North Sea storm spares England and the Netherlands

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:35 PM GMT on November 09, 2007

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A massive fall storm over Europe's North Sea generated winds near hurricane force last night that pushed a dangerous storm surge near 1.5 meters (4.65 feet) in height to the southeastern English coast this morning. The storm surge was much lower than originally feared, due in part to the fact it did not hit at high tide. The surge did breach sea defenses and caused some minor coastal flooding in England. It was feared that the storm might rival the great North Sea Flood of 1953 that breached the dikes in the Netherlands. Over 2,000 people died in northern Europe in that storm, mostly in the Netherlands. While today's storm did not approach the 1953 storm in severity, it did bring the highest storm surge seen in the past 20 years to the North Sea. The massive flood gates that protect the Dutch port of Rotterdam were closed for the first time since they were constructed in the 1990s. From early media accounts, the gates did their job admirably, protecting the Netherlands from inundation. Water levels reached 3.16 meters above mean sea level in the southern Netherlands, and 3.40 meters above sea level in the northern Netherlands, with no flooding reported. The floods of 1953 saw Dutch waters rise to 3.85 meters (12.6 ft) above sea level. Today's storm was not the remains of Hurricane Noel, which is currently over northern Canada.


Figure 1. Visible satellite image of Europe from 1322 GMT November 8, 2007. A powerful 975 mb low pressure system centered north of England ("L" on the image) was pushing a strong cold front southwards towards Western Europe. Image credit: University of Bern, Switzerland.


Figure 2. Forecast waves heights at 6am Greenwich time, Friday November 9, 2007, as predicted by NOAA's Wavewatch III model.

Tropical update
An area of disturbed weather over the extreme southern Caribbean, near Panama, is under about 20 knots of wind shear. The computer forecast models are predicting that some development of this region may occur by Sunday, when wind shear is expected to fall below 20 knots. However, the models are less keen on this prospect than yesterday. Any system that might form is expected to move westward and affect Costa Rica and Nicaragua.

I'll have an update Monday morning, unless there's some new development this weekend.

Jeff Masters

Gales at the Butt (kevindonner)
Storm force winds made taking a good picture difficult, as the lence of the camara got salt on it.
Gales at the Butt

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367. tiggeriffic
4:09 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
FLA, you still here? why not posting?
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
366. tiggeriffic
4:06 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
32nd street in SD, and tdy to alameda...actually docked next to my oldest brothers ship at the time, he was on the USS Carl Vinson, I was on the USS Acadia
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
363. tiggeriffic
4:02 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
I was in San Diego and Frisco when in the Navy...nice place

Hey fireman! how are ya?
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
362. BajaALemt
4:02 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
flaboy....evenin
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
360. flaboyinga
11:01 PM EST on November 09, 2007
Evening everyone. I hope the day has treated you good.
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359. BajaALemt
3:57 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
The little area of interest near Panama looks to be under about 20-30kts of shear
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
358. tiggeriffic
3:58 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Got to be careful bout sugar free tho...check the sugar alcohols...they are worse for you...most sugar free stuff has sugar alcohols...he is trying to go around that...don't know how yet but he has the brain to do it...just has to put his mind to it
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
343. tiggeriffic
3:34 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
not counting anything out keeper...water still awfully warm...trout not running as much as they usually do...but stranger even is the amount of acorns in the south east...we are innundated...usually means for a late, LONG, COLD winter...by January we could be fridged!
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
341. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
3:30 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
been odd this year to say the least yes we still have 21 days and a bit to go surprizes are very possible but least likely as we progress into late nov
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340. tiggeriffic
3:32 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
<<thanks baja...appreciate it...yes, the peewee is Andy...the one with the firetruck
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
339. kmanislander
3:30 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Panama City has WNW winds which confirms a surface low just to the N

Could have an invest out of this by tomorrow
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
338. BajaALemt
3:28 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Yuk @ smokin outside!!
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
337. kmanislander
3:26 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Keeper

Kind of odd how everything in the SW Caribbean has headed W this year.

I have seen a lot come up from the S into the NW Caribbean. Would not be surprised to see one more for the season originate down that way
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
336. kmanislander
3:25 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Trolls eh LOL

If you dont feed them they wither and die !
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
335. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
3:23 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
its surpose to be west movin gonna soak an already soaked area
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334. tiggeriffic
3:23 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
hey Kman...how goes it? Watch out...trolls out tonight...and they got teeth!

Thnx Baja...not telling peewee till we get there...don't think he would understand...

brb...need a cig...don't smoke in house, gotta go outside...brrrr....cold here tonight!
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
333. kmanislander
3:21 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Hi Baja

SW Caribbean spinning up a surface low

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
332. BajaALemt
3:21 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Big hugs, Tig

Evenin Kman
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
331. kmanislander
3:18 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
So whats going on here tonight ?

good evening all
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15948
330. tiggeriffic
3:17 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
got auto air soft gun...500 rounds per min...
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
329. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
3:16 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
just killen trolls tonight baja i guess i got nuttin better to do
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328. tiggeriffic
3:16 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
keeper...see comment 314...from me...hope it is the right #, i have dude on iggy list
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
327. tiggeriffic
3:15 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
baja...check mail
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
326. BajaALemt
3:13 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
Evenin Keep
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
325. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
3:10 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
evening all tropicsdude we almost got ya wont be long now
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324. tiggeriffic
3:10 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
my comments are disappearing
going to email...brb...gotta tell ya somethin
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
323. tiggeriffic
3:09 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
blog dragging all of a sudden???
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666
322. BajaALemt
3:06 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
I SAW that. I havent seen TropicDude Troll here in awhile. Too bad they cant ban him by his IP.
Member Since: September 25, 2007 Posts: 53 Comments: 8533
321. tiggeriffic
3:05 AM GMT on November 10, 2007
not sure keeper is still here...troll out from under the bridge...been rough
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3666

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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