Hurricane Katrina--Looking Back to Look Ahead

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:40 PM GMT on January 23, 2008

Share this Blog
2
+

I'm in New Orleans this week for the 88th annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society, the world's largest gathering of meteorologists. This year's meeting has a special focus on Hurricane Katrina. Yesterday's session: "Hurricane Katrina--Looking Back to Look Ahead" sought to review what happened during Katrina with an aim to improve our ability to prepare for the inevitable next "Big One". The keynote speaker was former National Hurricane Center director Max Mayfield. He took the audience back through those painful days in late August 2005 as Katrina exploded into one of the most intense hurricanes ever recorded in the Gulf of Mexico, forever altering the lives of those caught in its path.

Katrina could have been much worse
Max reviewed the forecasts issued by the NHC for Katrina, showing how these predictions gave a full 2 1/2 days for New Orleans and Mississippi to prepare for the onslaught of a major hurricane. "I don't want people to think we're going to be able to do that well all the time," he said. "One of these days, people will go to bed with a Category 1 hurricane expected to hit the next day, and wake up to a Katrina or an Andrew. That will be a catastrophe." Max stressed the importance of not focusing on the skinny black line showing the forecast track of a storm--pay attention instead to the cone of possible landfall locations. Better communication and education to the public on hurricane dangers are needed, and he encouraged all coastal residents to participate in National Hurricane Preparedness Week, May 25-31 of this year.


Figure 1. The exhibit hall from the 2008 meeting of the American Meteorological Society in New Orleans.

How do we change the outcome?
Max showed that while errors in hurricane track forecasts have improved a factor of two in the past 15 years, and are now down to 55 miles for a 24-hour forecast, forecasts of intensity have not improved at all. In fact, the intensity forecasts for 2007 were worse than those of 2005 and 2006. Part of the credit for the improvement in track forecasts goes to a $1 million/year research project called the Joint Hurricane Test-bed--a project former NHC director Bill Proenza called attention to when it received budget cuts. An increase in funding for this program, as well as other hurricane research efforts, are needed to help improve hurricane intensity forecasts, Max urged.

Another way to change the outcome would be through the adoption of improved building codes. Adoption of the tough South Florida building codes all along the coast would save lives and cut down on insurance pay-outs. Max brought up the analogy of a airplane crashing due to a defect in manufacture. When investigators find the cause of the defect, immediate steps are taken to ensure that no airplane is ever built again with that defect. Why, then, do we continue to build houses with known defects? He advocated the formation of a National Disaster Review Board to analyze and adopt new building codes for the coast. This board would consist of meteorologists, emergency managers, and representatives from the insurance and building industries.

Final thoughts on being in New Orleans
Max recounted his own sobering tour of the damaged neighborhoods still devastated more than two years after Katrina. My own experience here was also sobering, as this is my first visit since the hurricane. It felt eerie to stalk the halls of the Convention Center, the site of so much pain and suffering in the aftermath of the storm. I was very conscious of being in the bottom of a bowl everywhere I went within the city, and the damaged, shuttered buildings were a constant reminder that the Gulf of Mexico lay at our doorstep--and would someday send another "Big One" to challenge the city's defenses. Yet many of the people I met have adapted to the post-Katrina life with an admirable stoicism. "They don't call New Orleans the Big Easy for nothing", one cab driver told me. "Life is still good and laid-back here".

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 82 - 32

Page: 1 | 2Blog Index

82. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:24 AM GMT on January 25, 2008
new blog posted
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55653
81. lightning10
12:27 AM GMT on January 25, 2008
Here are some good pics I got earlyer of a rainbow...









Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 41 Comments: 630
79. IKE
10:49 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
77. extreme236 3:28 PM CST on January 24, 2008
Hey all, just stopping in briefly

129 days until the beginning of Hurricane Season 08



129 days until this blog comes back to life then. It's absolutely dead in here.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
78. NorthxCakalaky
10:38 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
... Snow in the northern mountains of North Carolina...

... Snow Advisory in effect until 6 PM EST this afternoon...

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued
a Snow Advisory... which is in effect until 6 PM EST this
afternoon for Avery... Mitchell and Yancey counties in the northern
mountains of North Carolina.

Around one inch of snow can be expected this afternoon. The snow
swill begin to taper off by evening.

A Snow Advisory means that periods of snow will cause primarily
travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered roads and
limited visibilities... and use caution while driving.

07

77. extreme236
9:28 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
Hey all, just stopping in briefly

129 days until the beginning of Hurricane Season 08
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 19 Comments: 19234
75. jimmiek
7:16 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
Dr. Master's I hope you can kill the myths that some people in this great country stil think that the City of New Orleans is still not back. Living just west of the city, the local New Orleans tv stations do "polls" stating that most Americans stil believe the city is not safe to come back because of the storm. This couldn't be more further from the truth.

It would be nice to know what you, and others that you have talked to while here in the city, think about the city after this meeting is over.


Well, the French Quarter seems to have never gone away, but East New Orleans still looks like a bomb went off, as a drive on I-10 will reveal.

Coastal MS's main drags are nice and spiffy, but back in the neighborhoods it still looks kind of grim in many areas.

The area is making progress, but it's not fully back yet.
Member Since: July 6, 2005 Posts: 53 Comments: 1016
73. NEwxguy
6:40 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
72. StormW 6:34 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
71. stormmaven 12:47 PM EST on January 24, 2008
Hey StormW - Expected to see you @the AMS meeting. What's up?


My account...on account I'm broke!

I guess your going to have to wait for the government's rebate check this spring
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 887 Comments: 15972
71. stormmaven
5:47 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
Hey StormW - Expected to see you @the AMS meeting. What's up?
Member Since: September 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 110
70. BajaALemt
4:53 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
Mornin Doc..thanks for sharing some of the meeting with US

(Mornin folks)
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
67. NEwxguy
4:06 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
Thanks,Storm
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 887 Comments: 15972
66. cajunkid
4:01 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
morning all, thanks StormW sir, good to see you guygee
Member Since: July 10, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1281
64. TEXASYANKEE43
2:54 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
All this talk about Katrina, Houston still has plenty of reminders of that storm! (if you know what I mean)

What about Rita? There is still plenty of nasty reminders of her here in S.E. Texas also. I guess Beaumont/Port Arthur doesn't count tho......
63. guygee
1:53 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
Another story on the 88th annual meeting of the AMS, an NPR radio report including some recordings of the meeting: Link (audio, 4 min 21 sec w/ brief commercial)

Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3188
61. guygee
12:41 PM GMT on January 24, 2008
The London Guardian carried an AP article today on the 88th annual meeting of the AMS, focusing on controversies that came up between the attendees over the role of Global Warming and its effect on tropical cyclone intensity. Link to Full article here.


Forecasters Debate Hurricanes, Warming

Thursday January 24, 2008 9:46 AM

By CAIN BURDEAU

Associated Press Writer

NEW ORLEANS (AP) - A lively and sometimes scrappy debate on whether global warming is fueling bigger and nastier hurricanes like Katrina is adding an edge to a gathering of forecasters here.

The venue for the 88th annual meeting of the American Meteorological Society could not have been more conducive to the discussion: The Ernest N. Morial Convention Center is where thousands of people waited for days during the storm to be evacuated from a city drowning in water and misery.

Although weather experts generally agree that the planet is warming, they hardly express consensus on what that may mean for future hurricanes. Debate has simmered in hallway chats and panel discussions.

A study released Wednesday by government scientists was the latest point of contention.

The study by researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Miami Lab and the University of Miami postulated that global warming may actually decrease the number of hurricanes that strike the United States. Warming waters may increase vertical wind speed, or wind shear, cutting into a hurricane's strength.

The study focused on observations rather than computer models, which often form the backbone of global warming studies, and on the records of hurricanes over the past century, researchers said.

``I think it was a seminal paper,'' Richard Spinrad, NOAA's assistant administrator for Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, said Wednesday.

``There's a lot of uncertainty in the models,'' Spinrad said. ``There's a lot of uncertainty in what drives the development of tropical cyclones, or hurricanes. What the study says to us is that we need a higher resolution'' of data.

Greg Holland, a senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, said the new paper was anything but seminal. He said ``the results of the study just don't hold together.''

Holland is among scientists who say there is a link between global warming and an upswing in catastrophic storms. He said other factors far outweigh the influence of wind shear on how a storm will behave.

``This is the problem with going in and focusing on one point, a really small change,'' Holland said.

He had a sharp exchange Monday with Christopher Landsea, a NOAA scientist, during the AMS meeting.

While Holland sees a connection between global warming and increased hurricanes, Landsea believes storms only seem to be getting bigger because people are paying closer attention. Big storms that would have gone unnoticed in past decades are now carefully tracked by satellites and airplanes, even if they pose no threat to land.

The exchange, captured by National Public Radio, illustrates how emotional the global warming debate has become for hurricane experts.

``Can you answer the question?'' Landsea demanded.

``I'm not going to answer the question because it's a stupid question,'' Holland shot back.

``OK, let's move on,'' a moderator intervened.

The passion was no surprise to the TV weather forecasters, academic climatologists, government oceanographers and tornado chasers attending the meeting.

``One thing I've learned about coming to this conference over the years is that very few people agree on anything,'' said Bill Massey, a former hurricane program manager at the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

``There's a legitimate scientific debate going on and a healthy one, and scientists right now are trying to defuse the emotion and focus on the research,'' said Robert Henson, the author of ``The Rough Guide to Climate Change.''

Whether global warming is increasing the frequency of major storms or reducing it, Henson said, lives are at stake.

``Let's say you have a drunk driver once an hour going 100 miles an hour in the middle of the night on an interstate,'' Henson said. ``Say you're going to have an increase from once an hour to once every 30 minutes; that's scary and important. But you've got to worry about that drunk driver if it's even once an hour.''

Massey agreed. ``In 1992 we had one major storm. It was Hurricane Andrew. It was a very slow year. But one storm can ruin your day.''
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3188
60. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
9:21 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
TROPICAL CYCLONE 08R ADVISORY NUMBER ONE
============================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Area of Disturbed Weather 08R [1004 hPa] located near 13.5S 45.6E or 1320 kms northwest of the coast of Reunion had 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. The disturbance is reported moving southwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
-----------------------
24 HRS: 14.9S 44.2E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
48 HRS: 15.4S 43.4E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Moderée)
72 HRS: 15.9S 42.9E - 60 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)

Addition Information
--------------------
An important area of thunderstorm convective activity is organizing southeast of Mayotte. This borning system has a good potential for intensification. Last satellite imageries show a very recent and rapid organization of deep convection, with a well defined building curved band.

At this stage the system does not justify regular six hour advisories.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 46563
59. KoritheMan
7:03 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Every day, things get a little better, but there is still a very, very long way to go.

And that's assuming that another major hurricane doesn't come by that area. I seriously feel bad for the people in New Orleans, and I'm glad I don't live there.

The thing I do hope is that Katrina has taught enough people a lesson to where they will know what to do the next time a storm comes around. You can't be guaranteed your property, but you can be guaranteed your life if you know what you're doing.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 601 Comments: 21230
58. F1or1d1an
4:55 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Tillou:

I'll give you my opinion on the matter. New Orleans will not approach it's state in early August 2005 for at least a decade.

My home is in the Florida panhandle, but I've worked in New Orleans on two contracts since Katrina. The first had us back in NOLA (in Bywater) in November, 2005 - the contract concluded in December 2006. The second had me working on Jeff Highway at Ochsner's main campus from August 2007 until two weeks ago.

To say that NOLA is back in business is mis-leading. NOLA is ready for tourists and that's about it.

NOLA East is still a wasteland for the most part. Bywater is getting better, but still has problems. The lower Ninth is not even 1/10th recovered. NOLA is nowhere near ready to support a resident population of 400k+ people year-round.

Every day, things get a little better, but there is still a very, very long way to go.
57. KoritheMan
4:29 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Fact is 04-05 could have been much MUCH worse.

That's not saying much, considering every hurricane season typically has something that could've made it worse.

My question is...If the polar ice caps are melting so rapidly, how will we be able to avoid even worse then we endured with Katrina???

If the process of ice cap melting continues at this rapid rate, we probably won't be able to avoid that, unfortunately. But if we would cut back on our abusing the environment and helping to speed up the warming, we might can avoid that. I will tell you like I tell everyone else: I think this global warming we're having is just a natural cycle, but man is speeding up the process. If it isn't a natural cycle that will eventually reset itself, we're in deep trouble.

It really amazed me that the last two years were so mild for the LA/MS Gulf Coast.

Me too, but 2006 was an El Niño year, so that shouldn't be that much of a surprise. 2007, eh I don't have an explanation there, but the steering currents in La Niña years do tend to cause storms to form further south and track further south (like Dean and Felix did). And if you really think about it, LA/MS never did get very many significant hurricanes (e.g. Georges, Katrina), at least not every year. IIRC, the last major hurricane to strike Mississippi before Katrina was Elena in 1985. That's a 20 year gap with no major hurricane landfalls. Not to say nothing significant came to MS within those 20 years before Katrina, but no Cat 3+ storms came.

I also have a bit of trouble figuring out all the droughts I keep hearing about...How can we have droughts with all the extra water from all the melting filling up everything? Just food for thoughts and questions...

My guess is that like El Niño and La Niña, global warming affects different parts of the world differently. I don't know as much about global warming as I do tropical cyclones (I know quite a bit in that area), so I'm probably wrong.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 601 Comments: 21230
56. ajcamsmom
3:56 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
My question is...If the polar ice caps are melting so rapidly, how will we be able to avoid even worse then we endured with Katrina??? It really amazed me that the last two years were so mild for the LA/MS Gulf Coast. I also have a bit of trouble figuring out all the droughts I keep hearing about...How can we have droughts with all the extra water from all the melting filling up everything? Just food for thoughts and questions...
55. Skyepony (Mod)
3:46 AM GMT on January 24, 2008


NEW ORLEANS (Reuters) - Unmanned aircraft like those used by the U.S. military in Iraq will increasingly be used to monitor storms, a role currently performed by manned aircraft, weather officials said on Tuesday.

At an American Meteorological Society meeting in New Orleans, U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration scientists announced a three-year program initially funded with $3 million to study use of unmanned aircraft in hurricanes
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 209 Comments: 39090
54. Skyepony (Mod)
3:40 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
UN official: US neglects Katrina victims

NEW ORLEANS - A United Nations official who has toured parts of Louisiana and Mississippi devastated by Hurricane Katrina says the thousands of victims of the storm resemble poor people displaced by natural disasters in other parts of the world.

"Whether you're displaced in a rich country or a poor country, what remains the same is you need to get the help, the assistance of the authorities, of the communities, to be able to restart a normal life, and the people I have met are not there yet," said Walter Kalin, the UN secretary general's representative on the human rights of internally displaced persons
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 209 Comments: 39090
53. FLWeatherFreak91
3:36 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
I LOVE FLORIDA!!! I was just in W. DC when it was 9 degrees (by far the coldest I have ever experienced) and I have earned a new appreciation for palm trees and the color green. Just though I'd let all the inexperienced Floridians know tha the cold is really, really COLD.
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
52. Skyepony (Mod)
3:34 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
NEW ORLEANS - After a trying year of more than 200 murders and a rise in crime, at least police once again have a permanent place to call home. The New Orleans Police Department, which has operated out of trailers in the 2 1/2 years since Hurricane Katrina, dedicated a renovated headquarters Thursday that brings its major components back under one roof
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 209 Comments: 39090
51. Skyepony (Mod)
3:29 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
The new director of the National Hurricane Center likely will be introduced within the next two weeks and a leading contender is veteran forecaster Bill Read, The Miami Herald has learned.

Other finalists for the highly visible job include Richard Knabb, one of six senior hurricane specialists at the center, and Charles ''Chip'' Guard, a veteran government meteorologist and tropical weather specialist in Guam

Article
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 209 Comments: 39090
50. Skyepony (Mod)
3:22 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Certainly looking forward to more from the meeting.

This was interesting, good rain drop research too~ Scientists Produce Energy From Rain
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 209 Comments: 39090
49. Ivansrvivr
3:18 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
That was excellent report by Dr. Masters. Katrina was just a "warning shot". Any number of factors could have made Katrina much worse. Larger size, More rapid movement , stalling out, shift in track, strengthening at landfall(instead of weakening) etc. could have made Katrina or several other recent storms much worse in both lives lost and damage done. Not to mention potential damage economically(to oil infrastructure in GOM) or to a larger population center like NYC. Fact is 04-05 could have been much MUCH worse.
48. Geojunkie
2:55 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Thanks DR M for good reporting, much appreciated.
47. tillou
2:43 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
I was just saying that the CBD (Central Business District) and French Quarter is fine. Some people thought the whole city was underwater and some thought it was still underwater! I was not commenting on the communities, I was just saying that the city itself, the tourism areas, are fine. If or when you go to the city itself everythings normal. Its when you get out of the CBD that everything gets bad.

If I lived in an area that is under sea level and had more than 4 feet of water in my house I probably would not go back either.
Member Since: August 19, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 198
46. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:32 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary 0230z 24Jan
=======================================
An area of convection (97S) located near 10.8S 47.1E or 490 NM north of Antananarivo, Madagascar. Animated infrared satellite imagery continues to display a broad, developing low level circulation center with flaring deep convection on the southwest periphery. A Quikscat image shows broad troughing. A AMSU-B image also shows evidence of this troughing and some convective banding from the east. Development continues to be hampered by low to moderate vertical wind shear, but the disturbance is forecast to move into a more favorable environment over the next 24-48 hours.

maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1005 mb. SInce the LLCC is broad, the potential of this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains POOR.

System #2
------

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary 0230z 24Jan
========================================
An area of convection (98S) located near 9.2S 67.0E or 340 NM west-southwest of Diego Garcia. Animated infrared and water vapor satellite imagery depicts a developing low level circulation center with flaring deep convection near the center. Prior Quikscat Images depicts a broad low level circulation. AMSR-E image shows weak convective banding beginning to form over the northwestern periphery of the circulation.

Upper level analysis depicts low to moderate vertical wind shear and good upper level diffluence. Maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1006 mb. Since the low level circulation center is broad and remains disorganized, the potential of this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is POOR.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 46563
45. KoritheMan
2:13 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Adrian, interesting article you linked to. I myself don't think that would happen, because the data is simply too limited and unreliable to come to a conclusion on that. The exception of lack of data is from the satellite era on up. So all the storms we think might have made landfall in the U.S. as hurricanes could have in fact been tropical storms, and vise versa, since again, data was very scarce back in the pre-satellite era. And the data in the 1800s are VERY unreliable, IMO.

As Max said, it only takes one.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 601 Comments: 21230
44. KoritheMan
2:08 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Dr. Master's I hope you can kill the myths that some people in this great country stil think that the City of New Orleans is still not back. Living just west of the city, the local New Orleans tv stations do "polls" stating that most Americans stil believe the city is not safe to come back because of the storm. This couldn't be more further from the truth.

It would be nice to know what you, and others that you have talked to while here in the city, think about the city after this meeting is over.


Um, I have a hard time believing NOLA has recovered from Katrina, considering it has only been two years. And the city may be safe to come back to now, but it's always like that until a big one comes by and threatens.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 601 Comments: 21230
43. catastropheadjuster
2:08 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
H23: Thanks for your input. You know I appreciate it. And yes I am relaxing being off season and all. I hope all is fine with you.
Sheri
Member Since: August 24, 2006 Posts: 21 Comments: 3683
42. KoritheMan
2:07 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
2008 hyper active atlantic storm season to come

That's a bit of a farfetched statement, considering how far away June is. I'm not even going to attempt to forecast what I think will happen until May, when we'll have a general idea of things.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 601 Comments: 21230
41. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:02 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
DEPRESSION 11F [988HPA] CENTRE WAS ANALYSED NEAR 25.0S 170.0W AT 24Jan 0000UTC IS MOVING SOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS.

POSITION FAIR.

EXPECT NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 40 TO 50 KNOTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT BETWEEN 90 AND 120 NAUTICAL MILES AWAY FROM THE CENTRE, WITH 35 TO 40 KNOTS UPTO 300 NAUTICAL MILES AWAY FROM THE CENTRE.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 46563
40. HIEXPRESS
1:55 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Has anyone read this book:
Lunatic Wind
By: William Price Fox

about hurricane Hugo?
Member Since: October 13, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 2156
39. tillou
1:35 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
Dr. Master's I hope you can kill the myths that some people in this great country stil think that the City of New Orleans is still not back. Living just west of the city, the local New Orleans tv stations do "polls" stating that most Americans stil believe the city is not safe to come back because of the storm. This couldn't be more further from the truth.

It would be nice to know what you, and others that you have talked to while here in the city, think about the city after this meeting is over.
Member Since: August 19, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 198
38. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:22 AM GMT on January 24, 2008
2008 hyper active atlantic storm season to come
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55653
36. hurricane23
11:32 PM GMT on January 23, 2008
My only worry is articles like this may put some folks asleep when it comes to hurricane preps.Every year is different.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13841
35. Cavin Rawlins
11:21 PM GMT on January 23, 2008
About Katrina,

what made Katrina queen of all Atlantic hurricanes is that she never had a good side. Most hurricanes have some sliver lining...some calm side, some exception. Katrina, however made landfall where the north winds to the west of the storm push the lake into the city and the south winds push Gulf of Mexico onto the Mississippi coast to the east of the storm. Katrina actually used the saying "Hurricanes kill most people by flooding not winds*." Sadly, no one could escape her wrath.

* Andrew Cat 5 winds VS Katrina Storm Surge
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
34. hurricane23
11:19 PM GMT on January 23, 2008
-GLOBAL WARMING TO REDUCE HURRICANE LANDFALLS-

Very interesting article put out today as Global warming could reduce the possibility of tropical cyclone landfalls in the united states.Iam not a big fan of this global warming stuff but theres a few questions that came to my mind came after reading this article.For example could warmer sea surface temps somehow increase vertical windshear?Alot of factors are in play for a tropical cyclone to flurish,many questions indeed which iam not going to attempt to answer right now.The odds in my opinion favor a busy year landfall wise for the U.S. but it can go either way hopefully we'll have another quite one.

Complete Article Here

Abstract
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13841
33. hurricane23
10:55 PM GMT on January 23, 2008

Hello sheri....

Long time dont speak but from everything ive looked at until this point signs point to an active season now were they form and track is something thats impossible to know as steering patterns are very hard to figure 2 weeks out.My best advice is sit back and enjoy the long off season and before you know it will be that time once again.

www.AdriansWeather.com

PS!Remember even a slow season can be bad all it takes is one system over your community.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13841
32. Hurricaneblast
10:34 PM GMT on January 23, 2008
No warnings out for Southern Florida but there was a reported tornado

2050 BOYNTON BEACH PALM BEACH FL 2653 8009 PUBLIC REPORTED A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN WEST OF I-95 AND BOYNTON BEACH BLVD. REPORT RELAYED TO BOYNTON BEACH POLICE DEPARTMENT. NO DAMAGE REPORTED. (MFL)
Member Since: February 14, 2006 Posts: 161 Comments: 3626

Viewing: 82 - 32

Page: 1 | 2Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
33 °F
Overcast