Science Debate 2008

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:06 PM GMT on February 11, 2008

Share this Blog
1
+

The issues of global warming and climate change are important to many voters, yet the media has done a poor job asking the U.S. presidential candidates about these topics. In a study quoted by The Boston Globe, in 2007 the major TV networks asked presidential candidates 2,679 questions. Of those questions, only three were about global warming--the same number of questions that were asked about UFOs. With the presidential race narrowed down to four main candidates--Hillary Clinton, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, and Barack Obama--it's time that the candidates' views on climate change be given more attention. To address this need, the four major candidates have been invited to participate in Science Debate 2008, a verbal debate to be held on April 18, 2008, at Philadelphia's Franklin Institute. The debate is cosponsored by the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), the Council on Competitiveness, the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. Nearly 100 leading American universities and other organizations have signed on to promote the effort, along with many prominent scientists, writers, and members of Congress. The debate is designed to discover the candidates' views on many science-related topics, such as climate change, clean energy, health care, science education and technology in schools, scientific integrity, GM agriculture, transportation infrastructure, the genome, data privacy, intellectual property, pandemic diseases, the health of the oceans, water resources, stem cells, conservation and species loss, population, and the space program.

We need your help to make this debate happen! Contact the campaigns of the candidates to ask them to participate in the debate, sign a petition to approve of the debate, or write a letter to the editor of your local paper. Chris Mooney, who authored the excellent 2007 book, Storm World: Hurricanes, Politics, and the Battle Over Global Warming, is one of the leaders of the initiative, and has posted links one can use to help with these tasks, in his blog, The Intersection. Thanks for helping out!

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 84 - 34

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

84. FLWeatherFreak91
8:52 PM EST on February 11, 2008
83. Buhdog 8:51 PM EST on February 11, 2008 Hide this comment.
In the past it seems that alot of this energy and sever weather goes to central and north Florida. Rarely do we see the bulk....I hope we don't here. (Cape Coral SWFL)

I would expect all of the peninsula to be hit the same except for the extreme south where it shouldn't be as bad
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
83. Buhdog
1:38 AM GMT on February 12, 2008
In the past it seems that alot of this energy and sever weather goes to central and north Florida. Rarely do we see the bulk....I hope we don't here. (Cape Coral SWFL)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
82. kmanislander
1:46 AM GMT on February 12, 2008
Hi everyone

Just paying a quick " off season " visit to the blog.

The NW Caribbean is quiet and will remain so until sometime around mid to late July on average.
Not much to blog about from this neck of the woods now.
Very mild conditions and cool NE winds.
Wonderful time of year here
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
80. FLWeatherFreak91
8:41 PM EST on February 11, 2008
hello Storm. Grace us with your synopsis please sir
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
77. FLWeatherFreak91
8:30 PM EST on February 11, 2008
Thanks Hydrus. I hope I am right bc in that case I'll see the first big Storms so far this year.
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
76. hydrus
1:18 AM GMT on February 12, 2008
I think flweatherfreakFl is right.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
74. sebastianjer
8:14 PM EST on February 11, 2008
RE #70
Considering the lag between ENSO and global temperatures, we can expect more cooling in the coming months; GISS has January 2008 at only 0.05 degrees above normal (land temperatures at 0.22, meaning that the oceans are likely colder than normal). That is based on the NCDC's 1961-1990 base period; if you use 1971-2000, it is -0.08.

Michael, do you know why they use to different base lines? Is there an official explaintion that you are aware of? Also do you know which one they consider to be the official one? If you know I would appreciate it, either way thanks for the good information you post.

JER
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
72. FLWeatherFreak91
7:24 PM EST on February 11, 2008
This is my current thinking based simply on opinion and the GFS model-

Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
71. Inyo
12:07 AM GMT on February 12, 2008
Yeah, looks a bit cold in the Pacific.

Fine by me as long as it keeps doing what it has been doing, or rather, keeps NOT doing what it HASNT been doing. It hasn't been causing drought in California. However, since this La Nina is atypical, I wonder how it will affect Atlantic hurricanes. (doesn't look like the E-Pac will get many!)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
68. hahaguy
6:02 PM EST on February 11, 2008
all of us in florida are going to have an interesting few days
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
67. FLWeatherFreak91
6:02 PM EST on February 11, 2008
And... just heard about the fire in Sebring. If the fire holds on long enough some of that smoke may blow into the bay area. Just to let you know
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
66. FLWeatherFreak91
5:58 PM EST on February 11, 2008


Here is the first little bit of weather approaching SWFL
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
65. cchsweatherman
10:47 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
Sorry for not letting you know JFV. I updated my site early this afternoon regarding the severe weather potential. I will be adding a Florida radar just for this storm coming up.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
64. weatherboykris
10:47 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
63. hondaguy
4:41 PM CST on February 11, 2008
English and reading (even though I loathe both) I can do. Those are super easy to me.

My math skills are about the equivalent to my spanish speaking skills. Poor! Math flies over my head at about the cruising altitude of a satellite orbiting earth.

Needless to say it was almost my demise in highschool, and was the last class I took in college that I failed.

While I have ur attention cchs, could you give me an idea of what to expect here in South Louisiana (Baton Rouge area) since you seem to have a pretty good handle on what this storm may do.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
62. melly
10:44 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
I always feel like I am in 1st grade when I am talking to some of you guys......I sometimes think I know alot, but I guess I will stick to Scrabble and Chutes & Ladders
60. quasigeostropic
5:43 PM EST on February 11, 2008
I've taken Calc I-V(Im a senior in college)......It's REALLY tough but doable......Need any help, holla at me=)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
58. cchsweatherman
10:39 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
I find the maths and sciences to be quite easy since I'm a very anlaytical person and am able to digest data with relative ease. The pne subject I find to be difficult is English, since I hate reading comprehension.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
57. cchsweatherman
10:35 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
Anytime JFV. I always like to help people out. That's my purpose; to help serve people who I respect.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
56. hondaguy
4:34 PM CST on February 11, 2008
Trig and precalc!? Ack, wouldnt even much attempt. lol

More power to ya cchs!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
55. cchsweatherman
10:34 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
By no means am I trying to panic you JFV, but unlike all the news stations, I always bring up all possible outcomes so that people are not caught unaware.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
53. cchsweatherman
10:28 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
I'm currently taking Trigonometry/Precalculus in college. Could you reply to my question regarding that jacket? Thanks.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
52. cchsweatherman
10:20 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
JFV, purely based on satellite imagery, I have to disagree with the computer models. This possible scenario has me frightened. I have to forecast widespread showers and severe storms with isolated tornadoes for South Florida, especially Tuesday evening and night. The satellite imagery itself is quite unnerving to watch as storms continue to explode. One thing I have begun to notice is the development of supercell thunderstorms on the Texas Gulf Coast. The bottomline is that this storm system has great potential to produce a massive severe weather outbreak, but the question is will the timing come together.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
51. melly
10:22 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
I very much agree with Dr. Masters regarding the global warming and climate change..But I am afraid those issues are going to take a backseat to the issues at the present......Heck.Even the Iraq war is 4th after .Economy...healthcare....and immigration..I guess the voters are ok with all of our young heroes dying for no reason.
48. FLWeatherFreak91
5:15 PM EST on February 11, 2008


It'll hit Central and South Fl the hardest. And New Orleans should have a fairly strong line come through IMHO
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
47. hondaguy
10:14 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
Hmmm, question about this huge severe weather event that everyone is predicting here on wunderground...What do you guys think it's going to be like for us here in south Louisiana.

I know they are predicting a 80% chance of rain tomorrow with possibly severe thunderstorms.

Much agreed that the low in the gulf is not going to move as far north as predicted. I could see that earlier this morning when it seemed to be making more of a eastern track towards FL.

I'm thinking maybe squall line tomorrow afternoon, with some isolated thunderstorms preceeding the line? What do you guys think?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
46. cchsweatherman
10:07 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
JFV, to answer your question, I always say 10 since people need to be concerned and prepared for all possible outcomes. By the way, I'm still waiting a response for my question that I posed about a month ago regarding your jacket.

Hurricane23, I am not trusting the computer models at this time as the deepest convection and energy remains in the Bay of Campeche and has already begun making its approach on South Florida. Noone should underestimate this system and the potential severe weather outbreak to come. I have informed all my friends and family to prepare.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
45. FLWeatherFreak91
4:51 PM EST on February 11, 2008
BayNews9 seems to be underestimating this system when compared to the other stations. Their model predicts only one line coming through at about 8 tomorrow night. I say there will be at least 3 distinct lines of weather to run across our area.
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
44. cchsweatherman
9:48 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
I'll be on high alert tonight and will be watching this low quite carefully during the night. Since I only have one class tomorrow, I can stay up late and watch this low develop. I have to agree with many that state that the models may be underestimating this potential severe weather event.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
43. Smyrick145
9:32 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
Thanks hurricane 23
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
42. KoritheMan
9:28 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
Adrian, yes, I have been watching that warm pool off the African coast. Could help to fuel some Cape Verde storms early in the season (like around the middle of July, or more likely late July) kind of like Bertha in 1996. But that's impossible to predict, and for all we know, SAL could cool off those extreme positive anomalies.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
41. weatherboyfsu
9:29 PM GMT on February 11, 2008



Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
200 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-120915-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...
BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON...
WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA...
PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
200 PM EST MON FEB 11 2008

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO SURGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT DIVING ACROSS THE
MIDWEST TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE AREA SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL FUNNEL MOISTURE INTO THE AREA...AND
INCREASING WIND SHEAR NEAR THE LOW AND FRONT WILL SET THE STAGE
FOR STRONG STORMS. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA
HAS PLACED ALL OF FLORIDA IN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE CATEGORY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TWO DISTINCT PERIODS OF SEVERE WEATHER ARE POSSIBLE. THE FIRST
WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT BEING PULLED NORTH BY THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA CROSSING THE GULF. ABUNDANT MOISTURE...LOW-LEVEL
WIND SHEAR...AND HEATING AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY PROVIDE THE
NECESSARY INGREDIENTS FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THE SECOND WILL
BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. STRONG WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES A POSSIBILITY.

UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW PRESSURE AREA
TRACKING ACROSS THE GULF. IF THIS LOW HOLDS TOGETHER THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE INCREASED. MORE UPDATES ON THE STRENGTH AND
TIMING OF THE LOW AND COLD FRONT WILL BE ISSUED AS THE STORM
APPROACHES.

$$
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
40. weatherboyfsu
9:09 PM GMT on February 11, 2008
One more thing.....I have been reading the NWS Discussions for a long time and I pick up on noticable changes in their wording and elevated awareness.......Things are indeed getting interesting. IN any given major weather event, you need 8 to 10 ingredients to come together to open the door for this to happen......We are getting close and timing is all that is needed.....All the ingredients are around..........The question is.....Do they all come together at the same time like they did last Tuesday evening........Lets hope not........at least not to bad........
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
39. hurricane23
4:14 PM EST on February 11, 2008
STL pretty warm stuff of the african coast...
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13841
37. hurricane23
4:13 PM EST on February 11, 2008
The formation of a hurricane depends on at least three conditions: a pre-existing disturbance with thunderstorms, warm ocean temperatures up to 80F and to a depth of about 150 feet, as well as light upper level winds that do not change much in direction and speed throughout the depth of the atmosphere.

Hurricanes are low pressure weather systems that generally form in tropical latitudes and strengthen into tropical cyclones with wind speeds of 74 miles per hour and higher. Even with today%u2019s sophisticated computer-forecasting models, a hurricane's path, strength and potential for damage cannot be exactly predicted. This is why preparing your family and possessions for the worst possible situation is always a smart move.

Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13841
35. hurricane23
4:08 PM EST on February 11, 2008
. Smyrick145 4:08 PM EST on February 11, 2008
weatherboykris
I don't know if you read a post by stormw earlier this morning, but that why I'm asking that particular question. He stated how he has noticed that the A/B High has been anchored over the same area that it is usually located in the summertime. I'm not wishcasting like you believe I am. From from what I have read on this blog the last couple of years is that the A/B High plays a huge factor in the potential track for tropical cyclones. I'm just curious...

Yes the AB is huge factor when it comes to tropical cyclones but one can not always go by that alone as there are many factors at play with an approaching tropical cyclone.Steering patterns are hard to predict 2 weeks out.

www.AdriansWeather.com
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13841
34. hurricane23
4:07 PM EST on February 11, 2008
My HV20 is always ready...Nothing like HD.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13841

Viewing: 84 - 34

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
28 °F
Overcast