About Jeff Masters
Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather
By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 10:36 PM GMT on August 24, 2005
The NHC 5pm discussion mentions that an experimental intensification model is forecasting a 57% chance that Katrina will undergo rapid intensification Thursday just before landfall in South Florida. The GFDL model is also calling for rapid intensification. This means that Katrina could be a Category 3 hurricane when it hits South Florida. The current thinking is still that there is enough dry air around Katrina to make it a strong tropical storm or weak Category 1 hurricane at landfall, but keep in mind that hurricane intensity forecasts are very unreliable.
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