a 80% chance of thunderstorms/wind tomorrow, and a slight chance of rain on Friday. Winds out of the South at 20mph with gusts up to 40-50mph. Significant severe weather/tornado outbreak is expected tomorrow. Main threats will be for large hail, widespread damaging winds, tornadoes (a few of which could be strong), heavy rainfall of 2-3 inches with locally 3+, and flash flooding. Dr. Greg Forbes, the severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving North MS a 3 on TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) for Thursday. This means that there is a 30% chance of seeing a tornado within a 50 mile radius. Timing of these storms will be from 2pm-9pm tomorrow night for Western MS, and from 6pm tomorrow evening to midnight for Eastern MS. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 63 and it feels like 63. Todays high is 80 with a low of 64. Thursdays high is 71 with a 90% chance of thunderstorms/wind. Winds out of the South at 23mph with gusts of 40-50mph.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around November 5th-7th, and around the 13th-14th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Depression Raymond has winds of 35mph with a pressure of 1007mbars. Movement is Northeast at 6mph. Is not a threat to land and may dissipate by later today. Also, in the Eastern Pacific, a large area of disturbed weather has formed well South of the Coast of Southern Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for slow development of this disturbance during the next several days while it moves West-Northwestward or Northwestward at 5 to 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Significant severe weather/tornado outbreak expected Thursday, Raymond weakening

By: JohnnyParker, 11:08 AM GMT on October 29, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 55 and it feels like 55. Highs will continue to range between 65 and 81 with lows between 40 and 62. There is a 50% chance of thundershowers on Thursday. Significant severe weather/tornado outbreak is expected Thursday. Threats will be for large hail, damaging winds (potentially widespread), tornadoes (a few of which could be strong), heavy rainfall of 2-3 inches with locally 3+, and flash flooding. Dr. Greg Forbes, the severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving Northeast/Northwest MS a 4 on TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) for Thursday. This means that there is a 40% chance of seeing a tornado within a 50 mile radius. Timing of these storms will be from 2pm Thursday afternoon to 9pm Thursday night for Western MS, and from 6pm Thursday evening to midnight for Eastern MS. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 55 and it feels like 55. Todays high is 78 and a low of 58 with a slight chance of rain. Wednesdays high is 79 and mostly cloudy.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around November 5th-7th, and around the 10th-11th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Raymond has winds of 60mph with a pressure of 998mbars. Movement is North at 5mph. Is not a threat to land and may dissipate by late Wednesday or Thursday. Also, in the Eastern Pacific, an area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles Southwest of the Coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development later this week while the disturbance moves West-Northwestward or Northwestward at about 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Raymond a hurricane again, Significant severe weather threat late week

By: JohnnyParker, 11:36 AM GMT on October 28, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 57 and it feels like 57. Highs will continue to range between 65 and 80 with lows between 40 and 61. There is a 30% chance of AM showers today, a 70% chance of thunderstorms on Thursday, and a slight chance of rain on Friday. Significant severe weather/tornado outbreak is possible late week. Threats will be for large hail, damaging winds (potentially widespread), tornadoes (a few of which could be strong), heavy rainfall of 1-3 inches, and flash flooding. Dr. Greg Forbes, the severe weather expert at The Weather Channel, is giving North MS a 2-3 on TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) for Thursday. This means that there is a 20-30% chance of seeing a tornado within a 50 mile radius. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 59 and it feels like 59. Todays high is 73 with a low of 56. Tuesdays high is 77 with a slight chance of rain.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around November 5th-8th, and around the 10th-12th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Raymond has winds of 100mph with a pressure of 975mbars. Movement is North at 8mph. Is not a threat to land and is expected to begin weakening in next day or two. Also, in the Eastern Pacific, an area of low pressure could form several hundred miles Southwest of the Coast of Mexico in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some development later this week while the disturbance moves West-Northwestward or Northwestward at 5 to 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Cold tonight, warm up next week, severe weather threat next week, Raymond strengthens

By: JohnnyParker, 11:25 AM GMT on October 25, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 43 and it feels like 43. A Frost Advisory remains in effect for parts of North MS until 9am this morning, and a Freeze Warning is in effect for North MS until 9am Saturday morning. Highs will continue to range between 58 and 76 with lows between 32 and 58. There is a slight chance of rain on Sunday, and a 30% chance of a few showers on Monday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 36 and it feels like 30. Todays high is 57 with a low of 33. Saturdays high is 66.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 29th-November 1st, and again around the 6th-8th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity has developed in association with the remnants of Lorenzo, which are located about 1200 miles West-Southwest of the Azores. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for tropical cyclone formation as the system moves Northeastward at 5 to 10mph before being absorbed by a cold front in the next day or so. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Raymond has winds of 50mph with a pressure of 1000mbars. Movement is West at 10mph. Is expected to become a hurricane once again by late Saturday.

Hope yall are having a great Friday and I'll have another post Monday morning.

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Lorenzo expected to dissipate soon, Raymond weakens, cold this weekend

By: JohnnyParker, 11:26 AM GMT on October 24, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 43 and it feels like 43. Highs will continue to range between 59 and 76 with lows between 32 and 55. There is a slight chance of rain on Sunday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 46 and it feels like 46. Todays high is 69 with a low of 35. Fridays high is 57.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 29th-November 8th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Depression Lorenzo has winds of 35mph with a pressure of 1009mbars. Movement is East-Northeast at 5mph. Is not a threat to land. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Raymond has winds of 45mph with a pressure of 1003mbars. Movement is West at 8mph. Is expected to maintain tropical storm intensity over next few days.

Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Lorenzo strengthens a bit, Raymond still stalled out near Mexico

By: JohnnyParker, 11:11 AM GMT on October 23, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 48 and it feels like 48. Highs will continue to range between 58 and 74 with lows between 32 and 55. No rain is expected over the next couple of days. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 49 and it feels like 47. Todays high is 61 with a low of 38. Thursdays high is 67.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 28th-November 7th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Lorenzo has winds of 50mph with a pressure of 1003mbars. Movement is East at 8mph. Is not a threat to land. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Raymond has winds of 75mph with a pressure of 987mbars. Movement is stationary. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Tecpan De Galeana, Mexico to Acapulco, Mexico. Is expected to head out to sea later today or Thursday.

Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Hurricane Raymond weakening, Tropical Storm Lorenzo forms in Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 12:05 PM GMT on October 22, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 50 and it feels like 50. Highs will continue to range between 56 and 73 with lows between 30 and 53. There is a slight chance of rain today. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 53 and it feels like 53. Todays high is 69 and a low of 44 with a slight chance of rain. Wednesdays high is 60.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 29th-November 6th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Lorenzo has winds of 40mph with a pressure of 1008mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 8mph. Is not a threat to land. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Raymond has winds of 115mph with a pressure of 959mbars. Movement is stationary. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Tecpan De Galeana, Mexico to Acapulco, Mexico, and a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico to Tecpan De Galeana, Mexico. Is expected to head out to sea later today into Wednesday. Heavy rainfall of between 1-5 inches are expected with locally 5+ inches possible along the coastline and inland portions of Southern Mexico. Flash flooding and mudslides will be a threat, as well as high waves, gusty winds, and rip currents.

Hope you are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Raymond becomes a major hurricane, cooler weather this week, watching Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 12:44 PM GMT on October 21, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 37 and it feels like 37. Highs will continue to range between 58 and 75 with lows between 35 and 50. There is a slight chance of rain tomorrow. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 41 and it feels like 41. Todays high is 74 with a low of 51. Tuesdays high is 68 with a slight chance of rain.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 29th-November 5th. Could see winter weather potential around October 29th-31st.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, satellite images indicate that the shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the area of low pressure located about 650 miles East-Southeast of Bermuda continues to show signs of organization. This low has the potential to become a short-lived tropical cyclone later today or Tuesday before upper-level winds become unfavorable for development. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a high chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a high chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves North-Northeast, and then turns East-Northeastward. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Raymond has winds of 120mph with a pressure of 955mbars. Movement is stationary. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Tecpan De Galeana, Mexico to Acapulco, Mexico, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect from Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico to Tecpan De Galeana, Mexico. Is expected to head up towards Mexico, and then make a turn out toward the Pacific by late Wednesday. Heavy rainfall of between 3-12 inches are expected with locally 12+ inches possible along the coastline and inland portions of Southern Mexico. Flash flooding and mudslides will be a threat, as well as high waves, gusty winds, and rip currents.

Hope yall are having a great Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Watching area in Eastern Pacific, nice and much cooler weather coming

By: JohnnyParker, 11:30 AM GMT on October 18, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 51 and it feels like 51. Highs will continue to range between 64 and 74 with lows between 39 and 51. There is a slight chance of rain on Tuesday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 51 and it feels like 51. Todays high is 72 with a low of 51. Saturdays high is 69.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 26th-November 2nd.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, a broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Conditions are expected to be conducive for some slow development of this system during the next several days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves slowly Westward to West-Northwestward at around 10mph.

Hope yall have a great weekend and I'll have another post Monday morning.

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Priscilla dissipates, more development possible in Eastern Pacific late weekend

By: JohnnyParker, 11:23 AM GMT on October 17, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 61 and it feels like 61. Highs will continue to range between 62 and 74 with lows between 38 and 51. There is a 30% chance of AM showers today. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 60 and it feels like 60. Todays high is 71 and a low of 47 with a 30% chance of AM showers. Fridays high is 73.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 26th-November 1st.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, a well-defined surface low pressure system located about 75 miles North of Bermuda is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low is expected to move Northward and then Northeastward near or along a frontal boundary over the West-Central Atlantic during the next couple of days, and environmental conditions are not currently favorable for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a subtropical or tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 10%, of becoming a subtropical or tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, a tropical wave located over the far Eastern Pacific near Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are currently not favorable, they are expected to become more conducive for some development by late weekend or early next week. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves slowly Westward.

Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Rain today into Thursday, Tropical Depression Priscilla weak

By: JohnnyParker, 11:03 AM GMT on October 16, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 67 and it feels like 67. Highs will continue to range between 62 and 76 with lows between 41 and 57. There is a 60% chance of rain today, a 60% chance of AM showers tomorrow, and a 40% chance of showers on Saturday. Rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches are expected with isolated amounts of 3+, and flash flooding being the main threats. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 68 and it feels like 68. Todays high is 67 and a low of 56 with a 70% chance of rain. Thursdays high is 72 with a 50% chance of AM showers.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 22nd-31st.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, a large area of disturbed weather that extends from the Southeastern Bahamas Northeastward for several hundred miles over the Western Atlantic Ocean is associated with an upper-level trough. An area of low pressure is expected to form Southeast of Bermuda during the next day or so and move Northward and Northeastward near or along a frontal boundary over the West-Central Atlantic. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally favorable for tropical cyclone formation. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Depression Priscilla should dissipate within the next day or two. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1006mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 7mph. Is not a threat to any landmasses.

Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Heavy rains across the Southeast later today through tomorrow

By: JohnnyParker, 11:03 AM GMT on October 15, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 64 and it feels like 64. Highs will continue to range between 67 and 80 with lows between 43 and 64. There is a 50% chance of PM showers today, an 80% chance of rain tomorrow, a 60% chance of rain on Thursday, and a 40% chance of showers on Saturday. Rainfall of 1-3 inches are possible with isolated amounts of 3+, and flash flooding are the main threats. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 66 and it feels like 66. Todays high is 79 and a low of 65 with a 60% chance of PM showers. Wednesdays high is 66 with an 80% chance of rain.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 22nd-30th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Depression Octave has winds of 35mph with a pressure of 1004mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 5mph. Should dissipate later this morning or this afternoon. Also, in the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Priscilla is weak. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1004mbars. Movement is North at 8mph. Is expected to weaken further to a tropical depression later today and is not a threat to any landmasses.

Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Two tropical storms in the Eastern Pacific, watching disturbance in Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 11:06 AM GMT on October 14, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 59 and it feels like 59. Highs will continue to range between 66 and 83 with lows between 42 and 54. There is a 30% chance of a few showers tomorrow, an 80% chance of rain on Wednesday, and a slight chance of rain on Thursday. Rainfall of 1-3 inches are possible with isolated amounts of 3+, and flash flooding are the main threats. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 60 and it feels like 60. Todays high is 82 with a low of 63. Tuesdays high is 73 with a 60% chance of thundershowers.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 22nd-29th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles East of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent significant development of this disturbance during the next several days while it moves West-Northwestward at about 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 10%, of becoming a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Octave has winds of 65mph with a pressure of 995mbars. Movement is North-Northwest at 14mph. Is expected to head up toward the Baja California Peninsula and make landfall late Tuesday night. Is not expected to become a hurricane. Also, in the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Priscilla has formed. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1001mbars. Movement is North-Northeast at 12mph. Is not expected to become a hurricane and is not a threat to any landmasses.

Hope yall are having a great Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Not much rain over next few days, still watching the tropics

By: JohnnyParker, 11:22 AM GMT on October 11, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 56 and it feels like 56. Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for North MS until 10am. Highs will continue to range between 68 and 84 with lows between 48 and 60. There is a slight chance of rain on Tuesday, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Wednesday, a 30% chance of a few showers on Thursday, and a 60% chance of showers on Sunday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 55 and it feels like 55. Todays high is 83 with a low of 60. Saturdays high is 83.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 16th-26th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles West-Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization during the past few hours, and upper-level winds are becoming less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. However, some development of this system is still possible during the next day or so before upper-level winds become even less conducive this weekend. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves Westward to West-Northwestward at around 10mph. In the Eastern Pacific, disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles South of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a high chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves West-Northwestward or Northwestward at around 10mph.

Hope yall are having a great Friday and I'll have another post Monday morning.

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Development possible in Atlantic and Eastern Pacific, Narda remains weak

By: JohnnyParker, 11:46 AM GMT on October 10, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 57 and it feels like 57. Highs will continue to range between 69 and 85 with lows between 46 and 60. There is a slight chance of rain on Tuesday, a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Wednesday, a slight chance of rain on Thursday, a 60% chance of showers on Friday, and a 60% chance of showers on Saturday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 58 and it feels like 58. Todays high is 81 with a low of 59. Fridays high is 82.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 12th-25th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, cloudiness and showers associated with a broad area of low pressure in the far Eastern Atlantic, about several hundred miles Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, have become a little better organized this morning. There is the potential for a tropical depression to form later today or tomorrow before unfavorable upper-level winds become established near the disturbance. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves Westward to West-Northwestward at around 10mph. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Depression Narda is weak and should dissipate in the next day or two. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1007mbars. Movement is West-Southwest at 2mph. Also, in the Eastern Pacific, showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles South-Southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico have not become any better organized since yesterday. However, environmental conditions remain conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a high chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a high chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves West-Northwestward or Northwestward at about 10mph.

Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Narda weak, watching for more development in both the Atlantic/Eastern Pacific

By: JohnnyParker, 11:59 AM GMT on October 09, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 58 and it feels like 58. Highs will continue to range between 68 and 84 with lows between 46 and 60. There is a slight chance of rain on Sunday, a slight chance of rain on Monday, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday, and a slight chance of rain on Wednesday. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 63 and it feels like 63. Todays high is 78 with a low of 59. Thursdays high is 81.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 12th-23rd.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, an area of low pressure is located over the Eastern Tropical Atlantic about 325 miles South-Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday afternoon, but is currently displaced well to the Northwest of the low center. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for development during the next day or so, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable for development by Friday, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves slowly Westward to West-Northwestward. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Depression Narda is weak and should dissipate later today. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1008mbars. Movement is West at 6mph. Also, in the Eastern Pacific, a trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles South-Southeast of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development over the next several days, and this disturbance could become a tropical depression by this weekend. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a high chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves West-Northwestward and then Northwestward at about 10mph.

Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Narda weakens slightly, no rain over next few days

By: JohnnyParker, 11:53 AM GMT on October 08, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 48 and it feels like 48. Highs will continue to range between 71 and 84 with lows between 48 and 59. No rain over the next couple of days. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 50 and it feels like 47. Todays high is 75 with a low of 58. Wednesdays high is 78.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 12th-23rd.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, a broad area low pressure located about 400 miles South-Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next couple of days, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours while moving slowly West-Northwestward. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development late in the week, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. Also, in the Atlantic, disorganized cloudiness and showers extending several hundred miles South-Southeast of Bermuda are associated with a weak and elongated area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for significant development during the next several days while the disturbance moves generally Northward at about 5 to 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Narda has weakened a little. Winds are at 60mph with a pressure of 999mbars. Movement is West-Northwest at 13mph. Is not expected to become a hurricane and is not a threat to land.

Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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No rain over next few days, Tropical Storm Narda forms, two areas in Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 12:19 PM GMT on October 07, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 48 and it feels like 48. Highs will continue to range between 73 and 82 with lows between 46 and 57. No rain over the next few days. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 50 and it feels like 50. Todays high is 71 with a low of 47. Tuesdays high is 75.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 12th-22nd.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, a low pressure area could form early this week along a tropical wave that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Eastern Tropical Atlantic several hundred miles Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become less favorable for development of this disturbance during the next few days, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Strong upper-level winds later this week are expected to make development less likely, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves West-Northwestward at about 10mph. Also, in the Atlantic, a weak low pressure area located about midway between Puerto Rico and Bermuda is moving slowly Northward. Showers and thunderstorms in association with the low are disorganized, and environmental conditions are unfavorable for significant development of this system during the next several days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Narda formed yesterday and is strengthening. Winds are at 45mph with a pressure of 1003mbars. Movement is West at 14mph. Is expected to become a hurricane by late Tuesday. Is not a threat to land.

Hope yall are having a Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Karen barely hanging on, watching for development in Eastern Pacific

By: JohnnyParker, 11:27 AM GMT on October 06, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Highs will continue to range between 71 and 81 with lows between 46 and 55. There is a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms today, and a slight chance of rain on Wednesday. Main threats will be for heavy rain of 1-3 inches with locally 3+ inches, and flash flooding. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Todays high is 71 and a low of 48 with an 80% chance of thunderstorms. Mondays high is 70.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 10th-21st.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Depression Karen has winds of 30mph with a pressure of 1009mbars. Movement is Northeast at 2mph. Is expected to make landfall on the Louisiana Coast by this afternoon, and a second landfall on the Florida Panhandle by Monday. Threats from Karen will be for heavy rainfall of 1-3 inches, minor coastal flooding, rip currents, and few wind gusts up to tropical storm force. Also, in the Atlantic, an area of low pressure could form over the Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean during the next few days. Some development of this low is possible early next week while it moves West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 0%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near a broad area of low pressure located about 800 miles South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Some slow development of this low is possible during the next several days while it moves Westward or West-Northwestward at about 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 40%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Sunday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Very weak Karen nears Gulf Coast, more severe weather today

By: JohnnyParker, 11:18 AM GMT on October 05, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 69 and it feels like 69. Highs will continue to range between 72 and 89 with lows between 46 and 67. There is a slight chance of rain today, and a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms tomorrow. Some storms could be strong to severe late today into Sunday with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. In addition to the severe weather threat, we could see heavy rain of 1-3 inches with locally 3+ inches, and flash flooding. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 71 and it feels like 71. Todays high is 88 and a low of 68 with a slight chance of rain. Sundays high is 72 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 10th-20th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Karen has winds of 40mph with a pressure of 1007mbars. Movement is North-Northwest at 8mph. Is expected to make landfall on the Northern Gulf Coast between late Saturday and into Sunday. A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect from New Orleans, Louisiana over to Panama City, Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Morgan City, Louisiana and parts of the Coastal areas of Louisiana. Threats from Karen will be for heavy rainfall of 3+ inches, localized coastal flooding, storm surge of 1-4 feet, rough seas/high waves, isolated tornadoes, and few wind gusts up to tropical storm force. In the Eastern Pacific, a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles South-Southwest of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next several days as the disturbance moves generally Westward at about 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Saturday, and I'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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Tropical Storm Karen weakens slightly, severe weather today and into the weekend

By: JohnnyParker, 11:21 AM GMT on October 04, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 67 and it feels like 67. Highs will continue to range between 71 and 88 with lows between 47 and 65. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 60% chance of thundershowers on Sunday, and a slight chance of rain on Wednesday. Some storms could be strong to severe Saturday into Sunday with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. In addition to the severe weather threat, we may see a heavy rain of 1-3 inches with locally 3+ inches, and flash flooding. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 69 and it feels like 69. Todays high is 86 and a low of 67 with a slight chance of rain. Saturdays high is 87 with a slight chance of rain.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 10th-19th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Depression Jerry dissipated yesterday. Also, in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Karen has winds of 60mph with a pressure of 1002mbars. Movement is Northwest at 10mph. Is expected to make landfall on the Northern Gulf Coast between late Saturday and into Sunday. Is not expected to become a hurricane. A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from the Coast of Southern MS over to parts of the Panhandle of Florida. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from Morgan City, Louisiana up to New Orleans. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for parts of the Coastal areas of Louisiana. Threats from Karen will be for heavy rainfall of 4+ inches, localized flooding from freshwater, storm surge of 2-4 feet, rough seas/high waves, and strong winds. In the Eastern Pacific, shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles South of the Southern Tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. However, some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days as the disturbance moves generally Westward at 5 to 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Friday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Tropical Storm Karen forms, Rain/storms this weekend

By: JohnnyParker, 12:19 PM GMT on October 03, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 64 and it feels like 64. Highs will continue to range between 74 and 88 with lows between 47 and 65. There is a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms today, a slight chance of rain tomorrow, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Saturday, and a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Sunday. Some storms could be strong to severe Saturday into Sunday with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. In addition to the severe weather threat, we may see a heavy rain/flash flood threat as well. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 66 and it feels like 66. Todays high is 85 and a low of 65 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Fridays high is 87 with a slight chance of rain.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 10th-18th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Depression Jerry is weak. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1010mbars. Movement is Northeast at 9mph. Is expected to pass through the Azore Islands by Saturday into Sunday. Also, in the Atlantic, data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicates that the area of low pressure located over the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico has become a tropical storm and is producing winds of up to 60mph. A Special Advisory will be issued within the next hour, and Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches will be issued for portions of the Northern Gulf Coast. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a high chance, 100%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. After that, less conducive upper-level winds could limit development as the system approaches the Northern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a high chance, 100%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days as it moves North-Northwestward. Additionally, locally heavy rains could affect portions of Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next day or two. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft is currently investigating this system. In the Eastern Pacific, a broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles Southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days as the disturbance moves Westward at around 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Jerry headed for Azores, disturbance in Caribbean, and rain/storms this weekend

By: JohnnyParker, 11:46 AM GMT on October 02, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 69 and it feels like 69. Highs will continue to range between 68 and 86 with lows between 48 and 65. There is a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms today, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms tomorrow, a slight chance of rain on Friday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Saturday, and a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Sunday. Some storms could be strong to severe Saturday into Sunday with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. In addition to the severe weather threat, we may see a heavy rain/flash flood threat as well. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 70 and it feels like 70. Todays high is 85 and a low of 63 with a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Thursdays high is 85 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 10th-17th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Jerry has weakened some. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1008mbars. Movement is West at 1mph. Is expected to pass through the Azore Islands by Saturday into Sunday. Also, in the Atlantic, shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea remains disorganized. This system is expected to move Northwestward near or over the Northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula later today, and into the Southern Gulf of Mexico tonight or Thursday. Some development is possible during the next couple of days, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours while it moves near or over the Northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula late Wednesday and into the Southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday night or Thursday. Upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for development while the disturbance moves generally Northward over the Gulf of Mexico late this week. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. Locally heavy rains could affect the Cayman Islands, portions of Cuba, and portions of the Yucatan Peninsula during the next day or two. In the Eastern Pacific, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days.

Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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Tropical Storm Jerry forms, watching tropical disturbance in Caribbean

By: JohnnyParker, 11:40 AM GMT on October 01, 2013

Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 64 and it feels like 64. Highs will continue to range between 68 and 86 with lows between 48 and 65. There is a slight chance of rain today, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms tomorrow, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Thursday, a slight chance of rain on Friday, a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Saturday, and a 30% chance of a few showers on Sunday. Some storms could be strong to severe this weekend with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. In addition to the severe weather threat, we may see a heavy rain/flash flood threat as well. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 66 and it feels like 66. Todays high is 85 and a low of 66 with a slight chance of rain. Wednesdays high is 85 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 7th-16th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Jerry has winds of 45mph with a pressure of 1005mbars. Movement is stationary. May be a threat to the Azore Islands. Also, in the Atlantic, shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become more concentrated near the center of a large low pressure system that is located about 120 miles East of the Nicaragua-Honduras Border. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves Northwestward at around 10mph, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for additional development when the disturbance moves over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southern Gulf of Mexico later this week, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will continue over portions of Jamaica and Eastern Cuba today. These rains will spread Westward across the rest of Cuba and the Cayman Islands tonight and Wednesday. In the Eastern Pacific, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days.

Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 20. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.

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