North Sea storm spares England and the Netherlands

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:35 PM GMT on November 09, 2007

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A massive fall storm over Europe's North Sea generated winds near hurricane force last night that pushed a dangerous storm surge near 1.5 meters (4.65 feet) in height to the southeastern English coast this morning. The storm surge was much lower than originally feared, due in part to the fact it did not hit at high tide. The surge did breach sea defenses and caused some minor coastal flooding in England. It was feared that the storm might rival the great North Sea Flood of 1953 that breached the dikes in the Netherlands. Over 2,000 people died in northern Europe in that storm, mostly in the Netherlands. While today's storm did not approach the 1953 storm in severity, it did bring the highest storm surge seen in the past 20 years to the North Sea. The massive flood gates that protect the Dutch port of Rotterdam were closed for the first time since they were constructed in the 1990s. From early media accounts, the gates did their job admirably, protecting the Netherlands from inundation. Water levels reached 3.16 meters above mean sea level in the southern Netherlands, and 3.40 meters above sea level in the northern Netherlands, with no flooding reported. The floods of 1953 saw Dutch waters rise to 3.85 meters (12.6 ft) above sea level. Today's storm was not the remains of Hurricane Noel, which is currently over northern Canada.


Figure 1. Visible satellite image of Europe from 1322 GMT November 8, 2007. A powerful 975 mb low pressure system centered north of England ("L" on the image) was pushing a strong cold front southwards towards Western Europe. Image credit: University of Bern, Switzerland.


Figure 2. Forecast waves heights at 6am Greenwich time, Friday November 9, 2007, as predicted by NOAA's Wavewatch III model.

Tropical update
An area of disturbed weather over the extreme southern Caribbean, near Panama, is under about 20 knots of wind shear. The computer forecast models are predicting that some development of this region may occur by Sunday, when wind shear is expected to fall below 20 knots. However, the models are less keen on this prospect than yesterday. Any system that might form is expected to move westward and affect Costa Rica and Nicaragua.

I'll have an update Monday morning, unless there's some new development this weekend.

Jeff Masters

Gales at the Butt (kevindonner)
Storm force winds made taking a good picture difficult, as the lence of the camara got salt on it.
Gales at the Butt

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871. flaboyinga
12:57 AM EST on November 12, 2007
Orca, you got me there. I am old. I was in the carribean for the cuban missile blockade and I can't get the kids I mention it to that it really happened. They never heard of it. I think HMCS Mickmack might have been down there around that time, too.
870. Orcasystems
5:54 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
865. flaboyinga 5:37 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
Baja, Me: US NAVY Sept. 1961 to Sept. 65 Active duty, 65 to 67 reserve.


Dang your old :)
lets see... I was two when you joined..and I have been retired after 22 years in in 98
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869. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
5:51 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
it would be east of India
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868. Orcasystems
5:49 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
Evening FlaBoy
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867. flaboyinga
12:43 AM EST on November 12, 2007
Is that the storm that is south of India?
866. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
5:40 AM GMT on November 12, 2007


just going to insert this noting that Severe Cyclonic Storm 06B is becoming more severe.

NRL still notes 50knots but with that developing eye the 0900z advisory might make it higher soon.
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865. flaboyinga
12:33 AM EST on November 12, 2007
Baja, Me: US NAVY Sept. 1961 to Sept. 65 Active duty, 65 to 67 reserve.
864. flaboyinga
12:27 AM EST on November 12, 2007
Naaa. My bride and I both thought she was doing me a favor for a while fixing me a strawberry shake every night with Breyers ice cream. That plus her good cookin took my waist from a 32 to a 38. I got it back down to 36 and it's OK.(for me)lol
863. BajaALemt
11:32 PM CST on November 11, 2007
I'm out..y'all enjoy the rest of your evenin....5am rolls around too quick!! Take care *poof*
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
862. BajaALemt
11:26 PM CST on November 11, 2007
Oh!! Any vets out there tonite? Lurkin or otherwise? Thank YOU!!
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
861. BajaALemt
11:25 PM CST on November 11, 2007
(sittin here laffin!!!) Good lord!! HERE'S a thought...maybe that IS the 'medal'!!!!! hehehe
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
860. flaboyinga
12:21 AM EST on November 12, 2007
My belly has been accused of "having one in the oven" but I'd be a lot richer if that was true. (It's no that big anyway!!)LOL
859. BajaALemt
11:22 PM CST on November 11, 2007
My oldest is in Reno with 2 kids....and my youngest is moving to california tomorrow morning *sighs* Gonna be empty nest for me
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
858. BajaALemt
11:21 PM CST on November 11, 2007
Hell, anyone that manages to get their kids to 18 THESE DAYS, deserves SOMETHING!!
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
857. BajaALemt
11:20 PM CST on November 11, 2007
Wait *roflmao!!!!* The DAUGHTER'S expecting, right? Not YOU? (I think I read that wrong *laffs*)
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
856. BajaALemt
11:18 PM CST on November 11, 2007
LOL. Got yerself a brood, there!! *laffs* And I thought 9 years between kids was a long time!! *pats ya on the back* Better you than ME, flaboy!! LOL !!
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
855. flaboyinga
12:08 AM EST on November 12, 2007
I have three of them. One is gonna turn 40 soon. (in another state.) The one at home is 26. youngest one is 24 and been married about 4yrs and expecting a girl. Got a boy that's 20 and married. I told someone the other day it took me 36 1/2 years to get them all raised to age 18. I really think that I deserve a medal but the kids don't.lol
854. BajaALemt
11:06 PM CST on November 11, 2007
LOL. I have a 26..and an 18..both boys. Sure glad "I" didnt have girls!! How old's your daughter?
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
853. flaboyinga
12:02 AM EST on November 12, 2007
I'm doin' OK. I got one daughter still at home and I'm waiting for to come in from her boyfriend. Old dad is about to use the phone.lol
852. BajaALemt
11:00 PM CST on November 11, 2007
Evenin. Yeppers. Personally, I"m enjoyin' the quiet tonite. Hope you're havin a nice evenin
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
851. flaboyinga
11:59 PM EST on November 11, 2007
Gnight, Tigger.
850. flaboyinga
11:55 PM EST on November 11, 2007
Evenin, Baja. I hope you're doing fine. Seems like it's kinda quiet tonight. Well, that's OK. We have had enough chaos and annoyance for 2007.
849. flaboyinga
11:40 PM EST on November 11, 2007
That gene got started before you were born. You just happened to be a stepping stone for it to keep travelling. It's not you fault that it used you to get to the boys. When I asked for prayer for the boys, part of the reply was a request for a sister of theirs in Tenn that has tumors attacking the membrane around the brain. I think that one is genetic also. My father died when I was five of a heart condition that was severely aggravated by his smoking and alcohol use. It seems to have skipped me and I pray that it doesn't pop back up in the next generation or two. We aren't able to understand it, but we can't take the blame for it. Life is something you have to pass on, and that's what you did with the boys. That's all we can do.
848. tiggeriffic
4:52 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
quick post for baja...hug him tight but let go...kiss him once for me too! LOL
kids ok for now...no severe symptoms as of yet...

nite all!
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847. BajaALemt
10:53 PM CST on November 11, 2007
Huggerz, Tig...take care hun
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
846. tiggeriffic
4:49 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
ok all, I am whipped! gonna go to bed to keep it from floating into space...I hear it calling me! Take care to all and hugs and smooches to all for the prayers! Bouncin Out!
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845. BajaALemt
10:49 PM CST on November 11, 2007
Hmmm...I wonder if the blog's eatin' posts again *laffs*

I'm doin ok, Tig. My 'baby' is leavin in the morning *sighs*, figured I'd pop in for a few before I turn in. How are you? The kids?
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
844. tiggeriffic
4:46 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
hey baja...how are ya?
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843. BajaALemt
10:46 PM CST on November 11, 2007
Evenin, Tig....zoo....flaboy
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
842. BajaALemt
10:44 PM CST on November 11, 2007
Evenin folks. Lookin' at the rain up north, wonderin'....WHERE'S ours?!!!
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
841. tiggeriffic
4:40 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
always proud of em! Highs been in the low 60s and lows in the low 40s for the most part...
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840. flaboyinga
11:35 PM EST on November 11, 2007
Tig, how cold is it up there. Oh I been trying to remember to tell you that I worked with some of the State Forestry guys from S.C. on that huge woods fire at Waycross Ga this summer. Great bunch of guys. I hope S.C. is proud of them.
839. tiggeriffic
4:34 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
I think what bugs me most is that I carry the gene that caused all this...I have the faith, I know it is not my fault per say...I worry about them, pain wise...that breaks my heart.
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838. flaboyinga
11:29 PM EST on November 11, 2007
I've had a few of those happenings that make all the hairs on the back of my neck stand up tall and proud. Been thru a bunch of those things He trusted me with, also.
837. tiggeriffic
4:26 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
gave me the shivers when it happened...then got the warm fuzzies...I needed that miracle too...been stressing bout this one. My favorite saying is:
I know God wont give me more than what I can handle...I just wish he didn't trust me so much!
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836. flaboyinga
11:23 PM EST on November 11, 2007
Miracles still happen. Sounds like you just had one sprinkled over you.
835. tiggeriffic
4:18 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
thanks for that...Im ok for now tho... lol...something weird happened yesterday... had a strange feeling to go to Burger King for dinner...not a craving...I didn't want it...anyway...in line in front of me was an older couple...don't remember how it came up but he is a pediatric neurologist at MUSC here in charleston...took the boys names and my phone number and said he would do everything in his power to make sure they both are seen there and by the same doctor even tho Michael is 18
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834. flaboyinga
11:14 PM EST on November 11, 2007
I got the boys names out to a friend that posts a lot of prayer requests from their webbsite. Now we gotta start workin on their Mom so she doesn't have to go outside every fifteen minutes.lol
833. flaboyinga
11:11 PM EST on November 11, 2007
Boy, there sure isn't much goin on in the tropics at the moment. I guess that will keep some of the trolls away.

Link
832. tiggeriffic
4:09 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
lol fireman...i look at my cell phone for the time...thank goodness it sets itself during daylight savings time!
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831. flaboyinga
11:04 PM EST on November 11, 2007
Correction, Evenin' folks. The one clock I didn't set back is over the computer desk, as I know I can just look at the screen for the correct time. I know you've heard of people who don't know anything, well I don't even suspect anything.lol
830. tiggeriffic
4:05 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
nite to ya zoo! sleep well

hey fireman! how are ya this evening?
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829. tiggeriffic
4:02 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
maybe next year... i am glad the breathing is spontanious...I get so busy, I would forget to do it! rofl
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828. zoomiami
4:04 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
Evening flaboy - guess you're just getting up?
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827. zoomiami
4:03 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
Have a good day tomorrow. Don't let the kids run over you.
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826. flaboyinga
11:03 PM EST on November 11, 2007
Mornin folks.
825. zoomiami
4:03 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
I'm off - have to shower & take the paint off - lol
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824. zoomiami
4:01 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
I use to do ceramics, and take them to craft fairs. Haven't done it in ages, though. No time, always working and running after the kids.
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823. tiggeriffic
3:58 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
This is the first year I haven't done a Christmas Craft Show in forever...usually this time of year I am covered in paint...I do all the hand painted ornaments, gift ideas, etc and go to shows to sell them...i use to paint from after dinner till bout midnight...no time this year to do it.
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822. zoomiami
3:56 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
I'll do that tomorrow - it needs to be sanded a little and probably another coat. I'm getting to be an expert - we redid our kitchen and I did the finish on all the cabinets. I can't even do my nails any more, they always get paint on them!
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821. tiggeriffic
3:54 AM GMT on November 12, 2007
here is a trick to painting pine...between coats let it dry really good and rub it with a brown paper bag, like you are sanding it. It will take the grain of the wood right back down without leaving the scratches that sand paper does
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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