More heat

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:40 PM GMT on July 09, 2007

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An assessment team from NOAA headquarters returns to the National Hurricane Center today to interview staffers and director Bill Proenza about the on-going upheaval at the center. Last week, most of the senior staff called for Mr. Proenza to step down. I continue to support the senior staff on this issue, as detailed in a blog from last week. It's up to the NOAA assessment team to sort things out now, which will not be easy. I hope that the NOAA assessment team fairly considers the evidence, and that wisdom prevails in this unfortunate conflict.

Tropical Update
Fortunately for all concerned, the tropical Atlantic is very quiet at present. There are no threat areas to discuss, and none of the computer models hint at anything developing over the coming week. It's a different story in the Pacific, where tropical Storm Man-Yi is expected to become the season's first Category 3 or higher typhoon. Man-Yi could threaten Japan late this week.

More heat
Friday's high temperature of 129 degrees in Death Valley was only five degrees away from the hottest temperature ever recorded in North America--the 134 degrees (you guessed it) in Death Valley, back on July 10, 1913. Temperatures cooled off over the weekend, but not a lot--Sunday's high was 120 degrees (but it was a "dry" heat!) The heat will continue over the West this week, but we have likely witnessed the peak temperatures from this heat wave. With thunderstorm activity expected to pick up this week across the West, expect plenty of lightning-triggered fires to erupt. Utah is already reporting its biggest forest fire in history, and we can expect one of the worst summer fire seasons on record across the Western U.S.

June wasn't exceptionally hot across the U.S.--the National Climatic Data Center reported that June 2007 was the 23rd warmest and 33rd driest June in the historical record (since 1895). The period January - June was the 18th warmest on record. July will probably not set any heat records for the U.S. as a whole, despite the Western heat wave, since a major trough of low pressure is forecast to bring unseasonably cool air across the Midwest and Northeast later this week.

Good-bye, Margie!
View From the Surface blogger Margie Kieper is retiring from blogging as of today. She wants to focus her energies on contributing to the science of tropical meteorology, and hopes to become a co-author on scholarly journal articles. Margie is one of the best researchers I've worked with, and I'm sure she'll do well. We'll miss her thorough and informative blog posts!

Jeff Masters

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384. jaxparrothead
8:17 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Dr Masters

Happy now? You and your collegues campaign based on faulty research, incomplete reporting, falsehoods, misstatements and half-truths have ruined the career of a well-known and respected man while at the same time creating a new journalistic category: that of tabloid-meterology.

In the future, when I want weather information I will seek it elsewhere. If I am ever in the market for gossip and cannot make it to the grocery store checkout line, I will return here.

Steve Palmeter

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383. nash28
8:17 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Ok, not trying to sound really ignorant here, but I am when it comes to this.....

Is Margie Kieper just a regular blogger who just happened to get lucky enough to become featured?? Sounds like Dr. Masters' right hand. Just curious as to who Margie is.

Can someone 'splain that to me?
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382. hurricane23
4:17 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
Looking forward to the new graphical TWO coming up this week.
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381. IKE
3:18 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
Yeah...it does appear to be moving north of due west.
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380. stormybil
8:16 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
and what about the antilies wave is that going in the car. or....

congrads to ed r the best man for the job .
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379. Drakoen
8:16 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: IKE at 8:15 PM GMT on July 09, 2007.

Drakoen...I see that spin at about 6N, 35W.

yea. Too far south but it look like its moving to the WNW.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30494
378. bobw999
4:15 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
I bet you Jeff and Margie Kieper are glad hes gone. They didn't like him.
377. HCW
8:15 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
You can't rock the boat when you work for the government . It could be the perfect time for a house cleaning at the NHC. Bill should have been given the chance to at least finish this hurricane season as the director .

Link
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376. IKE
3:14 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
Drakoen...I see that spin at about 6N, 35W.
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375. IKE
3:13 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
Some of the BS statements that are typed out on this blog are mind-boggling.
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374. hurricane23
4:12 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
The story is now on the Sun-Sentinel.
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373. RL3AO
3:11 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
We will know in a week bil.
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372. ricderr
8:09 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: hurricane23 at 7:41 PM GMT on July 09, 2007.

With his 16 years at the NHC he Knows electronics and support systems inside out.He has also worked as a hurricane specialist before becoming chief of the Technical Support Branch.


I think he will do a great job.



NOW 23...reference your post with the palm beach post article i cut and pasted above....now my man..if not c&p...you might want to take up journalism...cus..you're as good as the paid professionals.....
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371. hurricane23
4:06 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: ricderr at 4:04 PM EDT on July 09, 2007. (hide)
here you go 23....from the palm beach post october 2005

Edward Rappaport

46, deputy director

Years at center: 16

Function: No. 2 guy. Knows electronics and support systems inside out.

Experience: Worked as hurricane specialist before becoming chief of the Technical Support Branch.

Education: Bachelor and master of science degrees from the University of Washington; Ph.D. with a specialty in atmospheric science from Texas Tech University.


now...google never lies.....but i'll call a C&P when i see it

You have some serious problems as you know jack about anything that has to do with weather and only come on this blog to either make smart comments or look for trouble.Ive meet ED twice on both of my NHC tours of the national hurricane center and know alot on his background.Just ignore me on the blog please it would mean alot.
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370. stormybil
8:07 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
kewl is it ed who will replace bill he should have been the leader in the first place ed always tells it like it is and whats in his heart great move .

now back to the atl wave off of africa anyone thinks we might see something out of it its looking better at this hour
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369. Delsol
4:07 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
FROM FOX NEWS..

National Hurricane Center Director Replaced
Monday, July 09, 2007


The National Hurricane Center's director is out and the deputy director is taking his place, a Center spokesman told FOX News Monday.

Dr. Ed Rappaport has been named acting director, replacing Bill Proenza, according to spokesman Dennis Feltgen. It's unclear if Proenza voluntarily stepped aside.

Proenza is still an employee of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Feltgen said.

The move comes just days after Proenza said he would not resign despite calls from about half of his staffers to replace him immediately.

Proenza said on July 6 that the demands by 23 employees for him to leave were disagreements that could be resolved.
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368. Drakoen
8:05 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: Tropicnerd13 at 8:01 PM GMT on July 09, 2007.

hey, drak, that system looks impressive for the ones we have been watching. what do you think the chance of that developing is? 1 in 20?


LOL it has to get out of the ITCZ. There definately seems to be a psin there though. Use all the loops you want.
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367. nash28
8:05 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Ok, well now that Proenza is gone and the quota for GW blog topics is long passed, I hope we get back to actual tropical blogs very soon.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
366. Drakoen
8:02 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: moonlightcowboy at 8:01 PM GMT on July 09, 2007.

Drakoen, gotta love it, bro. You sure have a talent for zoomin' in! Could be something. Here we go again at about 35W, but a good bit further south. Gotta get up out of the ITCZ!


it doesn't seem to be moving south. Its something my meterologist pointed out but i could see it clearly untill now.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30494
364. bobw999
4:03 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
I imagine Dr. Masters is frantically (and excitedly!) updating his blog as we speak!

Yeah since they just wanted him to go.
363. ricderr
8:02 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
here you go 23....from the palm beach post october 2005

Edward Rappaport

46, deputy director

Years at center: 16

Function: No. 2 guy. Knows electronics and support systems inside out.

Experience: Worked as hurricane specialist before becoming chief of the Technical Support Branch.

Education: Bachelor and master of science degrees from the University of Washington; Ph.D. with a specialty in atmospheric science from Texas Tech University.


now...google never lies.....but i'll call a C&P when i see it
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362. Tropicnerd13
8:01 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
i gotta go check more weather. drak, how do you get an immage to show up on your comment?
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361. Indialanticgirl
8:02 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
-- National Hurricane Center director Bill Proenza has left his position after staff signed a petition calling for his ouster, CNN confirms.
Sorry looks like y'all caught that news already!
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360. quakeman55
8:01 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Dang double post...lol.

I imagine Dr. Masters is frantically (and excitedly!) updating his blog as we speak!
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359. Drakoen
8:01 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
That spin that i am pointing out is something that my meteorologist pointed out as well. It is counter clockwise.
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358. Tropicnerd13
8:00 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
hey, drak, that system looks impressive for the ones we have been watching. what do you think the chance of that developing is? 1 in 20?
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357. IKE
3:00 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: ricderr at 2:55 PM CDT on July 09, 2007.
ok then......all people out of jobs..are not smart..and i'll take it that the counter then must also be true..all people with jobs are smart.....at least you keep it simple ike


You're assuming. Think I'll back out of this conversation. Jeez....
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356. moonlightcowboy
7:59 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Drakoen, gotta love it, bro. You sure have a talent for zoomin' in! Could be something. Here we go again at about 35W, but a good bit further south. Gotta get up out of the ITCZ!
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355. quakeman55
8:00 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
I imagine here soon that they will name or vote on a new permanent director here soon...until then, Ed Rappaport will be the acting director. So it's not quite over yet, but at least a huge step was made with Proenza's departure (though he will still be a part of NOAA).
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354. quakeman55
7:57 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
I imagine here soon that they will name or vote on a new permanent director here soon...until then, Ed Rappaport will be the acting director. So it's not quite over yet, but at least a huge step was made with Proenza's departure (though he will still be a part of NOAA).
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353. auburn (Mod)
2:58 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
I cut and past all I can...saves me from typing...and I type SLOW...LOL
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352. Tropicnerd13
7:57 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
i dont get the difference between the south and north hemispheres. i know that the lows spin differently, but is it possible for a low below the equator to go above the equator? or vice versa? ive never heard of such a thing happening, and it sounds impossible, but it would be interesting if it could happen...
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351. nash28
7:52 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Well, here are my two Pesos....

Proenza's ouster is one of two things:

A) He has been eating Tums like candy for the last several days after announcing he is going nowhere, and is tired of the gas.

B)- Most likely: His superiors told him to beat feet and not to let the door hit him where the Good Lord split him on the way out.

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350. RL3AO
2:55 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
1
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349. ladyweatherbug
7:48 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
Thank goodness the drama is over. It sure makes me feel "safer". Of course I know I have you guys and gals to rely on as I have in the past.

I live 20 miles in from Cedar Key and 2 miles from the good ole Suwannee. Jeanne was awful. Scary. The wind lasted for-freakin-ever. We were never given an evac order here, so we stayed put.

As an aside: Nash and H23 - I have respected both of you for quite some time and have learned a great deal during the time I lurked. Please don't snipe. Everyone has an opinion. Yes, Katrina was (still is) awful and so was Andrew. Let's just leave it at that and focus on this season. Thanx so much and love to you both.
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348. Drakoen
7:56 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
anyone notice this?
This maybe what the CMC is picking up on at 850mb.
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347. hurricane23
3:52 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: ricderr at 3:52 PM EDT on July 09, 2007. (hide)
good cut and paste on the one 23.....now...if i recall....as of a few weeks ago..it had ben reported..that bill was loved by the staff...so........what i'm gathering..is you don't know anymore than anyone else...you're just thinking that since his resume looks good...he'll do a good job

Yea cut and past from my own post....Please dont even start this crap.

I wish ED well and glad the NHC took care of this matter before we have any tropical system threatening the united states.


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346. Patrap
2:55 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
West-Pacific WV FULL DISK

Link
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345. ricderr
7:55 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
ok then......all people out of jobs..are not smart..and i'll take it that the counter then must also be true..all people with jobs are smart.....at least you keep it simple ike
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344. bobw999
3:54 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
I remember Ed when a hurricane was about to hit and Max was sleeping.
343. Tropicnerd13
7:52 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
i agree. it looks impressive.
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342. IKE
2:53 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: ricderr at 2:52 PM CDT on July 09, 2007.
ike....was bill not smart?


Apparently not...he's out of a job.
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341. IKE
2:52 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
Posted By: ricderr at 2:52 PM CDT on July 09, 2007.
good cut and paste on the one 23.....now...if i recall....as of a few weeks ago..it had ben reported..that bill was loved by the staff...so........what i'm gathering..is you don't know anymore than anyone else...you're just thinking that since his resume looks good...he'll do a good job


As George Michael sings..."Ya gotta have faith".
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340. Bonz
3:44 PM EDT on July 09, 2007
Well, now the NHC can go back to smiley "nothing is wrong, move along, move along" type attitude.

Pretty bad the way this went down. But work politics are never pretty.

I've lost a lot of respect for the NHC over the handling of this.

Nice to know my taxpayer dollars have been so productively spent. Rocking the boat = bad, kissing up and playing politics = good.

Bah
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339. ricderr
7:52 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
ike....was bill not smart?
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338. Tropicnerd13
7:51 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
i know what you mean nash. kind of like the workers at twc. lol.
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337. RL3AO
2:50 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
It might become TD-4E later today or tomorrow.
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336. ricderr
7:50 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
good cut and paste on the one 23.....now...if i recall....as of a few weeks ago..it had ben reported..that bill was loved by the staff...so........what i'm gathering..is you don't know anymore than anyone else...you're just thinking that since his resume looks good...he'll do a good job
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335. quakeman55
7:51 PM GMT on July 09, 2007
But of course all of you beat me to it...just had to express my enthusiasm. lol
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334. sandcrab39565
2:49 PM CDT on July 09, 2007
Not a meterologist but I am a Federally certified emergency manager and all I have to say is lets hope this settles things down my job strongly depends on thier forcasts.
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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.