Science Debate 2008

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:06 PM GMT on February 11, 2008

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The issues of global warming and climate change are important to many voters, yet the media has done a poor job asking the U.S. presidential candidates about these topics. In a study quoted by The Boston Globe, in 2007 the major TV networks asked presidential candidates 2,679 questions. Of those questions, only three were about global warming--the same number of questions that were asked about UFOs. With the presidential race narrowed down to four main candidates--Hillary Clinton, Mike Huckabee, John McCain, and Barack Obama--it's time that the candidates' views on climate change be given more attention. To address this need, the four major candidates have been invited to participate in Science Debate 2008, a verbal debate to be held on April 18, 2008, at Philadelphia's Franklin Institute. The debate is cosponsored by the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), the Council on Competitiveness, the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. Nearly 100 leading American universities and other organizations have signed on to promote the effort, along with many prominent scientists, writers, and members of Congress. The debate is designed to discover the candidates' views on many science-related topics, such as climate change, clean energy, health care, science education and technology in schools, scientific integrity, GM agriculture, transportation infrastructure, the genome, data privacy, intellectual property, pandemic diseases, the health of the oceans, water resources, stem cells, conservation and species loss, population, and the space program.

We need your help to make this debate happen! Contact the campaigns of the candidates to ask them to participate in the debate, sign a petition to approve of the debate, or write a letter to the editor of your local paper. Chris Mooney, who authored the excellent 2007 book, Storm World: Hurricanes, Politics, and the Battle Over Global Warming, is one of the leaders of the initiative, and has posted links one can use to help with these tasks, in his blog, The Intersection. Thanks for helping out!

Jeff Masters

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384. scwindsaloft
1:51 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
Statement as of 8:03 PM EST on February 12, 2008


... Very strong thunderstorm approaching western Collier County...

At 759 PM EST... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
very strong thunderstorm 29 miles southwest of Cape Romano... moving
northeast at 35 to 40 mph.

This storm will affect...

Cape Romano...
Marco Island...
Marco Island Airport...
fiddlers creek...
west Toll Gate on Alligator alley...
Picayune Strand state Forest...

And surrounding communities.

Frequent to excessive lightning... gusty winds to at least 50 mph... pea-sized
hail... torrential downpours... or a combination of these are possible.
Lightning is the number one weather related killer in Florida. Trees
and open shelters offer no protection. Wind gusts of up to 50 mph can
down small tree limbs and branches... and blow around unsecured small
objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the storm passes.

Also... this storm is showing signs of rotation and the environment
is favorable for the development of tornadoes.


Residents near the path of this very strong storm should remain on the
alert for additional statements and possible warnings.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details or updates.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EST Tuesday evening
for southern Florida.

Lat... Lon 2632 8169 2632 8166 2636 8165 2622 8141
2594 8114 2585 8140 2589 8148 2584 8150
2587 8152 2591 8161 2589 8163 2592 8165
2590 8169 2588 8166 2584 8168 2598 8174
2609 8182 2616 8182
time... Mot... loc 0103z 227deg 39kt 2570 8206
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383. melwerle
1:48 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
432 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>116-118-137-138-140-SCZ040-042>044-047-131000-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-LONG-INLAND LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND JASPER-
432 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
GULF COAST COMBINED WITH A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS A SMALL RISK THAT
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARDS
BEING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
THE HIGHEST RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO MAKE SURE THEIR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO ALL HAZARDS ALERT FUNCTION IS TURNED ON TO ENSURE THAT IF
ANY WARNINGS ARE ISSUED THEN THEY WILL BE RECEIVED AND YOUR RADIO
WILL ALARM.

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382. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
1:47 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Nicholas Category One [980 hPa] located near 14.9S 119.8E or 430 kms northwest of Broome and 620 kms north-northeast of Port Hedland has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts up to 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as nearly stationary.

Dvorak Intensity: 3.0

The system has intensified overnight and reached cyclone intensity this morning.
Further intensification is expected and Nicholas is likely to become a severe
tropical cyclone in the coming days.

Nicholas is expected to show slow movement
over the next day or so before moving towards the coast.

Gales are not expected in coastal areas today, however, it is possible gales could develop in coastal areas between Pardoo and Kuri Bay later on Thursday or on Friday. Pilbara residents are advised that although the Pilbara coast west of Pardoo is not under threat in the next 48 hours, it is at risk of severe cyclone impact over the weekend.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
-----------------------------------
A Cyclone WATCH continues for a developing tropical low for coastal areas from Pardoo to Kuri Bay.

The Cyclone Watch from Kuri Bay to Kalumburu is now cancelled.

Forecast and Intensity
----------------------
12 HRS: 15.2S 120.0E - 50 knots [CAT 2]
24 HRS: 15.6S 119.4E - 85 knots [CAT 3]

--
JTWC Tropical Cyclone 19S
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381. scwindsaloft
1:45 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
I'm not sure mel, here is the forecast for Bryan county
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380. melwerle
1:44 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
Inland Bryan
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379. scwindsaloft
1:40 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
Mel what county are you in?
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378. melwerle
1:35 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
ok - so i'm not sure - put in our zip code and it always gives us a warning - we are in Savannah and the warning says keep your weather radio on. I see all that is hitting below us and to the west of us but will it hit here (I am thirty miles south of savannah).

uh oh...

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377. scwindsaloft
1:34 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
Yea if you look at the velocity radar, it sure is setting up to be a big wind event!
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375. scwindsaloft
1:11 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
Wouldn't that warrant a svr t'storm warning? I don't see anything posted.
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373. scwindsaloft
12:56 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
That storm SW of Naples has 38000 feet cloud tops and 1" hail.
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371. scwindsaloft
12:46 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
369. P451 12:45 AM GMT on February 13, 2008
Wow, amazing rotation in that cell off of SW Florida. Hope it dissipates before it reaches the coast!!!!



True! zoom in on that cell and it is pretty amazing.
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368. stormdude77
8:43 PM AST on February 12, 2008
Thanks for the update, JFlorida! All Floridians, in SW Florida, prepare your self.....
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365. stormdude77
8:35 PM AST on February 12, 2008
In case some of you might not know, you can follow watches, warnings etc (Associated with the severe weather), here on the WU Severe Weather page.
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364. yamil20
7:33 PM CST on Febrero 12, 2008
some nasty weather is approaching south of naples florida.
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363. stormdude77
8:29 PM AST on February 12, 2008
I'm still here lurking...
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362. yamil20
7:25 PM CST on Febrero 12, 2008
where everyone go ?
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359. 0741
11:33 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
P451 were you at? you going get strong Sfloridacat5 tonight
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358. melly
11:32 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
Looking at the local radar for West Palm beach..Looks like nothing in the area for quite awhile
357. Sfloridacat5
11:30 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
Local weather forecasters have been showing a hook echo on the local news here in the S.W. Florida area (Port Charlotte).
Tornado warnings have been issued for this storm moving N.E.
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355. 0741
11:28 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
it getting dry here a bit in miami area
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354. stormdude77
7:21 PM AST on February 12, 2008
Check you mail now, H23...
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353. melly
11:21 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
surfmom.......I have to ask..........."What is for supper"?
352. surfmom
11:18 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
Yea! Got Rain, and got off work. Looks like I may have some waves coming my way GOM/SRQ. On the look out. Back to the kitchen, will check in later
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351. melly
11:18 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
If we get any heavy rain, I hope it is over Lake Okeechobee....It is still very low
350. melly
11:16 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
I think West Palm area is ok for many hours......I heard Cocoa Beach had some damage
349. melly
11:14 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
Very quiet in Palm Beach county Florida at the moment.......Just one strong line moving north around 3:45 pm....Looks ok for awhile
348. hurricane23
6:10 PM EST on February 12, 2008
347. stormdude77 6:09 PM EST on February 12, 2008
Hey H23, Did you get my mail?

Nah buddy...Send it to me again.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13594
347. stormdude77
7:06 PM AST on February 12, 2008
Hey H23, Did you get my mail?
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346. hurricane23
6:06 PM EST on February 12, 2008
WEDNESDAY...S/W OVER TX WILL DIG SE PUSHING THE COLD FRONT ANOTHER
ROUND OF STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA WEDNESDAY BY 18Z. A SQUALL
LINE WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE COLD FNT AND MOVING THROUGH S. FL
WED AFTERNOON. THE QUESTION IS, HOW STRONG THIS SQUALL LINE IS
GOING TO BE WHEN IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. MDLS SHOW LOW LVL
WINDS VEERING TO SW AHEAD OF THE LINE DISRUPTING THE INFLOW AND
WEAKENING THE LINE.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13594
345. stormdude77
7:02 PM AST on February 12, 2008
Oh, Keep us updated as the night goes on...
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344. dearmas
6:04 PM EST on February 12, 2008
here in Riverview which is 15 mins from Tampa, The clouds are getting very dark....long night
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343. Skyepony (Mod)
11:02 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
Slideshow of Cocoa Beach tornado damage
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342. hurricane23
5:58 PM EST on February 12, 2008
South florida meaning miami dade and broward counties look ok to me as far as severe weather goes with scattered thunderstorms in the forcast tonight remaining under severe limits in my opinion..Tommorow could be a different story as the squall line pushes in.

Should be in a weaking state when it makes it into the area.

Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13594
341. Skyepony (Mod)
10:59 PM GMT on February 12, 2008
The NOAA weather radios in Melbourne & Orlando, FL are still not working. The static has only gotten worse.
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340. hahaguy
6:00 PM EST on February 12, 2008
port st lucie here its cloudy and windy
Member Since: August 12, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 2838
339. dearmas
5:58 PM EST on February 12, 2008
Tampa here getting dark again
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338. hondaguy
4:55 PM CST on February 12, 2008
337. stormdude77 4:54 PM CST on February 12, 2008
Hondaguy, Where are you located in Florida?


Baton Rouge, Louisiana here! :-) All the stuff I'm posting is here in BR, not FL.

Although back in the day, and I mean eons ago, I lived in Ft. Lauderdale.

337. stormdude77
6:51 PM AST on February 12, 2008
Hondaguy, Where are you located in Florida?
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336. dearmas
5:53 PM EST on February 12, 2008
evening all, my radios ready
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335. stormdude77
6:34 PM AST on February 12, 2008
Good evening!

I hope everyone in Florida stay safe tonight, keep out your Weather Radios!

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334. hondaguy
4:45 PM CST on February 12, 2008
Good pics of the storms in this article from a local news station.

Check out the article and pics HERE

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.