Quiet Atlantic; possible development near Nicaragua this weekend

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:21 PM GMT on November 08, 2007

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The Atlantic is currently quiet, but all four reliable models are forecasting a tropical depression may form in the extreme southern Caribbean on Saturday or Sunday. The storm is expected to move westward, and hit southern Nicaragua on Monday. The extreme southern Caribbean is the only region of the tropical Atlantic with low enough wind shear to support tropical cyclone formation in the coming week. Residents of Costa Rica and Nicaragua should anticipate the possibility of heavy rains this weekend, and a tropical disturbance is already bringing heavy rains to these countries today. Wind shear is expected to be 20-40 knots for the next 48 hours, which should prevent any development until Saturday.

Wunderblogger Mike Theiss has posted his chase account of 'Noreaster Noel in Nova Scotia. The 100+ foot high wave he saw was quite impressive!

Jeff Masters

Kids play on fallen tree (MikeTheiss)
Kids play on a fallen tree left behind from Noel the Nor'easter. Copyright Mike Theiss
Kids play on fallen tree

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Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

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266. sammo
1:25 AM GMT on November 09, 2007
New blog on the storm in Europe...
Member Since: August 30, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 149
265. Bobbyweather
1:07 AM GMT on November 09, 2007
Weather456, are you sure that's ex-Noel? I thought it was ex-92L.
I also heard that ES Noel was heading towards West greenland.
If the storm were to be Noel, where would it dissipate- Europe or Asia? (just guess. I don't know.)
Member Since: September 7, 2006 Posts: 90 Comments: 2678
264. Patrap
12:35 AM GMT on November 09, 2007
One can do plenty to help here...
with this easy Link

Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129780
263. stormpetrol
12:32 AM GMT on November 09, 2007
Good Evening everyone looks like things have quieted down quite a bit, cold front dipping as far South as the The Caymans now, usually when we see this happening, the H season is usually over for us in the Nw caribbean which to me is a welcome sign.
Member Since: April 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 8134
262. Patrap
12:31 AM GMT on November 09, 2007
Norwegian Story on their Storm Tragedy Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129780
261. zoomiami
12:28 AM GMT on November 09, 2007
evening all - Hi Pat, how are you? I didn't get a chance to see this mornings' nonsense until now. People say stupid things, New Orleans is part of our history, and it should be rebuilt. My heart aches every time I see what everyone is going through. Andrew was bad enough, but Katrina was worse. If there is ever any projects, etc going on that you need man power, let me know. Would love to be involved.
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 10 Comments: 4158
260. Patrap
12:26 AM GMT on November 09, 2007

First Metal For the Orion Manned Spacecraft.
Mockup No.1 for the abort Rocket Tests.

Link

Dryden is using the mockup to develop and verify integration and installation procedures for things like avionics, instrumentation, and wire harness routing in advance of the arrival of the first abort flight test article, called "Boilerplate 1."
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129780
259. Skyepony (Mod)
12:21 AM GMT on November 09, 2007
latestDeaths so far
Britain: 9
Germany: 7
The Netherlands: 4
Czech Republic: 3
France: 2
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 223 Comments: 39357
258. Cavin Rawlins
11:50 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Extratropical Storm Noel

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
257. Floodman
11:32 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
S'long folks!
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
256. Floodman
11:31 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
I'm right behind you Bone...hold the door!
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
255. Floodman
11:31 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
252. Patrap 5:29 PM CST on November 08, 2007
What happens in Vostok, stays in Vostok...



It better...nothing there but penguins, elephant seals and several scientists suffering from the worst cabin fever in history...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
254. Bonedog
11:30 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
well im off to commute home. See everyone tomorrow AM
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
253. Floodman
11:29 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
You actually seem to be a cliche "Rennaisance Man"...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
252. Patrap
11:29 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
What happens in Vostok, stays in Vostok...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129780
251. Floodman
11:28 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
244. Patrap 5:23 PM CST on November 08, 2007
Conditions at Vostok,Antartica Link



Pat, did you notice the ad for the dating service: "Meet singles in Vostok"? LOL
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
250. Cavin Rawlins
11:28 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Meteosat 5 image of an extratropical low impacting Norway:



OSEBERG, Norway (ENOA) reported sustain winds of 64 knots gusting to 78 knots.



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
249. Bonedog
11:27 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
actually you dont know how much of a cliche I really am
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
248. Floodman
11:27 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
246. Bonedog 5:24 PM CST on November 08, 2007
243. Floodman 6:23 PM EST on November 08, 2007
You're Italain, from 'Jersey...that's nearly a cliche, Bone

thanks flood



You know I didn't mean anything by it...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
247. Floodman
11:25 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
238. Spetrm 5:18 PM CST on November 08, 2007
Floodman, I cant help but noticing noel on there. That thing just wont give up


Hey, Spet! Yeah, I'm not sure they're right...seems Noel made a hard left at Greenland...last I knew, I though he was a little spin back towards the Bering sea somewhere...Bone tracked him as well and he agrees
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
246. Bonedog
11:24 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
243. Floodman 6:23 PM EST on November 08, 2007
You're Italain, from 'Jersey...that's nearly a cliche, Bone


thanks flood

Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
245. Bonedog
11:23 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
almost sounds to me like if I said it it would sound like

Bonedog wordauction
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
244. Patrap
11:23 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Conditions at Vostok,Antartica Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129780
243. Floodman
11:23 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
You're Italain, from 'Jersey...that's nearly a cliche, Bone
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
242. Floodman
11:22 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
I haven't spoken auf Deutsch for so long that I'll be honest, if I'm reading a German webpage I occasionally have to resort to the translator myself...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
241. Bonedog
11:22 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
:) Flood I try
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
240. Floodman
11:21 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Bone, I'm still laughing over "Bonedog würde auch kühl sein"...ahhh God, I don't know why,it struck me as funny as hell...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
239. Floodman
11:18 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
LOL...Bonedog wants to be cool too...you're killin' me, bro
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
238. Spetrm
11:18 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Floodman, I cant help but noticing noel on there. That thing just wont give up.
Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 410 Comments: 9857
237. Floodman
11:17 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
der Bonedog ist kuhl...hier ist dem ausschrift:

Sturm Namen

Es ist auf Englisch
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
236. Bonedog
11:17 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
btw flood Im italian. Im using an online translator
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
235. Bonedog
11:16 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
bumsen... Fcuk
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
234. Bonedog
11:15 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
LOL Floodman. Ich wünschte Bumsen als der Sturmname. Bonedog würde auch kühl sein
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
233. Floodman
11:14 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Bumsen?
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
232. Bonedog
11:13 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
I want a system named Bumsen

Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
231. Floodman
11:13 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Laufen Sie, allegemeines fur Ihre leben! Auch Gott! Bonedog hat eine sturm namen gegeben! Gotterdamerung? Eine farbelhaftes nam' fur ein sturm, ja? Bumsen? warum Bumsen?
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
230. Floodman
11:10 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Here's the current German weather radar...lots of precip rolling in:

Link
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
229. Bonedog
11:09 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Great another reason to raise gas prices. Tomorrow we might see the 100 dollar a barrel benchmark.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
228. Bonedog
11:08 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
yea I see that. Guess they didnt follow it as closely as I did LOL either that or they need glasses :)


I want to adopt a name for a sytem..... BUMSEN
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
226. Floodman
11:05 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
AAIIEEEE! Sorry...vivid imagination. You notice that the Euromets are saying that the Low over Sweden is ex-Noel?
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
225. Bonedog
11:02 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
yup thats the one


I cant believe how many names they use over there. And you can buy a name for yourself. LOL imagine the caos here if we were able to buy names and if the NWS named every high and low that met criteria
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
224. Bonedog
10:59 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
thanks flood
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
223. Floodman
10:58 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Tilo looks to be running over the top of Scotland right now...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
222. Floodman
10:57 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Here's the current chart...look at what's over Sweden...the system that's causing the happiness, I think, is named Tilo:

Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
221. Floodman
10:55 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Here's a few:

Eumetnet:
Link

MeteoFrance:
Link

This is going to be the one, I think:
Free University of Berlin Met Page:
Link
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
220. Bonedog
10:53 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
they are officially classifing this as hurricane force at 18 UTC

Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
219. Bonedog
10:49 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
wow.... this evenings QS pass

Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
218. Bonedog
10:47 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
Flood can I get some of those links? I want to see this system in action.

Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
217. Floodman
10:46 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
He's in Finland...not to mention that he's on top of all of this happiness all the time; got some of my best Euro-weather links from him.

It's currently 10:40 in London...it should be getting pretty interesting east of there
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
216. Bonedog
10:42 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
hey Flood.

yea I rember him saying that. I hope he isnt in the path of this thing
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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