North Sea storm spares England and the Netherlands

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:35 PM GMT on November 09, 2007

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A massive fall storm over Europe's North Sea generated winds near hurricane force last night that pushed a dangerous storm surge near 1.5 meters (4.65 feet) in height to the southeastern English coast this morning. The storm surge was much lower than originally feared, due in part to the fact it did not hit at high tide. The surge did breach sea defenses and caused some minor coastal flooding in England. It was feared that the storm might rival the great North Sea Flood of 1953 that breached the dikes in the Netherlands. Over 2,000 people died in northern Europe in that storm, mostly in the Netherlands. While today's storm did not approach the 1953 storm in severity, it did bring the highest storm surge seen in the past 20 years to the North Sea. The massive flood gates that protect the Dutch port of Rotterdam were closed for the first time since they were constructed in the 1990s. From early media accounts, the gates did their job admirably, protecting the Netherlands from inundation. Water levels reached 3.16 meters above mean sea level in the southern Netherlands, and 3.40 meters above sea level in the northern Netherlands, with no flooding reported. The floods of 1953 saw Dutch waters rise to 3.85 meters (12.6 ft) above sea level. Today's storm was not the remains of Hurricane Noel, which is currently over northern Canada.


Figure 1. Visible satellite image of Europe from 1322 GMT November 8, 2007. A powerful 975 mb low pressure system centered north of England ("L" on the image) was pushing a strong cold front southwards towards Western Europe. Image credit: University of Bern, Switzerland.


Figure 2. Forecast waves heights at 6am Greenwich time, Friday November 9, 2007, as predicted by NOAA's Wavewatch III model.

Tropical update
An area of disturbed weather over the extreme southern Caribbean, near Panama, is under about 20 knots of wind shear. The computer forecast models are predicting that some development of this region may occur by Sunday, when wind shear is expected to fall below 20 knots. However, the models are less keen on this prospect than yesterday. Any system that might form is expected to move westward and affect Costa Rica and Nicaragua.

I'll have an update Monday morning, unless there's some new development this weekend.

Jeff Masters

Gales at the Butt (kevindonner)
Storm force winds made taking a good picture difficult, as the lence of the camara got salt on it.
Gales at the Butt

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321. tiggeriffic
3:05 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
not sure keeper is still here...troll out from under the bridge...been rough
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
320. BajaALemt
3:04 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Hugs, hun......Tanks *smiles* Good here...YOU?

Yah, I was reading up on it earlier before work. Glad that it wasnt as bad as they thought it was going to be, for sure. Hope you've had a nice day
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
319. tiggeriffic
3:03 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
BAJA!!! smooches to ya! how are ya tonight?

guess you heard by now that UK faired much better than first anticipated...
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
318. BajaALemt
3:03 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Evenin Keep
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
317. BajaALemt
3:02 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Evenin folks

Evenin Tig
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
314. tiggeriffic
2:52 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
good evening to you keeper

like the name...dark recesses of my brain vaguely remember something like that...think it was in mythology...right?

still waiting for a pic to go with the name tho...lol
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
312. taistelutipu
4:51 AM EET on November 10, 2007
Thanks Taz. I'll remember that. I'll go to bed now... 5 a.m. already. See you all tomorrow again.
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
311. taistelutipu
4:43 AM EET on November 10, 2007
Hyvää huomenta, bollidear! It's 4:42 EET (Eastern European Time) so I think I can say that already. Puhutko suomea? Loistavaa!

BoynSea, I thought about joining that project. Have fun then off-season with hunting stupidity online.
See you next year (unless there is still a late storm somewhere)
*waves*
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
310. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:48 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
bye tropisdude banned yet
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309. tiggeriffic
2:45 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
easier to click the "!"...auto report!
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
308. tiggeriffic
2:44 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
gremlins are harmless too till ya feed em after midnight...
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
307. Tazmanian
6:41 PM PST on November 09, 2007
taistelutipu you can all ways e mail WunderBlogAdmin or : WundergroundDevs but i think WunderBlogAdmin will be the best one to e mail this copy one of there names that i said and e mail them
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306. BoynSea
2:42 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
I'm not sure if that is possible, but I if I may suggest, they seem to have a worthwhile project going, that anyone can participate in, if you but pass their "test". Good 'off season' project.

On topic, here in the Bahamas, I am grateful that the season has apparently passed, with only Noel to have to contend with. Feeling the pain for the peoples in Mexico, Dominican and Haiti (plus elsewhere) that got hit this year.

Will check in off and on, but commenting will cease for this year. (Unless provoked again). My best to all the regulars. Kudos to Dr. Masters.

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305. bollidear
2:41 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Hyvä iltaa taisteltipu!
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303. tiggeriffic
2:38 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
went back and reported each incident...can't stand trolls! Don't mind when things get a little off topic, been guilty myself when it is slow or when i find out bad news about a regular on here...but I HATE TROLLS!
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
302. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:36 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
we will hunt down that computer then zap it
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301. taistelutipu
4:34 AM EET on November 10, 2007
Hi Taz, do you know who is the admin here? How can we contact him?
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
299. Tazmanian
6:32 PM PST on November 09, 2007
wheres WunderBlogAdmin when you need him the most????
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298. taistelutipu
4:27 AM EET on November 10, 2007
BoynSea, thanks for that link. In a way the stupidity filter works already in this forum. I have set my preferences on "Average" meaning that the blog shows only messages rated Average and better. The others appear as grey bars with the user name, date and the + - and ! buttons I can click on "show" to check whether the content is indeed under average or not. In the case of tropicdudes postings I hit the ! and then the - again and then I went into my blog setting to put him on ignore.
but back to the stupidity filter. Is it possible to add these messages to their corpus?
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
282. NorthxCakalaky
2:06 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Raining here in north-west N.C. Probaly will freeze in the morning on some surfaces.


Be back when something "poofs up".
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280. taistelutipu
3:56 AM EET on November 10, 2007
Very witty post, tropicsdude *sarcastic grin*
And another name on my ignore list... Admin, troll alarm! Help!
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
277. taistelutipu
3:49 AM EET on November 10, 2007
sorry, Weather456, it took me a while to compile the data for my previous entry. Currently I'm trying to track ex-Noel on the MODIS Rapid Response System (here Nov. 5).
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
276. taistelutipu
3:47 AM EET on November 10, 2007
I went backwards day by day until November 3rd where Noel is clearly shown over Canada: analysis Nov. 3
On November 4 there is only a low pressure system without name between Canada and Greenland.
One day later, Nov. 5 said low is over Iceland and is dubbed ex-Noel. November 6 is then the map you posted with Noel already being over Norway. Now that's weird... today is November 9th. The storm went through yesterday on the 8, according to the previous entry of Dr. Masters. The satellite image shows clearly the low between the British Isles and Norway. This corresponds to the low "Tilo" on the maps of November 7 and 8. So I'm not quite sure about this ex-Noel...
Member Since: August 20, 2007 Posts: 12 Comments: 639
274. Weather456
9:37 PM AST on November 09, 2007
Gnight all...we need a tropical system to turn the blog back on....or the hurricane season and this blog will be saying:

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273. Weather456
9:32 PM AST on November 09, 2007
have u ever had the feeling u are all alone
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272. tiggeriffic
1:14 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
alrighty then...
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650
271. tiggeriffic
1:08 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
seems quiet in here tonight...glad to see our UK friends faired better than expected!
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3650

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.