Bermuda tropical wave

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:13 PM GMT on July 22, 2007

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A tropical wave near Bermuda (dubbed "97L" by NHC this evening) is interacting with an upper-level low pressure system just west of the island. The two weather systems are producing plenty of clouds and thunderstorms over a wide region of ocean. An area of concentrated thunderstorms has developed about 100 miles east of Bermuda, and we'll have to watch this area for continued development. Wind shear has decreased to about 10 knots over the area, and is expected to remain at 10 knots or less for the next two days, which is low enough to encourage development. However, the disturbance is moving northward towards cooler waters, and it will only have about 1 more day over favorable water temperatures greater than 80F. In any case, the system's expected northward track over the next three days means that any tropical storm that might develop will probably not last long or threaten any land areas. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft that was scheduled to investigate the system today was canceled, and no further flights are planned.

NHC's new Experimental Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Last week, NHC began issuing their new Experimental Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook. The product takes the standard Tropical Weather Outlook text and combines it with an infrared satellite image identifying the regions being discussed. It's similar to what I frequently do on my blogs, and I think NHC should make it a permanent feature on their web site. There's a feedback form on the web site to comment on the usefulness of the new product.



Figure 2. Infrared satellite image showing the upper level low interacting with a tropical wave near Bermuda (area 1). Image credit: NHC's new Experimental graphical Tropical Weather Outlook.

Jeff Masters

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789. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
5:13 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
deep low south of greenland on the move finally signal the anticapated shift in pattern by mid next week which depends on dev of the system south of lower grt lakes as it tracks ne ward wave off of africa is getting the shit sucked out of it by itcz 97l all but a memory another 6 to 10 days of quiet as we approach peak season in next couple of weeks
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55517
787. Tropicnerd13
3:41 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
tru dat cj5
786. Tropicnerd13
3:39 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
i just took an iq test. it didnt ask my age and it didnt let me give different information than the last time i took one.
785. NoNamePub
3:32 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Reposting This

Posted By: NoNamePub at 2:10 PM GMT on July 23, 2007.

Did you notice the 96hr + Runs at 850 ? on GFS
Shows some development in the western Gulf.
The Water is WARM over there!
Any chances of it Actually happening?
Member Since: July 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 530
784. CJ5
3:10 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
97L died a quick death and no longer a low in the last wave off Africa. Looks like it will be a quiet few days. However, it appears that a well developed wave of trolls and punks are dominating much of the tropics. I hope this pattern lifts soon.

Member Since: July 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1755
783. texascanecaster1
3:00 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
answer me maverrick were you the one who stole personal information on the wbesite thundercloud mentioned?
782. texascanecaster1
2:56 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
maverrick ar u being serious.
781. Tropicnerd13
2:55 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
does anyone know where to find a free iq test?
780. Tropicnerd13
2:48 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
im not calling you stupid, maveric. just letting you know. i like to state my opinion. Hello? anybody here?
779. texascanecaster1
2:48 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
hmm aparantley there is a free flotaing surfac low in the gom.....
no development.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-rb.html
778. Tropicnerd13
2:47 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
oh and why dont you just go on the internet website for ign and look there for free? you are on the computer anyway. ok sinse we are on the topic of odd stuff has anyone taken an iq test before and remember their iq? please post it. either maveric is a kid or he has a 120 iq. oh and so my post has something about weather, it is drying out in texas.
776. Tropicnerd13
2:40 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
hey leftovers, it wouldnt matter if you were wrong about it. take twc for example. you can be wrong about 90% of the time and get payed tons of money (compared to a teacher's salery). for any of us, we would be AWESOME at that job. oh, and why did you pick the name leftovers? no one really likes leftovers. no off.
774. Tropicnerd13
2:37 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
ok ok nevermind the arguement. back to the tropics. in the picture dr. m. posted it looks like there are 2 lows with that wave down there by africa. i am NOT wishcasting, but just asking, does anyone see this and where is the steering pattern going to take this or these. if anyone knows or has something to say about this comment, please tell me.
773. CaicosRetiredSailor
2:36 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
new blog
CRS
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6069
772. leftovers
2:34 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Boy I was wrong on our invest yesterday. I thought, if you did not read my post the invest would develop into a td. Fornately I am not getting paid for this. Take care and pray for surf.
771. Tropicnerd13
2:32 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
what do you mean by selling it? he was giving it to other people or he was trying to make a profit out of it? either one is terrible.
770. flaboyinga
2:32 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Maverick, you have mail.
769. texascanecaster1
2:32 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
ok tropic i am not trying to pick on anyone actually i was trying to do exactly what your trying to do: stop the fighting.
768. IKE
2:30 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
You have a good to likely chance of rain all week in Tampa...same here in the panhandle...lots of rain in the gulf and some south of you.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
767. Murko
2:30 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
CycloneOz: That's what I did, and am still trying to do, but it just takes me back to the same looking page, albeit with a slightly different url, without downloading the file. Is it just me?
Member Since: July 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 155
765. Tropicnerd13
2:28 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
ok yeah im sorry to for that huge message. it took me a while to type it so i didnt see that you had already solved the problem. my bad.
763. Thundercloud01221991
2:25 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Posted By: texascanecaster1 at 2:25 PM GMT on July 23, 2007.
ah now i see. i apologize greatly i misread.


Thanks
Member Since: August 1, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
762. texascanecaster1
2:25 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
thoguht it it said you were banned by an admin.
761. texascanecaster1
2:25 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
ah now i see. i apologize greatly i misread.
760. Thundercloud01221991
2:23 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Posted By: Thundercloud01221991 at 2:12 PM GMT on July 23, 2007.
Posted By: Tropicnerd13 at 2:07 PM GMT on July 23, 2007.
ok now back to weather please. and on you guys' subject, wtf is that little post of a post?


I guess since it was posted I will explain

it is an admin on yourweather.30.forumer.com athat has been banned by me because of stealing personal information and selling it



does that make it any easer to read
Member Since: August 1, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
759. lightning10
2:23 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
>_> Could this be a mistake? Some rotation?

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 41 Comments: 630
758. Thundercloud01221991
2:22 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
thundercloud wtf? were you seriosuly banned for stealing peoples personal ifnormation??? if so then how come you are alowd on this website?? an furthermore just cause your 16 doesn't make you anymore mature or less mature than the rest of us and trying to say that it does actually makes you less mature than the rest of us. Anyway i have been askin them to stop fifhgitin and so far they haven't listenedc so i have given up. fighting usually starts as a result of someone WISHCASTING! anyway maybe i should change my name to texaswishacsterkiller.

first of all I am not stealing your personal info I told you that you can put fake info into the survey but I also do not sell the info I get HE DID
Member Since: August 1, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
757. Tropicnerd13
2:21 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
ok sorry for the blonde moments. now talking tropics, what was the name of the storm that went in between the peninsula under california and mainland mexico? is that called baha peninsula? my brain is still acting up.
756. IKE
2:21 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Posted By: Pachanga at 9:16 AM CDT on July 23, 2007.
Is the GFS hinting at devel. in the GOM?


I doubt it.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
754. texascanecaster1
2:18 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
thundercloud wtf? were you seriosuly banned for stealing peoples personal ifnormation??? if so then how come you are alowd on this website?? an furthermore just cause your 16 doesn't make you anymore mature or less mature than the rest of us and trying to say that it does actually makes you less mature than the rest of us. Anyway i have been askin them to stop fifhgitin and so far they haven't listenedc so i have given up. fighting usually starts as a result of someone WISHCASTING! anyway maybe i should change my name to texaswishacsterkiller.
753. Pachanga
2:16 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Is the GFS hinting at devel. in the GOM?
752. Tropicnerd13
2:16 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
ok that's cool. i need to go drink an energy drink cause my brain's acting up. i cannt type or reed or spealll for that mater.
750. nash28
2:14 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
The shift in the steering pattern hasn't taken shape yet.

It isn't forecast to until the end of this month. Not there yet.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
749. Tropicnerd13
2:13 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
sorry i cant read. i just woke up. it should say south carolina. i thougth it was southern california.
748. Thundercloud01221991
2:12 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Posted By: Tropicnerd13 at 2:07 PM GMT on July 23, 2007.
ok now back to weather please. and on you guys' subject, wtf is that little post of a post?



I guess since it was posted I will explain

it is an admin on yourweather.30.forumer.com athat has been banned by me because of stealing personal information and selling it
Member Since: August 1, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
747. lightning10
2:11 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Thats not a good radar. There is more rain moving east to west. For some reason there is a huge blind spot in the east towards the desert.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 41 Comments: 630
746. NoNamePub
2:10 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Ike -
Did you notice the 96hr + Runs at 850 ?
Shows some development in the western Gulf.
The Water is WARM over there!
Any chances of it Actually happening?
Member Since: July 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 530
745. quante
2:10 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Now this is a nice link from the Navy site: Link. Model overlay on satellite photos.
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 329
744. Tropicnerd13
2:09 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
lightning, i'll do you a favor and make that a link. rain in california.
743. IKE
2:08 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Posted By: lightning10 at 9:07 AM CDT on July 23, 2007.
RAIN hitting the ground in So Cal this morning ^_^.


That's great news!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
741. Tropicnerd13
2:07 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
ok now back to weather please. and on you guys' subject, wtf is that little post of a post?
740. IKE
2:07 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
Here's a 500mb VORT run on the latest GFS....

troughs in the east.....

Link
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
739. lightning10
2:07 PM GMT on July 23, 2007
RAIN hitting the ground in So Cal this morning ^_^.

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 41 Comments: 630

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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