Andrea's remains head out to sea

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:10 PM GMT on May 13, 2007

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After lingering by the coast of Florida and almost reaching tropical depression status the past two days, Andrea has finally gotten caught up in a west-to-east moving trough of low pressure, and gotten swept out to sea. Andrea's remains could bring tropical storm force winds to Bermuda Monday morning. Here is the latest thing NHC had to say about the storm:

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA...IS CENTERED ABOUT 445 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT 550 MILES WEST OF BERMUDA. THE SYSTEM IS NOW MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE EAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE NIGHT...AND THE LOW IS NOW MOVING OVER COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS DECREASING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AS IT PASSES NEAR BERMUDA ON MONDAY.


Figure 1. Visible satellite image from May 13, 2007, showing the remains of Andrea moving out to sea (upper right corner), and some residual smoke over the Gulf of Mexico from Florida's Bugaboo fire.

Andrea's departure is welcome news to most of Florida, as winds over the Bugaboo fire region have calmed down considerably with the storm's departure. Lighter winds have kept the smoke from the fire near its source, forcing the closure of a 35-mile stretch of I-75 and a portion of I-10 in northern Florida. Air pollution levels are still dangerous to vulnerable people in much of Florida, but have improved greatly over Friday's record-breaking levels.

Have a great Mother's Day, all you moms!
Jeff Masters

Smokey Sun (Raysfan70)
This picture was taken in Auburndale Florida. We have been dealing with the smoke from the Fires up to our North. This is a smoke going over the Sun. Taken at Approx. 7:00 p.m.
Smokey Sun
Okefenokee Fire (Rainman32)
Okefenokee wildfire from the east
Okefenokee Fire

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558. JUSTCOASTING
7:50 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
JERRY FARWELL DIES AGE 73
Member Since: August 15, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 666
557. stormkat
2:10 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
the data i have looked at and its a 30 day outlook i can see the shear slacking up and something could form in the nw caribbean sea in the middle of june...thats the time to start watching for something to really develop just a little food for thought...i will let you know if anything changes before then.......
Member Since: May 9, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 335
556. stormkat
2:04 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
yes i am ...the shear down there is expected to pick up with a upper level low forming just to the east of the yucatan in 24 hours and that will kill all hopes of tropical activity...i told you guys dont go by the computers you should of learned your lesson last year....
Member Since: May 9, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 335
555. NaplesPatty
2:04 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
new blog up
551. stormkat
1:57 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
hey guys dream on did you see the conditions down there right now ...the sst are to low and the shear is still in the area...in my opinion their will not be 2 storms in may...if you want to get technical andrea should have never been named in the first place...that all had to do with politics...andrea was something that happens everytime around april and may..a subtropical system which never had tropical characteristics to begin with...andrea was spread out all over the place..the NHC made a huge area in naming just a rain event..it was nothing more then what we experience in the summertime a heavy thunderstorm...StormKat
Member Since: May 9, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 335
550. Jedkins
1:45 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Every cyclone in history has had more convection then andrea, LOL
549. franck
1:37 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Nothing, nothing and uhhh I forgot...nothing.
http://www.wunderground.com/data/640x480/atlm_shear.gif
Member Since: August 30, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
548. Thundercloud01221991
1:35 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
It already has more convection then andrea LOL
Member Since: August 1, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 3716
546. Comatose
12:57 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
'Morning 07, hello everyone.
545. hurricane2007
12:51 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
morning everyone!
543. biff4ugo
12:47 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Thank you for reporting on the Fires here in Florida. Without those winds off the coast we have finally started getting some good soaking rain here in central and northern Florida. Ashes from the fire fell on cars all week. Even down in Tampa which was very poinient.
The Climate Change Conference in Tampa late last week was VERY COOL! And even generated recomendations to the Florida legislature.
Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 113 Comments: 1536
542. nash28
12:47 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Could be an interesting end to the week in the Carribbean. Let's see if the models stay consistent or if they back off like we saw so much of last season.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
541. HurricaneGeek
12:45 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Thank you Ike
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
540. IKE
12:44 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
It's okay...glad it rained where you're at.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
539. TheCaneWhisperer
12:43 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Ok Now I am Interested! NoGaps on board now!


Right in line with the ECMWF!

Select NA View in the ECMWF drop down and Click the 850T/SLP Loop in the left toolbar.

Morning Everyone! BRING THE RAIN! North Palm Beach, Martin, St. Lucie and Okeechobee recieved quite a soaker last night!
538. i12BNEi
12:43 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Morning all
Anyone know the record for the most named storms at once?
537. HurricaneGeek
12:43 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
ok splash, i dont think he wants to either, srry Ike.
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
536. IKE
12:40 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Crestview, Fl...which is 25 miles west of me....

1/100th of an inch...for the month! And that was from drizzle one morning from fog almost 2 weeks ago. If this cold front doesn't bring rain...there's no chance for another 5 to 7 days after that.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
535. splash3392
12:40 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
HG I don't think IKE wants to know the location of the rain!
Member Since: January 24, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 643
534. HurricaneGeek
12:38 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
ike, Im getting rain in SE fl
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
533. IKE
12:37 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Thanks for the information.

I think it does mean the season is likely to be active............
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
532. IKE
12:34 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Good morning from the smoky...stinky smelling Florida panhandle...where it's so dry I'm mowing dirt.

Only chance of rain is the cold front coming thru Wednesday...it is sooo dry up here.......
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
530. nash28
12:31 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
Good morning everyone.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
529. IKE
12:28 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
And if something does form east or SE of Florida and is named the "B" storm..which I think is Barry...when was the last time there were 2 named storms in May?

And what does that say about the upcoming season?

I notice the GFS model is a lot more active with lows then it was last year throughout almost the entire season. May mean nothing, then again it might be telling everyone something about the 2007 hurricane season.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
528. keywestdingding
12:26 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
hey rodek-the same thing happens in key west with the rain. numerous time i have witness huge red and yellow blobs coming toward key west, only to have them fizzle when they get here and reform after they leave. i have always wondered why. thanks for your insite-it makes perfect sense!
great link for the dust canewhisperer! thanks a bunch. peace todd
Member Since: March 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 91
527. Patrap
12:04 PM GMT on May 15, 2007
The 10 day GFSx..Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127371
525. HurricaneGeek
11:54 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
hey i have dark clouds here in palm beach FL. could that mean rain?? hopefully
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
524. IKE
11:49 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
He'll probably have an update today.

The NAM and GFS both try and spin a low up east or SE of Florida....by the end of the week.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
523. HurricaneGeek
11:39 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
That bolt hit the superdome
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 110 Comments: 7039
522. dnalia
11:29 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
No updates since Sunday? What gives?

Anything interesting I should know about? We got a little rain down here last night, but we could use more.
521. ricderr
11:28 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
wow fl boy....weather is acting up today......wanted to ask you....i noticed your first post on here was a willy gary link.......you from that area?
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 670 Comments: 21322
520. Patrap
11:24 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
Thunderstorm over New Orleans Yesterday..7
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127371
517. moonlightcowboy
7:29 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
I surely do hope and pray that FL gets plenty of rain relief (without more danger) to all the fire problems.

Today, we in central MS, got some of the effects. Smoke from the FL fires that were once swept down into the Gulf, were re-circed into Alabama and Mississippi.

It was significant and really made me think of how compounded it has been in FL.

They need a Seminole wind, but with lots of rain, too! Hopefully maybe, this will be the year of tropical storms, without destruction; but, helping end drought conditions!
Member Since: July 9, 2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29594
516. 0741
4:33 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
their weak low what i can tell in western carribbean but no storm round it let see if that model picking up
515. dewfree
4:30 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
Ohh me hello
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 589
514. 0741
4:17 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
i would like to see storm form in carribbean before we talk about low in carribbean it still little dry down their
512. stormybil
3:31 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
got no rain here either but alow will form by the bahamas this week and will bring alot of rain to se fla. we shall see
511. HurricaneRoman
3:09 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
nevermind,,, i read through the blog and its never happened...anyways.. i got no rain today
-.-!!!!!!!!!!!! and im in south broward...
Member Since: February 25, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 958
510. HurricaneRoman
3:04 AM GMT on May 15, 2007
wow... wouldnt that be amazing..if we had another may storm... has it happened b4??
Member Since: February 25, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 958

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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