Rare January tornadoes rip the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:39 PM GMT on January 08, 2008

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Wild spring-like severe weather swept through the Midwestern U.S. last night, unleashing tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, flooding, and extreme wind gusts. Up to 37 tornadoes ripped through Missouri, Oklahoma, Illinois, Arkansas, and Wisconsin. Two people were killed and three critically injured in southern Missouri near the town of Marshfield, northeast of Springfield, when a tornado smashed through a mobile home park. In Wheatland, Wisconsin, in Kenosha County, just north of the Illinois border, a strong or possibly violent tornado damaged or destroyed 55 buildings and injured 13 people. Twelve homes were demolished down to their foundations. The Wheatland tornado was only the second January tornado on record in Wisconsin. The only other one was a long-track F3 in Green and Rock counties on 24 January 1967. A radar animation of the Wheatland tornado is at right, and more detailed imagery and analysis of this tornado are available from the CIMSS Satellite Blog.

Record warm temperatures helped fuel yesterday's severe weather outbreak. The 63° F reading in Milwaukee was the warmest temperature ever recorded there in the month of January. Many locations in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Illinois posted record highs within three degrees of their warmest-ever January readings. The record warmth will continue to fuel more severe thunderstorms today from northern Louisiana to Ohio, and the Storm Prediction Center has already issued a Tornado Watch for portions of Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, Mississippi, and Kentucky. Severe thunderstorms have already been reported in Arkansas this morning.

Last night's severe thunderstorm I observed from my house was the first I've ever experienced in my 40 years living in Michigan. One thunderstorm, 100 miles north of where I live, covered the ground up to two inches deep with hail (Midland, Michigan). Michigan has had three consecutive Januarys with record warmth and spring-like thunderstorms. Northern Illinois recorded its first January tornado since 1950 last night, and Wisconsin its second January tornado on record. Is it global warming? Well, one can't blame a single weather event on climate change. Also, it was eight below zero here just five days ago, so there has been some very normal winter weather this year. Furthermore, the 37 tornadoes reported yesterday don't come close to the 102 twisters recorded during the huge January 17-22, 1999 tornado outbreak across Arkansas and Tennessee. But the string of unusual January warmth in three straight years, accompanied by severe thunderstorms far to the north, is broadly consistent with what one would expect to see in a warming climate. Expect to see a lot more spring-like weather in January in coming years.

Jeff Masters

Kenosha, WI Tornado (luvken88)
This tornado was caught at approx. 4:30 pm 1/7/08. North-east side of Kenosha County, in Kenosha, Wisconsin.
Kenosha, WI Tornado
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57. Dodabear
3:03 PM EST on January 08, 2008
Lake... this link will cover your radar needs in the short term.

Link
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56. NEwxguy
8:01 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Boston hit 66 deg today,breaking the record of 64 set in 1930
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15860
55. Bonedog
2:55 PM EST on January 08, 2008
wow alot of records being broken!!!

Current Record Report Products:
Albany, NY (1)
Albuquerque, NM (1)
Amarillo, TX (1)
Austin/San Antonio, TX (3)
Baltimore MD/Washington, DC (6)
Binghamton, NY (4)
Birmingham, AL (1)
Bismarck, ND (1)
Blacksburg, VA (1)
Boston, MA (4)
Brownsville, TX (2)
Buffalo, NY (8)
Burlington, VT (6)
Caribou, ME (4)
Central Illinois (4)
Charleston, WV (8)
Chicago, IL (14)
Cleveland, OH (7)
Des Moines, IA (2)
Detroit, MI (7)
Duluth, MN (1)
Flagstaff, AZ (1)
Fort Worth, TX (6)
Gaylord, MI (5)
Glasgow, MT (1)
Grand Rapids, MI (7)
Great Falls, MT (1)
Greenville, SC (3)
Houston, TX (6)
Huntsville, AL (3)
Indianapolis, IN (8)
Jackson, MS (4)
Jackson, KY (2)
Kansas City, MO (2)
LaCrosse, WI (1)
Lake Charles, LA (3)
Las Vegas, NV (1)
Little Rock, AR (2)
Louisville, KY (1)
Lubbock, TX (1)
Marquette, MI (2)
Memphis, TN (5)
Midland, TX (2)
Milwaukee, WI (14)
Nashville, TN (2)
New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA (1)
Northern Indiana, IN (8)
Norman, OK (12)
Paducah, KY (5)
Philadelphia, PA (14)
Pittsburgh, PA (2)
Pueblo, CO (1)
Quad Cities, IA (11)
Rapid City, SD (1)
Reno, NV (1)
Riverton, WY (2)
Sacramento, CA (1)
Salt Lake, UT (1)
Shreveport, LA (7)
Spokane, WA (1)
Springfield, MO (11)
State College, PA (2)
St. Louis, MO (8)
Tulsa, OK (10)
Upton, NY (5)
Wichita, KS (4)
Wilmington, OH (3)
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
54. NEwxguy
7:58 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
wow,is western Ten. going to get nailed.Good luck to all out in the Ohio valley,that line of storms looks like its firing up again.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15860
53. Bonedog
2:52 PM EST on January 08, 2008

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tornado Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
148 PM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

MOC069-155-082015-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080108T2015Z/
DUNKLIN MO-PEMISCOT MO-
148 PM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN PEMISCOT AND SOUTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTIES...

AT 148 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DEERING...OR ABOUT
8 MILES NORTH OF STEELE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
PASCOLA...HAYTI HEIGHTS...HAYTI...HOMESTOWN...WARDELL...BOLTON...
NORTH WARDELL AND HAYWARD.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
52. Bonedog
2:50 PM EST on January 08, 2008
LOL just checked my Radar. NOPE what they decided the Northeast didnt need radar today?
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
51. LakeShadow
7:48 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
yeah, rather inconvenient. but not only Buf but surrounding radar sites... Anything could come at us and we would have no warning. (This on a 70 deg day in Jan!!!)
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
50. Bonedog
2:48 PM EST on January 08, 2008
and it begins again :(



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tornado Warning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING
MOC069-155-082015-
/O.NEW.KMEG.TO.W.0004.080108T1928Z-080108T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
128 PM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
NORTHWESTERN PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST

* AT 128 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR HORNERSVILLE...OR
ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTH OF SENATH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
KENNETT...DENTON...DEERING...HOLCOMB...CLARKTON...HAYTI HEIGHTS...
HAYTI...WARDELL AND BOLTON.

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
49. LakeShadow
7:40 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Guess I'll have to watch NOAA...got the General GL sector working
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
48. Bonedog
2:46 PM EST on January 08, 2008
no problem Doda.


Lake ever notice they pick just the best times to do maintenece on the radars?
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
47. catfuraplenty
7:43 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
It never got below 70F in Houston last night. That is oddly disconcerting. I fear my plants will mistake the weather also.

Gobal warming? Who cares, it is hot. Let's do something about hot weather. A nice umbrella that stretches from coast to coast might help.

Catfuraplenty
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46. Dodabear
2:42 PM EST on January 08, 2008
Wow! Thank you.
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45. Bonedog
2:41 PM EST on January 08, 2008
here ya go Doda

Link

takes you too the website with them and the story behind them.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
44. V26R
7:42 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Verizons New Slogan

DUH
Whadasay?
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43. Dodabear
2:28 PM EST on January 08, 2008
Hey Bonedog.... yesterday you apparently had either posted some photos or links to some photos about sharks and a kayak, by the time I got on the blog they were gone. If you still have them, I would really like to see them.

Thanks
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42. Bonedog
2:38 PM EST on January 08, 2008
LOl verizon screwing with radar systems. whats next roto-rooter messing with the television sets?
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
41. V26R
7:40 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Must be in the same Union NEWX
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40. NEwxguy
7:38 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
We always get a wind event on my trash day,so I can chase my barrels all over the neighborhood
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15860
39. V26R
7:38 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Couldn't they have picked a better day for this considering the Severe Stuff on your doorstep?

Sweet
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38. NEwxguy
7:36 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
35. LakeShadow 7:36 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
BUF radar's down.

Did the forget to feed the hamster again?
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15860
37. Bonedog
2:34 PM EST on January 08, 2008
LOL V2 check my post right before yours LOL I mentioned the winds :)
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
36. LakeShadow
7:36 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
MESSAGE DATE: JAN 08 2008 18:19:34 THE KBUF WSR-88D WILL BE DOWN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WHILE VERIZON TECHNICIANS WORK ON THE COMMUNICATIONS CIRCUIT BETWEEN THE RDA AND RPG. SURROUNDING RADARS INCLUDE KCLE...KBGM...KTYX...AND ENVIRONMENT CANDADA KING CITY RADAR. HITCHCOCK

No...I cant HEAR you now!!!!!
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
35. LakeShadow
7:33 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
BUF radar's down.
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
34. V26R
7:29 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Bone NEWX dunno if you've seen this but looks like its gonna get windy for us



Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
222 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

222 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA FROM LATE TONIGHT TO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG WEST
WINDS. EXPECT WEST WINDS TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS TO 45 MPH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
WINDS WILL DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN CENTRAL NEW YORK AND OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE POCONOS.

WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES
AND WEAKER STRUCTURES. PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA SHOULD SECURE
ALL LOOSE OBJECTS. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THROUGH THE ADVISORY AREA
YOU SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE
WITH HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$
NICOSIA

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33. Bonedog
2:27 PM EST on January 08, 2008
yea NE the warm up is wrecking havoc with the runoff situation and ice damming.

V2 doesnt look like a snow event just yet. It has the low tracking to our west thus we are warm sectored. Only change would be if the Low moves east (hasnt yet this winter) then we would be on the cold side.

But either way there is alot of moisture with the system so an inch or more isn't out of the question. Might be a flooding event for us.

BTW after the cold front swings through tomorrow better have the outdoor stuff tied down. Looks like a wind advisory for us. 40mph winds seem very plausable figure higher gusts (50mph range).
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
32. LakeShadow
7:29 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
So I was outside getting a suntan...
My thermometer was reading 72 deg in the sun.
ahhh. Vitamin D!!!
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
31. V26R
7:25 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
You called it earlier this Morning NEWX
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30. NEwxguy
7:21 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Tell me this doesn't sound like a springtime event.


THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON

* THE FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING
FROM ICE JAMS IN THE WATCH AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN 20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 36
HOURS CAUSING SNOWMELT TO ACCELERATE WHICH WILL INCREASE
RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND RIVERS CAUSING THE ICE TO BREAKUP.

* THE BROKEN ICE CHUNKS THEN MAY JAM AND CAUSE FLOODING AS THEY
FLOW DOWNSTREAM AND PILE INTO OBSTRUCTIONS SUCH AS ISLANDS AND
BRIDGE PIERS... REACH AREAS WHERE THERE ARE BENDS OR NARROWING
OF THE CHANNEL...AS WELL AS AREAS WHERE THE CHANNEL DEPTH
CHANGES GOING FROM DEEP WATER TO SHALLOW WATER. SOME STREAMS
AND RIVERS AS WELL AS THEIR TRIBUTARIES THAT ARE ESPECIALLY
PRONE TO ICE JAMS IN THE WATCH AREA INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT
LIMITED TO IN NEW YORK THE UPPER HUDSON RIVER...CEDAR RIVER...
MOOSE RIVER...SACANDAGA RIVER...EAST CANADA CREEK...WEST
CANADA CREEK...FULMER CREEK...MOYER CREEK...STEELE CREEK...
CAROGA CREEK...OTSQUAGO CREEK...IN VERMONT THE WILLIAMS
RIVER... SAXTONS RIVER AND WEST RIVER.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15860
29. V26R
7:23 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Well atleast the SPC seems to be waking up now


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0033
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 PM CST TUE JAN 08 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AR/WRN KY/SRN INDIANA/WRN AND MIDDLE TN/MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 081911Z - 082115Z

TORNADO WATCH #0008 WILL BE REPLACED SHORTLY WITH A NEW TORNADO
WATCH.

LATEST DATA INDICATES AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION E OF CURRENT WW...WITH
SMALL NEW CONVECTIVE CELLS INCREASING ACROSS PARTS OF MS/NERN LA.
GIVEN FAVORABLE SHEAR AND INCREASINGLY-UNSTABLE
AIRMASS...SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT SHOULD SPREAD EWD WITH TIME.
THUS...WILL REPLACE WW #0008 WITH A NEW TORNADO WATCH TO COVER THE
EVOLVING THREAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

..GOSS.. 01/08/2008

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28. V26R
7:19 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Bone, NEWX
I step away from the computer to get some
lunch and come back to read the two past
posts from you guys and you always seem to be the bearer of great news for me
So when does the snow start and the
temps go down to minus 20???
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27. Bonedog
2:17 PM EST on January 08, 2008
exactly NE. all the models showing the same thing :/ guess I will go and stock up the salt bin and two stroke cans.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
26. NEwxguy
7:12 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
and as with the star trek episode,you start to worry when there is complete agreement.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15860
25. Bonedog
2:05 PM EST on January 08, 2008
oh god they're Treckies....

THIS REMINDS US OF THE ORIGINAL STAR TREK
EPISODE WHERE DR MCCOY, SCOTTY AND SPOCK WERE ONCE IN COMPLETE
AGREEMENT. BASED ON THAT INSPRING EPISODE, THE UKMET GFS ECMWF AT
144HRS ARE NEARLY IDENTICAL WITH A BAGGY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF
THE SOUTHEAST COAST
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
23. Bonedog
2:03 PM EST on January 08, 2008
LOL read this from my local forcast office...

A MODERATE SW
FLOW MAY EVEN BRING THE WARM READINGS TO THE SHORE ALSO. THE CLIMO
SECTION BELOW HAD THE RECORD MAX TEMPS THAT MAY GO DOWN IN FLAMESTODAY.

they have a sense of humor at the local NWS office
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
22. NEwxguy
6:54 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
A year ago last Sunday we hit 70 deg.so your right Lake this isn't unusual,and looking at the long range charts,all this may be a distant memory come Monday.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15860
21. Bonedog
1:55 PM EST on January 08, 2008
its backwards day LOL winter is spring!!

simply amazing what a little warm air does
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
20. NEwxguy
6:51 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Is this March or April?Looking at the map sure looks like a spring time pattern.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15860
18. tejdog1
6:42 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
It's close to 70 here in Danbury, CT today - beating the old record by about 13 degrees.
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17. LakeShadow
6:12 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
hey folks, checking in to see whats happening today. There's still an impressive band of squalls pushing ahead of the cold front... I hope we get some T-storms here in B-lo..I love the energy..gets me all zippery.

Seems that we are in the midst of the legendary January thaw. I for one am absolutely LOVING it! I miss the warm air and fresh, not bitter breezes.

People think this warm spell in Jan. is something new that can be attributed to climate change? If I can recollect previous years, there were numerous Januaries that had some milder temps...this is definately not new! Infact I remember that once the thaw is passed, the coldest weather comes along!

Mother Nature likes to play games with us....
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 3 Comments: 2134
16. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
6:18 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Southwest Pacific Ocean

Regional Specialized Meteorological Center - Nadi

Tropical Disturbance Summary (2100z 07Jan)
=============================
At 06:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 07F [1003 hPa] located near 19.1S 176.5W is slow moving. Position is POOR based on Multispectral Visible/Infrared Imagery with animation and peripheral surface observation. Sea Surface Temperatures around 28-29C. Convection has slightly increased for the last 6-12 hours with cyclonic circulation more evident at the surface. Tropical Depression 07F lies in a low to moderate sheared environmnet with low level circulation center partially exposed.

Global models predict some intensification and expects 07F to move slowly for the next 24 hours, and then towards the southeast in the 24-48 hour period.

The potential of this system to develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is now MODERATE to HIGH.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary (1430z 08Jan)
=============================================
An area of convection (97P/07F) located near 18.2S 175.5W or 350 NM east of Suva, Fiji. Recent infrared imagery and SSMI/S 37Ghz Microwave imagery shows a well organized low level circulation center with the bulk of the convection displaced to the south. ASCAT Pass also reveals a tightly wound low level circulation center with 25 knots unflagged winds near the center. An upper level low to the northwest of the LLCC is currently preventing convection from forming directly over the center of the disturbance.

Maximum sustained winds near the center is 25-30 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1002 mb. Due to the well defined low level circulation center, the potential of this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is FAIR.

----------
Southwest Indian Ocean

Sub-Regional Specialized Meteorological Center - Mauritius

Tropical Disturbance Advisory #5 (Final)
=========================================
At 12:00 PM UTC, Area of Disturbed Weather [Dissipated]

Additional Information
======================
The low originally monitored has dissipated in the northwest of Reunion Island. A new low has formed leeward of Reuinion Island, located near 22.3S 54.9E as of 12:00 PM UTC. Currently disconnected from the thundery activity associated to the area of disturbed weather that remains north of the MAscarenes Islands. It is possible thundery activity rebuilds temporarily over this new low, but environment remains unfavorable and potential of intensification is poor.

This is the last advisory on the system unless it re-generates.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary (1800z 08Jan)
======================================
An area of convection (95S/07R) previously near 19.6S 56.6E has dissipated and is now no longer considered for tropical cyclone development
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45731
15. Bonedog
1:11 PM EST on January 08, 2008
WOW. Hope everyone faired well.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
13. HAARP
6:03 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
wow... this storm passed to the north... and to the south of me yesterday... We didnt even hear any thunder or get much rain...quite odd.

to correlate this with global warming is a lil crazy... was it global cooling 2 weeks ago when it was -4 ?

lets cool it on the global warming alarm everywhere we turn... I am a believer that climat change is happening but I also believe its a natural process which has never stopped happening since day one.

problem is now everyone is collecting selective dats to prove their point...nobody is unbiased which is scary.
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11. cpeterka
5:58 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
1950, 1967, 1999, 2007.
Let's see what we get over the next 10 years.

Then, when all the ice is gone and Santa has to live in a Submarine, then we can say it's GW's weather, oop's typo, I mean Global Warming, not the President who's full of hot air. I like the President. I like the NSA. I like people who monitor my comments.
:rofl:
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10. Geojunkie
5:56 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Hello Dr. M -

why invoke all of the Global Warming stuff? This blog entry makes it seem as if you have template by which you view all weather events.

I suspect that this isn't the case, but citation of colloquial datapoints (e.g., FIRST (??!!) severe thunderstorm you have EVER seen from your house in 40 years) isnt a substitute for science.

You cite all of these other observations - 1950 tornado in N Illinois, 1967 F3, 1999 Tornado outbreak - which shows that extreme weather is within the range of 'normal' - but then go on to say that this weather pattern '... is broadly consistent with what one would expect to see in a warming climate.'

That seems like an unfounded statement - even just from the very data you present. Does extreme weather need to disappear in order to disprove Global Warming?

I'm confused...
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9. Tazmanian
5:33 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
7. lawntonlookers 5:29 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Thanks for the update Dr. Masters. It has been a strange winter so far. It looks like CA may be in for some more storms in the next couple of days with a couple of low pressure areas in the Northeast Pacific. Only 25 days until the real forcaster gives his winter forcast. --Go TO Link--

Tazmanian: How much snow did you get in CA? I was following your blog for a while


last time i am going to say it 5" of snow fell
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115252
8. Weather456
5:30 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
thanks 4 the update

A broad 500-200 hpa circulation is supporting a surface trough across the Atlantic between 50W-40W 20N-30N is producing scattered moderate to strong showers within a 100 km radius.

Upper level winds are currently 40 knots over the disturbance. SSTs are 24-26C. Troughs at multiple levels indicate the system is not vertically stacked and most of the convection and showers are generated by upper level energy. Furthermore, besides 925 hpa vorticity, there isnt any evidence that suggest a closed surface circulation just a pertubation within the wind field and pressure zone.

Models continue to show that the formation and deepening of an upper level circulation which will extend to the surface intiating a surface feature by amplifying the surface trough. Most models take the system towards the west or northwest around the Azores High while briefly intensifying it.. Most models are also in fair agreement that in about 132 hrs the system will be absorbed into a large extratropical storm's cold front.

by W456
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
7. lawntonlookers
5:22 PM GMT on January 08, 2008
Thanks for the update Dr. Masters. It has been a strange winter so far. It looks like CA may be in for some more storms in the next couple of days with a couple of low pressure areas in the Northeast Pacific. Only 25 days until the real forcaster gives his winter forcast. --Go TO Link--

Tazmanian: How much snow did you get in CA? I was following your blog for a while.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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