Rare January tornado hits Vancouver, Washington

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:33 PM GMT on January 11, 2008

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A rare tornado hit Vancouver, Washington (just north of Portland, Oregon) on Thursday at noon local time. The unusual twister demolished a rowing club, downed power lines, uprooted trees, and tossed shopping carts into cars along its four mile path. No injuries were reported, though. The state of Washington averages about two tornadoes per year. Yesterday's tornado was only the third January tornado observed in Washington since 1950, according to the National Climatic Data Center (2000 and 2006 were the other years). Tornadoes were also reported yesterday in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. About 100 houses were damaged and destroyed and 11 people were injured in Lowndes County, Mississippi from one of the tornadoes. A total of 34 tornadoes have been confirmed for the severe weather outbreak that began on January 7th, and total number of tornadoes could reach 60 or more by the time all the damage surveys are complete. More tornadoes are expected today from the Florida Panhandle northeastward to coastal North Carolina. Watch the Weather Underground's Severe Weather Page and Tornado Page to keep up with the storms.


Figure 1. Storm reports for Thursday, January 10, 2008. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Katrina damage claims exceed $3 quadrillion
According to the Associated Press, $3,014,170,389,176,410 in claims have been filed against the federal government over damage from the failure of levees and flood walls following Hurricane Katrina. Of the 489,000 total claims, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers said 247 were for at least $1 billion, including one for $3 quadrillion.

"That's the mother of all high numbers," said Loren Scott, a Baton Rouge-based economist.

Jeff Masters

Missouri tornandos (bikesnapper)
Our news commented that for Springfield there were 63 tornado warnings over 15 hours of which at least 10 passed over the city. It was a very long scary night that these storms kept coming and coming and coming
Missouri tornandos
Tornado Damage in Vancouver (weathercrazy82)
A rare EF-1 tornado does quite a bit of damage...
Tornado Damage in Vancouver
Bus on the Roof (DUNDEEYANK)
The F3 hit Caledonia school campus just after 2PM. All personnel were in the hallways. No deaths only minor injuries. Photos by my son Kristofer
Bus on the Roof

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413. GBlet
9:40 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
Bone,I read that article and it still has my brain spinning! Time to break out the canning jars and start a stockpile! This could most definately bring on a event we are not at all prepared for.
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412. Weather456
5:24 PM AST on January 14, 2008
I uploaded a new pic to WUNDER
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
411. Weather456
5:18 PM AST on January 14, 2008
.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
410. Bonedog
4:07 PM EST on January 14, 2008
this is great....

SSRC Press Release
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
409. Drakoen
9:00 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
Look out guys. Some cold weather is in store for the eastern U.S. coming all the way down to Florida tonight. Possibly even colder air coming in this weekend.

GFS 1000mb temp.



ETA surface temp.
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408. Bonedog
3:48 PM EST on January 14, 2008
going to be a close one NE on the 17-18 storm. Cold air in place all this week will be enough to have it start as snow. All depends on track how far inland the warm air gets to determine snow/rain line. Dont think it will be too big. Looking at maybe 3 inches.

The big storm is in the 20-21 time frame is actualy 23rd. My mistake. That looks like a monster and has been there since it was picked up way back when.



Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
407. Weather456
4:32 PM AST on January 14, 2008
Posted November 2007
January Follow Up

Tropical Front

A weather front is a boundary between two masses of air of different densities, and is the principal cause of significant weather. In surface weather analyses, fronts are depicted using various colored lines and symbols. The air masses separated by a front usually differ in temperature, humidity and stability. Examples of fronts include cold front, warm front, occluded fronts and the ITCZ.

This tropical front in the Tropical Eastern Pacific Ocean actually separates two different air masses - the cool, stable, low humidity marine layer of the SE trade regime and the warm, unstable, high humidity air of the NE trade wind regime.

As they collide with each other the warmer northeast trades are lifted over the more stable southeast trades. Imagine rolling bread doe between your hand which are moving different directions - thats how the frontal ropes form.

Cloud streets are rows of cumulus or cumulus-type clouds aligned parallel to the low-level wind.

The most favorable conditions for their formation occur when the lowermost layer of air is unstable, but is capped by an inversion-by a stable layer of air. This often occurs when upper air is subsiding, such as under anticyclonic conditions, and is also frequently found when radiation fog has formed overnight. Convection occurs below the inversion, with air rising in thermals below the clouds and sinking in the air between the streets.



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
406. NEwxguy
8:17 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
bone thursday night friday storm,looks too warm,going to be a lot of mix with that storm,didn't hear about the 20 21 storm.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 877 Comments: 15709
405. Bonedog
3:05 PM EST on January 14, 2008
LOL NWS already issuing a Hazardous Weather outlook for thursday night storm here.

Guess they think it might be something to watch.

My money is on the 20-21 system. Since it started showing on the long range models its been looking like a monster.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
404. IKE
1:48 PM CST on January 14, 2008
Point Barrow, Alaska in the deep freeze...

"Observed at: Barrow, Alaska
Elevation: 43 ft
[Clear]
-44 °F
Clear
Wind: 5 mph from the SSW
Pressure: 30.09 in (Rising)
Windchill: -61 °F
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Snow Depth: 8.0 in"
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403. Weather456
3:49 PM AST on January 14, 2008
TD 09F needs to be watch

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
402. Bonedog
2:38 PM EST on January 14, 2008
gotcha Lake.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
401. LakeShadow
7:44 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
no accumulations here, some spotty LES with mixed precip...the radar show nothing, but these are forming just as soon as they pass right now. I'm getting the full fetch w/ lake erie (winds are SW) but they are going to turn more Westerly, so it will be shortlived.
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
400. Bonedog
2:39 PM EST on January 14, 2008
Its all good Vort.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
398. Bonedog
2:36 PM EST on January 14, 2008
NE Thats how it was by me too. All the trees look like a snow gun got them. Made for awsome pics though :)

even made a snow man with the wife last night around midnight
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
397. NEwxguy
7:33 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
Bone,
It was like paste,sticking to the trees,quite of few big branches have come down today,we also had thunder around dawn this morning.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 877 Comments: 15709
396. Bonedog
2:31 PM EST on January 14, 2008
Hey Lake. Get much snow?
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
395. Bonedog
2:28 PM EST on January 14, 2008
LOL Vort that Cam shots is a long way away from the cold Northeast :)

Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
394. LakeShadow
7:28 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
*whimpers*
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
392. Weather456
3:22 PM AST on January 14, 2008
Australia disturbance

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
390. Weather456
3:00 PM AST on January 14, 2008
La Nina/MJO Floods Australia
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
389. Bonedog
2:19 PM EST on January 14, 2008
funny thing everything below 900 feet here in Nj was rain. When i got off the mountain and looked back twords my home was funny to see snow capped hilltops.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
387. Bonedog
2:13 PM EST on January 14, 2008
afternoon.


I got 6 wet inches.

probably a 6:1 or 8:1 ratio. I will upload pics later tonight. Got some awsome shots :)
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
386. NEwxguy
7:15 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
I have a about 7 or 8 inches,much more to the north of me
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 877 Comments: 15709
385. LakeShadow
7:04 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
I dunno, Cyber Teddy...winter storms have been pretty entertaining... that West coast one was huge and had winds up to a cat 5. That was a bigger landfall than any of the tropical storms in the US this past hurricane season. crazy storm... then theres the tornado outbreak..that was fascinating. Lots o' crazy weather!
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
383. NEwxguy
5:52 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
afternoon all
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 877 Comments: 15709
382. Weather456
2:49 PM AST on January 14, 2008
good afternoon to all
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
381. cchsweatherman
1:39 PM EST on January 14, 2008
Good afternoon all. Just updated my site earlier today. I have mentioned that there is very little confidence in the forecast models and I am not certain regarding the forecast for Thursday and beyond. Question. Is this train of Canadian fronts expected to move through South Florida?

Looks like the "invest" area we had been monitoring the past few days has finally surrendered and is now getting absorbed into a cold front traversing the Atlantic. Hopefully, we won't have to monitor anymore nuisance lows until this hurricane season.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
380. CybrTeddy
6:46 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
Well heres the thing, there are Good thing and bad
things about the Blogs during Post-Season Months,
Good-
+ No fighting
+ Less posting
+ Some freindly Comments
+ Get to watch other Tropical Cyclones form
+ NO TROLLS
Bad-
+ Boring as could be
+ Hardley anyone to talk to ever
+ No tropical Cyclones
+ No Info on which ways the Tropical Cyclones are going (Cause theres no Tropical Cyclones)
+ All the info people leave
+ No Forcast on the Tropics
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379. Bonedog
1:17 PM EST on January 14, 2008
hey folks

woke up to a nice heavy 6 inches :)

everything below 900 feet got rain.

gotta love living in the mountains
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
378. Sfloridacat5
6:12 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
I just love how they keep forecasting major snowstorms for New York City and nothing happens.
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377. franck
5:09 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
probabilistic...hmmm...okay.
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376. LakeShadow
3:31 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
morning all, hey NE...hows it going?
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
375. NEwxguy
3:06 PM GMT on January 14, 2008
good morning to all,snowing here in eastern mass. but not as much as they originally forecast,I can deal with this.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 877 Comments: 15709
370. biff4ugo
8:05 AM EST on January 14, 2008
I'm surprised it is keeping it's circulation together with all the islands around there.

Who updates the Climate Change monthly weather anomoly chart? I am curious about December.

Have a great morning.
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369. Weather456
5:59 AM AST on January 14, 2008
Tropical Storm 01W Update 7

Issued 1000 UTC JAN 14 2008 by W456

Tropical storm 01W is located near 12.0N-113.1W moving towards the west-southwest. Estimated surface winds are near 30-35 knots and minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Wind shear is 10-20 knots and SSTs are 27-28C.

The low-level closed circulation (LLCC) was estimated using high-resolution visible imagery, microwave imagery and synoptic ship reports which coincidently surrounds the tropical cyclone. Based on QuikSCAT, synoptic reports and AMSU-A, the estimated surface winds is 30-35 knots extending outwards 38 nmi. Minimum pressure reported by ships on the periphery of the storm was 1004 mb, which corresponds to 1003 mb near the center. The cyclone displayed a brief intensification period in the past 6-12 hrs as wind shear relaxed as the system pulled away from a deep-layered ridge over the Western Pacific Ocean. Currently, satellite imagery still revealed a fairly organize system with the LLCC remaining under the convective mass surrounded 0.50 of premature spiral bands. However, the cyclone is beginning to interact with the cold northeast monsoonal flow to its northeast (look at the cold air stratiform clouds) which has the system looking somewhat "not appealing" to the eyes of a tropical forecaster. The forecast calls for the storm to continue on a more southwesterly track over the South China Sea and into the mouth of the Gulf of Thailand in 48-72 hrs time.

By W456

JTWC Stats:
0600 UTC 01W NONAME.35kts-1000mb-124N-1137E




Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
368. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
8:31 AM GMT on January 14, 2008
Japan Meteorological Agency

No Tropical Cyclone Bulletins/Warnings

WWJP25 Weather Chart (0600 UTC 14Jan)
=====================================

TROPICAL DEPRESSION
12.5ºN 113.9ºE - 30 knots 1004 hPa

moving west-southwest at 10 knots

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Cyclone Warning #5
=============================
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm One has 1 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. The cyclone is located 260 NM east of Nha Trang, Vietnam and is reported moving west-southwest at 12 knots.

Significant wave height associated with 01W is 14 feet.
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366. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
4:57 AM GMT on January 14, 2008
RSMC Nadi

System #1
----------

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F
15.5ºS 179.3W - 20 knots 1002 hPa

Tropical Disturbance Summary (2300 UTC 13Jan)
====================================
At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression Eight [1002 hPa] located near 15.5S 179.3W is reported moving slowly. Position POOR based on Multispectral Visible/Infrared Radar Imagery with animation and peripheral surface observation. Sea Surface Temperatures around 29-30C. A definite low level center is still difficult to locate at this stage. Quikscat maintains a surface trough in the area. Environmental pressures in the vicinity are rising slightly. There is a pulse of convection in that area but with no definate organization.

CIMMS indicates that the system still lies in a region of upper diffluence in a low shear environment. A convergence zone remains active to the north and strong ridge to the south. Global model has lost 08F.

The potential of this system to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 24-48 hours is downgraded to LOW.

System #2
-----------

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F
20.5ºS 174.2ºW - 20 knots 1001 hPa

Tropical Disturbance Summary (2300 UTC 13Jan)
====================================
At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression Nine [1001 hPa] located near 20.5S 174.2W. Position POOR based on Multispectral Visible/Infrared Radar Imagery with animation. Sea Surface Temperatures around 28C. Low level cyclonic curvature is hard to see in satellite imagery. Convection is sheared but to the east without much organization.

CIMMS indicates the system lies in a high sheared environment, Global models do not deepen the system any further and move it off rapidly to the south-southeast.

The potential of this system to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 24-48 hours remains LOW.

Brisbane Bureau of Meteorology - Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (14Jan)
==============================
The monsoon trough extends across the Northern Coral Sea and across the base of Cape York Peninsula. A broad tropical low, with the main center 996 hPa currently located near Innisfall, is slow moving. The system remains tilted in the vertical in an area of moderate shear. This combined with the proximity to land ensures that the system has a low probability of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next two days.

With the environment likely to gradually improve by Thursday, the chances of development increases to moderate.

Bureau of Meteorology - Perth

(1) Central South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (14Jan)
==================================
There are no other significant lows evident in the central southeastern Indian Ocean at this time.

(2) Southeast Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (14Jan)
=================================
There are no other significant lows evident in the central southeastern Indian Ocean at this time.

Darwin Bureau of Meteorology - Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (14Jan)
=================================
There are no other significant lows evident in the central southeastern Indian Ocean at this time.
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365. ycd0108
4:13 AM GMT on January 14, 2008
not up to speed on this blog- most of my weather comes from the west and I am way west of most posters on N.A. continent. Just now: Mild winter temp. no wind. Went to the boat today and cranked the old Mercruiser 165 - she started!
I keep watching this blog because I get notices here about severe weather (and earthquakes) in my area long before they show up on my local news.
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364. HIEXPRESS
3:16 AM GMT on January 14, 2008
SPC -
Day 3 Conv
...active train of strong shortwave troughs will continue to migrate
east/southeastward across the country this forecast period. One of these troughs
will be ejected from the Ohio/MS valleys eastward to the eastern
Seaboard...in response to a stronger system digging southeastward from the
Pacific northwest/northern rockies into the northern plains/central rockies. This
second system is expected to evolve into a highly amplified longwave
trough over the central U.S. Wed/Thu.

...DETAILS CONCERNING THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH HAVE SHOWN GREAT VARIABILITY BETWEEN T[W]O DIFFERENT
MODELS AND PREVIOUS RUNS...





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363. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:17 AM GMT on January 14, 2008
Japan Meteorological Agency

No Tropical Cyclone Bulletins/Warnings

WWJP25 Weather Chart (0000 UTC 14Jan)
=====================================

TROPICAL DEPRESSION
12.8ºN 114.9ºE - 30 knots 1008 hPa

moving west at 12 knots

PAGASA

Tropical Disturbance Advisory
===========================
At 2 a.m. today, an active low pressure area was estimated based on satellite and surface data 530 kms west of Southern Luzon (14.2°N, 115.5°E). Cold front extending over Central and Northern Luzon. Intertropical Convergence zone affecting Visayas and Mindanao.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Cyclone Warning #4
=============================
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm One has 1 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. The cyclone is located 330 NM east of Nha Trang, Vietnam and is reported moving east at 12 knots.

Significant wave height associated with 01W is 14 feet.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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