More tornadoes and flooding for the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:21 PM GMT on January 09, 2008

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Wild spring-like severe weather continued Tuesday, with eight tornadoes reported in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee. One Arkansas man died in Appleton when a tornado rolled his mobile home. The same tornado gave a cow a wild ride of 3/4 mile before setting it down unharmed. A total of 48 tornadoes have been reported for the two day severe weather outbreak that has affected much of the Midwest. Two people were killed and three critically injured in southern Missouri on Monday near the town of Marshfield, northeast of Springfield, when a tornado rated EF3 with winds of 136-165 mph smashed through a mobile home park. In Wheatland, Wisconsin, just north of the Illinois border, another EF3 tornado damaged or destroyed 55 buildings and injured 13 people. Twelve homes were demolished down to their foundations. The Wheatland tornado was only the second January tornado on record in Wisconsin. The only other one was a long-track F3 in Green and Rock counties on 24 January 1967. Detailed imagery and analysis of this tornado are available from the National Weather Service in Milwaukee and the CIMSS Satellite Blog.


Figure 1. Storm reports for Tuesday compiled by the Storm Prediction Center.

In north central Indiana, heavy rains of up to eight inches triggered floods along the Wabash and Tippicanoe rivers that killed three people and forced the evacuation of hundreds. No further rain or severe weather is expected in the Midwest today. A new storm system on Thursday may bring the risk of severe weather to Alabama and surrounding states on Thursday.


Figure 2. Heavy rains of up to eight inches hit portions of Indiana and Illinois this week. Image credit: NOAA.

Jeff Masters

Missouri tornandos (bikesnapper)
Our news commented that for Springfield there were 63 tornado warnings over 15 hours of which at least 10 passed over the city. It was a very long scary night that these storms kept coming and coming and coming
Missouri tornandos
More Flood in My Backyard! (AndysWench)
Whole addition gone! Only Two hours for a flash flood!
More Flood in My Backyard!
my site (freybear)
my site check it out www.tornadolinks.com All your tornado and weather links, all on one website!
my site

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320. vortfix
1:42 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Oh....also.....here is a photo and short article regarding snow in South America:

Photobucket

Jan 10, 2008
Breaking News- Snow in the Middle of the South America Summer
You think the weather has been wild and extreme here in the United States the last 10 days. Take a look at this!!!

Metsul Weather Center

The weather went crazy. This is the most read sentence in the press of Buenos Aires at this moment. The central and northern areas of Argentina are experiencing a brutal heat wave that brought the electrical grid of country to near a collapse point. The temperature soared to 39C (102F) in Buenos Aires with a heat index of 42C (108F), but in some provinces of Argentina the heat index reached 54C (129F) yesterday. This morning it snowed in several locations of southern Argentina as the famous resort of Bariloche in the Andes Mountains. It even snowed in downtown Bariloche (photo), a rare event for January. Local press described the snow blanketed the Cordillera of Chubut, an unusual event for January. “I do not know if I use my plastic swimming pool or the skis”, told a local resident that saw snow this morning and just few hours earlier suffered with much above average temperature reaching 30C (86F) in the Patagonia region. Snow was also reported in San Martins de Los Andes. Tourists in the regional, used to see snow in the colder months of the years, could not believe the white thing was falling in the middle of January. Just like this week in the United States (winter storm in the West and unusually warm in the East), the northern areas of Argentina were under very warm weather warnings at the some moment it was snowing in the southern provinces.

Icecap Note: This is even more unusual than a July snow in Denver, a mile high (5,278 feet) city at about the same latitude. Bariloche is at just 2,772 feet elevation.
319. Bonedog
1:38 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
!!!!!!!!!NEW BLOG!!!!!!!!
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
318. vortfix
1:39 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Mornin Bone. I saw a bunch of photos somewhere of that Baghdad snow. Let me find one. They were quite something to see.
317. Cavin Rawlins
1:38 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
morning bone
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
316. Cavin Rawlins
1:37 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
remember when 95L started to interact with a front to its north...and the NHC drop the Special Tropical Disturbance Statement becuz of that reason?
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
315. Bonedog
1:37 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Morning NE, Vort, CCh, 456
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
314. Bonedog
1:21 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
found this photo on an arab news network site SNOW in Baghdad

Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
313. NEwxguy
1:35 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Good morning all,what a crazy winter this is,driving to work this morning with lightning flashing around me
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 862 Comments: 15071
312. cchsweatherman
1:35 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
I guess that I will have to update my site on this possible invest in the Central Atlantic. Based upon my analysis, it is quite evident that there is indeed a closed circulation at the surface. But, I do not see this system as either subtropical or tropical in nature just yet. I believe we will see some subtropical/tropical genesis during the day today. I will be monitoring both the cold front as well as this possible invest throughout the day.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5030
311. vortfix
1:34 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Bonedog.....you could be on to something there. That's what I was thinking this morning also. Could be the energy needed to get something going for sure.
Could be interesting. It might just get drawn too far north though before the front really interacts......hmmmm.
310. Cavin Rawlins
1:33 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
308. Bonedog 1:26 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
456 cold the approaching front give it the needed energy to develope subtrobical characteristics?

Kind of give it a jump start?


If the cold front was forecasted to be weak, stationary and/or dying. But it will be accomapnied by a shortwave.....most likely it will be absorbed and taken out to sea. The Global models agree to. Also....the definition of a subtropical or tropical is a "non frontal" area of disturb weathert.... and any interaction with a front that strong will just be contradicting the whole ideology.

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
309. cchsweatherman
1:26 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Good morning all! I contacted my family in Monroe, GA early yesterday afternoon to prepare for possible tornadoes developing in and around the area. Thus far, I haven't gotten any calls from them, so Im guessing that they are doing well. Taking a look at the reports, I did not see anything from there, so I am quite relieved this morning, but I feel sorry for the thousands who lives have been changed forever by this historic severe weather outbreak. God bless them.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5030
308. Bonedog
1:26 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
456 cold the approaching front give it the needed energy to develope subtrobical characteristics?

Kind of give it a jump start?
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
307. Cavin Rawlins
1:24 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Alll the system needs to do is contract the radius of maximum winds (RMW) and aquire some convection that will alow it develop a warm core in the upper levels. Currently a flat to cool thermal core exist near 200 hpa, which is not subtropical or tropical in nature. It has unitl Sunday to get its act togther before it becomes absorbed by a cold front.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
306. vortfix
1:23 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Photobucket


Photobucket

305. Cavin Rawlins
1:21 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Wind shear tendency has negative values near the system but still well above the 15 knot threshold near 30 knots.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
304. Cavin Rawlins
1:18 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
I watch this system all week going from nothing at the surface to a well define LLCC. This is really true genesis in the making.

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
303. Bonedog
1:16 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
from wunderground....

3:55 AM 37.4 F 35.6 F 93% 30.12 in 5.0 miles Variable 6.9 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
4:26 AM 37.4 F 35.6 F 93% 30.11 in 3.7 miles Variable 6.9 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
4:55 AM 37.4 F 35.6 F 93% 30.10 in 3.7 miles Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
5:55 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.11 in 3.7 miles Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
6:55 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.12 in - Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow Showers
7:37 AM 33.8 F 33.8 F 100% 30.25 in 1.0 miles Variable 4.6 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow Showers
7:55 AM 33.8 F 33.8 F 100% 30.14 in 1.5 miles Variable 3.5 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow
8:55 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.14 in 1.2 miles North 8.1 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow
9:30 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.14 in - NNW 4.6 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
9:55 AM 35.6 F 33.8 F 93% 30.15 in 3.1 miles North 6.9 mph - N/A Rain Light Rain


Baghdad, Iraq KQTZ
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
302. HurricaneKing
1:16 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
Here I found the link about the snow.

Link
Member Since: July 6, 2005 Posts: 71 Comments: 2449
301. Cavin Rawlins
1:16 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
296. Thundercloud01221991 11:38 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Has anyone seen the fact that the "Atlantic Storm" is developing this morning it even has convection on the south side


yes we (me Drak, H23 and others) know we have been talking about it for the past week.

My remarks,

the circulation has become better define on multispectural infrared imagery. I havnt check all the enviromental variables as yet but wind shear my satellite estimations seems to be relaxing but still above the threshold.



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
300. Bonedog
1:01 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
WHAT!! Snowed in Iraq??


WTF is up with the weather???

Tornados in Washington State, Severe Outbreak in January, Snow in Iraq

REM playing in the background.....
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
299. HurricaneKing
1:04 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
I just heard on Good Morning America that it snowed in Baghdad Iraq for the first time in living memory.
Member Since: July 6, 2005 Posts: 71 Comments: 2449
298. Bonedog
1:01 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
WOW it did happen. Unreal!!

Published January 10, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tornado touches down in Vancouver neighborhood

SARAH SKIDMORE
Associated Press Writer

VANCOUVER, Wash. — A tornado downed power lines, uprooted trees, sent shopping carts flying into cars and demolished a rowing club Thursday in Vancouver.

There were no reports of injuries as the tornado cut through four miles from Vancouver Lake at the west edge of the town through the Hazel Dell area.

"It looks like we came through this pretty good," said Jim Flaherty, spokesman for the Vancouver Fire Department.

Utility officials said about 800 people lost power.

"I saw it coming and thought, 'Whatever that is, it's scary,'" said Kym Calder, 47, who ran into a nearby church for shelter when she saw the funnel cloud ahead of her.

The wind ripped swatches of shingles off buildings and fences out of the ground. The trampoline in one Hazel Dell yard lifted into another, only to be pinned by a falling tree.

Lori Ratliff, 46, said she saw limbs and newspapers swirling in the air outside her second-story office and felt the building shake when the storm ripped the brick facade of the building.

While pockets of some neighborhoods were severely damaged, others were untouched.

Some of the storm's most heaviest damage was at the edge of Vancouver Lake, where it demolished the home of Vancouver Lake Crew.

More than 50 rowing shells, which cost thousands of dollars each, lay splintered on the shores. Two large trailers that served as the base for the nonprofit club lay twisted on the ground.

Dozens of volunteers helped pull chunks of rowing machines out of the bushes and a canoe lay on the opposite shore.

It was a personal tragedy for the club's founder, Bill Kalenius, who had just finished chemotherapy and radiation treatment during the holidays.

"He's not supposed to be alive," said Zeph Halsey, coach of the youth team. "This is why he's alive."

The group is almost entirely run by volunteers. One of the docks is an Eagle Scout project. And Kalenius had personally restored much of the donated equipment used by the group.

"He has dedicated his life to this," his wife, Mary Kay Kalenius said. "It's kept him afloat."

The National Weather Service detected the tornado but couldn't estimate its wind speed, said Steve Todd, chief meteorologist for the National Weather Service in Portland.

Todd said the region of southwest Washington and northwest Oregon sees only one or two tornadoes a year, most often in sparsely populated areas.

"We do see more of actually what we call funnel clouds," he said. "Those are the same type of phenomenon, only they don't touch down. As soon as they touch down a funnel cloud changes from a funnel cloud to a tornado."

But, he said, Pacific Northwest tornadoes tend to be weaker than those of the Midwest.

On April 5, 1972, a tornado struck Vancouver, killing six people, injuring about 300 more and causing $3 million in damage. Among the injured were about 70 children from the Peter S. Ogden Elementary School, which was demolished.

Link
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
297. Bonedog
12:48 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
what the .....

There were tornados in Washington State yesterday? I didnt notice returns in that area or even watchs

VANCOUVER LAKE CLARK WA 4568 12273 TOUCHDOWN REPORTED FROM NEAR 78TH (PQR)

HAZEL DELL CLARK WA 4568 12265 TORNADO WITH PRELIMINARY RATING OF EF1 ON THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 90 TO 110 MPH. TORNADO PATH LENGTH WAS APPROX. 2 MILES LONG AND 1/4 MILE WID (PQR)

HAZEL DELL CLARK WA 4568 12265 TREE DAMAGE. POWER LINES DOWN AND TRANSFORMER BLOWN IN HAZEL DELL. POWER FOR ABOUT 2500 CUSTOMERS IN THE AREA IS OUT. (PQR)

HOCKINSON CLARK WA 4573 12248 TORNADO SPOTTED SOUTH OF HOCKINSON HIGH SCHOOL AND JUST WEST OF 172ND AVENUE (PQR)
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
296. Thundercloud01221991
11:38 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Has anyone seen the fact that the "Atlantic Storm" is developing this morning it even has convection on the south side
Member Since: August 1, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
295. ShenValleyFlyFish
11:32 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Everest hero Edmund Hillary dies

Sir Edmund Hillary, who made a historic first ascent of the world's highest peak, Mount Everest, has died aged 88.

New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark described the explorer as a heroic figure and said all New Zealanders would deeply mourn his passing.

Sir Edmund's health had reportedly been in decline since April, when he suffered a fall while visiting Nepal.

He was the first man to climb the 8,850m (29,035ft) peak, with Tenzing Norgay, on 29 May 1953.

Returning to Everest's South Col camp, he famously greeted another member of the British expedition group with the words: "Well, George, we've knocked the bastard off."


He was an heroic figure who not only 'knocked off' Everest but lived a life of determination, humility and generosity
New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark

Obituary: Sir Edmund Hillary
Life in pictures: Sir Edmund

After the ascent, Sir Edmund led a number of expeditions to the South Pole and devoted his life to helping the ethnic Sherpas of Nepal's Khumbu region.

His Himalayan Trust has helped build hospitals, clinics, bridges, airstrips and nearly 30 schools. He was made an honorary Nepalese citizen in 2003.

Prayer ceremonies are being held in Nepal to pay tribute to Sir Edmund, the charity says.

from BBC Link
Member Since: September 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
294. Bonedog
11:09 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
wow, local forcast discussion actual said its possible for isolated tornados here!! Im in NJ, tornados in January in NJ??? Im going to keep an eye on this one. With this storm system being the way it has been cant rule anything out I guess.

000
FXUS61 KPHI 110844
AFDPHI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 AM EST FRI JAN 11 2008

.......
.......
.......

FORECASTED 0-3KM HELICITY VALUES ARE THRU THE ROOF BETWEEN 200-500
M2/S2, WHILE SOME OF THIS IS ALONG/NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT, IT
STILL REMAINS PRETTY HIGH IN THE WARM SECTOR. VALUES LIKE THAT COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES, ESPECIALLY IF WE GET A BREAK IN THE LINE
THAT WOULD ENHANCE LOCALIZED INFLOW
. SITU SIMILAR TO THESE IN THE
PAST HAVE PRODUCED SVR STORMS WHEN SFC BASED LIFTED INDICES DROP AOB
ZERO, THE SPC WEB SITE HAS A GOOD MESOANALYSIS PAGE THAT IS UPDATED
HOURLY THAT CAN BE FOLLOWED.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
293. Bonedog
11:07 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Morning Folks. Raining here, few imbeded thunderstorms. I have camera gear with me, just incase.

WOW amazing how many tornado reports there were yesterday. I have seen images on CNN this morning of school buses blown oto a schools roof. That had to be one heck of a Tornado.

Hope everyone faired well overnight.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
292. Cavin Rawlins
9:52 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Tropical Invest 90W Update 3

Issued 0900 UTC JAN 11 2008 by W456

Tropical disturbance centered near 8.5N-126.5 moving towards the west northwest. Estimated surface winds are 20 knots and minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Wind shear is 5-10 knots and SSTs are near 82F.

Position poorly based on past microwave imagery and low level infrared winds. Surface winds and pressure estimated using synoptic reports. This disturbance continues to produce strong-moderate showers and thunderstorms mainly to the northwest of the well-define LLCC. The latest update shows the center nearing the coast of Mindanao Island in the Philippines. Environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression once the system moves westward across the Philippines Islands, and into the South China Sea. After which the cyclone should turn southwestward under the influence of the NE Monsoon flow a product of the very strong Siberian High.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
0600 UTC 90W INVEST.15kts-1010mb-82N-1269E

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
291. Cavin Rawlins
9:07 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Tropical Invest 90W Update 2

Issued 0000 UTC JAN 11 2008

An area of disturb weather is centered on a 1006 mb low near 6.5N-131W moving towards the west northwest. Estimated surface winds are near 20 knots. Wind shear is 10 knots and SSTs are near 82F.

Position and movement was based on QuikSCAT and low-level turning seen on infrared imagery. QuikSCAT shows a well-define LLCC with associated winds of 20 knots. Estimated surface pressure is near 1006 mb based on buoy, ship and station plots from the Philippines. Infrared satellite imagery shows a relatively large system accompanied by a broad zone of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression as the system moves westward across the Philippines Islands, then into the South China Sea. After which the cyclone should turn southwestward under the influence of the NE Monsoon flow produced by the very strong Siberian High.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
1800 UTC 90W INVEST.15kts-1010mb-87N-1281E
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
290. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:39 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
stl u here
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52230
288. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:16 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
time stamp out of sync
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52230
287. Tazmanian
5:14 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
. WunderYakuza you there
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114049
286. Tazmanian
5:13 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
whats with this


283. Tazmanian 9:08 PM PST on January 10, 2008
hmmmm now it seen to be fixs that was odd
Action: Modify Comment


282. Tazmanian 9:11 PM PST on January 10, 2008

Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114049
285. Tazmanian
5:12 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
or may be not
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114049
283. Tazmanian
5:08 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
hmmmm now it seen to be fixs that was odd
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114049
282. Tazmanian
5:11 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
i think the time seting with the blog post is a little off


how can i post some in at 9:08pm


and keeper posted some in at 8:56pm
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281. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:10 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
if your still there admin everything seems to be working ok
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279. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
4:56 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
thanks
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278. Tazmanian
5:08 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
welcome back WunderYakuza thanks long time no see how have you been doing???
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114049
277. Aaron Cowdin , Lead Developer (Admin)
5:04 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Hey Taz. Congrats, you're our first tester. :)
276. Tazmanian
5:01 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
hi
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274. Cavin Rawlins
11:08 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
272. Drakoen
10:11 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
270. StormW 10:04 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
Going good Drak! How about you?


Good as well.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
271. Cavin Rawlins
10:05 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
268. Drakoen 6:14 PM AST on January 10, 2008
264. Weather456 10:03 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
look at the monster charging towards the invest

yep. That monster will be responsible for taking it out to sea and/or dissapating the system. Thats what i was explaining yesterday.


yeah...h23 and I were also saying the same thing yesterday.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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