More tornadoes and flooding for the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:21 PM GMT on January 09, 2008

Share this Blog
1
+

Wild spring-like severe weather continued Tuesday, with eight tornadoes reported in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee. One Arkansas man died in Appleton when a tornado rolled his mobile home. The same tornado gave a cow a wild ride of 3/4 mile before setting it down unharmed. A total of 48 tornadoes have been reported for the two day severe weather outbreak that has affected much of the Midwest. Two people were killed and three critically injured in southern Missouri on Monday near the town of Marshfield, northeast of Springfield, when a tornado rated EF3 with winds of 136-165 mph smashed through a mobile home park. In Wheatland, Wisconsin, just north of the Illinois border, another EF3 tornado damaged or destroyed 55 buildings and injured 13 people. Twelve homes were demolished down to their foundations. The Wheatland tornado was only the second January tornado on record in Wisconsin. The only other one was a long-track F3 in Green and Rock counties on 24 January 1967. Detailed imagery and analysis of this tornado are available from the National Weather Service in Milwaukee and the CIMSS Satellite Blog.


Figure 1. Storm reports for Tuesday compiled by the Storm Prediction Center.

In north central Indiana, heavy rains of up to eight inches triggered floods along the Wabash and Tippicanoe rivers that killed three people and forced the evacuation of hundreds. No further rain or severe weather is expected in the Midwest today. A new storm system on Thursday may bring the risk of severe weather to Alabama and surrounding states on Thursday.


Figure 2. Heavy rains of up to eight inches hit portions of Indiana and Illinois this week. Image credit: NOAA.

Jeff Masters

Missouri tornandos (bikesnapper)
Our news commented that for Springfield there were 63 tornado warnings over 15 hours of which at least 10 passed over the city. It was a very long scary night that these storms kept coming and coming and coming
Missouri tornandos
More Flood in My Backyard! (AndysWench)
Whole addition gone! Only Two hours for a flash flood!
More Flood in My Backyard!
my site (freybear)
my site check it out www.tornadolinks.com All your tornado and weather links, all on one website!
my site

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 120 - 70

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

120. Bonedog
10:11 AM EST on January 10, 2008
Gotcha. Its not so much that the trails were there as in so much how bright they were at midnight.

I have seen them on nights with the moon out but last night was the new moon so that cancels that out.

Just wierd
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
119. Beachfoxx
9:10 AM CST on January 10, 2008
Bone, I am going to ask hubby about them too... He travels alot and works in the airline industry. But I have to think that it would have something to do with the winds... the less wind the longer the trails would last.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
118. Bonedog
9:51 AM EST on January 10, 2008
thanks fox. glad to seesomeone else noticed them at night.

I just wish i got pictures. If it was wierd enough for me to run and get the camera gear then you know it was something I hadn't seen before.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
117. Beachfoxx
8:40 AM CST on January 10, 2008
Good Morning All...

Bonedog, would be very difficult to believe that any chemical alteration would be put into jet fuels. I have seen the trails last for a very long time when there were little to no upper level winds. I cannot say as to whether I have seen them at midnight! But I have seen them at night especially when near or on the water where there is less light pollution.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
116. Bonedog
8:42 AM EST on January 10, 2008
the contrails I witnessed last night were at 12 midnight so I dont belive they were noclucient clouds ( i have seen them one 2 occasions and they are definatley diffrent)

These were wierd. Looked like they would normally during the day (white streaks same as clouds) but at midnight!

I dont belive in the concperacy theroy of chemtrails. Anyone with a mild knowledge of how a jet engine works can tell you any foriegn substance would render the engine useless as the air/fuel mix would be thrown off and if you belive that its oxides the fuel orrifaces would clog or the stator fins would have hotspots that would lead to failure.

I belive this is just a weather phenomina but was wondering if anyone else ever experinced it?

On another note I am currently reading NOAA paper on east coast tsunami's that making me cringe. I had no idea of how many tsunamic wave events have occured on the east coast (particularly NJ, as this is the NOAA office where the paper originated)
Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
115. Weather456
9:53 AM AST on January 10, 2008
MNTornado, its a skew-t chart...these charts show lapse rate, inversions, etc and use to acess the stability of the atmopshere. Below is a simple explanation but you need more than that:

http://www.atmos.millersville.edu/~lead/SkewT_HowTo.html

http://www.geo.mtu.edu/department/classes/ge406/cledlin/

It shows the vertical cross section of the atmosphere.

the yellow appears to be the lifted air parcel
the green is the dew point measured by the air ballon
the red is the actual air temp measured by the air ballow

the vertical axis is the height of the atmosphere and the horizontal scale shows the temperature scale

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
114. biff4ugo
8:48 AM EST on January 10, 2008
I hope the people in those flood photos are on sewer!

MNTornado, your image only showed up on my blog as 2 lines.

I know some high level clouds can be nacreous and seem to glow. Some clouds at high altitudes catch sunlight long after typical sunset. As for contrails, I have noticed those "dove in a hole" clouds more and more where the jet exhaust causes stratified clouds to precipitate out. I first saw it on here and keep seeing it in the sky, in photos, all over the place. Is the phenomena new, is the explanation new, or is it just that I have been unaware my whole life?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
113. MNTornado
7:38 AM CST on January 10, 2008
This image is from the Wisconsin NWS per the link that Dr. Master's provided. Can someone explain to me what the lines in the graph on the right side of this image are and what they mean. Actually I have never seen any of this kind of data before so any explanation would be helpful. Thank you.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
110. Drakoen
1:16 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
The area in the Central Atlantic around 26N 55W continues to be somewhat disorganized. This morning's quicksat revealed that an area of low pressure is trying to close of at the surface...some west winds were found Link. The system is current under the influence of an upper level low which is on the axis of an upper level trough which extends from the 69W 28N all the way to the Cape Verde islands. Shear tendency map along with current shear maps reveal that shear has dropped to 20-30 knots over the system and the potential for subtropical or baroclinic development does exist before a cold front sweeps the system out to sea in the next 48-72 hours.

The low is current is hanging on to a 3/4 arcing band of convection being supported by the diffluent flow aloft creating good upper level divergence. Also some surface convergence along the trough axis can be seen on the cimss lower level convergence product.

Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29884
109. Drakoen
12:53 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
Low pressure system over Kansas should continue to push north east-ward following the jet stream. A surface cold front will be advecting some colder air into the region giving the potential for some moderate snowfall west of the low pressure area later today and tommorow for the central and northern plains region. The models show the 540 rain/snow line getting down to 37N in the central plain.
In the Southeast, some upper level energy in the baroclinic zone along with the pre-frontal trough will be producing some precipitation over the drought stricken areas. Rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches is expected.

Friday morning forecast.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29884
108. Weather456
7:55 AM AST on January 10, 2008
Tropical Invest 90W

Issued 1200 UTC JAN 10 2008 by W456

Tropical invest located near 9N/129W. Movement is towards west-northwest. Estimated surface winds are 20 knots. Estimated surface pressure is near 1007 mb. Wind shear is 0-10 knots. SSTs are near 82F.

Position was based on microwave imagery which shows a define circulation and QuikSCAT determine winds near the center is 20-25 knots. Surface pressure was estimated using synoptic reports. Satellite imagery showed a distinct system with limited to moderate shower activity. Global models develop the system as it treks across the Philippines and into the South China Sea. After which it will be force southwestward and into South East Asia due the influence of very strong East Asian High (Siberian High).

by W456

JTWC Stats:
0600 UTC 15kts-1010mb-82N-1286E
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
107. Bonedog
6:51 AM EST on January 10, 2008
MODIS caught it yesterday :(

I-4 250m Vis
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
106. Bonedog
6:47 AM EST on January 10, 2008
wow i-4 fog is so thick this morning repair work had to cease! Police state visablity less then 3 feet. Thats right I said 3 feet!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
105. Bonedog
6:37 AM EST on January 10, 2008
gotcha 456.

been paying more attention to the Northeast. Possible big storm for monday up here so it has all my attention right now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
104. Weather456
7:30 AM AST on January 10, 2008
102. Bonedog 7:14 AM AST on January 10, 2008
sub or extra tropical in origin due to baroclonic forcing am i correct 456?


sorry if i took long.....yeah ur correct.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
103. Bonedog
6:15 AM EST on January 10, 2008
quick question for the weather nuts out there....


Last night I noticed something wierd that I haven't seen before. Contrails at night!! With it being a New Moon there wasn't any light source to illuminate them yet they were distinct and clearly visable. Tried to take some shots of them but by the time I grabbed the camera and got the settings correct they were behind high cirrus clouds. Has anyone ever experienced these? Bright contrails at night?

FYI I live in a mountain region in NW NJ far removed from city lights, surrounded on three sides by large state parks. So light pollution is ruled out.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
102. Bonedog
6:13 AM EST on January 10, 2008
sub or extra tropical in origin due to baroclonic forcing am i correct 456?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
101. Weather456
6:35 AM AST on January 10, 2008
Shortwave channel infrared and QSCAT shows that an area of disturb weather assoicated with a surface trof and 1012 mb low in conjunction with an upper level low in the Western Subtropical ATL continues to amplify with winds now turning 90 degrees. There is also evidence of a broad but tightening circulation at the surface. The disturbance is porducing gale forece winds well away from the center to the north. Wind shear is 30-40 knots over the intial area, and SSTs are 24C. Some development could occur before the cold front of an extratropical storm over Canada absorbs the disturbance and take it out to sea in about 48-72 hrs.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
100. Bonedog
6:08 AM EST on January 10, 2008
Morning
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
99. Weather456
6:26 AM AST on January 10, 2008
Tropical Cyclone Elisa 07F/Tropical Cyclone 11P Update 5

Issued 1000 UTC 10 JAN 2008 by W456

Tropical Depression 07F has been upgraded to Tropical Cyclone Elisa located near 22.5S/175.5W moving towards the south. Estimated surface winds have increase to 42 knots and estimated surface pressure is 991 mb. SSTs are running 80F-85F and wind shear is 10-15 knots.

Position and movement was based on satellite imagery, a microwave pass by the SSMI sensor and my favorite, QuikSCAT. They all show a well define LLCC with associated winds of 35 knots well under the deep convection. However, Dvorak satellite intensity estimates were done and gave the cyclone a CI of about 2.8 based a curve band arc of about 0.55. The radius maximum winds have tightened up to 28 nmi mainly within the eastern quadrants based on QuikSCAT and AMSU. The cyclone has also develop a warm-core structure near the center at 9-13 km within the troposphere which is significant as 12 hrs ago 07F warm core was vertically slanted which was a prohibiting factor of development. Satellite imagery along with storm centered TPW (Total Precipitable Water) reveals convection is sill being limited due to dry air on the western side, but nevertheless, bursts of deep clouds continue near and over the center, and the cyclone is still maintaining a nice cyclonic curvature. Estimated surface pressure is down to 991 mb and this is based on synoptic reports, Dvorak estimates and numerical models.

The cyclone is forecast to maintain intensity and may intensify some more as it moves towards the southeast under the influence of the permanent easterlies.

by W456

JTWC Stats:
11P NONAME.45kts-989mb-222S-1756W


Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
98. Weather456
5:53 AM AST on January 10, 2008
Good Morning
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
97. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:57 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
gotta wait an see but u have to admit its funny for anything to be there in the first place unless its movin due east
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
96. Tazmanian
6:53 PM PST on January 09, 2008
2. The retrogressive trough over the Plains States moves far enough west to bring cold Arctic air into the West. This pattern is favored in La Nina years, and is hinted at by the 12z GFS. Keep an eye on it


from here

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
95. Drakoen
2:28 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
86. KEEPEROFTHEGATE 2:05 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
drakeon from what i can see the front to the nor west is pulling nne with that low over ne canada trackin to south tip of greenland bringing that front with it but the front appears to be shrinking on the south end as a weak rtn flow sets up over gom to feed that mid west system movin east nor east to shove the low off east canada track over lakes in same general motion if all these come into play it may allow further west movemen maybe as far as 25/65 for now hopefully wont mount to nothing more than a good trackin event


There is a low north of texas with an attached surface cold front that will help to push everything eastward. Currently that front of the eastern sea board is not strong enough to curve anything. Look at the NAM model for instance and go to the surface. Looks at the winds. You can see streaming winds from the Gulf about 42 hours out as the front approaches
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29884
94. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:25 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
whats going on blogs running funny or am i seeing things
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
93. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:16 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
a
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
92. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:14 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
t
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
91. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:11 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
90. Drakoen
2:10 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
88. KEEPEROFTHEGATE 2:09 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
well look what the cat dragged in
good eve jp


LOL yea. How uneventful.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29884
88. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:38 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
well look what the cat dragged in
good eve jp
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
86. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:55 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
drakeon from what i can see the front to the nor west is pulling nne with that low over ne canada trackin to south tip of greenland bringing that front with it but the front appears to be shrinking on the south end as a weak rtn flow sets up over gom to feed that mid west system movin east nor east to shove the low off east canada track over lakes in same general motion if all these come into play it may allow further west movemen maybe as far as 25/65 for now hopefully wont mount to nothing more than a good trackin event
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
85. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
1:54 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
Tropical Depression Seven-F [994 hPa] located near 21.4S 175.7W as of 0:00 AM UTC is reported moving south at 5 knots. Position FAIR. Within the next 3 to 9 hours expect winds of 25 to 35 knots with possible gusts up to 40 knots within 30 to 150 miles away from the center in the sectors southeast to southwest.

Areas of Gale force winds moving with Tropical Depression Seven-F.

This Gale Warning Replaces Warning Number One
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44700
84. Drakoen
1:54 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
No. This thing is definately going out to sea.
Go here PSU steering click on the the different time frames. The ridge won't hold as the front will be pushing eastward. Oh another thing. Its not the front thats of the eastern seaboard right now that will do it. The one behind it will.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29884
83. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:49 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
whats the earliest invest in the atlantic ?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
82. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:29 AM GMT on January 10, 2008

area of disturb weather west atlantic
571w/258n broad cirulation subtropical
with tropical flow to its south shrinking front to the nor west may be enough pull to drag it west ward to 25n65w could be the makings of invest 90l
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
81. Weather456
9:26 PM AST on January 09, 2008
This QSCAT shows a perturbation (inverted V) within the wind field at the surface.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
80. Drakoen
12:50 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
RAMSDIS

Very broad area of low pressure. Still could be a surface trough with a well defined low level inverted V signature, which is what tonight's QuickSat shows. That was the case with Olga, intially.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29884
79. BahaHurican
7:43 PM EST on January 09, 2008
ON the fog / smoke, I saw a TWC program a while back that focused on accidents resulting from foggy conditions, and I got the impression that road systems need to be upgraded, especially in areas where dense fog is likely to form, so that motorists can have more information. I think they were showing in one part of the program some of the technological responses to such events, including weather-sensitive signage (i. e. using weather sensors to trigger warning signs that reduce speed limits or state that foggy weather is ahead) and traffic-monitoring via camera for similar areas.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
78. HIEXPRESS
7:05 PM EST on January 09, 2008
37. Weather456 2:12 PM EST
This is a great CD to own if ur interestted in the TWC music.

Best TWC music ever IMHO: Pink Floyd - Terminal Frost (on a cold day)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
77. ShenValleyFlyFish
7:16 PM EST on January 09, 2008
I haven't seen all the stuff out there but didn't appear that Troopers were denying that fog was involved. Where just attempting to say that they had no reports that would have indicated need to close Interstate and refusing to speculate on causes of fog formation. Folks in their position are in a damned if you do damned if you don't situation. Close an interstate and no one hurt: everyone unhappy about lost travel time and back ups which can lead to accidents. Wait till confirmed reports of trouble and then accused of being too slow. As Gomer Pyle said "It happens". Not dismissing that it is a tragedy, just saying that hindsight is 20-20 and a press conference can make an honest man look like a lier and the smartest look like a fool.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
76. Weather456
8:21 PM AST on January 09, 2008
The cold air reached us in the Leeward Islands and boy it was and is still cold and refreshing (at least for us). Cold for us is 19-21C but it felt chillier on the skin.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
75. Weather456
8:19 PM AST on January 09, 2008
73. CybrTeddy 8:16 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Hmm, Arthur? I hear a Broad Circulation is forming, is Sub-Tropical Arthur an the way?


too earlier to tell..but he better hurry up..a front is swinging in soon and all models show it sweeping away the area as h23 said. The key is how much can this develop before the front comes.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
74. BahaHurican
6:45 PM EST on January 09, 2008
Evening, everybody.

This caught my eye:

19. Bonedog 11:56 AM EST on January 09, 2008
way outta sink LOL


u know things are REALLY slow on the blog when I stopped to find the correct spelling of "sync" before I continued reading . . .

LOL

There sure have been some dips and curves weatherwise across the US, though. I'm sorry to hear about the tornado and flood related deaths.


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
73. CybrTeddy
12:16 AM GMT on January 10, 2008
Hmm, Arthur? I hear a Broad Circulation is forming, is Sub-Tropical Arthur an the way?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
72. Skyepony (Mod)
11:41 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Sarah~ Fog was forecast as it had been every night this week.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
820 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SOUTH WHICH WILL
CAUSE LOW LEVEL FLOW TO VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH. A POCKET
OF DRIER AIR MOVED ACROSS THE AREA SO THERE WAS LESS CLOUDINESS
TODAY OVER BOTH LAND AND OCEAN. MAIN CONCERN OVERNIGHT WILL BE
WHETHER DENSE FOG FORMS. WITH THE RIDGE SETTLING SOUTHWARD THE
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL BE WEAKER. ALSO...SKIES WILL BE CLEAR SO I
WOULD SIDE WITH MORE THAN PATCHY/SHALLOW FOG. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
AREAS OF FOG OVER THE INTERIOR NORTH AND PATCHY ELSEWHERE...WHICH
LOOKS GOOD.

LASCODY

Pretty crazy watching the troopers deny that smoke & fog was for sure a factor after listening to recounts of victims & geez NOAA made it the image of the day!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
71. Weather456
8:01 PM AST on January 09, 2008
70. Drakoen 7:28 PM AST on January 09, 2008
Thats correct W456. Low level wind product already shows west winds at the surface. Possible broad circulation.


Hey Drak...yeah i saw that too.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
70. Drakoen
11:56 PM GMT on January 09, 2008
Thats correct W456. Low level wind product already shows west winds at the surface. Possible broad circulation.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29884

Viewing: 120 - 70

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.