North Sea storm spares England and the Netherlands

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:35 PM GMT on November 09, 2007

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A massive fall storm over Europe's North Sea generated winds near hurricane force last night that pushed a dangerous storm surge near 1.5 meters (4.65 feet) in height to the southeastern English coast this morning. The storm surge was much lower than originally feared, due in part to the fact it did not hit at high tide. The surge did breach sea defenses and caused some minor coastal flooding in England. It was feared that the storm might rival the great North Sea Flood of 1953 that breached the dikes in the Netherlands. Over 2,000 people died in northern Europe in that storm, mostly in the Netherlands. While today's storm did not approach the 1953 storm in severity, it did bring the highest storm surge seen in the past 20 years to the North Sea. The massive flood gates that protect the Dutch port of Rotterdam were closed for the first time since they were constructed in the 1990s. From early media accounts, the gates did their job admirably, protecting the Netherlands from inundation. Water levels reached 3.16 meters above mean sea level in the southern Netherlands, and 3.40 meters above sea level in the northern Netherlands, with no flooding reported. The floods of 1953 saw Dutch waters rise to 3.85 meters (12.6 ft) above sea level. Today's storm was not the remains of Hurricane Noel, which is currently over northern Canada.


Figure 1. Visible satellite image of Europe from 1322 GMT November 8, 2007. A powerful 975 mb low pressure system centered north of England ("L" on the image) was pushing a strong cold front southwards towards Western Europe. Image credit: University of Bern, Switzerland.


Figure 2. Forecast waves heights at 6am Greenwich time, Friday November 9, 2007, as predicted by NOAA's Wavewatch III model.

Tropical update
An area of disturbed weather over the extreme southern Caribbean, near Panama, is under about 20 knots of wind shear. The computer forecast models are predicting that some development of this region may occur by Sunday, when wind shear is expected to fall below 20 knots. However, the models are less keen on this prospect than yesterday. Any system that might form is expected to move westward and affect Costa Rica and Nicaragua.

I'll have an update Monday morning, unless there's some new development this weekend.

Jeff Masters

Gales at the Butt (kevindonner)
Storm force winds made taking a good picture difficult, as the lence of the camara got salt on it.
Gales at the Butt

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571. Patrap
8:19 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Those 45 and older..this is fer you,us..them..LOL!!

Link
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569. BajaALemt
8:15 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Click *smiles*
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
567. BajaALemt
8:12 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Evenin taiste
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
566. taistelutipu
4:01 AM EET on November 11, 2007
Evening everyone!

The disturbance in the SW Caribbean has been labelled 93L just now. Five minutes ago there wasn't anything.
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565. BajaALemt
8:04 PM CST on November 10, 2007
I was reading about them a couple of weeks ago....this was one of the links I'd saved........

Link
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564. tiggeriffic
2:05 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
later to ya zoo and thanks again
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563. BajaALemt
8:04 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Take care, zoo
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
562. tiggeriffic
2:02 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
got the books, on the puter and the handheld electronic...have gone thru 3 handhelds since Mother's Day this year...wore them out...not just the battery...keys wouldn't work any more...that is what I do when i am stressed! sounds like I need to reduce my stress level a little huh?? lol
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561. Bobbyweather
9:02 PM EST on November 10, 2007
My prediction was that 93L would form at November 9 EST, you see. Not bad, my prediction.
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560. zoomiami
2:02 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
off to run an errand, may pop back in later.
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559. zoomiami
2:00 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
How did I know that someone would have something to say!! Can always count on the entertainment factor.
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558. tiggeriffic
1:59 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Storm, the haze post was made some time ago (yesterday or earlier today) and they said they have a weird silvery haze over the island...like no other they had ever seen...not like the normal amber/yellow haze they get this time of year...are they related to the gravity waves seen in the pic?
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557. zoomiami
1:58 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Love those too - try to do a few at night. Think it will help keep the brain working.
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556. tiggeriffic
1:58 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
sky is dark here...night time, he he he
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554. Bobbyweather
8:58 PM EST on November 10, 2007
93L is on the navy site and wunderground...
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553. zoomiami
1:57 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
On the weather front, nuthin'. The sky is blue, its beautiful, not too hot & forecasted to stay that way for a while.
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552. tiggeriffic
1:55 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
use to read a lot...now my biggie is SUDOKU!!
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551. tiggeriffic
1:53 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
thanks zoo, need all the prayers we can get right now!
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550. zoomiami
1:53 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
I love to read, feel deprived when I don't get a chance. Youngest is 16, but you would be amazed how many time she interrupts. However, I can now say - give me 10 minutes. lol
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549. BajaALemt
7:53 PM CST on November 10, 2007
at* lol sheesh...I must be tired :))
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548. zoomiami
1:51 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Tigger - you are in our prayers - hope everything turns out well with the boys.
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547. BajaALemt
7:51 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Thanks, Storm. I was looking at that and MY lunchtime today and thought that was the case. So, next question then...could THAT be the cause of the posters observations?
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546. tiggeriffic
1:50 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
i don't get to read much...unless of course Golden Books, Dr. Seuss and Mother Goose count! roflmao
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
544. tiggeriffic
1:49 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Hi Ya Zoo!

93L???? where the heck did that come from??? AAARRRGGGHHH
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543. BajaALemt
7:48 PM CST on November 10, 2007
LOL !!! Storm!!! Good to see you!!! *scrambles to navy site to see 93L*

Hey Storm? Can YOU answer the question I asked in 534???
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
542. zoomiami
1:48 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Hi Storm! Cant say mind was educational, when I have had too much at work, I read silly romances - lose myself for a few hours.
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541. tiggeriffic
1:47 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
<<
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540. zoomiami
1:43 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Hey tigger!
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538. BajaALemt
7:45 PM CST on November 10, 2007
I hear ya zoo. That's what I've been doing. Going back and looking at some of the links I saved under "educational"
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
537. tiggeriffic
1:45 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
that is some kind of silvery haze over the islands...not the typical amber colored...everyone wondering what it actually is!
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536. BajaALemt
7:45 PM CST on November 10, 2007
lol tig!
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535. tiggeriffic
1:43 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
<<< don't do any of em I have to pay for...my luck...I would forget to take it out of my account and Tigger something! (you know...Bounce?!) lol
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
534. BajaALemt
7:42 PM CST on November 10, 2007
I wonder if anyone's here that could answer a question about the pic in post 501

Looks like gravity waves...would that be correct?
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
533. zoomiami
1:38 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Certainly does - I didn't think it would get this quiet! It is my first time on today, catching up on reading, books that is.
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532. BajaALemt
7:41 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Ive been sitting here with my dinner checking out WeatherTap (link Storm posted a bit back). Interesting stuff. Im just not sure I like the idea of paying per month...vs paying once for the GRLevelX program
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531. tiggeriffic
1:41 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Baja!! Smooches to ya!
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530. BajaALemt
7:40 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Heyyyyyyy Miss Tig!!
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529. tiggeriffic
1:40 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
out on a saturday???? haven't seen that in a LONG LONG LONG time. rofl
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528. tiggeriffic
1:39 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
oh...looks like a few are filtering in! LOL
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527. BajaALemt
7:37 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Hey Zoo!! Nice to see you. I guess quiet tropics equate to quiet blog, huh
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526. zoomiami
1:36 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Hi Baja - not many people here, must all be out enjoying Saturday night.
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525. BajaALemt
7:35 PM CST on November 10, 2007
Evenin folks (if anyone's here..lol)
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
524. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:35 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
seems to be thinning out real fast in here zoo
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523. zoomiami
1:29 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
Anyone still here?
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522. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:27 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
T-MINUS 483hrs27min
remain of the 2007 atlanti hurricane season
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521. tiggeriffic
12:21 AM GMT on November 11, 2007
I found it orca...pulled it up alphabetically...
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.