Cyclopsychic research breakthrough proves hurricanes/global warming connection

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:16 PM GMT on April 01, 2008

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A stunning new breakthrough in hurricane research has conclusively settled the matter: global warming is making Atlantic hurricanes and tropical storms more frequent. The new research, accepted for publication later this millennium in The Journal of Irreproducible Results, offers incontrovertible proof that global warming has increased Atlantic named storms by 57-67% over the past century. Using the pioneering new techniques of cyclopsychic storm detection and psychomortorodentiatempestology, the researchers, Professors Peter Webcaster and Judith Flurryfury of the Georgia Institute of Technophobia, and Dr. Greg Hallmonitor of the Colorado Association for Research and Modeling of the Atmosphere (CARMA), showed unequivocally that the lack of satellite measurements and aircraft reconnaissance in the early part of the hurricane record led to only a modest undercount of Atlantic tropical storms. Thus, more than half of the observed increase in named storms in the past century can be attributed to global warming.

"It's well-known that the number of Atlantic named storms has risen from 7-9 per year 100 years ago to 14-15 per year during the present active hurricane period that began in 1995," commented Professor Webcaster in an interview today. "Some MEEAT-loving hurricane researchers (Measure Everything, Everywhere, All the Time) have claimed that this rise was not real, since satellites and reconnaissance aircraft were not around to detect storms early in the hurricane record. We've made efforts in the past to quantify the number of 'missed' historical Atlantic storms using estimates of historical shipping traffic density, and computer regression models that compare recent well-observed storm activity to past storm activity. However, these studies have been pooh-poohed by the MEEAT men, who refuse to believe any science that comes out of a model. So, I began thinking about how we could actually go about observing historical Atlantic storms that were 'missed'. I began thinking the problem in a new light after watching my favorite episode of Star Trek: The Next Generation, "Timescape", where subspace entity mistakenly lays her eggs in the warp core singularity of a Romulan warship, creating a temporal anomaly that forces time to flow backwards. This inspired me to think outside the box, and it occurred to me that paranormal methods might offer a way to see back in time and make actual observations of past storms--and offer a technophobic solution to the problem, as encouraged by the charter of my university, the Georgia Institute of Technophobia."



Figure 1. Cyclopsychic observations of "missing" Atlantic tropical storms during the 20th century. All observations were performed by trained cyclopsychic Madame Cyclotropia. Note the significant drop in "missed" storms beginning in the 1940s, corresponding to the advent of aircraft reconnaissance, and in the 1970s, when satellite coverage of the Atlantic Ocean began.

Webcaster teamed with Hallmonitor and Flurryfury to experiment with a variety of paranormal techniques to make actual observations of past "missing" storms, using Ouija Boards, crystal ball gazing, the Magic Eight Ball, and channeling of restless dead spirits. Initial experiments proved discouraging, though, when the researchers attempted to perform the study themselves. "We were feeling depressed about how the research was going, having just stayed up late one Friday night in Greg's lab in Boulder trying to get the dang Magic Eight Ball to say something other than just REPLY HAZY, TRY AGAIN LATER," related Dr. Webcaster. "So, we decided to give up for the night and down a few shots of grape jello spiked with grain alcohol and delve into Greg's extensive collection of Zippy the Pinhead comic books. After a few jello shots and Zippy comics, we got feeling pretty loose, and, Yow! Decided to trek down to Pearl Street to check out the weekend psychic fair. Well, we got to staggering around the tents of the psychic fair, belting out the sorrowful lyrics of our own version of "Somewhere over the rainbow" we made up:

Somewhere, over the ocean
Back in time
Cyclones formed and decayed
Unseen by humankind

Somehow, we'll find out how many
Before we die
But it doesn't look good
'Cause the Magic Eight Ball lies!

Suddenly, we saw a mysterious shadowy figure beckoning to us from the entrance of a nearby tent, which was emblazoned with the words, Madame Cyclotropia: Psychic Readings for Troubled Atmospheric Scientists. 'I can help you find your missing storms', the seer in the shadows croaked, 'for I know much that is hidden. Come into my lair, and I will reveal the key to unlocking the mysteries of storms long past'. Greg and I looked at each other, shrugged, walked in her tent, and the rest is history."

Once in Madame Cyclotropia's tent, the researchers quickly realized that their limited scientific training could not hope to allow them to conduct rigorous paranormal research. Only a true cyclopsychic with "The Gift" could see back into the dim mists of time to divine the existence of heretofore unknown tropical cyclones. Using her cyclopsychic gift, Madame Cyclotropia correctly divined the past tracks of numerous known storms the scientists challenged her with. However, when asked to divine the existence of "missing" Atlantic storms that had not made it into the official database, she prophesied that she would only be able to do so if the scientists would write her into their latest grant proposal. This grant proposal would surely get funded, she predicted. The scientists eagerly agreed, and headed back to the lab to work on the new proposal.

Webcaster, Hallmonitor, and Flurryfury's proposal, titled, "Using a Trained Cyclopsychic to Divine Past Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity", was submitted to the Foundation for Atmospheric Research for Science and Education (FARSE) in early 2007 and accepted later that year. After receiving their grant money, the scientists began spending long nights in Madame Cyclotropia's tent, documenting her revelations from the four primary cyclopsychic techniques: Ouija Board, crystal ball gazing, the Magic Eight Ball, and channeling of restless dead spirits. According to Dr. Hallmonitor, "We were thrilled when the first three techniques we tried all yielded virtually identical results, showing the robustness of our experimental methodology. The three techniques all showed a noticeable drop in the number of "missed" storms in the 1940s, when aircraft reconnaissance became available, and in the 1970s, when satellites coverage began over the Atlantic Ocean. However, when we tried to channel restless dead spirits, we ran into a roadblock. We couldn't find any restless dead spirits with an interest or knowledge of historical Atlantic hurricanes. We happily attributed this to the propensity of dead meteorologists to wind up inside Heaven's Pearly Gates, but were sad that our research would lack this crucial final proof of its validity. We were about to give up when Peter then hit upon the idea of contacting the spirits of groundhogs, who are known for their weather prognosticating ability. Some of these prognosticating rodents might have unfinished business that would keep their restless souls adrift in the ether, available for consultation on weather-related matters. We coined word psychomortorodentiatempestology to describe this exciting new branch of hurricane science, and set off in search of gifted groundhogs spirits with this special skill."



Figure 2. Wee Willy One and Chucky before their departure into the hereafter. Which rodent's spirit would you trust to get accurate weather information from?

Indeed, Madame Cyclotropia was able to contact the spirit of "Wee Willy One", a famed albino groundhog that had once burrowed under the fair gardens of Wiarton, Ontario, and provided weather forecasts each Groundhog's Day up until his death in 2006. Wee Willy One proved to be testy and uncooperative, though, deliberately delivering incorrect storm information. The researchers sought out help from cyclotherapy experts from the Center for Disease Control's Weather Related Illness Division to determine if cyclotherapy might help Wee Willy One overcome his bad attitude. Cyclotherapist Dr. Sandy Chirpchuckle diagnosed Wee Willy One as a cyclopath suffering from rare form of cyclopsychosis. Ordinarily, cyclopsychosis manifests itself only in hurricane scientists and weather enthusiasts during the long, dull months prior to hurricane season. The despondent victims of cyclopsychosis spend long hours in front of flickering computer monitors in dark, gloomy rooms, obsessively poring over maps and statistics of hurricanes long gone by. The victims tend to become highly antisocial but never violent, and can be successfully treated with cycloactive drugs. However, Dr. Chirpchuckle diagnosed Wee Willy One with an extremely rare case of "shadow" cyclopsychosis, brought on by the cyclological trauma being rudely hauled out of his burrow each February 2 so that a bunch of cockamaimie humans could see whether he saw his shadow or not. "Shadow" cyclopsychosis is incurable, both in this world and the hereafter, so Madame Cyclotropia was forced to seek out other groundhog spirits. After months of effort, she finally found the spirit of "Chucky", a friendly groundhog that had once burrowed under the gardens of Nashville, Tennessee. Chucky eagerly provided accurate information on the "missing" Atlantic tropical storms that was precisely in agreement with the data collected from the other cyclopsychic techniques. "We were ecstatic," exclaimed Dr. Hallmonitor. "More jello shots!"

Hurricane experts world-wide are hailing the new findings. "These exciting results conclusively prove that even us blind squirrels can find some nuts," enthused renown hurricane expert, Dr. Kerry Readthemanual of the Massachusetts Institute of Technophobia. Dr. Readthemanual has been a leading proponent of the global warming/Atlantic hurricane link. Even former critics are praising the new findings. Dr. William Graymatter, Professor Über-Emeritus of Colorado State University's Center for Hurricane Observation, Measurement, and Prediction (CHOMP), said in an interview: "I've been in the hurricane business for 113 years, and I know good research when I see it. The findings of Webcaster, Hallmonitor, and Flurryfury are based on solid observational evidence and white magic. There's no black magic involved, such as the use of a computer model, so their results are impregnable."

Dr. Chris Blandsee, Chief Scientist of the Natural Hurricane Center's division of Global Warming Isn't Responsible for the Recent Upswing in Atlantic Hurricane Activity, and Even If It Was, We Wouldn't be Able to Tell, Since the Quality of the Atlantic Hurricane Database is Too Poor to Use for Such Purposes (NHC/GWIRRUAHAEIIWWWATSQAHDTPUSP), has also been critical of past research showing a link between hurricanes and global warming, maintaining that global warming isn't responsible for the recent upswing in Atlantic hurricane activity, and even if it was, we wouldn't be able to tell, since the quality of the Atlantic hurricane database is too poor to use for such purposes. It was his Congressional testimony, along with that of former NHC director Max Minefield, which inspired President Bushwhacker's administration to rename the National Hurricane Center the "Natural Hurricane Center" last year. (This action was also urged by the Government Anagram Accountability Office (GAAO), which found that the letters in "National Hurricane Center" could be rearranged to spell the ominous phrase, "Errant Herculean Inaction"--and also the disturbing, "Teenier Charlatan Unicorn", and the clearly unacceptable, "Inhale Cocaine, Errant Runt!", while the letters in "Natural Hurricane Center" could be rearranged to form phrases much more in harmony with the NHC mission, such as "Natural, Neater, Crunchier.")

Dr. Blandsee grudgingly gave ground in his comments today. "It looks like Webcaster, Hallmonitor, and Flurryfury (and don't try to say her name three times fast) have done some pretty rigorous scientific work," he conceded. "But they've written what is probably the longest and most excruciatingly dull hurricane science paper of all time. All those old storms and their analyzed tracks that they talk about, on and on and on, year by year by year. Ugh! A lot of good trees died to publish that paper. It was even duller than some of my clunkers!"

What's next for the pioneering researchers? "Well, CARMA and the Georgia Institute of Technophobia are collaborating on a grant proposal with Dr. Graymatter and Phil Flossblack of CHOMP to apply cyclopsychic methods in a new way--improvement of seasonal hurricane forecasts," said Dr. Flurryfury. "We've submitted a proposal to FARSE titled, 'Gray Magic: Using Cyclopsychic Methods to Improve Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts'. Lord knows, the forecast busts of the past two hurricane seasons have shown that Flossblack and Dr. Graymatter could use some supernatural help with their predictions."

April Fools!
Meff Jasters

References
Hallmonitor, G.J., and P.J. Webcaster, 2007, "Heightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: natural variability or climate trend?" Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society A 365, Number 1860, 15 November 2007, Pages: 26952716 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2083

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508. GeoffreyWPB
10:53 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Ivan...please read my original post just a few down...
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507. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:27 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
gwpb maybe early and maybe you should call mom nature tell her but i doubt u will find her number
17 to 21 no more
9 to 11 canes
4 to 6 majors
there's ur sign
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506. GeoffreyWPB
10:51 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Thanks Pottery...but as u well know...if you went back and read....it was a season of doom for the CONUS
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505. Ivansrvivr
2:35 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
As a SURVIVOR of Ivan I only went without power for over a month. There was no way in or out of Pensacola for weeks as all major east west hwys were under water. The 1 north south route was impassable with fallen trees and with no power it was not known how far you had to drive just to find fuel. There were no radio or tv stations operating within reception range so nobody knew if or when needed supplies would make it in or out. I spent many nights sleeping on top of my car watching for looters. My car was useless because all local streets were covered in debris. There were several houses on my street with fully grown oak trees or snapped telephone lines in them, several others were total losses due to roof/water damage. All cell towers were out as well as telephone lines. Unlike many in the Pensacola area, I rode out the storm. I saw what it did as it happened. Geoffrey If your remarks are toward me, I trust this clarifies matters.
504. GeoffreyWPB
10:50 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
An hour later...guess I was wrong about the "Survivor" thing....Sorry
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503. pottery
10:45 PM AST on April 03, 2008
WPB. My prediction last year at around this time, was that that Tropical Atlantic season was going to be "boo".
I based that on the amount of SAL dry air and dust that was present then, and I saw no reason for it to go away.

I dont see the same thing this year, and I see some other things too.
So this year I dont think the Atlantic season will be "boo".
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24879
502. stormdude77
10:45 PM AST on April 03, 2008
The stronger and further to the west that the High positions itself, the greater the threat for westward moving storms (like last year, We'll see, though).
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501. GeoffreyWPB
10:43 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Is anyone going to address the issue that last year, the same pretictions are being made this yaar?
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500. pottery
10:41 PM AST on April 03, 2008
OK, Dude.
Excellent. Good to see you.

Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24879
499. pottery
10:35 PM AST on April 03, 2008
Ivan, I think that you are correct here.
For the moment, the ONLY thing that has not shown its hand yet is the High.
Of course, things could change tomorow ( and probably will, LOL ), but for now the location and strength of the Bermuda high would seem to be crucial.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24879
498. GeoffreyWPB
10:36 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Where do you live Ivan?
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497. Ivansrvivr
2:25 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
Drak, I am not one of those who has complained about the 2 year break the U.S has (deservedly) had. I am afraid though that you are right. ENSO neutral favors active Atlantic. Warm SST's pooled off W African coast make long lived "Cape verde" stroms likely. Also as bermuda high sets up,wont that warm water would tend to be pushed westward? The -.5 anomalies in the C.Atlantic mont make much difference when the SSTaverage is 86. Shear is also dropping as you point out which is a radical shift from previous 2 yrs. The only thing that may be in our favor is that tropical storms forming in the far east Atlantic tend to recurve early. While I dont know about total number of named storms being high, an average or better season with some big ones looks likely. So we will likely be at the mercy of STEERING.
496. HIEXPRESS
10:25 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
The afternoon storms are summer-like, here in Florida, but we still have a dry spell to go through before we get there - and it could still spell trouble as a brush fire season. A little dry weather, some real heat, and some wind, & its off to the races. Don't get complacent. (Where have we heard that before?)
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495. pottery
10:30 PM AST on April 03, 2008
Got it, stormdude. Check yours.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24879
494. stormdude77
10:30 PM AST on April 03, 2008
Pottery, Check your mail...
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493. pottery
10:26 PM AST on April 03, 2008
Hello, stormdude.
Do you wish to include an old ditty of current relevance ?
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24879
492. pottery
10:24 PM AST on April 03, 2008
haha !
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491. GeoffreyWPB
10:25 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Still way to early...Go back to last year's predictions...same thing...
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490. stormdude77
10:23 PM AST on April 03, 2008
Good evening!
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489. GeoffreyWPB
10:24 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Signs...Five Man Electrical Band
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488. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:22 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
i would say flashing neon myself
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487. hahaguy
9:21 PM EST on April 03, 2008
this is why i love this blog lol
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486. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:19 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
and yes the season cometh early
overall i have notice a hpyer active weather started mid jan and it will continue well into late sept before it stops
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485. pottery
10:18 PM AST on April 03, 2008
Yeah, Keeper.
Right now the signs are in neon, hard to miss.
" The times, they are a changing "
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24879
484. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:12 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
pottery if things dont shift back to what it should be and remain at what it should'nt be get ready for whats about to unfold

as a great song goes
signs signs every where the signs can u read the signs
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483. GeoffreyWPB
10:09 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
As I posted a while ago...comparing last year's posts to this years...very similar
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482. GeoffreyWPB
10:07 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Normal rainfall at PBIA for the year so far.
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481. pottery
9:46 PM AST on April 03, 2008
Greetings.
Been raining all day here, on and off. 10 mm since 6;00 am.
So far for April we have had 21 mm, which is not a lot of rain, but as it is only the 4 th day of April this is very high. April is usually no rain to talk about at all.
I notice also, unseasonal rain in Florida.
I notice also the ITCZ is more north than usual.
I notice also a warmer than usual SST just off the African west coast.
I notice also a real reduction in African dust in the Trop. Atl for this time of year.
I notice also a forecast for a neutral ENSO in the near future.
I notice also, a certain " jiiteryness " in some of the people on here whose views I tend to respect, re: the coming season.

I hope that some of the above changes soon..........otherwise....?

Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24879
480. GeoffreyWPB
9:34 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Good evening all....Gonna post something that really got my gall....Would like your responses......I have been going over some recent post from the past few days and found one that really struck me odd....A member called themselves a “Survivor” of Hurricane’s Katrina and Wilma. I live in the West Palm Beach area and I believe the other in Broward or Miami-Dade County. Here in West Palm, for Katrina, I lost power for about ten hours. Other than that...nothing..and for the folks down south from here...not much more from what I read. For Wilma, my roof blew off, I lived in a hotel for five months and the 11 years I had to pay off my mortgage turned into a 30 year. This other person sustained a brief power outage and proclaimed it the worse night of their life..a survivor of Hurricane Wilma. Other folks proclaim themselves as survivors of storms...is there a protocol? We were under a Hurricane Warning with Andrew in ‘92....and I went to the beach and enjoyed the waves. Was I a survivor of Andrew while the folks down south suffered so much? It just seems we are so loose with the term “Survivor” while others suffer so, so much more. Sorry for the rant. Geoff
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479. surfmom
1:23 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
I'm off to be horizontal -- so burned out from working outside these past several months..just counting the days when the horse and I can just walk and trot...of course there is hurricane to worry about. my home and supplies are set, generator is working, got my special paint to ID the horses (new this year, wonder if I will need it) just looking forward to an easier work week, less hours, less horse injuries, MORE OCEAN activites and my youngest going to seacamp for a few weeks. This mom is tired. Adios Amigos
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478. surfmom
1:12 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
Since the drought no red tide, it will be interesting to see if the rains continue if we will get it back again. The rain showers the past few days in SRQ have been delightful --I am so happy to get a thunder storm at the end of the day out east. Gulf is at 72 degrees here in SRQ, time to put away the full suit and look forward to surfing in topic waters. Polo season will be over in Sarasota this weekend. Getting too hot for the Pro games. The polo players/horses move up to Ocala or out of state. Exhausted from this season and looking forward to the Polo barns moving to their next destination and having the place to ourselves. Just hoping the rain continues, last summer was so brutal out there, felt like my brains would melt out of my head most of the time.Truly hoping the traditional pattern of thunder storms in the afternoon continue --it's good for the water holes, the humans and the horses.
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477. Weather456
8:25 PM AST on April 03, 2008
I blame the increase surface-500 mb wind shear on the current convective activity over Africa. There are even a few synoptic scale convective features that can be tracked using Tropical IR Hovmoller Series.



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
476. Drakoen
12:36 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
475. stormhank 12:36 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
I just read a report on the latest ENSO outlook..it calls for neutral conditons thru october.. what does neutral conditions normally mean for atlantic hurricane season?


Active season probable. Right now the things to monitor are the SST's especially over by Africa and eventually the MDR. The Upper level westerlies set up whether they are further north of further south can make a huge difference. Monitoring the oscillations: MJO,SOI,QBO. Monitoring the steering currents: subtropical ridge set up.
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475. stormhank
12:31 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
I just read a report on the latest ENSO outlook..it calls for neutral conditons thru october.. what does neutral conditions normally mean for atlantic hurricane season?
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474. Drakoen
12:29 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
You guys that were complaining that last 2 seasons because you didn't have cat 5's in your backyard maybe in for it this season. There are already several indicators of an active season ahead but of course this is just speculation.

Take a look at these upper level wind shear anomalies for the tropical Atlantic which is 10 knots below climatological average.


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473. Ivansrvivr
12:17 AM GMT on April 04, 2008
Actually, Fire831, climatology seems to agree with you. Hurricane seasons following La Nina events appear to favor the central GOM and Carolina landfalls.
472. fire831rescue
11:53 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
Excuse me for calling things early, but I have a feeling the US, more particularly, the GOM is going to get hit this year. I may have to eat crow later this season, but we'll see what happens this year.
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471. Patrap
6:55 PM CDT on April 03, 2008
Join BarometerBob Live from the NHC Conference in Orlando.Bob will be interviewing the NHC Director shortly at 8pm EST. Stormchat Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129838
470. Ivansrvivr
11:34 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
Michfan, given the amount of wv in currently the tropics the probably won't be a shortage of boomers this year.
469. Michfan
11:26 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
Yeah my mom lives in Venice, FL in Sarasota County and the past two years the lack of boomers in the afternoon has been noticeable. Back in the 90's when i lived there the boomers could be timed to your watch. Between 3 and 4 pm every evening with just enough time to clear out at sunset.

It was especially terrible in SE Alabama where i live last year because of the high heat and the complete lack of cooling from any boomers. It became pretty unbearable. Same story at my in laws in Pensacola. Here is to hoping for a more normal pattern the next few years.
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468. Ivansrvivr
11:17 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
True Michfan. Thats why we hope for some weaker activity or activity that hits uninhabited areas. Last season the Bermuda high was so strong and so far west it pushed all tropical activity southward, and the dry flow around it's backside kept pushing dry continental air and ULLs into the atlantic rather than drawing tropical moisture northward. The result was no "popcorn" afternoon thunderstorms in the S.E. and the Seabreeze effect over florida was negated. The only part of Florida that got rain was the extreme East coast which was doused but didn't help Lake O. I believe PBIA got 75 inches last yr while cities on the west coast got around 20 Total. that is opposite of normal.
467. Michfan
11:15 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
The dry air pattern over the past two years is what caused the massive drought conditions in the SE. Its a Catch 22 of sorts that alot of people don't realize. We rely on SOME tropical moisture during the summer months to keep the Southeast fairly moist and tropical storms / hurricanes play a big part in this. We kind of need some of these storms to hit.
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466. Ivansrvivr
11:15 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
The E.ATL that HG keeps posted on his blog show the ITCZ nicely. It is very active. If it stays that way there will be plenty of "triggers" to spin up tropical activity.
465. HurricaneGeek
7:13 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
Yeah, if you take a look at the E ATL. satellites you can see it really well
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464. Ivansrvivr
11:12 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
Taz is correct. The ITCZ is also too active this early too.
463. Ivansrvivr
11:05 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
Only bad news is than an early start to our rainy season indicates a dramatic shift in the pattern that has spared the S.E US any major tropical activity the last 2 years. Last year especially it was dry air that was a major inhibiting factor in tropical development. That same dry air was behind the lack of a usual rainy season in Fl. With the tropics looking more moisture laden now than at the peak of hurricane season last year we will likely be at the mercy of the steering currents.
462. Tazmanian
4:08 PM PDT on April 03, 2008
the ITCZ has been moveing N i think its a little too far N for this time of year if this keeps up we are going to have one good hurricane seasons

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461. Michfan
11:03 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
Florida needs a good rainy season to catch up on its dry year last year. Good news for Florida this summer if th epattern indeed starts early.
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460. Tazmanian
4:02 PM PDT on April 03, 2008
ca rainy season is this about done
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459. hurricane23
6:59 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
458. Ivansrvivr 6:59 PM EDT on April 03, 2008
23, are the surface winds going to shift to a more southerly/southwesterly pattern over the peninsula? If that occurs and sw flow produces rainfall it becomes much more likely that our rainy season is kicking in early. Usually in spring(pre-rainy season) sw flow doesnt produce rainfall. It just gets hot and dry

Yes sir....

...WINDS WILL VEER TO
SOUTHERLY FRI NIGHT AND SW SATURDAY...DRAWING TROPICAL MOISTURE
NORTHWARD FROM THE CARIBBEAN WITH PWATS SURGING FROM 1 INCH FRI
EVENING TO AROUND 1.75 INCHES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH IS
SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE THE NORM FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. THIS
MOISTURE THEN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AS SOUTH FLORIDA REMAINS SOUTH OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
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458. Ivansrvivr
10:55 PM GMT on April 03, 2008
23, are the surface winds going to shift to a more southerly/southwesterly pattern over the peninsula? If that occurs and sw flow produces rainfall it becomes much more likely that our rainy season is kicking in early. Usually in spring(pre-rainy season) sw flow doesnt produce rainfall. It just gets hot and dry.

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