JohnnyParker's Blog

Tropical Depression could form soon, Eugene in the Eastern Pacific

By: JohnnyParker, 3:35 AM GMT on August 01, 2011

The current temperature is 84, but it feels like 93. Tonights low is 73 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Mondays high is 98 and a low of 72 with a stray thunderstorm possible. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Heat advisory has been extended until 10pm Wednesday. Heat indicies will range between 103 to 109. Highs will continue to range between 93 and 101 with lows between 72 and 76. Rain returns Thursday through Saturday. Precipitation chances are at 40%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring an elongated area of low pressure extending from the Lesser Antilles eastward several hundred miles into the tropical Atlantic Ocean is producing a large but disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Conditions are expected to remain favorable for a tropical depression or storm to form. The National Hurricane Center is giving this a 90% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves West-Northwestward at around 15mph. If this system becomes a tropical cyclone tonight or Monday, Tropical Storm watches or warnings would be issued for portions of the Windward Islands and the Leeward Islands on very short notice, and interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of this system. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft flew in the system today, but did not find a closed circulation. Another Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system Monday morning. I suspect that Emily will form later tonight or sometime on Monday. I believe that it will have a good chance of becoming our first hurricane of the season. Forecast computer models take this system into the Caribbean Sea then turn it north toward the East Coast. There is a slight chance that this system gets into the Gulf of Mexico. We will not know the exact path of the system until it develops. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we now have Tropical Storm Eugene. Winds are at 45mph with a pressure of 1002mbars. Latitude is 11.3 degrees North and longitude is 102.3 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 10mph. Eugene is expected to stay out to sea and not affect Mexico. By 7pm Wednesday, it will be a 75mph category 1 hurricane. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall had a great Sunday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Don is gone and Emily is on the horizon

By: JohnnyParker, 9:03 PM GMT on July 30, 2011

The current temperature is 93, but it feels like 101. Heat advisory is in effect until 10pm Monday. Heat indicies will range between 103 to 109. Tonights low is 73 with a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Tomorrows high is 93 and a low of 73 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 93 and 98 with lows between 72 and 75. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring two areas for possible development. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a large area of low pressure system located about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear favorable for a tropical depression to form over the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is now giving this system a 80% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20mph. Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to fly into this system tomorrow. Computer forecast models are showing this headed toward Florida and then up the East Coast. Until this develops, we will not know the track that this will take. I believe that this could become a depression or storm by later this evening or Sunday. If it does develop, it will be named Emily. A tropical wave that is located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This system is likely to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of Central America and Mexico through the weekend as it moves westward near 15mph. However, no significant development is expected due to its interaction with land. The National Hurricane Center is giving this a near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are also monitoring two areas for possible development. Satellite pictures indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and has become better organized in association with the low pressure area about 500 miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Although upper-level winds are only marginally favorable, some additional development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 40% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10mph during the next 48 hours. Shower activity has diminished in association with a small low pressure system located about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Environmental conditions have become less favorable during the last several hours, and development is not expected. The National Hurricane Center is giving this a near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly westward or west-southward. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Saturday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Don continues to move toward Texas, hot weather continues for the South

By: JohnnyParker, 3:06 PM GMT on July 29, 2011

The current temperature is 78, but it feels like 81. Heat advisory has been discontinued. Todays high is 92 and a low of 71 with a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Rain is in the forecast through Monday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 40%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 97 with lows between 71 and 74. Heat advisories or Excessive heat warnings may be needed by Monday of next week. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring two areas of concern. The first is Tropical Storm Don. Winds are at 50mph with a pressure of 1002mbars. Latitude is 26.2 degrees North and longitude is 94.9 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 14mph. Tropical Storm Warnings are still in effect for parts of the Texas coastline. Main threats will be heavy rain, flash flooding, minor coastal flooding, storm surge, rip currents, tropical storm force winds, rough seas, high waves, and isolated tornadoes. By 7pm tonight, Don will have winds of 60mph. I believe that this could be a long shot since Don has not been that impressive since it developed. Don is not predicted to become a hurricane. The second area is a large tropical wave that is accompanied by a well-defined area of low pressure system is located about 1200 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. This disturbance continues to show signs of organization, and environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development over the next few days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, the area of cloudiness and showers have diminished with a westward moving area of disturbed weather that is located several hundred miles to the south of Guatemala. Upper-level winds are not conducive for development and the National Hurricane Center is giving this near 0% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Friday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Permalink

Don in the Gulf of Mexico and the Eastern Pacific remains inactive

By: JohnnyParker, 2:04 PM GMT on July 28, 2011

The current temperature is 78, but it feels like 81. Heat advisory remains in effect until 7pm tonight. Heat indicies today will range between 103 to 108. Todays high is 95 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Tonights low is 72 with a stray thunderstorm possible. Fridays high is 94 and a low of 71 with a 60% chance of pm thunderstorms. Rain is in the forecast through Monday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 93 and 98 with lows between 71 and 73. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we continue to monitor Tropical Storm Don. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1000mbars. Latitude is 24.0 degrees North and longitude is 89.8 degrees West. Movement is to the North-Northwest at 10mph. A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for parts of the Texas coastline. By 1pm Friday, Don will have winds of 60mph. As of now, Don is still not predicted to become a hurricane, but that will remain a possibility. Potential impacts from Don will be beneficial rain but also some localized inland flooding. There is a chance for tropical storm conditions in the coastal areas, and a slight chance for hurricane conditions. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are now monitoring an area of disturbed weather that is located several hundred miles south of Guatemala. Cloudiness and showers that are associated with the area have changed little in organization. Strong upper-level winds across this region are forecast to decrease during the next day or so, and some slow development of this system is possible. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly westward. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Permalink

Tropical Storm Don has formed

By: JohnnyParker, 9:16 PM GMT on July 27, 2011

Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1001mbars. Latitude is 22.2 degrees North and longitude is 87.0 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 12mph. By 1pm Friday, winds will be at 65mph. As of right now, Don is not predicted to become a hurricane. It is predicted to make landfall in Texas sometime on Friday. I'll have another post tomorrow.

Permalink

Don likely to form in the Western Caribbean today and Eastern Pacific quiet

By: JohnnyParker, 2:03 PM GMT on July 27, 2011

The current temperature is 81, but it feels like 87. A heat advisory is now in effect until 11pm Thursday. Heat indicies will range between 105 to 109. Todays high is 98 with a low of 72. Thursdays high is 93 with a low of 72. Rain returns Friday through next Monday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 40%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 98 with lows ranging between 72 and 74. Excessive heat warnings or heat advisories are possible Monday and Tuesday of next week. Now, for your tropical update. In the Western Caribbean Sea, we continue to monitor a tropical wave near the Yucatan Channel that is showing signs of organization. Thunderstorm activity associated with the tropical wave continues to become better organized and radar data from Mexico suggests a circulation could be forming about 50 miles northeast of Cancun. If current trends continue, a tropical depression could form later today. Interests in the Northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, as well as the central and western Gulf of Mexico, should monitor the progress of this system as it moves West-Northwestward near 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 80% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today. All forecast models that I have seen have a potential landfall from Northern Mexico to Louisiana. We will not know the exact path of this system until it becomes a tropical depression. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, all is quiet and no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Wednesday and I'll have another post later today if the system develops. If it does not develop today, then my next post will be tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Updated: 3:52 PM GMT on July 27, 2011

Permalink

Temperatures continue to be hot, Atlantic seeing some activity, Pacific quiet

By: JohnnyParker, 7:26 PM GMT on July 26, 2011

The current temperature is 90, but it feels like 100. Heat indicies will range between 100 to 105 both today and tomorrow. Tonights low is 70. Wednesdays high is 98 with a low of 72. Rain is in the forecast from Thursday until next Monday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 40%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 98 with lows ranging between 70 and 73. Heat advisories and Excessive heat warnings may be needed at times late this week and early next week. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring showers and thunderstorms that are associated with a tropical wave that is located over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. These showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized a couple hundred miles south of Western Cuba. However, this system does not have a closed circulation at this time. Additional slow development is possible during the next couple of days as it moves toward the West-Northwest at near 15mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 30% chance of developing. Forecast models take the system into the Gulf of Mexico. If this does develop, it could make landfall anywhere between Mexico and Louisiana. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Hot weather continues, both the Atlantic and the Eastern Pacific are quiet

By: JohnnyParker, 4:12 PM GMT on July 25, 2011

The current temperature is 80, but it feels like 84. Todays high is 94 and a low of 72 with a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Heat indicies will be near 105 today. Highs will continue to range between 87 and 96 with lows between 70 and 73. Rain is in the forecast until next Monday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 50%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, a tropical wave in the Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Cuba and adjacent waters. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next couple of days as it moves generally westward near 20mph and interacts with land. The National Hurricane Center is only giving near 0% chance of developing. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Dora has finally dissipated and no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Monday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Very hot temperatures continue, Dora weakening, and nothing in the Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 2:41 PM GMT on July 24, 2011

The current temperature is 79, but it feels like 82. Todays high is 91 with a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Tonights low is 73 with a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms. A heat advisory remains in effect until 8pm tonight. Heat indicies will range between 105 to 109. Highs will continue to range between 88 and 95 with lows between 70 and 73. Rain is in the forecast until next Monday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring a tropical wave that is over the Central Caribbean Sea. Showers and thunderstorms that were associated with the wave have diminished this morning. Significant development of this system is not expected has it moves westward near 20mph and interacts with landmasses. The National Hurricane Center is only giving this system a 10% chance of developing. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Dora is still a weak tropical storm. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1004mbars. Latitude is 23.0 degrees North and longitude is 113.7 degrees West. Movement is to the Northwest at 9mph. By 1pm today or earlier, Dora will be a 30mph tropical depression. I expect that Dora will dissipate later today or tonight. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Sunday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Bret and Cindy are gone, Dora is weakening, and heat continues

By: JohnnyParker, 6:18 PM GMT on July 23, 2011

The current temperature is 84, but it feels like 92. Todays high is 89 with a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Tonights low is 73 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Heat Advisory has again been extended until 8pm Sunday. Heat indicies will range between 105 to 109. Highs will continue to range between 87 and 93 with lows ranging between 71 and 73. Rain is in the forecast from today through Tuesday and then again Thursday through next Monday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are only monitoring one area for possible development. It is a tropical wave that is now over the far eastern Caribbean Sea. This wave is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico. Development is unlikely due to upper-level winds and interaction with land. The National Hurricane Center is only giving this area a 10% chance of developing as it moves off to the West-Northwest at 15 to 20mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Dora is now a weak tropical storm. Winds are at 45mph with a pressure of 1001mbars. Latitude is 21.3 degrees North and longitude is 111.9 degrees West. Movement is to the Northwest at 9mph. The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the Baja California Peninsula. By 7pm tonight or earlier, Dora will become a 35mph tropical depression. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Saturday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Bret becomes a tropical depression, Cindy weakening, and Dora weakens

By: JohnnyParker, 2:17 PM GMT on July 22, 2011

The current temperature is 76 and it feels like 76. Todays high is 94 and a low of 73 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Heat advisory has been extended until 5am Sunday. Heat indicies will range betweeen 105 to 109. Highs will continue to range between 86 and 97 with lows between 70 and 73. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 50% chances through Wednesday. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are monitoring three areas. The first is Tropical Depression Bret. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1008mbars. Latitude is 36.7 degrees North and longitude is 66.5 degrees West. Movement is to the Northeast at 21mph. By 1am Saturday or earlier, winds will be down to 30mph. The final advisory on Bret could be issued by either late tonight or early Saturday morning. The second is Tropical Storm Cindy. Winds are at 50mph with a pressure of 1000mbars. Latitude is 44.5 degrees North and longitude is 39.9 degrees West. Movement is to the Northeast at 29mph. By 1am Saturday or earlier, Cindy will become a 35mph tropical depression. Both bret and cindy will not be impacting any landmasses. The third area is a tropical wave that is located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands. The wave is producing scattered shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become more conducive for some slow development of this disturbance over the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is now giving this area a 20% chance of developing as it moves toward the West-Northwest at 15 to 20mph. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Dora has weakened to a 90mph category 1 hurricane. Pressure is 977mbars. Latitude is 19.2 degrees North and longitude is 109.2 degrees West. Movement is to the Northwest at 9mph. A Tropical Storm Warning is still in place for parts of the Baja California Peninsula. Main threats will be heavy rain, flash flooding, mudslides, rough seas, high waves, high wind, and rip currents. By 1am Monday, Dora will be a 35mph tropical depression. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Friday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Permalink

Tropical Storm's Bret and Cindy in the Atlantic, Dora becomes a category 4

By: JohnnyParker, 4:16 PM GMT on July 21, 2011

The current temperature is 78 and it feels like 78. Todays high is 93 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Tonights low is 73 with a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms. A heat advisory remains in effect until 10pm Saturday. Heat indicies will range between 105 to 109. Rain is in the forecast until next Friday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 96 with lows between 72 and 73. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Bret continues to weaken and the last advisory may be issued later today or Friday. Winds are at 40mph with a pressure of 1007mbars. Latitude is 33.8 degrees North and longitude is 70.6 degrees West. Movement is to the Northeast at 9mph. By 7pm tonight, it will become a 35mph tropical depression. Tropical Storm Cindy formed yesterday and winds are now at 60mph. Pressure is at 1002mbars. Latitude is 40.3 degrees North and longitude is 47.3 degrees West. Movement is to the Northeast at 29mph. Both bret and cindy will have no effects on any landmasses. By 7am Saturday morning or earlier, cindy will be a 30mph tropical depression over the North Atlantic. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Dora continues to intensify. Winds are now at 155mph with a pressure of 929mbars. Latitude is 17.1 degrees North and longitude is 106.9 degrees West. Movement is to the Northwest at 12mph. The Tropical Storm Watch for the Mexican Coastline has been lifted. The main threats will still be rough seas and high surf along both the Mexican Coastline and the Baja California Peninsula. It is possible that Dora could become category 5 hurricane before it moves over cooler water. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Permalink

Bret continues to weaken, Dora now a hurricane, and still very hot

By: JohnnyParker, 3:49 PM GMT on July 20, 2011

The current temperature is 85, but it feels like 93. Todays high is 95 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Tonights low is 73 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. A heat advisory is still in effect until 10pm Saturday. Heat indicies will range between 105 to 109. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 95 with lows ranging between 71 and 74. Rain is in the forecast until next Friday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% to 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Bret is still a 50mph tropical storm. Its pressure is at 1001mbars. Latitude is 31.8 degrees North and longitude is 73.7 degrees West. Movement is to the Northeast at 9mph. By 7am Friday morning or earlier, it will be a 35mph tropical depression. Also in the Atlantic, we are now monitoring an area of low pressure that is located about 440 miles east of Bermuda. Shower and thunderstorm activity with this area of low pressure has become better organized. The National Hurricane Center is giving the low pressure area a 60% chance of becoming either a subtropical or a tropical storm. Additional development is possible over the next day or so before it moves over cooler waters. If it does become a named storm, it will be named Cindy and it will be no threat to land. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we now have Hurricane Dora. Winds are at 90mph and the pressure is at 981mbars. Latitude is 14.9 degrees North and longitude is 103.0 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 18mph. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for a portion of the Mexican Coastline. Main threats will be heavy rain, rip currents, rough seas, high waves, high wind, and mudslides. By 7am Thursday morning, Dora will be a major hurricane. Dora will affect parts of the Baja California Peninsula. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for both the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Bret in the Atlantic, Dora in the Eastern Pacific, and more hot weather

By: JohnnyParker, 1:40 PM GMT on July 19, 2011

The current temperature is 78, but it feels like 81. Todays high is 96 with a low of 73. A heat advisory is now in effect until 10pm Saturday. Heat indicies will range between 105 to 109. Highs will range between 90 and 96 with lows between 70 and 74. Rain is in the forecast from Wednesday to next Wednesday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 60%. Heat advisories or Excessive heat warnings may be needed beyond Saturday as oppressive heat continues. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Bret is weakening. Winds are down to 50mph and the pressure is 1000mbars. Latitude is 29.3 degrees North and longitude is 76.4 degrees West. Movement is to the North-Northeast at 7mph. It has moved away from the Bahamas and it is not going to have any effects on Bermuda. The main threats now will be high surf and waves. By 1am Friday morning, winds will be down to 35mph. This could come sooner than expected due to cooler waters. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Dora continues to intensify. Winds are now up to 65mph and its pressure is 996mbars. Latitude is 11.4 degrees North and longitude is 95.9 degrees West. Movement is to the West at 16mph. It is predicted to become a hurricane by 1pm today. By 1am Thursday, it will become a major hurricane. The main threats for Mexico will be heavy rain, high winds, and rough waves. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Still hot across much of the South, Tropical Storm Bret gaining strength

By: JohnnyParker, 3:07 PM GMT on July 18, 2011

The current temperature is 83, but it feels like 87. Todays high is 94 with a low of 70. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 96 with lows between 70 and 74. Rain is in the forecast from Wednesday to next Tuesday. Precipiation chances will range between 30% and 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. A heat advisory may be needed across parts of the region tomorrow. Heat advisories and excessive heat warnings are likely across the MidSouth from Wednesday and into the weekend. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Bret is gaining strength. Its winds are now up to 50mph and the pressure is down to 1000mbars. Latitude is 27.7 degrees North and longitude is 77.3 degrees West. Movement is to the North-Northeast at 5mph. By 7pm tonight, it will have winds of 60. Bret is not predicted to become a hurricane. Tropical Storm Warnings are now in effect for the Bahamas. The main threats are heavy rainfall between 2 to 4 inches, high winds, and rough seas. In the Eastern Pacific, we now have Tropical Depression #4-E. Winds are at 35mph and its pressure is 1006mbars. Latitude is 10.6 degrees North and longitude is 91.5 degrees West. Movement is to the West at 12mph. It is predicted to become Tropical Storm Dora by 7pm tonight. By 7pm Tuesday night, it will be a hurricane. By 7am Thursday morning, it will be a major hurricane. The main threats for Mexico will be heavy rain, high wind, and rough seas. Hope yall are having a great Monday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Hot temperatures return to the South this week, Tropical Storm Bret forms

By: JohnnyParker, 4:27 AM GMT on July 18, 2011

The current temperature is 76 and it feels like 76. Tonights low is 70. Your highs will continue to range between 90 and 95 with lows between 70 and 74. Rain will be in the forecast from Wednesday through next Tuesday. Precipitation chances will range between 30 and 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. A heat advisory or excessive heat warnings could become necessary Tuesday through Saturday as intense heat builds across the South once again. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we now have Tropical Storm Bret. Winds are at 40mph and its pressure is 1009mbars. Latitude is 27.5 degrees north and longitude is 78.0 degrees west. Movement is to the Southeast at 2mph. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the Bahamas. Byn 7pm Monday, its winds will be up to 60mph. Bret is not expected to become a hurricane. The main threats will be heavy rain and rough seas. Secondary threat will be wind. Elsewhere in the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring an area of low pressure that is located about 225 miles south of El Salvador, Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is giving this area a 50% chance of developing. Elsewhere across the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall had a great Sunday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Permalink

Extreme heat and storms continue across the South, Atlantic is quiet

By: JohnnyParker, 4:54 PM GMT on July 12, 2011

The current temperature is 93, but it feels like 105. An Excessive Heat Warning has again been extended till 7pm Wednesday. Heat indicies will be ranging from 110 to 116. Todays high is 96 and a low of 76 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Your highs will continue to range between 90 and 96 with lows between 70 and 76. Precipitation chances will range from 30% to 60% this week and into next week. Again, a few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, there are two areas of disturbed weather. One is a tropical wave that is approaching the Windward Islands. The second is another tropical wave that is moving across the Yucatan Peninsula and Central America. Neither of these waves are predicted to developed into anything and the National Hurricane Center is only giving a 0% chance of development. In the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and my next post will be Sunday. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan. Drink plenty of water and stay inside as much as possible due to the extreme heat.

Permalink

Heat continues to build and isolated storms everyday

By: JohnnyParker, 3:30 PM GMT on July 11, 2011

The heat continues to dominate the South. The current temperature is 89, but it already feels like 100. An Excessive Heat Warning as been extended until 10pm Tuesday. Heat indicies will range between 110 to 114. Todays high is 98 and the low is 76 with a stray thunderstorm possible. Highs will range between 90 and 99 with lows between 71 and 76. Precipitation chances will range from 20% to 60% each day. A few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, there is nothing predicted to develop over the next couple of days. Although, there is an area of disturbed weather located about 600 miles east of the Southern Windward Islands. The National Hurricane Center is only giving this area a 10% chance of developing and no significant development of this is expected. In the Eastern Pacific, same thing with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Monday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan. Drink plenty of water and stay indoors as much as possible due to the extreme heat across the South and Texas.

Permalink

Hot across most of the South and some rain chances everyday

By: JohnnyParker, 6:29 PM GMT on July 10, 2011

The current temperature is 96, but it feels like 108. An Excessive Heat Warning is now in effect until 10pm Monday. Heat indicies are expected to be near or above 110. Todays high is 95 and a low of 74 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will range between 91 and 98 with lows between 71 and 76. Rain chances will range between 10% to 60% this week into next week. Again, a few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, same thing with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Sunday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan. Drink plenty of water and just stay indoors as much as possible due to the extreme heat.

Updated: 6:29 PM GMT on July 10, 2011

Permalink

Hot temperatures return to the South, Calvin weakens, nothing in the Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 4:48 PM GMT on July 09, 2011

The current temperature is 89, but it feels like 99. Tonights low is 72 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Today, a stray thunderstorm could be possible. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. A Heat Advisory is in effect until 10am Sunday. A Excessive Heat Watch is in effect through Monday evening. Both the heat advisory and the excessive heat watch maybe extended into next week. Heat indicies will range from 105 to 109 today. Sunday into Monday, heat indicies will range from 107 to 113. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 97 with lows ranging between 71 and 76. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, nothing is predicted to form over the next several days. In the Eastern Pacific, Calvin has weaken to a tropical storm. Winds have decrease to 60mph and the pressure is at 994mbars. Latitude is 17.1 degrees North and longitude is 111.3 degrees West. Movement is to the West-Northwest at 12mph. By 7pm Sunday, it will be a 30mph remnant low. This could be come sooner than expected since it will be moving over colder waters. Hope yall are having a great Saturday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Permalink

Warm and humid weather continues, Atlantic quiet, Calvin in the Pacific

By: JohnnyParker, 3:08 PM GMT on July 08, 2011

The current temperature is 81, but it feels like 86. Todays high is 92 with a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Tonights low is 72 with a 40% chance of thunderstorms early. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats are heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 92 and 98 with lows between 72 and 75. Next Tuesday through Saturday, rain and storms return. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 60%. Again, a few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Heat advisories and warnings are likely to be issued on Sunday as heat indicies will exceed 105 to near 110. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, the area of disturbed weather near Florida is not going to develop and the National Hurricane Center is still giving it a 10% chance of developing. Other than that, no development is predicted across the Atlantic over the next several days. In the Eastern Pacific, we now have Tropical Storm Calvin. Winds are up to 70mph and the pressure is at 997mbars. Latitude is 16.2 degrees North and longitude is 107.6 degrees West. Movement is to the West at 17mph. It is predicted to become an 80mph category 1 hurricane by 7pm tonight. This storm will not have any impacts along the Mexican Coastline. Hope yall are having a great Friday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Watching both the Atlantic and Pacific for development, Heat continues

By: JohnnyParker, 1:49 PM GMT on July 07, 2011

The current temperature is 81, but it feels like 86. Todays high is 91 with a 60% chance of pm thunderstorms. Tonights low is 72 with a 40% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Fridays high is 86 and a low of 71 with a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 86 and 96 with lows between 71 and 73. A heat advisory may become necessary Sunday through Tuesday as heat indicies will likely exceed 105 and may approach 110 degrees. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, we are watching two areas for possible development. The first one is an area of cloudiness and showers that extends from the Yucatan Peninsula, Southeastern Gulf of Mexico, Southern Florida, and the Northwestern Bahamas. No significant development is expected and the National Hurricane Center is only giving this area a 10% chance of developing. The second one is an area of disturbed weather that is associated with a tropical wave. It is centered about 600 miles East-Southeast of the Southern Windward Islands. While no significant development is expected over the next day or two, some computer models take it into the Western Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week where development could take place. In the Eastern Pacific, there is an area of low pressure that is located about 385 miles southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico that could become a tropical depression at anytime. The National Hurricane Center is now giving this area a near 100% chance of developing. Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and for Japan.

Permalink

Atlantic is quiet, hot weather and storms continue for the South

By: JohnnyParker, 12:50 PM GMT on July 06, 2011

The current temperature is 73 and it feels like 73. Todays high is 92 with a 40% chance of pm thunderstorms. Tonights low is 69 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Thursdays high is 93 and a low of 71 with a 60% chance of pm thunderstorms. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 87 and 96 with lows between 69 and 73. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, there is an area of low pressure that is showing signs of organization. The National Hurricane Center is giving this area a 50% chance of developing over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for Japan and the tornado victims.

Permalink

Rain and storms over the next several days, no development in the Atlantic

By: JohnnyParker, 2:47 PM GMT on July 05, 2011

The current temperature is 75 and it feels like 75. Todays high is 90 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms. Tonights low is 70 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Highs will continue to range between 90 and 95 with lows between 69 and 73. Precipitation chances will be between 30% and 60% for the rest of this week and into next week. Again, a few storms could be strong to severe each day with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, same thing with no development over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a great Tuesday and I'll have another post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Rain this week, still hot across most of the South, and Atlantic remains quiet

By: JohnnyParker, 4:21 PM GMT on July 04, 2011

First off, I would like to wish everyone a happy 4th of July. The current temperature is 86, but it feels like 93. Todays high is 94 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Tonights low is 71 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Your highs will continue to range between 89 and 96 with lows between 69 and 74. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 60% this week into next week. Again, a few storms could be strong to severe everyday with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding due to the slow movement of storms. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, we are monitoring an area of low pressure that is located 300 miles south of the coast of Guatemala. Shower and thunderstorm activity with the low pressure area is limited at this time, but environmental conditions appear favorable for development over the next couple of days. The National Hurricane Center is giving this area a 10% chance of developing. Hope everyone is having a great Monday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Rain this week and the Atlantic could get active at the end of the week

By: JohnnyParker, 5:25 PM GMT on July 03, 2011

The current temperature is 89, but it feels like 94. Todays high is 97 with a low of 71. Highs will continue to range between 91 and 97 with lows between 69 and 74. There is a 50% chance of pm thunderstorms tomorrow and a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Rain returns Thursday through next Tuesday. Precipitation chances will range between 30% and 60%. Again, a few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Although, it could get active as we go into next weekend. In the Eastern Pacific, no development is predicted over the next couple of days. Hope everyone is having a good Sunday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Rain this week and the Atlantic remains quiet for now

By: JohnnyParker, 6:18 PM GMT on July 02, 2011

The current temperature is 91, but it feels like 97. Todays high is 97 with a low of 69. Going into next week, your highs will continue to range between 90 and 98 with lows ranging between 69 and 73. Rain returns Monday and Tuesday. Precipitation for both days will be between 30% and 40% chances. After that, rain returns again Thursday through Monday with precipitation chances between 30% and 60%. A few storms could be strong to severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, nothing is predicted to develop over the next couple of days. Although, we could see the Atlantic getting active again this week. In the Eastern Pacific, same thing with nothing predicted to develop over the next couple of days. Hope everyone is having a great Saturday and I'll have a new post tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

Rain next week and the Atlantic is quiet once again

By: JohnnyParker, 2:18 PM GMT on July 01, 2011

The current temperature is 77 and it feels like 77. Todays high is 95 with a low of 68. Your highs will continue to range between 91 and 98 with lows between 68 and 72. Heat indicies could still range between 100 and 105 going into this weekend. Rain is in the forecast for next Monday and Tuesday. Chance of precipitation is 40% for both days. A few storms could be severe with the main threats being large hail and damaging winds. Secondary threats will be heavy rain and flash flooding. Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Arlene is now just a remnant low over Mexico. Heavy rain, flash flooding, and mudslides are still the main threats. Computer models are not predicted any more development over the next couple of days. In the Eastern Pacific, same thing with no development predicted over the next couple of days. Hope yall are having a good Friday and I'll have a new update tomorrow. Continue to pray for the tornado victims and Japan.

Permalink

About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 20. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.