More tornadoes and flooding for the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:21 PM GMT on January 09, 2008

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Wild spring-like severe weather continued Tuesday, with eight tornadoes reported in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee. One Arkansas man died in Appleton when a tornado rolled his mobile home. The same tornado gave a cow a wild ride of 3/4 mile before setting it down unharmed. A total of 48 tornadoes have been reported for the two day severe weather outbreak that has affected much of the Midwest. Two people were killed and three critically injured in southern Missouri on Monday near the town of Marshfield, northeast of Springfield, when a tornado rated EF3 with winds of 136-165 mph smashed through a mobile home park. In Wheatland, Wisconsin, just north of the Illinois border, another EF3 tornado damaged or destroyed 55 buildings and injured 13 people. Twelve homes were demolished down to their foundations. The Wheatland tornado was only the second January tornado on record in Wisconsin. The only other one was a long-track F3 in Green and Rock counties on 24 January 1967. Detailed imagery and analysis of this tornado are available from the National Weather Service in Milwaukee and the CIMSS Satellite Blog.


Figure 1. Storm reports for Tuesday compiled by the Storm Prediction Center.

In north central Indiana, heavy rains of up to eight inches triggered floods along the Wabash and Tippicanoe rivers that killed three people and forced the evacuation of hundreds. No further rain or severe weather is expected in the Midwest today. A new storm system on Thursday may bring the risk of severe weather to Alabama and surrounding states on Thursday.


Figure 2. Heavy rains of up to eight inches hit portions of Indiana and Illinois this week. Image credit: NOAA.

Jeff Masters

Missouri tornandos (bikesnapper)
Our news commented that for Springfield there were 63 tornado warnings over 15 hours of which at least 10 passed over the city. It was a very long scary night that these storms kept coming and coming and coming
Missouri tornandos
More Flood in My Backyard! (AndysWench)
Whole addition gone! Only Two hours for a flash flood!
More Flood in My Backyard!
my site (freybear)
my site check it out www.tornadolinks.com All your tornado and weather links, all on one website!
my site

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70. Drakoen
11:56 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Thats correct W456. Low level wind product already shows west winds at the surface. Possible broad circulation.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29888
69. Weather456
7:42 PM AST on January 09, 2008
There is sufficient evidence suggesting there maybe a broad circulation trying to form. Awaiting QSCAT to confirm.

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
68. Weather456
7:29 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Darker shades indicate dry air in the mid-upper levels and there is a trail leading right to the culprit.

Also notice the outflow jet or channel to the east.

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
67. Weather456
7:12 PM AST on January 09, 2008
One thing I should of included in update 4 is the dry air affecting 07F, despite 07F well define circulation and organize convection. The first image shows the diameter of the of circulation (yellow arrow) and the diameter of the area absent of CCC - cold cloud cover (red arrow). Water vapor imagery in the second image reveals the culprit is dry air. This dry air is coming as a result of an upper circulation NE of the TC.



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
66. Weather456
6:51 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Sw Pacific

An area of disturb weather within the monsoon trough needs to be watch over the next several days. Models have been predicting the development of a relatively strong tropical cyclone over the past week. New model runs indicating a possible second low. If anything were to form it would move towards the SE then recurve back southwestward under the influence of a building ridge in about 108 hrs.

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
65. scwindsaloft
11:02 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
We all have been there...driving in fog on the edge our seats. I couldn't imagine running up on a scene like that with no warning.
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64. SarahFromFLA
10:59 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
It was a combination of smoke from the out-of-control fire and fog.

I have been on I-4 during similar conditions and it is like looking off the edge of the world. You can't see a thing. You have to be extremely careful.
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63. hondaguy
4:49 PM CST on January 09, 2008
49. vortfix 2:45 PM CST on January 09, 2008
Holy Moly!!!!!!


Yea I saw that story too, and it doesnt surprise me that the claims were filed, but the amount sure does!

When you really break it down though that's only about 6.1 trillion a person. Not to shabby if I say so myself.

Hell I'm not greedy, they can transfer a couple mil to my account and that'd be just fine :-)
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62. SarahFromFLA
10:50 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
The accident was very much weather related. If you look at the graph from this weather station in Lakeland from yesterday, Lakeland 1/8/08 you will see that the winds picked up and became rather unpredictable midday. I'd be interested to know if this was forecast prior to the control burn.

Controlled burns are absolutely necessary in Florida but they need to plan carefully.

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61. scwindsaloft
10:49 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
aquak: do they believe that the fire had a part to do with this? or was it just the fog? That was unreal footage!
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60. aquak9
4:38 PM EST on January 09, 2008
This is the main artery between central Florida and the more southern part of the west coast of Florida. Now they are saying it will be closed indefinitely.
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59. NEwxguy
9:35 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Controlled burn,its hard to believe people would be so reckless,I smell a lawsuit in the future.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 874 Comments: 15595
58. aquak9
4:18 PM EST on January 09, 2008
NEwx...it was a controlled burn, believe it or not. Certainly the local mets were aware of the conditions before this morning. Why the folks decided to go ahead with the burn is beyond me.

yeah, those pics from MyFoxTampa are amazing.
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57. vortfix
9:19 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
I suspect the amount of the lawsuit was determined in part by trying to attract attention to the suit.
I think they were successful!
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56. Weather456
5:01 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Tropical Depression 07F Update 4

Issued 1700 UTC JAN 09 2008 by W456
Update 2100 UTC JAN 09 2008 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F is located near 20.9S-175.5W; movement is a little east of due south. Position based on QuikSCAT, synoptic reports, microwave satellite and visible imagery. Estimated surface winds are 30 knots and extends outward 30 nmi mainly in the NE quadrant based on QuikSCAT and AMSU with estimated surface pressure near 995 mb based on a synoptic report near the center. SSTs are 26-28C and wind shear is 10 knots.

Tropical Depression 07F has increase in organization in the past 12 hrs or so. Satellite imagery showed wind shear has fallen over the disturbance, which allow the depression to build convection over the once exposed LLCC. The LLCC is tightly wounded and well define as seen on QuikSCAT and microwave imagery with associated winds of 30 knots. Estimated surface pressure is 995 mb measured by station MFTF on the island of Tonga, which is near the center. Global models have done extremely well on 07F, indicating that wind shear would relax enough to allow development as seen in update 3. The models still allow the TD to develop further and move southeastward around a transitory ridge.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
1800 UTC 30kts-1000mb-208S-1754W
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
55. NEwxguy
9:09 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
aquak,thats pretty amazing stuff.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 874 Comments: 15595
54. aquak9
4:07 PM EST on January 09, 2008
This is weather-related, I suppose. From The Tampa area.

Included here, from MyFoxTampa, is Gallery: Foggy I4 Pile-up...these pics were taken after much of the fog started to lift. You can see the extent of the pile-ups all along I4, as well as some more raw footage of the wreckage scene.

I found most of this to be mind-numbing, I honestly have not seen such wreckage.

Link
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53. NEwxguy
9:06 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
any bets on anyone seeing a penny
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 874 Comments: 15595
52. NEwxguy
9:05 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
quadrillion,may as well shoot for the sky.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 874 Comments: 15595
51. Weather456
4:48 PM AST on January 09, 2008
49. vortfix 4:45 PM AST on January 09, 2008

WOW...i didnt even know they had a number called quadrillion.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
50. Weather456
4:19 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Cool Vis loop 07F

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t6/loop-vis.html
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
49. vortfix
8:45 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Holy Moly!!!!!!


Katrina victim sues U.S. for $3 quadrillion
Federal government hit with 489,000 damage claims after hurricane.


updated 12:40 p.m. ET, Wed., Jan. 9, 2008
NEW ORLEANS - Hurricane Katrina's victims have put a price tag on their suffering and it is staggering — including one plaintiff seeking the unlikely sum of $3 quadrillion.

The total number — $3,014,170,389,176,410 — is the dollar figure so far sought from some 489,000 claims filed against the federal government over damage from the failure of levees and flood walls following the Aug. 29, 2005, hurricane.

Of the total number of claims, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers said it has received 247 for at least $1 billion apiece, including the one for $3 quadrillion.

"That's the mother of all high numbers," said Loren Scott, a Baton Rouge-based economist.

For the sake of perspective: A mere $1 quadrillion would dwarf the U.S. gross domestic product, which Scott said was $13.2 trillion in 2007. A stack of one quadrillion pennies would reach Saturn.....

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48. Weather456
4:06 PM AST on January 09, 2008
1900Z-2000Z Synoptic Reports - Ships, Buoys and Land Stations - SW Pacific just west of the date line and south of the EQ.



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
47. N3EG
8:03 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
The same tornado gave a cow a wild ride of 3/4 mile before setting it down unharmed.

What, no picture of the cow?
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46. Weather456
4:23 PM AST on January 09, 2008
A curve band arc of 0.33 will give T# of 2.0

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
45. Weather456
4:03 PM AST on January 09, 2008
The increasing help of micorwave sensors, conventional sat imagery and quikscat have been more than helpful in tracking 07F with few surface reports available and no reccon. This is good practise for Tthe Trop Atl in May



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
44. hurricane23
3:15 PM EST on January 09, 2008
Actually if you take a good look upper level shear is running at around 40-50kts in the area.The approaching cold front front will sweep the area clean.

www.AdriansWeather.com

My Severe Weather Page

Tropics Page

My Hurricane Archives
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13626
43. Weather456
3:40 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Visible imagery show some spin but it is more pronounce in the mid-upper levels with a large perturbation at the surface. Something that needs to be watch incase of development but no threat to land*
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
42. NEwxguy
7:27 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
The way this crazy winter with its springlike weather,would not be surprised to see an early season tropical system
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41. NEwxguy
7:26 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Cane,its been in the models all week,interesting to watch,but doesn't appear to have much future
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 874 Comments: 15595
40. CaneAddict
7:42 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Weather456: Yeah but it is something to watch, Before we know it it will be Hurricane Season again in 5 Months.
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39. Weather456
3:38 PM AST on January 09, 2008
CaneAddict, i have been wathcing that area for the past day or so...doesnt appear to have a LLCC yet and when i check the models this morning...there was a hint that some of them were backing off.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
38. CaneAddict
7:35 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Now everyone that knows me knows i know my stuff about tropics. This could very well be NOTHING, I did not take time to analyze it much or even get a logn animation its just something i eyeballed when looking @ the Atlantic satellite map. LIKE I SAID ITS PROBABLY NOTHING! Just something to analyze for the bored tropical fanatics! Enjoy.

Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
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37. Weather456
3:08 PM AST on January 09, 2008
This is a great CD to own if ur interestted in the TWC music. I already have most of their music on my PC. My fav is "Along the Way by Ryan Farish". They are both soothing and fun to listen

Link

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
36. hurricane23
1:14 PM EST on January 09, 2008
No real surprise as the result when 2 airmasses clash together most of the time the ending result is deadly.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13626
35. Weather456
1:47 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Interesting Tropics:

On January 7 2008 both Tropical Depression 07F and Tropical Disturbance 07R were designated.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
34. Weather456
1:16 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Tropical Depression 07F Update 4

Issued 1700 UTC JAN 09 2007 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F is located near 20.3S-175.5W movement towards the south. Position based on QuikSCAT, synoptic reports and microwave satellite. Estimated surface winds are 30 knots based on QuikSCAT and estimated surface pressure is 998-999 mb based on a synoptic report near the center. SSTs are 26-28C and wind shear is 10-15 knots.

Tropical Depression 07F has increase in organization in the past 12 hrs or so. Satellite imagery showed wind shear has fallen over the disturbance, which enabled the depression to build convection over the exposed LLCC. The LLCC is tightly wounded and well define as seen on QuikSCAT and microwave imagery with associated winds of 30 knots. Estimated surface pressure is 998-999 mb measured by station MFTF on the island of Tonga, which is near the center. Global models have done extremely well on 07F, indicating that wind shear would relax enough to allow development as seen in update 3. The models still allow the TD to develop further and move southeastward around a transitory ridge.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
1200 UTC 30kts-1000mb-201S-1756W




===================================================
Tropical Depression 07F Update 3

Issued 0200 UTC JAN 08 2008 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F centered near 19.56N-175.5W moving slowly towards thr south. Position and movement based QuikSCAT and visible imagery. Surface winds measured by QuikSCAT is 35 knots. Estimated surface pressure is around 1003-1004 hpa based on synoptic reports.

Visible imagery along with microwave data showed the well-defined LLCC of 07F remains expose due to northerly vertical wind shear induced by an upper low to its northwest. A recent QuikSCAT pass showed an excellent circulation with associated uncontiminated wind barbs of 35 knots. SSTs are 26-28F. Global models take this towards the southeast around the influence of a transitory anticyclone and are persistent on developing the depression further.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
0000 UTC 25kts-1004mb-194S-1756W

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
33. Bonedog
12:21 PM EST on January 09, 2008
Michael here is a link for you and "global warming" induced quakes.

Link

its as you said, from melting glaciers
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
32. Bonedog
12:19 PM EST on January 09, 2008
its strapped down NE. But still has enough give for a fun day of thinking I am on a boat.

Gotta love working in an office trailer :)
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
31. NEwxguy
5:05 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
LOL,trailer doesn't sound like a good place to be in strong wind.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 874 Comments: 15595
29. Bonedog
12:14 PM EST on January 09, 2008
Yea NE front passed at around 9:30- 10:00. Winds started to pick up steadely. But in the past few mintues it has really started gusting. Went from not really feeling it in the trailer to watching the water cooler slosh around.
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27. NEwxguy
4:47 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Bone,the front must have past you with that kind of wind.
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26. Bonedog
12:08 PM EST on January 09, 2008
hey 456
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
25. Weather456
1:06 PM AST on January 09, 2008
good afternoon to all
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
24. Bonedog
12:00 PM EST on January 09, 2008
ok wow. even higher at my house. Latest from the rapid fire

Wind: 20.1 mph from the WNW
Wind Gust: 51.9 mph
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
23. Bonedog
11:58 AM EST on January 09, 2008
21. NEwxguy 11:57 AM EST on January 09, 2008
17. Bonedog 4:55 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
it was all Ne falt.

yeh,must have been that file I tried to upload listing all the tornadic history in the U.S. for the past 200 years.


or my list of all current active volcanos throughout the world
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
22. Bonedog
11:57 AM EST on January 09, 2008
WOW trailer getting rocked now. Winds way up and gusting hard.

Wind: 30 mph from the West
Wind Gust: 43 mph
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
21. NEwxguy
4:55 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
17. Bonedog 4:55 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
it was all Ne falt.

yeh,must have been that file I tried to upload listing all the tornadic history in the U.S. for the past 200 years.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 874 Comments: 15595
20. ycd0108
4:50 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Thanks DR. Masters.
the information here is always appreciated, including some "off Topic" posts.

I will post more off topic to my blog later.
The Pine beetle swarms have shown up on Alberta weather radar
Speaking of plagues
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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