JohnnyParker's Blog

Katia intensifying and potential development in the Gulf of Mexico

By: JohnnyParker, 10:37 AM GMT on August 31, 2011

The current temperature is 66 and it feels like 66. Highs will continue to range between 88 and 99 with lows between 61 and 71. No rain is in the forecast over the next couple of days. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring two areas. The first is Tropical Storm Katia. Winds are at 65mph with a pressure of 994mbars. Latitude is 13.9 degrees North and longitude is 39.1 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 21mph. By 1pm today or earlier, Katia will be a 75mph category 1 hurricane. The second is a large area of cloudiness and showers over Western Cuba and the Northwestern Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave. This system is expected to move generally West-Northwestward at 10 to 15mph across the northern portion of Yucatan Peninsula into the Southern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two, and there is potential for development over the Central or Western Gulf of Mexico in a few days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring one area that has potential for development. Shower activity has become more concentrated near the center of a low pressure area centered about 60 miles south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. If current trends continue, a tropical depression could form later today as the system drifts toward the West-Northwest hugging the southwest coast of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 80% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima through Thursday. Interests in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and those affected by damaging weather events.

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Tropical Storm Katia forms and Eastern Pacific is getting active

By: JohnnyParker, 10:32 AM GMT on August 30, 2011

The current temperature is 65 and it feels like 65. Highs will continue to range between 85 and 100 with lows between 61 and 71. No rain is in the forecast over the next couple of days. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring one area. The first is Tropical Storm Katia. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1006mbars. Latitude is 11.8 degrees North and longitude is 31.7 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 17mph. By 1pm today or earlier, it will have winds of 45mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring one area for possible development. The first is showers and a few thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 100 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico have changed little in organization during the past several hours. However, surface observations and satellite imagery indicate that the low-level circulation has become a little better defined this evening. Except for the proximity of this system to land, environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development over the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly West-Northwestward at 5 to 10mph. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible near coastal sections of the Mexican States of Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima through Wednesday. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for those affected by damaging weather events.

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Irene has dissipated, Jose expected to dissipate soon, and T.D. #12 forms

By: JohnnyParker, 10:40 AM GMT on August 29, 2011

The current temperature is 65 and it feels like 65. Highs will continue to range between 88 and 102 with lows between 63 and 71. No rain is expected over the next couple of days. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring 4 areas. The first area is Tropical Storm Irene. The last advisory was issued late Sunday night. Winds are at 50mph with a pressure of 980mbars. Latitude is 45.3 degrees North and longitude is 71.3 degrees West. Movement is North-Northeast at 26mph. The second area is Tropical Storm Jose. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1008mbars. Latitude is 37.2 degrees North and longitude is 64.7 degrees West. Movement is North at 23mph. By 1pm today or earlier, Jose will become a 35mph tropical depression. The third is an elongated area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Ten is located about 800 miles west-northwest of the Northern Cape Verde Islands. This system is producing only intermittent shower and thunderstorm activity and upper-level winds are unfavorable for any significant development. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The fourth area is Tropical Depression Twelve. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1009mbars. Latitude is 9.4 degrees North and longitude is 26.3 degrees West. Movement is West at 15mph. By 1pm today or earlier, it will be 40mph Tropical Storm Katia. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, all is quiet with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and those affected by damaging weather events this year.

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Irene weakening, Jose forms, and Katia could form soon

By: JohnnyParker, 10:52 PM GMT on August 28, 2011

The current temperature is 91, but it feels like 92. Highs will continue to range between 88 and 100 with lows between 62 and 71. No rain is in the forecast over the next couple of days. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring 4 areas. The first is Tropical Storm Irene. Winds are at 50mph with a pressure of 975mbars. Latitude is 42.7 degrees North and longitude is 72.8 degrees West. Movement is North-Northeast at 26mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Cape Henlopen, Delaware to Eastport, Maine including Delaware Bay, New York City, Long Island, Long Island Sound, coastal Connecticut, coastal Rhode Island, Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket, U.S./Canada border northeastward to Fort Lawrence, Nova Scotia, South coast of Nova Scotia from Fort Lawrence to Porters Lake. Main threats now will be high winds, heavy rain, flash flooding, high waves, rough seas, and beach erosion. The second is Tropical Storm Jose. Winds are at 45mph with a pressure of 1007mbars. Latitude is 33.2 degrees North and longitude is 65.7 degrees West. Movement is North at 17mph. By 1am Monday morning or earlier, winds will be down to 40mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bermuda. Main threats will be wind, heavy rain, and rough seas. The third is showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a low pressure area located about 400 miles south of the Southern Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this low, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two as it moves westward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 70% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The fourth is an elongated area of low pressure, associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Ten, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 700 miles west-northwest of the Northern Cape Verde Islands. Strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent any significant development of this disturbance. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, all is quiet with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Sunday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and those affected by damaging weather events this year.

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Irene makes landfall and Tropical Depression Ten has dissipated

By: JohnnyParker, 3:17 PM GMT on August 27, 2011

The current temperature is 80, but it feels like 82. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 97 with lows between 63 and 70. No rain is in the forecast over the next couple of days. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Hurricane Irene has made landfall in North Carolina and is moving up the coast. Winds are down to 85mph with a pressure of 952mbars. Latitude is 35.2 degrees North and longitude is 76.4 degrees West. Movement is North-Northeast at 15mph. By 7pm tonight, it will have winds of 80mph. By 7am Sunday morning, it will have winds of 75mph and will be just 30 miles to the east of New York City. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Merrimack River to Eastport, Maine. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for South Santee River, South Carolina to Little River Inlet, North Carolina, Chesapeake Bay north of Smith Point and the tidal Potomac River, North of Sagamore Beach to Merrimack River, and Inner Massachusetts and Connecticut, and Washington D.C. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Little River Inlet, North Carolina to Sandy Nook, New Jersey, including Pamlico, Albemarle, Currituck Sounds, Delaware Bay and Chesapeake Bay south of Drum Point, Philadelphia, New York City, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Connecticut to Rhode Island, Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket, Boston. Main threats are: high winds, heavy rain between 8 to 15+ inches, high waves, rough seas, significant storm surge, tornadoes, inland flooding, coastal flooding, beach erosion, flash flooding, and power outages. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, we are watching another area, but no development is likely. In the Eastern Pacific, all is quiet with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Saturday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the people who have been affected by the tornadoes and other damaging weather events.

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Irene weakens to a category 2, but is expected to regain cat.3 intensity

By: JohnnyParker, 10:50 AM GMT on August 26, 2011

The current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 97 with lows ranging between 63 and 71. No rain is in the forecast over the next couple of days. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring two areas. The first is Hurricane Irene. Winds are at 110mph with a pressure of 942mbars. Latitude is 29.3 degrees North and longitude is 77.2 degrees West. Movement is North at 14mph. By 1pm today or earlier, it will be a 115mph category 3. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the United States-North of Edisto Beach, South Carolina to Little River Inlet, North Carolina. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the United States-North of Sandy Hook to the mouth of Merrimack River, including Long Island, Long Island Sound, Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Bahamas-Grand Bahama and Abaco Islands, United States-Little River Inlet, North Carolina to Sandy Nook, New Jersey, including Pamlico, Albemarle, Currituck Sounds, Delaware Bay, and Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. Irene is poses a very Extreme threat to the East Coast. Main threats are: heavy rain between 5 to 12+ inches, tropical storm hurricane force winds, downed trees on houses, cars, and power lines, widespread power outages, high waves, rough seas, storm surge, beach erosion, coastal flooding, inland flooding, and tornadoes. The second is Tropical Depression Ten. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1009mbars. Latitude is 14.5 degrees North and longitude is 33.7 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 9mph. By 1am Saturday morning or earlier, it will be Tropical Storm Jose with winds at 40mph. This will not be a threat to any landmasses and will stay out to sea. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, all is quiet with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Friday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Irene still expected to become a category 4, T.D. #10 forms

By: JohnnyParker, 10:52 AM GMT on August 25, 2011

The current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 98 with lows between 62 and 70. There is a slight chance of a stray thunderstorm possible today. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring three areas. The first is Hurricane Irene. Winds are at 115mph with a pressure of 950mbars. Latitude is 24.6 degrees North and longitude is 76.2 degrees West. Movement is Northwest at 12mph. By 1pm today or earlier, it will have winds of 125mph. By 1am Friday morning or earlier, it will become a 135mph category 4 hurricane. There is still a slight possibility that Irene could become our first category 5 storm. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Edisto Beach, South Carolina to Surf City, North Carolina. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Surf City, North Carolina to the North Carolina-Virginia border, including the Pamlico, Albemarle, and Currituck Sounds. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Bahamas-Southeastern, Central, and Northwestern Islands. Main threats will be: beach erosion, heavy rain, flash flooding, coastal flooding, inland flooding, storm surge, high waves, tropical storm and hurricane force winds, rough seas, tornadoes, damaging winds, downed trees, and power outages. The second is disorganized shower activity associated with a low pressure system located about 1150 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. Although the low is moving toward the west-northwest at around 15mph toward warmer waters, upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for significant development. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The third is Tropical Depression Ten. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1007mbars. Latitude is 12.4 degrees North and longitude is 30.4 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 13mph. By 1pm today or earlier, it will be 40mph Tropical Storm Jose. Jose is not a threat to any land and will probably stay out to sea. In the Eastern Pacific, all is quiet with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Updated: 10:52 AM GMT on August 25, 2011

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Category 3 Hurricane Irene a major threat to the East Coast

By: JohnnyParker, 8:30 PM GMT on August 24, 2011

Hurricane Irene continues to intensify and will be a major threat to the East Coast. Winds are at 120mph with a pressure of 954mbars. Latitude is 22.7 degrees North and longitude is 74.3 degrees West. Movement is Northwest at 12mph. By 7pm tonight or earlier, it will have winds of 125mph. By 7am Thursday morning or earlier, it will be a 135mph category 4 hurricane. There is a slight possibility that Irene could intensify further into a category 5 storm. A Tropical Storm Warning is still in effect for the Turks and Caicos Islands. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Bahamas-Southeastern, Central, and Northwestern Islands. Main threats for the East Coast will be: high winds, power outages, downed trees, heavy rains, tornadoes possible, storm surge, coastal flooding, rough seas, high waves, and beach erosion. I'll have a full post tomorrow morning.

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Irene intensifying and Jose on the horizon, still hot across the South

By: JohnnyParker, 10:51 AM GMT on August 24, 2011

The current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 99 with lows between 65 and 71. There is a slight chance of a stray thunderstorm today with a 30% chance of isolated thundertstorms both tonight and Thursday. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring three areas. The first is Hurricane Irene. Winds are at 110mph with a pressure of 962mbars. Latitude is 21.6 degrees North and longitude is 72.9 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 9mph. By 1pm today or earlier, it will be a 120mph category 3 major hurricane. It is possible that Irene could intensify more than expected to a category 4. Main threats will be heavy rain, high winds, flash flooding, rough seas, high waves, rip currents, and storm surge. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Haiti-North coast from Le Mole-Saint-Nicholas eastward to the Dominican Republic border. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. The second is showers and thunderstorms have diminished in association with a low pressure system located about 1100 miles west-northwest of the Northern Cape Verde Islands. Although the low is moving west-northwestward at about 15mph toward warmer waters, upper-level winds are unfavorable for any significant development. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The third is showers and thunderstorms have increased and become a little better organized in association with a broad low pressure area located about 125 miles south-southeast of the southern Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for slow development of this low during the next several days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 10 to 15mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring one area. Shower and thunderstorm activity is minimal in association with a weak low pressure area located about 250 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California. Since the low is expected to reach cooler waters within 24 hours, significant development of this disturbance seems unlikely. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

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Hurricane Irene headed for North Carolina, expected to become a cat.4

By: JohnnyParker, 10:40 AM GMT on August 23, 2011

The current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Highs will continue to range between 93 and 99 with lows between 67 and 71. There is a slight chance for a stray thunderstorm tomorrow and a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms Thursday. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Hurricane Irene continues to show signs of intensifying. Winds are now at 100mph with a pressure of 978mbars. Latitude is 20.3 degrees North and longitude is 70.1 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 12mph. By 1pm today or earlier, winds will be 110mph. By 1am Wednesday morning or earlier, it will become a 120mph category 3 hurricane. By 1am Saturday morning, Irene is expected to become a 135mph category 4 hurricane. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Dominican Republic-South coast from Santo Domingo eastward to Cabo Engano, and Haiti. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Bahamas-Central islands, Haiti-North coast from Le Mole-Saint-Nicholas to the Dominican Republic border. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Bahamas-Southeastern islands, Dominican Republic-North coast from the Haiti border eastward to Cabo Engano, and the Turks and Caicos Islands. Main threats will be heavy rain, flash flooding, mudslides, beach erosion, high waves, rough seas, and tropical storm and hurricane force winds. Showers and thunderstorms near a large low pressure system located about 750 miles west-northwest of the Northernmost Cape Verde Islands have changed little in organization during the past few hours. The low is moving west-northwestward at about 15mph toward warmer waters, and some development is possible before upper-level winds increase in a couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Harvey will dissipate soon, Irene becomes our first hurricane of the season

By: JohnnyParker, 10:54 AM GMT on August 22, 2011

The current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 97 with lows between 65 and 71. Rain is in the forecast for Wednesday and Thursday. Precipitation chances are 30% both days. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring 3 areas. The first is Tropical Depression Harvey continues to maintain strength. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1005mbars. Latitude is 18.4 degrees North and longitude is 96.0 degrees West. Movement is West-Southwest at 10mph. By 1pm today or earlier, winds will be down to 30mph. Harvey is likely to dissipate later today. The second is Hurricane Irene. Winds are at 75mph with a pressure of 987mbars. Latitude is 18.4 degrees North and longitude is 66.4 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 12mph. By 1pm today or earlier, winds will increase to 80mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the United States Virgin Islands, British Virgin Islands, Dominican Republic-South coast from south of Cabo Engano to the Haiti border, Haiti, Bahamas-Southeastern Islands, and the Turks and Caicos Islands. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Haiti-North coast from Le Mole-Saint-Nicholas to the Dominican Republic border, and the Bahamas-Central islands. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Puerto Rico-including Vieques and Culebra, Dominican Republic-North coast from the Haiti border eastward to Cabo Engano. Main threats are heavy rains, flash flooding, mudslides, tropical storm and hurricane force winds, high waves, rough seas, and storm surge. The third is a large and elongated low pressure system located about 300 miles northwest of the Northernmost Cape Verde Islands is producing limited shower activity. Development of this low is unlikely during the next couple of days as it remains over cool waters. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves northwestward at 10 to 15mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring two areas. The first is an area of low pressure located about 450 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing limited showers and thunderstorms well to the northwest of the center of circulation. Strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit development, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone as it drifts northward during the next 48 hours. The second is a weak area of low pressure located about 100 miles southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico is producing minimal and disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are not expected to be conducive for development, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward between 5 and 10mph. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Harvey to dissipate soon and Irene could be a major threat to the U.S.

By: JohnnyParker, 8:12 PM GMT on August 21, 2011

The current temperature is 90, but it feels like 98. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 97 with lows between 65 and 72. There is a 40% chance of thunderstorms early tonight. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring three areas. The first is Tropical Depression Harvey. Winds are at 30mph with a pressure of 1006mbars. Latitude is 17.7 degrees North and longitude is 92.6 degrees West. Movement is West at 13mph. By 7pm tonight or earlier, winds will be down to 25mph. The second is Tropical Storm Irene. Winds are at 50mph with a pressure of 999mbars. Latitude is 17.5 degrees North and longitude is 63.7 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 18mph. By 7pm tonight or earlier, winds will be at 65mph. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Southeastern Bahama Islands and the Turks and Caicos Islands. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the United States Virgin Islands, British Virgin Islands, Dominican Republic-Northern Coast from the Haiti border to Cabo Frances Viejo, and Haiti. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the United States Virgin Islands. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Puerto Rico-including Vieques and Culebra, Dominican Republic-Southern border from Haiti to Cabo Frances Viejo on the North Coast. Main threats will be heavy rain, flash flooding, mudslides, tropical storm and hurricane force winds, high waves, and rough seas. The third is a large and elongated low pressure system located about 200 miles west-northwest of the Northernmost Cape Verde Islands continues to produce widespread cloudiness and scattered showers. This disturbance is continuing to move northwestward over cooler waters and development is becoming less likely. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Greg has dissipated and we are monitoring two areas for possible development. There has been no change in the organization of showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 425 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico during the past several hours. Strong upper-level winds over this system are expected to increase further over the next couple of days and will likely inhibit any potential for development. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone as it moves little during the next 48 hours. The second is showers and thunderstorms over the Gulf of Tehuantepec have formed in association with the southern end of the tropical wave that produced Tropical Storm Harvey. Development, if any, of this disturbance is expected to be slow to occur. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves generally westward at around 10mph. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Sunday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Harvey headed for Central America and Eastern Pacific active

By: JohnnyParker, 3:39 PM GMT on August 20, 2011

The current temperature is 87, but it feels like 95. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 97 with lows between 68 and 73. Rain is in the forecast until next Friday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 40%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring three areas. The first is Tropical Storm Harvey. Winds are at 60mph with a pressure of 998mbars. Latitude is 16.8 degrees North and longitude is 87.6 degrees West. Movement is West at 12mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for Honduras, Bay Islands, Belize, Southeastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Main threats will be heavy rain, flash flooding, and mudslides. Isolated storm-total rainfall up to 10 inches is possible. Tropical Storm force winds will also be experienced along the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize. The second area is a large tropical wave is located about 400 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, moving westward to west-northwestward at about 20mph. The associated shower activity shows signs of organization, and surface observations indicate that pressures are low in this area. However, there is no evidence of a surface circulation at this time. Slow development of this system is likely, and a tropical depression could form over the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 80% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Interests in the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Locally heavy rain and gusty winds are likely over the Lesser Antilles later today through Sunday, and over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by Sunday night. An Air Force reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later this afternoon, if necessary. The third area is a large and elongated area of low pressure centered over the Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. The low is moving into an area of upper-level winds and sea surface temperatures that are less conducive for development. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Locally heavy rains and gusty winds should continue to affect parts of the Cape Verde Islands through the rest of today. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring two areas. The first is Tropical Storm Greg. Winds are down to 40mph with a pressure of 1004mbars. Latitude is 19.7 degrees North and longitude is 120.0 degrees West. Movement is West at 10mph. Greg is not a threat to land. Later today or very soon, Greg will become a 35mph tropical depression. The second is a broad low pressure system located about 425 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some gradual development of this disturbance is possible over the next few days as it moves toward the west or the west-northwest at about 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Saturday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Atlantic and Eastern Pacific active, Heat continues

By: JohnnyParker, 11:18 AM GMT on August 19, 2011

The current temperature is 69 and it feels like 69. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 98 with lows between 68 and 74. A stray thunderstorm is possible both today and Saturday. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Rain is in the forecast on Sunday through next Saturday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 60%. Again, a few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are watching three areas of interest. The first is Tropical Depression Eight in the Western Caribbean Sea. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1006mbars. Latitude is 15.5 degrees North and longitude is 83.2 degrees West. Movement is West at 12mph. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the coasts of Guatemala and Honduras. The primary threat will be locally heavy rainfall. By 1am Saturday morning or earlier, it will be a 40mph tropical storm. If that happens, then we would have Tropical Storm Harvey. Its path does take into Belize by 1pm Saturday. This is not expected to become a hurricane. The second area is a large tropical wave located about 1125 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce limited shower activity. No significant development of this wave is expected today, but environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly conducive as the disturbance approaches the Lesser Antilles on Saturday. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 20mph. The third is a broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located just off the west coast of Africa about 325 miles east-southeast of the Southernmost Cape Verde Islands. This low is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms, and upper-level winds are forecast to be conducive for development of this system as it moves west to west-northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain and strong gusty winds are possible in the Cape Verde Islands today through Saturday. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are watching two areas. The first is Tropical Storm Fernanda, which has moved into the Central Pacific. Winds are at 50mph with a pressure of 997mbars. Latitude is 15.3 degrees North and longitude is 143.6 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 12mph. By 1am Saturday morning or earlier, it will be a 35mph tropical depression. The only land area that could feel any impacts from this would be Hawaii. The second is Hurricane Greg. Winds are at 80mph with a pressure of 982mbars. Latitude is 18.9 degrees North and longitude is 113.9 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 14mph. Greg will remain out to sea and will not affect any landmasses. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Friday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Watching the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific, hot weather continues

By: JohnnyParker, 11:07 AM GMT on August 18, 2011

The current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. A heat advisory is now in effect until 10pm Friday. Heat indicies will range between 103 to 107. Highs will continue to range between 89 and 99 with lows between 68 and 74. There is a chance of a stray thunderstorm both today and tomorrow. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring two areas for potential development. The first is a concentrated area of cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave centered about 130 miles south of Jamaica continues to show signs of organization. Surface pressures are beginning to fall near the disturbance and there is a potential for this system to become a tropical depression before it moves over Central America in a day or two. Interests along the coasts of Honduras, Nicaragua, Belize, and Eastern Yucatan should monitor the progress of this disturbance. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 70% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves generally westward at 15 to 20mph. The second is a large tropical wave located about 850 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Significant development is not likely during the next couple of days, however, conditions could become more conducive for development thereafter. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 15 to 20mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring two areas. The first is Tropical Storm Fernanda. Winds are at 65mph with a pressure of 994mbars. Latitude is 13.4 degrees North and longitude is 139.9 degrees West. Movement is Northwest at 15mph. By 1am Friday morning or earlier, winds will decrease to 60mph. Fernanda is not expected to become a hurricane. Fernanda will be nearing Hawaii in a couple of days. The main threats will be heavy rain and high winds. The second is Hurricane Greg. Winds are at 80mph with a pressure of 985mbars. Latitude is 18.0 degrees North and longitude is 109.9 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 21mph. By 1am Friday morning, Greg will become a 100mph category 2 hurricane. It is not a threat to any landmasses. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Gert is gone in the Atlantic, Fernanda and Greg in the Eastern Pacific

By: JohnnyParker, 11:04 AM GMT on August 17, 2011

The current temperature is 72 and it feels like 72. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 96 with lows between 67 and 72. Rain is in the forecast through Friday. Precipitation chances will be 30% each day. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Gert has dissipated and we are only monitoring one area for potential development. Cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave over the Central Caribbean Sea have become a little better organized over the past 24 hours. However, there are still no signs of a surface circulation and pressures are not falling in this region. This wave is moving westward at 15 to 20mph, and it has the potential for some slow development before it moves over Central America in a few days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring three areas. The first is Tropical Storm Fernanda. Winds are at 50mph with a pressure of 1000mbars. Latitude is 11.6 degrees North and longitude is 136.9 degrees West. Movement is West at 7mph. By 1pm or earlier today, it will have winds of 60mph. The only threat to land that it may have is Hawaii. I believe that the threats would only be heavy rain and some wind. The second is a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is moving slowly west-northwestward. Shower activity associated with this low is minimal, and upper-level winds are forecast to remain unfavorable for significant development. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The third is Tropical Storm Greg. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1004mbars. Latitude is 15.8 degrees North and longitude is 102.2 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 16mph. By 1pm or earlier today, it will have winds of 50mph. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Gert weakening and Tropical Depression Six-E forms in the Eastern Pacific

By: JohnnyParker, 11:03 AM GMT on August 16, 2011

The current temperature is 65 and it feels like 65. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 95 with lows between 63 and 71. There is a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms late Wednesday into Thursday. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring two areas. The first is Tropical Storm Gert. Winds are down to 45mph with a pressure of 1005mbars. Latitude is 36.4 degrees North and longitude is 59.6 degrees West. Movement is to the Northeast at 22mph. By 1am Wednesday morning or earlier, winds will be down to 40mph. Gert is not a threat to any landmasses. The second is shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a large tropical wave over the Eastern Caribbean Sea has decreased considerably during the past several hours. Surface pressures are not falling and development, if at all, of this system is not likely to occur until it reaches the Western Caribbean in a few days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 15 to 20mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring three areas. The first is Tropical Depression Six-E. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1006mbars. Latitude is 12.4 degrees North and longitude is 133.5 degrees West. Movement is West at 9mph. By 1pm or earlier, it will be a 40mph tropical storm. It will only be a threat to Hawaii. The second area is a broad area of low pressure centered about 625 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico remains poorly organized, and upper-level winds do not appear to be favorable for additional development during the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The third area is concentrated cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system are centered about 280 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Gert in the Atlantic and watching the Eastern Pacific for development

By: JohnnyParker, 11:09 AM GMT on August 15, 2011

The current temperature is 64 and it feels like 64. Highs will continue to range between 88 and 94 with lows between 62 and 70. Rain is in the forecast for both Thursday and Friday. Precipitation chances will be 30%. A few storms could be strong to severe both days with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we continue to monitor two areas. The first is Tropical Storm Gert. Gert has strengthened and is a threat to Bermuda. Winds are at 60mph with a pressure of 1003mbars. Latitude is 31.3 degrees North and longitude is 63.4 degrees West. Movement is North at 14mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is still in effect for Bermuda. The main threats will be winds up to tropical storm force and heavy rainfall between 1 to 3 inches. By 1pm today or earlier, winds will be at 65mph. The second is shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 550 miles north-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to remain only marginally conducive for development of this system over the next couple of days due to proximity to Tropical Storm Gert. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves north-northwestward at 15 to 20mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are watching 3 areas for possible development. The first is shower and thunderstorm activity has increased near the center of a low pressure system located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the Southern tip of Baja California. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 80% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at around 10mph. The second is showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest Manzanillo, Mexico have changed little in organization during the last several hours. While upper-level winds are not expected to be particularly favorable, some slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward or west-northwestward at around 10mph. The third is shower and thunderstorm activity is limited in association with a large but disorganized area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles south of the pacific coast of Guatemala, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some gradual development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Tropical Storm Gert forms and watching the Eastern Pacific for development

By: JohnnyParker, 8:16 PM GMT on August 14, 2011

The current temperature is 85, but it feels like 90. Highs will continue to range between 89 and 95 with lows between 62 and 70. No rain is in the forecast over the next few days. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Franklin has dissipated and we are now monitoring two areas. The first is Tropical Storm Gert. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1009mbars. Latitude is 28.6 degrees North and longitude is 63.1 degrees West. Movement is North-Northwest at 7mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bermuda. By 7am Monday morning or earlier, Gert will have winds of 45mph. The second area is a trough of low pressure located about 425 miles north-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands continues to produce limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Satellite data and ship observations suggest that the system still may not have a closed surface circulation, and environmental conditions are expected to remain only marginally conducive for development over the next couple of days due to proximity to Tropical Storm Gert. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves toward the west-northwestward at 15 to 20mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring two areas for possible development. The first is shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located about 1375 miles southwest of the Southern tip of Baja California has diminished somewhat over the past few hours. However, upper-level winds are expected to become increasingly more conducive for a tropical depression to form over the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 70% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward near 10mph. The second is a disturbance located about 500 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico continues to produce a large but disorganized area of showers and a few thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are not expected to be particularly conducive for development of this system over the next couple of days as it move westward near 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Sunday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Franklin in the Atlantic and a new storm could form in the Eastern Pacific

By: JohnnyParker, 4:54 PM GMT on August 13, 2011

In the Atlantic, we are tracking Tropical Storm Franklin. Winds are at 45mph with a pressure of 1004mbars. Latitude is 39.0 degrees North and longitude is 57.9 degrees West. Movement is East-Northeast at 22mph. Franklin is not a threat to any landmasses. We are also monitoring 3 other areas for possible development. The first is a well-defined trough of low pressure located about 600 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands is producing a small area of scattered showers and thunderstorms. This system is showing signs of organization this morning, but environmental conditions are only expected to be marginally favorable for development during the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west-northwestward at around 20mph. The second is a broad low pressure system located about 700 miles southwest of the Southern Cape Verde Islands continues to produce limited shower activity. However, environmental conditions could become more favorable for development in a few days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 15 to 20mph. The third is an area of low pressure located about 500 miles southeast of Bermuda is showing signs of organization. Slow development is possible during the next couple of days as the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring two areas for possible development. First visible satellite images indicate that the low pressure system centered about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California has become better organized, and a tropical depression could be forming. If this developing trend continues, advisories will be initiated later today. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 70% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves generally westward at around 10mph. The second is an area of disorganized cloudiness and showers is located about 500 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. Development of this system, if any, will be slow to occur during the next couple of days as it moves westward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. I'll have another update later today if anything significant changes with the areas in the Eastern Pacific or Atlantic. If nothing changes, then I'll have a full post tomorrow.

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Tropical Storm Franklin forms and watching other areas in the Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 12:29 PM GMT on August 13, 2011

The current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Highs will continue to range between 88 and 95 with lows between 65 and 72. There is a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms today. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we now have Tropical Storm Franklin. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1006mbars. Latitude is 37.9 degrees North and longitude is 60.4 degrees West. Movement is to the Northeast at 20mph. Franklin is not a threat to any landmasses. There are 3 other areas in the Atlantic that we are monitoring for possible development. The first is a well-defined trough of low pressure located about 600 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands is producing a small area of scattered showers and thunderstorms. This system is showing some signs of organization this morning, but environmental conditions are only expected to be marginally favorable for development during the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west-northwestward at around 20mph. The second is a broad low pressure system located about 700 miles southwest of the Southern Cape Verde Islands continues to produce only limited shower activity. However, environmental conditions could become more favorable for development in a few days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 15 to 20mph. The third is an area of low pressure located about 500 miles southeast of Bermuda is showing signs of organization. Slow development is possible during the next couple of days as the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring two areas for possible development. The first is an area of low pressure centered about 1075 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California continues to show signs of organization. Conditions appear to be conducive for slow development of the system during the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west-southwestward or westward at around 10mph. The second is an area of disorganized cloudiness and showers is located about 500 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. Development of this system, if any, will be slow to occur during the next couple of days as it moves westward at 10 to 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Saturday and I'll have another post tomorrow unless something significant changes with any area in the Eastern Pacific or Atlantic. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Tropical Depression Six forms

By: JohnnyParker, 9:22 PM GMT on August 12, 2011

Tropical Depression #6 has formed. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1011mbars. Latitude is 36.0 degrees North and longitude is 63.9 degrees West. Movement is East-Northeast at 16mph. By 1am Saturday morning, it will be Tropical Storm Franklin. I'll have a full post tomorrow.

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Tropical Update for the Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 6:42 PM GMT on August 12, 2011

In the Atlantic, we are monitoring four areas for possible development. The first is thunderstorm activity associated with a well-defined low pressure system located about 200 miles north of Bermuda has become much better organized during the past several hours. Additional development is possible tonight or Saturday before this disturbance merges with a frontal system. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 60% chance of becoming a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves northeastward at 20 to 25mph. The second is a sharp trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands is moving west-northwestward at near 20mph. Although thunderstorm activity has become a little better organized, there are no signs of a surface circulation at this time. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The third area is a broad low pressure system located about 525 miles southwest of the Southern Cape Verde Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and scattered showers. Some slow development is possible over the next several days as the disturbance moves westward at 15 to 20mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The fourth is an area of disturbed weather has formed in association with a broad low pressure system about 700 miles north-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. Slow development is possible during the next couple of days as the low moves west-southwestward or westward at about 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Again, if something significant changes with any of these 4 areas, I'll be posting again. If not, then I will have another post tomorrow.

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Atlantic showing signs of becoming active, Eastern Pacific quiet

By: JohnnyParker, 1:29 PM GMT on August 12, 2011

The current temperature is 76. Highs will continue to range between 87 and 95 with lows between 64 and 71. There is a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Saturday. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring four areas for possible development. The first is an area of low pressure centered about 1175 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands is moving West-Northwestward at near 20mph. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized, and environmental conditions are gradually becoming more conducive for development the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The second area is a broad low pressure system located about 450 miles southwest of the Southern Cape Verde Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and scattered showers. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The third area is shower activity associated with a weak low pressure system located about 160 miles west-northwest of Bermuda has continued to become a little better organized. Some additional development is possible during the next day or so before this disturbance merges with a frontal system. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves northeastward at 15 to 20mph. The fourth is an area of disturbed weather has formed in association with a broad low pressure area about 700 miles northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. Slow development is possible during the next couple of days as the low moves west-southwestward at about 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are still monitoring the weak area of low pressure that is located about 500 miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this low is expected to be slow to occur as it moves slowly westward. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Friday and I'll have another post tomorrow unless something significant changes with any of the four areas in the Atlantic. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Atlantic and Eastern Pacific both getting active, heat won't give up

By: JohnnyParker, 6:17 PM GMT on August 11, 2011

The current temperature is 82, but it feels like 85. Highs will continue to range between 87 and 96 with lows between 66 and 71. Rain is in the forecast until Saturday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 50%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring two areas for possible development. The first is a broad area of low pressure centered about 750 miles west of the Southern Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is showing signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development over the next several days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves toward the West-Northwest at 15mph. The second is a well-defined low pressure system located about 275 miles south of the Southern Cape Verde Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 to 20mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. This second area has a better chance at becoming our first hurricane than the first area. In fact, one of the hurricane models has it becoming a category 3 major hurricane by Monday afternoon north of the Virgin Islands. We will just have to wait and see what happens. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, an area of low pressure has formed a few hundred miles south of El Salvador, Mexico. This low is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and any development is expected to be slow to occur. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly westward. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow unless something significant changes with our two areas in the Atlantic. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Atlantic showing signs of getting active, Eastern Pacific remains quiet

By: JohnnyParker, 1:56 PM GMT on August 10, 2011

The current temperature is 79, but it feels like 83. Todays high is 96 with a stray thunderstorm possible. Tonights low is 73 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Highs will continue to range between 87 and 96 with lows between 65 and 73. Rain is in the forecast through Saturday. Precipitation chances will range between 20% and 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are now monitoring a large area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave that extends from the Southern Cape Verde Islands westward several hundred miles into the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Shower and thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated near a broad area of low pressure located about 400 miles South-Southwest of the Southern Cape Verde Islands. A second area of showers and thunderstorms is located just south of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some gradual development of this system over the next couple of days, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 10 to 15mph. In the Eastern Pacific, it remains quiet with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Atlantic and Eastern Pacific remain quiet, hot weather continues

By: JohnnyParker, 1:54 PM GMT on August 09, 2011

The current temperature is 74 and it feels like 74. Highs will continue to range between 87 and 96 with lows between 66 and 72. Rain is in the forecast through Saturday. Precipitation chances will range between 40% to 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. In the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, same thing with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

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Heat continues to dominate the South, Atlantic and Eastern Pacific quiet

By: JohnnyParker, 2:45 PM GMT on August 08, 2011

The current temperature is 82, but it feels like 88. Heat advisory remains in effect until 11pm tonight. Excessive Heat warning has been discontinued. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 97 with lows between 67 and 74. Rain is in the forecast through Saturday. Precipitation chances will be between 30% to 40%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Emily has dissipated for good and no development is predicted over the next couple of days. However, the Atlantic could get active again later on this week. In the Eastern Pacific, same thing with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Intense heat continues for much of the South, Emily dissipates

By: JohnnyParker, 8:47 PM GMT on August 07, 2011

The current temperature is 92, but it feels like 107. Excessive Heat warning remains in effect until 11pm Monday. Heat indicies both today and Monday will range between 110 to 115. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 97 with lows between 69 and 74. Rain is in the forecast through next Saturday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 40%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Emily was a tropical depression with winds of 35mph, but it has now dissipated. The National Hurricane Center issued their final advisory on it and no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, same thing with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Sunday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Still extremely hot across much of the South and Emily could redevelop

By: JohnnyParker, 2:41 PM GMT on August 05, 2011

The current temperature is 78, but it feels like 81. Excessive Heat warning remains in effect until 10pm Sunday. Heat indicies will be between 106 to 117. Excessive Heat watch has been discontinued. Highs will range between 87 and 97 with lows between 70 and 75. Rain is in the forecast today through next Sunday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Emily has dissipated, but it could redevelop over time. A surface trough, the remnants of Tropical Storm Emily, is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from Eastern Cuba northeastward across the Southeastern Bahamas. This system remains disorganized, but upper-level winds are expected to become a little more favorable for development on Saturday. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 60% chance of regenerating into a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves toward the Northwest and Northward at 15mph. Areas that could be affected by this system would be Florida, the Bahamas, the Southeast and East coast of the U.S., and Bermuda. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. NOAA has increased the number of storms for the 2011 Hurricane Season. They are expecting 14-19 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes. The confidence for an above-normal season has increased from 65% in May to 85%. The key climate factors prediced in May continue to support an active season. These include: the tropical multi-decadal signal, which since 1995 has brought favorable ocean and atmospheric conditions, leading to more active seasons, exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean temperatures (the third warmest on record), and the possible redevelopment of La Nina. Reduced vertical wind shear and lower air pressure across the tropical Atlantic also favor for an active season. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring two areas. Hurricane Eugene is weakening. Winds are down to 75mph with a pressure of 987mbars. Latitude is 17.6 degrees North and longitude is 122.3 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 13mph. By 1pm today or earlier, Eugene will be a 60mph tropical storm. Eugene is no threat to any landmasses and will stay out to sea. A weak area of low pressure centered about 150 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are not conducive for development, and the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves West-Northwestward near 10mph. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Friday and I'll be back with another post on Sunday. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Tropical Storm Emily has dissipated

By: JohnnyParker, 11:54 PM GMT on August 04, 2011

Tropical Storm Emily has dissipated due to the very high mountains over Hispaniola. Main threats now are heavy rain, flash flooding, mudslides, and rip currents. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. I'll have another post tomorrow.

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Emily making landfall in Hispaniola and Eugene weakening

By: JohnnyParker, 6:58 PM GMT on August 04, 2011

The current temperature is 93, but it feels like 106. Excessive Heat watch remains in effect until 7pm Sunday and Excessive Heat warning remains in effect until 7am Saturday. Heat indicies both today and tomorrow will range between 110 to 120. Heat indicies in excess of 110 will again be possible on Saturday and Sunday. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 100 with lows between 69 and 77. Rain is in the forecast today through next Friday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Emily is now making landfall in Hispaniola. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1006mbars. Latitude is 17.8 degrees North and longitude is 72.8 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 10mph. By 7pm tonight, winds will increase again to 50mph. By 7am Monday, Emily will be a 75mph category 1 hurricane. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bahamas-the southeastern and central islands, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Turks and Caicos Islands. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Bahamas-the northwestern islands. Main threats will be winds up to tropical storm force, heavy rainfall between 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts up to 20 inches possible over the Dominican Republic and Haiti with 2 to 4 inches expected across Eastern Cuba, the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands, and storm surge will raise water levels by 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels over the south coast of Hispaniola and Eastern Cuba, and 2 to 4 feet within the Tropical Storm Warning area in the Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Flash flooding, rip currents, and mudslides will also be a threat. The next places that will be affected by Emily will be Florida, the Southeast and East Coast of the U.S., and Bermuda. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are watching two areas. One is Eugene, which was a 140mph category 4 hurricane. Eugene is now a category 3 hurricane. Winds are at 120mph and a pressure of 954mbars. Latitude is 16.8 degrees North and longitude is 118.9 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 14mph. Eugene is not a threat to land and will stay out to sea. By 7pm tonight or earlier, it will be a 105mph category 2 hurricane. A weak area of low pressure centered about 130 miles south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are not conducive for development, and the National Hurricane Center is giving the system a 10% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves West-Northwestward near 10mph. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

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Emily headed toward Hispaniola, Eugene becomes a major hurricane

By: JohnnyParker, 2:00 PM GMT on August 03, 2011

The current temperature is 82, but it feels like 89. Excessive Heat watch remains in effect until 7pm Friday. Excessive Heat warning remains in effect until 7am Friday. Heat indicies both today and Thursday will range between 110 to 120. Todays high is 103 with a low of 77. Highs will range between 91 and 103 with lows between 69 and 77. Rain is in the forecast Thursday through next Thursday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we continue to monitored to progress of Tropical Storm Emily. Winds are at 50mph with a pressure of 1003mbars. Latitude is 16.5 degrees North and longitude is 68.1 degrees West. Movement is West-Northwest at 14mph. There is still a slight chance that Emily could get into the Gulf of Mexico. There is also a possibility of Emily becoming our first hurricane of the season. By 1pm or earlier today, it will have winds of 60mph. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Puerto Rico, Culebra, Vieques, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the U.S. Virgin Islands. Main threats will high winds up to tropical storm force, heavy rainfall between 2 to 6 inches with isolated amounts up to 10 inches, flash flooding, mudslides, and storm surge will raise water levels by 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels in the Tropical Storm Warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Computer forecast models continue to take Emily through Hispaniola and on toward the Southeast coast of the U.S. The main places that could feel the effects from Emily are Cuba, Florida, the Southeast and East coast of the United States, and Bermuda. By 1am Monday morning, Emily is forecasted to be a 75mph category 1 hurricane. This depends on how well it survives the track over Hispaniola. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are watching two areas. The first is Hurricane Eugene, which is now a category 3 hurricane. Winds are at 115mph with a pressure of 961mbars. Latitude is 15.2 degrees North and longitude is 113.0 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 14mph. By 1pm today or earlier, it will have winds of 120mph. Eugene is expected stay out to sea and will not affect any landmasses. The second one is a low pressure system located approximately 225 miles southeast of Acapulco, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms just off the coast of Southern and Southwestern Mexico. Although a tropical depression could still form later today, upper-level winds appear to have become a little less conducive for development. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 60% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 5 to 10mph. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow unless a significant change occurs with Emily. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Emily in the Atlantic and Eugene in the Eastern Pacific

By: JohnnyParker, 2:07 PM GMT on August 02, 2011

The current temperature is 79, but it feels like 82. Todays high is 101 with a low of 72. Wednesdays high is 103 with a low of 76. Heat advisory remains in effect until 12pm today. Heat indicies will range between 101 to 106. Excessive Heat watch is in effect until 10pm Thursday. Heat indicies will range between 107 to 115 both Wednesday and Thursday. An Excessive Heat warning could be issued later today. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 103 with lows between 71 and 77. Rain is in the forecast on Thursday through next Thursday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring Tropical Storm Emily. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1007mbars. Latitude is 15.3 degrees North and longitude is 63.7 degrees West. Movement is to the West at 14mph. By 1pm today or earlier, winds will be at 45mph. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the French West Indies, Desirade, Guadeloupe, Les Saintes, Marie Galante, Puerto Rico, Culebra, Vieques, and Dominican Republic. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Haiti. The main threats will be high winds, heavy rainfall between 2 and 6 inches with local areas getting 10 inches, and storm surge with large and dangerous waves. The big question is: where is Emily going to go? Well, there are still lots of possibilities and the forecast computer models are still all over the place with where Emily is going to go. Right now, the National Hurricane Center has Emily going over Hispaniola and toward Florida and the Southeast coast. If Emily stays weak, like it is now, it may head farther to the west and end up in the Gulf of Mexico. If Emily strengthens a bit, it would stay on the same path. Will Emily become a hurricane? Well, that also depends on the track. If it stays on the track that it is now, then no, but if heads more to the west and ends up in the Gulf of Mexico, then probably yes. Elsewhere in the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring two areas. The first is Hurricane Eugene. Winds are now up to 90mph with a pressure of 978mbars. Latitude is 13.8 degrees North and longitude is 108.3 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 15mph. By 1pm today or earlier, it will become a 105mph category 2 hurricane. By 1am Wednesday morning or earlier, it will have winds of 110mph. Eugene will stay out to sea and is not expected to have any affects on any landmasses. The second area is a large area of showers and thunderstorms extending from the coast of Southern Mexico southward over the Pacific for several hundred miles is associated with a small area of low pressure near the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Upper-level winds are marginally conducive for some development of this system as it moves slowly westward around 5mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow unless something significant changes with Emily. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

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Tropical Storm Emily has formed in the Caribbean Sea

By: JohnnyParker, 12:50 AM GMT on August 02, 2011

Tropical Storm Emily has formed in the Eastern Caribbean Sea. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1006mbars. Latitude is 15.2 degrees North and longitude is 62.0 degrees West. Movement is to the West at 17mph. Tropical Storm Warnings have been posted for Dominica, Guadeloupe, Desirade, Les Saintes, Marie Galante, Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra and the Dominican Republic. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the U.S. Virgin Islands, St. Kitts, Nevis, Monsterrat, Antigua, and Haiti. Main threats will be heavy rain, flash flooding, landslides, mudslides, high wind, rough seas, and high waves. By 1pm Tuesday or earlier, it will have winds of 50mph. By 1pm Saturday, it will be a category 1 hurricane. The projected path for Emily takes it through Hispaniola, the Bahamas, and then Florida. I'll have another update tomorrow.

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Emily could form soon, Eugene in the Eastern Pacific, and heat continues

By: JohnnyParker, 3:02 PM GMT on August 01, 2011

The current temperature is 87, but it feels like 97. Heat Advisory remains in effect until 12pm Wednesday. Excessive Heat Watch has now been issued until 10pm Thursday. Heat indicies will range between 103 to 109 both today and Tuesday. Heat indicies will range between 108 to 114 both Wednesday and Thursday. Todays high is 99 with a low of 72. Tuesdays high is 100 with a low of 73. Highs will continue to range between 93 and 101 with lows between 72 and 76. Rain returns Thursday through Saturday. Precipitation chances will be at 40% each day. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we continue to monitor a vigorous tropical wave that is located about 250 miles east of Martinique continues to show signs of organization. However, an Air Force reserve reconnaissance aircraft investigating the system this morning determined that the disturbance still does not have a closed circulation center. The aircraft did find winds of near tropical storm force, and environmental conditions remain conducive for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to the form later today or tomorrow. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 90% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves West-Northwestward at around 15mph. Another Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Computer forecast models take this into the Caribbean Sea and toward Florida. There is still a slight possibility that it could get into the Gulf of Mexico. We will not know the exact path until it becomes a tropical depression or storm. I still believe that there is a decent chance of this becoming a hurricane. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Eugene continues to intensify. Winds are now up to 65mph with a pressure of 997mbars. Latitude is 12.3 degrees North and longitude is 103.9 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 10mph. By 7pm tonight or earlier, it will be a 75mph hurricane. Eugene is expected to stay out to sea and will not be a threat to any landmasses. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. I hope yall are having a good Monday and I'll have another post later today if Emily develops. If it does not develop today, then my next post will be tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 20. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.