Tornado kills two in Missouri; more tornadoes on tap for today

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:53 PM GMT on October 18, 2007

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The tropical Atlantic is quiet today, and none of the reliable models are predicting tropical cyclone formation over the next five days.

At approximately 12:15 am CDT this morning, a tornado near Paris, Missouri, killed two people when it ripped apart their mobile home and tossed them 400 feet away. At least four other tornadoes hit Missouri yesterday, and two tornadoes touched down in Texas, and one each in Louisiana and Mississippi. The driver of a Petal Water & Sewer service truck was hospitalized in Mississippi after strong winds picked up his truck and tossed it across I-59.

Another severe weather outbreak is expected today in the U.S., from the Mississippi Valley northward through the Tennessee Valley and the Great Lakes. Tornado Watches have already been posted, and today's severe weather has the potential to generate a few strong, long-track tornadoes. You can follow the outbreak today on our new interactive tornado map, which will post the tornado damage reports as they are received. The new feature also allows one to plot all the historical tornado activity back to 1950 for any region in the U.S. If you take a wunderphoto of a tornadic storm or tornado damage, and click on the "tornado" type of image flag when uploading it, our software will attempt to match your photo to the storm report for that tornado. These photos will then be available when you click on a storm report on the interactive tornado page. One of the storm reports for Missouri yesterday has several wunderphotos of the thunderstorm that spawned the tornado available, thanks to wunderphotographer Paleohebrew.

Jeff Masters

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Pensacola Tornado (Mslider31)
Looking west down Cervantes from Barcelona.
Pensacola Tornado

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966. Floodman
8:50 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
Ahhh...I was losing posts to the Japanese auto repair blog myself yesterday...not so much this morning
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
965. NEwxguy
1:50 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Bone,
must have been a warning left from earlier in the week and forgot to delete.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 875 Comments: 15639
964. V26R
1:49 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Okay lets try this one again!
Bone some of the guys on the late night last night were calling for a low to form down south and fly up the coast this weekend, I'mnot seeing this, are you???
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963. Bonedog
9:49 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
even if the humidity drops to 0% behind the front the 4 to 12 inches of rain will leave the ground and vegetation mighty wet. I dont see how a fire watch could be issued
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962. Bonedog
9:48 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
ic yes I have been having posting problems all morning
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961. LakeShadow
1:47 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
wow...this blog is slow today
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960. NEwxguy
1:47 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
957. TampaSpin 1:47 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
NE Sox have to win 2 more......lol

We live to fight another day,the problem is becket can't pitch the next two games.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 875 Comments: 15639
959. Floodman
8:43 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
945. icmoore 8:41 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
Thanks Flood. You definitely understand then. Appt. next week. Don't know that it will do any good. Shoulders getting bad too now. Okay enough whining back to the weather. Sorry.



The problem I always have is the longer the flair-up, the more I tense to compensate...knees, shoulders etc...the best thing for a flair up is V&V (Valium and Vicodin)
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
958. V26R
1:47 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
IC Same Here Bunch of posts when into the Bermuda Triangle of Blogs and never came out
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957. TampaSpin
9:45 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
NE Sox have to win 2 more......lol
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
956. LakeShadow
1:45 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Link
heres the radar I'm looking at...check out the severe weather warnings and see if theres orange warning boxes...the key says its fire weather warnings...
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955. icmoore
1:25 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
I have posted twice and they didn't show up. Is anybody else having a problem?
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954. Floodman
8:04 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
Yep...you have to figure that they would, given rapidly changing conditions...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
953. V26R
1:45 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Testing 123
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952. NEwxguy
1:45 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
949. Bonedog 1:44 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
realtivly low humidity? Whats all that stuff falling from the sky? Air dropplets? LOL NWS pooched that forcast.

mother nature must have a giant hair dryer if its going to dry things out by tomorrow afternoon.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 875 Comments: 15639
951. IKE
8:45 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
Pensacola,Fl..... 12.69 inches of rain since yesterday at midnight.

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950. TampaSpin
9:42 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
Looks like no fronts pushing south at all for the next 7 days.......wow.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
949. Bonedog
9:42 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
realtivly low humidity? Whats all that stuff falling from the sky? Air dropplets? LOL NWS pooched that forcast.
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948. NEwxguy
1:42 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
947. UYA 1:41 PM GMT on October 19, 2007


FIRE WEATHER WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
537 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE
TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...


lol,low relative humidity is not the problem there at this time.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 875 Comments: 15639
947. UYA
1:39 PM GMT on October 19, 2007


FIRE WEATHER WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
537 AM EDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE
TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...


OK...I see it.
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946. NEwxguy
1:40 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
is yawning a lot,stayed up late watching the Sox.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 875 Comments: 15639
945. icmoore
1:35 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Thanks Flood. You definitely understand then. Appt. next week. Don't know that it will do any good. Shoulders getting bad too now. Okay enough whining back to the weather. Sorry.
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944. cantoriesnumber1fan
1:37 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Test
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943. NEwxguy
1:36 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
I'm doing good ic, and flood very untypical fall morning up here, dew points in the 60's and expect temps in the 70's today.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 875 Comments: 15639
942. Floodman
8:37 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
940. Bonedog 8:36 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
I posted it earlier. Lake I think you are looking at the HWO the colors are quite close. you would think with 256 colors the NWS would choose some more instead of 13 shades of beige



LOL
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941. Floodman
8:35 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
I also note that the ULL has not cleared the Yucatan as yet...really good spin in the mid-to-upper levels, and a lot of dry air wrapping up in it
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
940. Bonedog
9:35 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
I posted it earlier. Lake I think you are looking at the HWO the colors are quite close. you would think with 256 colors the NWS would choose some more instead of 13 shades of beige
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939. Floodman
8:34 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
Canoes, kayaks, dinghies...how you this morning, NEwxguy?
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
938. Weather456
1:29 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Central ATL area of disturbed weather

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937. Floodman
8:33 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
931. icmoore 8:02 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
Good Morning Flood. Feeling a lot better these last few days. Hey, it's always a good day when you can reach your feet to put your own socks on! LOL Thanks for asking.



I iknow how you feel...got some chronic low back issues myself. When I get a flair up only the chemistry really helps...
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
936. icmoore
1:31 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Good morning Newxguy. Yeah, sorry for the extra post. I thought something might be wrong and it was dropping a lot of post.
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935. UYA
1:31 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
I don't see any red flag warnings for Florida LakeShadow.
What did I miss?
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934. NEwxguy
1:31 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
I'll try that again,goodmorning all,looks like the panhandle will need canoes pretty soon,with that fetch off the gulf.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 875 Comments: 15639
933. Bonedog
9:29 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
what is up with this thing today. Posts are showing up 30 mintues after being posted, others just disapear. Its going to be a bad day in here if this keeps up
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932. NEwxguy
1:30 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Posts take along time to appear sometimes,hate that
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 875 Comments: 15639
931. icmoore
12:56 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Good Morning Flood. Feeling a lot better these last few days. Hey, it's always a good day when you can reach your feet to put your own socks on! LOL Thanks for asking.
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930. LakeShadow
1:24 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
hey all...wondering why there appears to be a fire weather warning over Fla...
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929. Bonedog
9:21 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
I noticed the V2. should be an interesting day. Also the OPC charts show a low center forming along the front today, which I didnt expect to see. I wonder what that will do to the forcast?

Link
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928. V26R
1:14 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
How we looking today Bone Lots of cloud cover here onthe coast but some mighty big boomers moving up from AC over the Water
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927. Miamiweather
1:12 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
StormW do you think that with about 12 days left of october are the possibility of seeing a major hurricane greatly reduced? Thank you in advance for you input
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926. UYA
1:12 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Generally the Day 1 Convective Outlook is published every six hours. During severe breakouts they will update every 3 to 5 hours or however they choose.
At the bottom of the current Convective Outlook they post the time of the next expected outlook.

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1312Z (9:12AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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925. Bonedog
8:59 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
gotcha flood. I was just wondering because they issued todays at 12am and I know its going to change as the day stretches on. Especially because the cloud cover is broken here allowing some sun in.
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923. Floodman
7:56 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
921. Bonedog 7:54 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
question? do they update the SPC convective outlooks during the day or just issue once



I'm not really sure...seems I saw the values change on Wednesday when everything was firing
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922. Floodman
7:55 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
920. NoNamePub 7:54 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
Flood -
Take a look at the convection WAY out in he atlantic. Probably 1000 miles SE of the Lesser antillies....

Morning all!



Yep, 9N41W...it appears to be a weak elongated low; the models show it strengthening slightly
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921. Bonedog
8:50 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
question? do they update the SPC convective outlooks during the day or just issue once
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920. NoNamePub
12:53 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Flood -
Take a look at the convection WAY out in he atlantic. Probably 1000 miles SE of the Lesser antillies....

Morning all!
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919. Floodman
7:53 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
Good morning, ic, how are you?
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918. Floodman
7:45 AM CDT on October 19, 2007
I notice some decent convection at 9N41W, and more in the central Carib...shear values are pretty low across the tropics to day as well; looks like forecast to stay at least marginal across much of the area. Looks like the models are showing some possible development of the area around 9N...as well as something in the WCarib in the next 48-60 hours
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
917. icmoore
12:49 PM GMT on October 19, 2007
Good morning Bonedog and thank you.
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916. Bonedog
8:46 AM EDT on October 19, 2007
no baha hasnt been on yet. Kinda early there so maybe on a little later. I do hope everyone is safe.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.