Midwest flood price tag $8 billion; Extreme Weather magazine review

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:54 PM GMT on June 27, 2008

Share this Blog
2
+

The American Farm Bureau, a lobbying group that represents American farmers, estimated yesterday that crop damage from the Midwest's Flood of 2008 has amounted to $7 billion. More than half of this total--$4 billion--was in Iowa. Other states taking a hit from excessive wetness and flooding were: Illinois, $1.3 billion; Missouri, $900 million; Indiana, $500 million; Nebraska $500 million; and an additional $1 billion in remaining wet states. When added to the at least $1 billion in property damage the floods wrought (including $762 million in Cedar Rapids, Iowa), the $8 billion price tag of the Midwest Flood of 2008 ranks as the second most expensive U.S. non-hurricane flooding disaster on record. America's worst flood, the Midwest Flood of 1993, caused $26.7 billion in damage (adjusted to 2007 dollars).

The damage will continue to rise in coming days, as major flooding continues along the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers. A levee broke along the Mississippi just north of St. Louis this morning, sending flood waters towards the small town of Winfield. Heavy rains in excess of five inches have hit much of northern Missouri this week (Figure 1), and NOAA's Hydrometeorological Prediction Center is forecasting a high probability of heavy rain in the region today through Saturday morning. The culprit is a slow-moving low pressure system over Minnesota, which will drag a cold front through Missouri tonight. An additional 2-4 inches of rain will fall in some areas along the front. The additional rain should keep the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers in Missouri above flood stage for an extra day or two. Currently, these rivers are expected to reach their highest crests sometime between Monday June 30 and Wednesday July 2. The forecast looks somewhat drier for the Midwest next week, thankfully. The jet stream has regularly been taking a major dip southward into the Central U.S. the past two months, putting the favored track for rainy low pressure systems over the Midwest. The jet often gets "stuck" in a high-amplitude trough-ridge pattern which causes drought in one part of the country (California in this case) and floods in another. This "stuckness" often lasts for 3 months. The current 2-week forecast from the GFS and ECMWF models predicts a continuation of the "stuck" jet stream pattern, but decreasing in amplitude and sliding more to the east. This should result in the favored storm track moving more towards the East Coast, relieving flooding in the Midwest.


Figure 1. Precipitation for the 7 days ending on Friday, June 27, at 8am EDT. Image credit:NOAA.

Review of the new magazine, Extreme Weather
A beautiful new weather magazine called Extreme Weather has hit the bookstores this month. Published by Astronomy magazine, the new magazine features some truly spectacular weather photos, including a 12-page "Weathergallery" with awesome shots of tornadoes, lightning, floods, supercells, hail, hurricane winds, and waterspouts. The first article of the magazine features the equally fantastic photos of storm chaser Warren Faidley, who also happens to be the best writer among professional storm chasers, in my opinion. Additional articles in Extreme Weather include a balanced and interesting look at the hurricanes/global warming connection, plus some quality articles on dust storms, super cell thunderstorms, lightning, and the Great Galveston Hurricane of 1900.

Extreme Weather is not yet a regular publication; the editors are gauging interest to see if they wish to make it so. I whole-heartedly encourage them to do so--this magazine rocks! You can order a copy at their website, it's $7.95.

Tropics
It's quiet in the tropical Atlantic. There are no threat areas to discuss, and none of the models are forecasting tropical storm formation in the next seven days.

Jeff Masters

500 Year Flood 2008 (UlaratheBard)
Iowa Flooding - Palo Iowa - The entire town of Palo Iowa was evacuated and was told to abandon due to flooding during the recent flooding of the the Cedar River and local water ways. During it's abandonment it was under military control. A week later the towns folk were allowed to re-enter their town to assess damage and begin clean-up. The town was devasted as you can see. Due to the fact the entire town was under water, their have been no coordinated efforts for donations, volunteer work, etc... plus, they've just been allowed back into their town and only during daytime hours. I'm sure they could use all the help they could get.
500 Year Flood 2008
()

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 812 - 762

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42Blog Index

812. TampaSpin
1:08 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
807. SpaceThrilla1207 1:06 PM EDT on June 28, 2008

SpaceThrilla your forgetting to sign your name after your post entry.....lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
811. extreme236
5:07 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Don't listen to anything eye says...he is just a 45 year old man still living in his mom's basement.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
810. pearlandaggie
5:07 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
809. Patrap
12:04 PM CDT on June 28, 2008
GOES IR Loop of Gulf of Mexico Link

GOES WV Loop of Tropical Basin Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125711
808. pearlandaggie
5:05 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
807. SpaceThrilla1207
5:05 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Weather...why would you want to discuss GW anyway? I agree this should be a tropically exclusive blog.
806. stormdude77
1:04 PM AST on June 28, 2008
W456...you're so right, we here should use our ''personal blogs'' more often
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
805. Stormchaser2007
5:04 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Get the Troll Spray and get them trolls!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
804. 0741
5:02 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
jp you saw my question?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
803. TampaSpin
1:04 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
801. Weather456 1:02 PM EDT on June 28, 2008

LMAO 456 your one of my favorites.....thank you.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
802. Patrap
12:03 PM CDT on June 28, 2008
No one can bann anyone from here,cept admin or the Blog Owner Dr. Masters

Use the ignore feature and dont fan the fools,,, that is a good way to stay out the Drama Club
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125711
801. Weather456
1:00 PM AST on June 28, 2008
796. eye 12:59 PM AST on June 28, 2008
Drak, you are only 13, your parents still pay your bills...


I'm slowly but surely losing interest in this blog.

Lets Recap

Ppl Baning ppl who they dont agree with
blog police (you cant disucss GW here)
trolls
and a severe case of Alpa-Male dominance

Yep, its Jeff Wunderful blog.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
800. extreme236
5:02 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
I don't see Eye on here...oh wait, he's on my ignore list! :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
799. SpaceThrilla1207
5:00 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Ugh oh...EYE is here...must mean we need to go into Severe Troll Alert mode...
798. hurricane23
12:59 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
778. HurakanPR 12:45 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
Hurricane23- The information you provide about the TUTT effect on tropical systems can either inhibit or assist their development

A "TUTT" is a Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough. A TUTT low is a TUTT that has completely cut-off. TUTT lows are more commonly known in the Western Hemisphere as an "upper cold low". TUTTs are different than mid-latitude troughs in that they are maintained by subsidence warming near the tropopause which balances radiational cooling. TUTTs are important for tropical cyclone forecasting as they can force large amounts of harmful vertical wind shear over tropical disturbances and tropical cyclones. There are also suggestions that TUTTs can assist tropical cyclone genesis and intensification by providing additional forced ascent near the storm center and/or by allowing for an efficient outflow channel in the upper troposphere.

Chris landsea has a great FAQ for all your tropical cyclone questions.I created a storm glossary which might also be able to help you out if you have futher questiuons in the future.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
797. Patrap
11:59 AM CDT on June 28, 2008
T-storm here with a Transformer going Boom at the 1:23 Mark.


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125711
796. eye
4:55 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Drak, you are only 13, your parents still pay your bills...
Member Since: August 21, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 147
794. Drakoen
4:57 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
785. jphurricane2006 4:53 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Drak it has been proven that those who care more about what others are doing in their life, dont have much going on in their own lol

he is a troll and is just trying to get a reaction out of you, dont buy into it


I know what he is doing and i'm going to say my peace and ignore the rest of what he has to say.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
793. TampaSpin
12:56 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
Hey wait one darn minute....i own guitar hero too..don't put that in there......lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
792. Stormchaser2007
4:56 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
766. hurricaneseason2006 4:40 PM GMT on June 28, 2008

Just dont wanna get him confused with me.....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
791. 0741
4:54 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
751. 0741 4:34 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
741. jphurricane2006 4:32 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
0741:

the stucture of the wave looks pretty impressive, the SAL will be the limiting factor, im not sure we get anything out of this, but it is worth tracking

i think if nhc donot talk about it is because their not thing worry about no outlook have talk about area
Action: Modify Comment
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
790. SpaceThrilla1207
4:54 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Yeah, you are wrong Hurricanechaser2006. Drak DOES have a life. As long as a human has a pulse, he technically has a life...It's just like the idiots who say I don't have a life just because I own at guitar hero.
789. stormdude77
12:49 PM AST on June 28, 2008
779. SpaceThrilla1207 12:46 PM AST on June 28, 2008

SpaceThrilla1207, do/did you work with stormkat in his office? You had CAT 5 Dean slamming into NOLA last year...stormkat puts NOLA on high alert every year
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
788. Stormchaser2007
4:54 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
786.ROFL!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
787. pearlandaggie
4:53 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
LOL, Taz!
Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
786. TampaSpin
12:52 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
781. Drakoen 12:50 PM EDT on June 28, 2008

Drak you left out the porn...LMAO...just kidding....lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
784. Stormchaser2007
4:52 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
781.Ehem...its hurricaneseason
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
783. SpaceThrilla1207
4:51 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Umm, because a user with multiple accounts may have been perma'd 39 times in two years...
782. Tazmanian
9:51 AM PDT on June 28, 2008
i think Tropicaldiscussion is back under a new name called Hurricanechaser2006
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114072
781. Drakoen
4:48 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Hurricanechaser2006, you're a comedian. I find it interesting that you care so much about me and what I am doing. You don't pay my bills, you don't put the dough on the table, you don't run my life, you're not my boss, and you have no influence over me. Why should I care about what someone like you has to say? Worry about yourself and not what I am doing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
780. TampaSpin
12:48 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
779. SpaceThrilla1207 12:46 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
Actually...my first account was in 2006.


I have had 1 account and only 1 account......hum why would people have more than 1 account...lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
779. SpaceThrilla1207
4:40 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Actually...my first account was in 2006.


Some of my stashed photos from last year:














778. HurakanPR
12:32 PM AST on June 28, 2008
Hurricane23- The information you provide about the TUTT effect on tropical systems; is it says that it can either inhibit or assist their development?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
777. Tazmanian
9:44 AM PDT on June 28, 2008
i smell trolls
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114072
776. pearlandaggie
4:42 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
as you can see in these shots, the CAtl wave may be having problems with the SAL...



Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
775. Levi32
8:39 AM AKDT on June 28, 2008
On the CATL visible loop you can see a low-level cloud deck to the northwest of the CATL wave. This is typically indicative of a stable/dry air mass, and is never good news for a developing tropical cyclone when it is nearby. For now the threat for development from this wave is low at best, but we will need to keep an eye on this and any other waves moving into the western Caribbean during the next couple weeks. Upper-air conditions will be gradually improving especially over the western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, and with the MJO pulse moving through, these areas should be watched for a build-up of heat. It should also be noted that the western Caribbean and GOM are still the favored climatological areas for development at this time of the year.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
774. extreme236
4:43 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
High alert now

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
773. Weather456
12:42 PM AST on June 28, 2008
770. hurricane23 12:42 PM AST on June 28, 2008
Again until i see futher evidence of something trying develope of the african coast and futher model support other then the cmc iam not buying it.Might be another fantasy storm the GFS spits out this season.More to come i assure you.


Ur right. Normally its best to just watch when the wave does exits Africa. I more go to the models for development in the central ATL and closer to home, like in the Gulf or CARIB.

Models are guides not bibles.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
772. TampaSpin
12:43 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
Porn who has porn pics...........ROFLMAO
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
771. IKE
11:40 AM CDT on June 28, 2008
766. hurricaneseason2006 11:40 AM CDT on June 28, 2008
LOL

Let's see. You spend all your time on the internet posting GFS models, morning, noon and night. No girlfriend. No social life. Be careful your eyes don't hurt you Drakoen.

The reason why I said that is because Drakoen was the one that said some people didn't have any life, like moonlightcowboy, Weather456 et al. Now look at him. The kettle sure called the pot black. LOL


Time to go eat lunch.

Speaking of the GFS...it throws a slug of moisture on the north-central GOM in a little over a week....

12Z GFS
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
770. hurricane23
12:37 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
Again until i see futher evidence of something trying develope of the african coast and futher model support other then the cmc iam not buying it.Might be another fantasy storm the GFS spits out this season.More to come i assure you.

Enjoy your weekend!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
769. Weather456
12:41 PM AST on June 28, 2008
766. hurricaneseason2006 12:40 PM AST on June 28, 2008
LOL

Let's see. You spend all your time on the internet posting GFS models, morning, noon and night. No girlfriend. No social life. Be careful your eyes don't hurt you Drakoen.

The reason why I said that is because Drakoen was the one that said some people didn't have any life, like moonlightcowboy, Weather456 et al. Now look at him. The kettle sure called the pot black. LOL


Keep me out of that plz
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
768. Tazmanian
9:40 AM PDT on June 28, 2008
wait in tell late july then will have some in big out there
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114072
767. TampaSpin
12:30 PM EDT on June 28, 2008
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
765. IKE
11:39 AM CDT on June 28, 2008
762. SpaceThrilla1207 11:38 AM CDT on June 28, 2008
What steamy pictures? You talking about the porn? No, that was NOT me...you have me confused with someone else...I tell the truth alawys...that was NOT me.


Ok...sorry...I believe you.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
764. extreme236
4:38 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
Before you know it, Spacethrilla will be gone and he will have a new name.

Kind of like Stormkat.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
762. SpaceThrilla1207
4:37 PM GMT on June 28, 2008
What steamy pictures? You talking about the porn? No, that was NOT me...you have me confused with someone else...I tell the truth alawys...that was NOT me.

Viewing: 812 - 762

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.