Midwest flood price tag $8 billion; Extreme Weather magazine review

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:54 PM GMT on June 27, 2008

Share this Blog
2
+

The American Farm Bureau, a lobbying group that represents American farmers, estimated yesterday that crop damage from the Midwest's Flood of 2008 has amounted to $7 billion. More than half of this total--$4 billion--was in Iowa. Other states taking a hit from excessive wetness and flooding were: Illinois, $1.3 billion; Missouri, $900 million; Indiana, $500 million; Nebraska $500 million; and an additional $1 billion in remaining wet states. When added to the at least $1 billion in property damage the floods wrought (including $762 million in Cedar Rapids, Iowa), the $8 billion price tag of the Midwest Flood of 2008 ranks as the second most expensive U.S. non-hurricane flooding disaster on record. America's worst flood, the Midwest Flood of 1993, caused $26.7 billion in damage (adjusted to 2007 dollars).

The damage will continue to rise in coming days, as major flooding continues along the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers. A levee broke along the Mississippi just north of St. Louis this morning, sending flood waters towards the small town of Winfield. Heavy rains in excess of five inches have hit much of northern Missouri this week (Figure 1), and NOAA's Hydrometeorological Prediction Center is forecasting a high probability of heavy rain in the region today through Saturday morning. The culprit is a slow-moving low pressure system over Minnesota, which will drag a cold front through Missouri tonight. An additional 2-4 inches of rain will fall in some areas along the front. The additional rain should keep the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers in Missouri above flood stage for an extra day or two. Currently, these rivers are expected to reach their highest crests sometime between Monday June 30 and Wednesday July 2. The forecast looks somewhat drier for the Midwest next week, thankfully. The jet stream has regularly been taking a major dip southward into the Central U.S. the past two months, putting the favored track for rainy low pressure systems over the Midwest. The jet often gets "stuck" in a high-amplitude trough-ridge pattern which causes drought in one part of the country (California in this case) and floods in another. This "stuckness" often lasts for 3 months. The current 2-week forecast from the GFS and ECMWF models predicts a continuation of the "stuck" jet stream pattern, but decreasing in amplitude and sliding more to the east. This should result in the favored storm track moving more towards the East Coast, relieving flooding in the Midwest.


Figure 1. Precipitation for the 7 days ending on Friday, June 27, at 8am EDT. Image credit:NOAA.

Review of the new magazine, Extreme Weather
A beautiful new weather magazine called Extreme Weather has hit the bookstores this month. Published by Astronomy magazine, the new magazine features some truly spectacular weather photos, including a 12-page "Weathergallery" with awesome shots of tornadoes, lightning, floods, supercells, hail, hurricane winds, and waterspouts. The first article of the magazine features the equally fantastic photos of storm chaser Warren Faidley, who also happens to be the best writer among professional storm chasers, in my opinion. Additional articles in Extreme Weather include a balanced and interesting look at the hurricanes/global warming connection, plus some quality articles on dust storms, super cell thunderstorms, lightning, and the Great Galveston Hurricane of 1900.

Extreme Weather is not yet a regular publication; the editors are gauging interest to see if they wish to make it so. I whole-heartedly encourage them to do so--this magazine rocks! You can order a copy at their website, it's $7.95.

Tropics
It's quiet in the tropical Atlantic. There are no threat areas to discuss, and none of the models are forecasting tropical storm formation in the next seven days.

Jeff Masters

500 Year Flood 2008 (UlaratheBard)
Iowa Flooding - Palo Iowa - The entire town of Palo Iowa was evacuated and was told to abandon due to flooding during the recent flooding of the the Cedar River and local water ways. During it's abandonment it was under military control. A week later the towns folk were allowed to re-enter their town to assess damage and begin clean-up. The town was devasted as you can see. Due to the fact the entire town was under water, their have been no coordinated efforts for donations, volunteer work, etc... plus, they've just been allowed back into their town and only during daytime hours. I'm sure they could use all the help they could get.
500 Year Flood 2008
()

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1312 - 1262

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42Blog Index

1312. hurricane23
1:25 PM EDT on June 29, 2008
1307. BahaHurican 1:24 PM EDT on June 29, 2008
Hey Drak. Thoughts on the upcoming week in the ATL?

Interesting....

Lastest CMC is pretty aggressive with wave.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13629
1310. Drakoen
5:24 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
1306. JFV 5:22 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
Yes, the voice of reason has finally decided to graze us with his inpeccable presence! Good afternoon Drakoen? How are you doing today sir?


Hold on let me look over the computer models and satellite imagery.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29905
1308. Stormchaser2007
5:23 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
(A), thrilla!
Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15788
1307. BahaHurican
1:21 PM EDT on June 29, 2008
Hey Drak. Thoughts on the upcoming week in the ATL?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1305. weathermanwannabe
1:21 PM EDT on June 29, 2008
I'm out for a while (more family time) so enjoy the rest of the day folks.....WW
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1304. weathermanwannabe
1:20 PM EDT on June 29, 2008
Afternoon Drak....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1302. Drakoen
5:13 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
Good afternoon everyone
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29905
1301. AWeatherLover
5:15 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
I'll take C SpaceThrilla...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1300. NC0WX0Man
5:13 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
ok next question is how can you tell when there is an area of low pressure associated with the wave? I mean besides Quickscat and the other scat but will there always be evident cyclonic turning?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1299. clamshell
5:10 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
SpaceThrilla...

Put me down for 'A'
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1298. weathermanwannabe
12:59 PM EDT on June 29, 2008
Afternoon; nice thundershowers over Tallahassee for the last 2 hours; Just got my power back at the house (out an hour and one half) and it was no major inconvenience (compared to major flood and hurricane victims)....Got a chance for some "quiet" time with the Wife and Kids and read Jack and the Beanstock with my 7 year old in the dark quiet house.....It was a nice change.....But for the destructive power of severe wind/rain events, it was really nice to have the TV/Power off and people talking to each other....Kind of like that weird "calm" after a hurricane strike (hot as hell but beautiful nights with no lights to drown out the stars).....As excited as I get during hurricane season (the equivalent of Summer School for me when I participate every Summer on the Blog), I do not wish the destructive part of storms on anyone, but, a little wind and rain and no lights for a few hours is cool.....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1297. IKE
12:03 PM CDT on June 29, 2008
The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Holmes County in the Panhandle of Florida...
this includes the city of Bonifay...
eastern Walton County in the Panhandle of Florida...
this includes the city of De Funiak Springs...
Washington County in the Panhandle of Florida...
this includes the cities of... Vernon... Chipley...

* until 1245 PM CDT

* at 1149 am CDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds in
excess of 60 mph. These storms were located along a line
extending from 15 miles north of De Funiak Springs to 10 miles
east of De Funiak Springs to 15 miles northeast of Santa Rosa
Beach... and moving east at 27 mph.

* Severe thunderstorms will be near...
Vernon by 1230 PM CDT...
Bonifay by 1240 PM CDT...
Chipley by 1245 PM CDT...

In addition to large hail and damaging winds... scattered cloud to
ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors
immediately! Lightning is one of natures number one killers.
Remember... if you can hear thunder... you are close enough to be
struck by lightning.

Relay reports of severe weather to the National Weather Service in
Tallahassee at (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. Or... you may contact the
nearest law enforcement agency or your County emergency management.
They will relay your report to the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT Sunday
evening for southeast Alabama and central Florida and southwestern
Georgia.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1296. JRRP
4:57 PM GMT on Junio 29, 2008
Very windy here in Dominican Republic
Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1294. stormlvr
4:56 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
1292. Tazmanian 4:53 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
when we talk about the models runs and all of that why not tell ues where it will go has well

That would be nice to know LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1293. NC0WX0Man
4:54 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
Is there a low pressure already associated with the wave currently pushing off of Africa or no?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1292. Tazmanian
9:52 AM PDT on June 29, 2008
when we talk about the models runs and all of that why not tell ues where it will go has well
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114753
1291. IKE
11:50 AM CDT on June 29, 2008
Plenty of energy at my house...heavy thunderstorm and 73 degrees.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1290. stormlvr
4:41 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
The models should move towards a consensus presentation of the wave and any potential surface feature as we get closer to the event. The depiction on the ECMWF and UKMET has been weaker than the GFS which I believe is reasonable to expect. The GFS may also be having issues resolving the energy within the trof extending off the African coast.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1289. IKE
11:48 AM CDT on June 29, 2008
Special Weather Statement

Statement as of 11:32 AM CDT on June 29, 2008

... A significant weather alert is in effect for central and northern
Walton County in the eastern Florida Panhandle...

* until 1215 PM CDT

At 1128 am CDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm near Dorcas... or 15 miles west of De Funiak
Springs... moving east at 30 mph.

This storm will be near...
De Funiak Springs by noon CDT.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible with this storm. Winds of
this strength can down tree limbs and knock over other unsecured
outdoor objects.

Also... frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this
storm. Move indoors immediately! Lightning is one of natures number
one killers. Remember... if you can hear thunder... you are close
enough to be struck by lightning.

Relay reports of significant weather to the National Weather Service
in Tallahassee at (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. Or... you may contact the
nearest law enforcement agency or your County emergency management.
They will relay your report to the National Weather Service.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1288. JLPR
4:47 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
looks like the 00Z CMC and the 06Z GFS are in agreement =O but with the CMC now involved, it makes me wonder if it will actually form lol =D
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1287. stoormfury
4:43 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
CATL WAVE

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1286. JLPR
4:42 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
aww I said C not B lol =P
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1285. SpaceThrilla1207
4:39 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
CURRENT TALLY


Crow Pot: 7


NorthxCakalaky, SpaceThrilla - A

JLPR - B

Orcasystems - D

JFV, Nolehead, Pearlandaggie - Z


We Need More Enterers! Just Enter By Posting A Letter from the List at the Top of Page 25!


1283. JLPR
4:37 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
SpaceThrilla1207 I would say C =)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1282. eye
4:33 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
the models giveth, and the models takith away.....
Member Since: August 21, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 147
1281. SpaceThrilla1207
4:33 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
What do you mean by "Next!"?


Also, some of you might be entertained by my new blog. I just wrote what I believe to be a fascanating story on the second comment. I didn't even realize I was going this far about myself until I made my post.
1280. IKE
11:34 AM CDT on June 29, 2008
Fixing to storm at my house....

Thunderstorms Moving In
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1277. stormlvr
4:26 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
Try looking at levels above the surface. The wave has approximately the same timing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1276. IKE
11:27 AM CDT on June 29, 2008
Make that 156 hours...

Next!!!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1275. IKE
11:14 AM CDT on June 29, 2008
GFS doesn't do much through 108 hours near Africa.....
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1274. Patrap
11:13 AM CDT on June 29, 2008


GFS Insight always a good peek.

Its getting to be Tropical Time soon I believe too.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
1273. Tazmanian
9:13 AM PDT on June 29, 2008
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114753
1272. pearlandaggie
4:11 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
space, i think mine was more like A than Z, LOL
Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
1270. thelmores
4:10 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
I hear you pearl.... we are at 90f with 70% humidity.....

break out a sweat just walking out to the mailbox and back! LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1268. IKE
11:09 AM CDT on June 29, 2008
Heavy thunderstorms moving into Okaloosa county,FL...Fort Walton Beach...Crestview...keep an eye to the sky....

Link
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1267. SpaceThrilla1207
4:08 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
CURRENT TALLY


Crow Pot: 6


NorthxCakalaky, SpaceThrilla - A

Orcasystems - D

JFV, Nolehead, Pearlandaggie - Z



We Need More Enterers! Just Enter By Posting A Letter from the List at the Top of Page 25!

1265. pearlandaggie
4:10 PM GMT on June 29, 2008
time for a dip in the pool..bbl
Member Since: September 14, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 3963
1264. Patrap
11:08 AM CDT on June 29, 2008
Official forecast aint the Highly touted GFS jp..


LOL







Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127592
1263. ShenValleyFlyFish
11:52 AM EDT on June 29, 2008
I take E: to early to make an informed prediction so your guess is as good as mine, probably better.

Bid 1 crow.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 1312 - 1262

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Scattered Clouds
66 °F
Scattered Clouds