Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Postcards III: Robot aircraft for hurricane research
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 3:46 PM GMT on April 30, 2008 +2
I'm in Orlando this week for the 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, sponsored by the American Meteorological Society. The conference, held once every two years, brings together the world's experts on hurricane science.

Robot aircraft for hurricane research
The age of Uncrewed Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) for hurricane research is upon us. NASA promoted the use of their Global Hawk UAV in a talk Monday here in Orlando, and yesterday, talks about another UAV--the aerosonde--were delivered by Joe Cione and Guy Cascella of NOAA. Unlike the Global Hawk, the aerosonde has already made flights into hurricanes--into Category 1 Hurricane Ophelia in 2005, and into Category 1 conditions in the extratropical version of Hurricane Noel in 2007. The aerosonde can monitor conditions near the sea surface, where it is too dangerous to fly crewed aircraft. Data taken near the sea surface are particularly important for determining if a hurricane may undergo rapid intensification. The researchers propose to fly the Aerosonde as low as 200 feet inside a hurricane.


Figure 1. The Aerosonde in flight. Image credit:NASA.

The aerosonde is a $50,000 propeller-driven airplane with a 1.6 horsepower engine, made by Aerosonde, based in Melbourne, Australia. The plane can fly 2300 miles on 1.5 gallons of fuel at a cruising speed of 60 mph--good enough for a 20 hour flight. In 2007, an aerosonde spent 17.5 hours in 'Noreaster Noel off the U.S. East Coast, after the hurricane had transitioned to a powerful extratropical storm.

The aerosonde has not been given clearance by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to fly near the U.S. coast, because of concerns that the robot aircraft might encounter other aircraft skirting the storm, according to a Florida Sun Sentinel article posted earlier this year. The FAA does plan to give the aerosonde clearance late in 2008--with restrictions. So, for this year, the aerosonde will fly out of Barbados, where it has been given approval to fly. A 2-week research project is scheduled beginning September 1. So far, the aerosonde has not flown into anything stronger than a Category 1 storm, and the researchers are eager to test the aircraft in a "real" storm this year. The aerosonde will also be "on call" for rapid deployment anywhere in the Caribbean during the period September 15-October 31.

Jeff Masters
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251. Drakoen 8:40 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
I'm trying to finish my blog for you guys today. There is so much stuff I wrote I had to save it in Microsoft Word yesterday and continue today....
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29012
252. moonlightcowboy 8:44 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
251. Drakoen 3:40 PM CDT on May 01, 2008
I'm trying to finish my blog for you guys today. There is so much stuff I wrote I had to save it in Microsoft Word yesterday and continue today....


....whao, Drakoen! That sounds serious! But, looking forward to it!
Member Since: July 9, 2006 Posts: 179 Comments: 28207
253. Drakoen 8:46 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
252. moonlightcowboy 8:44 PM GMT on May 01, 2008
251. Drakoen 3:40 PM CDT on May 01, 2008
I'm trying to finish my blog for you guys today. There is so much stuff I wrote I had to save it in Microsoft Word yesterday and continue today....

....whao, Drakoen! That sounds serious! But, looking forward to it!


The good news is that I finished more than half of it. I have 3 more topics left to cover and I will be able to release when I have seen and my predictions.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29012
254. CaneAddict 9:05 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
245. Tazmanian 8:28 PM GMT on May 01, 2008
with this year now being neutral my forcast is for 28 name storms this like 2005


I don't think we will get quite that many storms...Maybe a little more then what the current forecast calls for, ONLY if we stay in Neutral and dont switch to El nino to quickly, And that is also if conditions fall into place the right way, I say about 17-18 named storms.
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2151
255. CaneAddict 9:11 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
244. moonlightcowboy 8:26 PM GMT on May 01, 2008
238. Ivansrvivr 3:05 PM CDT on May 01, 2008 Personally I think the warming will slow quite a bit from here on but if the warming doesnt hit the brakes soon, the whole picture changes.


If one were to go strictly by ENSO historical values alone, from cooling to neutral to late warming conditions, the seemingly more fitting years with those similarities are 1951, 1968, or possibly 1986, 1994 and 2004. Those season scenarios here


2004 out of those for years would seem like the most fittings, As the other 3 of those years were before the "Active Hurricane Period" began.
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2151
256. listenerVT 9:11 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
T.C. Nargis is packing quite a punch today, eh?

All the best of luck to anyone in its path.

Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4824
257. CaneAddict 9:15 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
255. CaneAddict 9:11 PM GMT on May 01, 2008
244. moonlightcowboy 8:26 PM GMT on May 01, 2008
238. Ivansrvivr 3:05 PM CDT on May 01, 2008 Personally I think the warming will slow quite a bit from here on but if the warming doesnt hit the brakes soon, the whole picture changes.


If one were to go strictly by ENSO historical values alone, from cooling to neutral to late warming conditions, the seemingly more fitting years with those similarities are 1951, 1968, or possibly 1986, 1994 and 2004. Those season scenarios here

2004 out of those for years would seem like the most fittings, As the other 3 of those years were before the "Active Hurricane Period" began


Also that year would seem to be the best comparison due to it being within the Active Hurricane Period, If you notice for example Taz's post with the 4 La nina years, 4 El nino years and the 4 Neutral years they were all years AFTER the "Active Hurricane Period" began, Which goes to tell me the best comparing would be with years AFTER the active hurricane period when it comes to numbers and such.
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2151
258. moonlightcowboy 9:18 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
CA, I'm aware of the active period, but thanks for the reminder. My post said, "If one were to go strictly by ENSO historical values alone..."
Member Since: July 9, 2006 Posts: 179 Comments: 28207
259. Stormchaser2007 9:22 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
Well if the GFS is correct (and it wont be) than well be set up for the Cape Verde season by May 17.

Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15294
261. moonlightcowboy 9:27 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
New blog, StormW and Stormchaser.
Member Since: July 9, 2006 Posts: 179 Comments: 28207
262. listenerVT 10:06 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
Does anyone know in what part of Burma Chevron Oil has its platforms?

I wonder if T.C. Nargis will disrupt production.

I was very sad to read this today about Chevron in Burma:
http://www.truthout.org/docs_2006/050108C.shtml
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4824
263. Cavin Rawlins 10:21 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
good evening all
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
264. atmoaggie 11:00 PM GMT on May 01, 2008    
Greeting and salutations, earthling 456.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461
265. rider51 12:00 AM GMT on May 06, 2008    
hello everone not long till the 08 season will start the last to years have been good season to me after all im here in mississippi and we all remember katrina here . i think the 08 season should be another season like 06&07 the weather pattern have channged a little . looks like the bermuda is not going to be there . also looks like this season going to start off slow also. but to me when it does keep your eye on the carri. i think our first name storm will come from there this year like ever year i make my forcast for the season the first of march and this year im going with 15 name storms 10 hurri. & 3 maj hurri. im sticking with the gom seeing alot more this year west fl. and tex. geating a maj. hurri. less all pull togather and hope this season will be a safe one. c u all on my next posting .
tommy

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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