TD 10 is dead, and will rise no more!

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 9:24 PM GMT on August 18, 2005

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The Air Force Hurricane Hunters flew into the remnants of TD 10 east of Puerto Rico this afternoon, and found that the system no longer had a closed circulation. Satellite images show that the system has deteriorated significantly this afternoon, with very little deep convection occurring. Surface winds measured by the Quikscat satellite are under 20 knots and TD 10's remains have become a tropical wave over the Atlantic. Regeneration into a tropical depression is very unlikely, as this would take several days, and the system will be experiencing increasing shear by Sunday.

I can't see any obvious reason why the system fell apart today; vertical wind shear values have continued to decrease, and are now down to 5-10 knots. Water vapor satellite imagery shows no dry air around the system. Situtations like this emphasize how little we understand about the formation process of tropical storms.

The remainder of the tropics are quiet. There is considerable cloud cover over portions of the southern Caribbean, but wind shear levels are near 20 knots over most of the region--too high to permit tropical development.

Jeff Masters

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401. Raysfan70
9:35 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
your welcome, will see you there
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
400. mybahamas
9:33 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Thanks :)
399. Raysfan70
9:32 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
that's where i go for my answers
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
398. Raysfan70
9:31 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
I think everyone went to the other blog you might want to try Alec's blog for a btter answer to your question. hope that helps
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
397. mybahamas
9:28 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
No one, rays :(
Ah well :)
396. Raysfan70
9:20 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Dr.Masters,

I would like to apologize to you if we got off the subject of TROPIC TALK. SHowing that there are some of us here that can get along. And I thought the tips were good.
I know that you said something awhile ago about this.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
395. Raysfan70
9:17 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Jedkins are you here?
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
394. Raysfan70
9:15 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Stormtop are you on or someone with more knows about these things to answer the questions about the Bahamaa?
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
393. mybahamas
9:10 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
I tried to find that out myself; but all I could find was that they were coming out of the ENE. I am still trying to figure out if the Northern Bahamas has to worry about the remnants of TD-10. I thought the track would be through the southeastern Bahamas.
392. Raysfan70
9:09 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
huh, thought that they would be watching it better since it is so close to you.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
391. whitewabit (Mod)
9:06 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
mybahamas

are those winds being caused buy the large high pressure over alabama i don't see anything in the caribean thats has those types of winds now
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32366
390. mybahamas
9:00 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
I called the Met Office and they are apparently going to make announcements. I think they found out about Accuweather's 78mph wind gusts claims on a day they are calling for variable winds :)
389. whitewabit (Mod)
8:55 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
stormjunkie

about 10 visible shows it building but looks like shear has started to affect the western edge
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32366
388. Raysfan70
8:53 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
hey mybahamas do they not say anyting there about it?? Or are they blowing it off to?
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
387. Raysfan70
8:51 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
i use to live in the suburds of Chicago and lived thru the Tornandos there.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
386. mybahamas
8:50 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Hiya :)
Does anyone think, from the information forscasted, that the remnants of TD-10 will pass through the Northern Bahamas (eg. Nassau) ? According to the Weather Channel, we had wind gusts up to 30mph today already :(
385. whitewabit (Mod)
8:50 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
punk

do you think it will come from the african coast or carribean
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32366
384. StormJunkie
8:50 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
More convection around TD10 and earlier than last night.

PIEMANLike I said you started this "drivel" very early this morning.
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 16874
383. jeff14photos
8:47 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
hey srimp is good especially when its grilled yummy
382. whitewabit (Mod)
8:45 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
ray i live in midwest family and friends aound springhill

i get to follow all of mothernature's furry tornado's floods blizzards and hot weather heat index today 105
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32366
381. punkasshans
8:44 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
I agree, we are getting along. I am just saying it because Dr. Masters said in a blog a few weeks ago that he didnt want people writing about stuff that wasnt on the topic in this board. I believe he said this could be taken away if it is overloading the system with "useless" talk.

I have nothing against it, except that I like to see weather topics on here when I read it for 5 mins every hour at work.

And as for what I think. TD10 is basically dead but just trying to stick around for the weekend. The wave at 83 degrees is weak, wont be strong enough to develop unless it can get over the Yucatan and into the gulf. And the new wave off the African coast. . its too soon to make any judgements on it. Waves come off the coast and can look REALLY impressive, but die out the next day. If it still looks good tomorrow, we might have a new depression soon.
380. Raysfan70
8:44 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Hot it H.C.

NOt much of a shrimp person but the family is.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
379. jeff14photos
8:41 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
jeff just updated his blog
378. Raysfan70
8:41 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
whitewabit where are you? Florida?
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
377. Raysfan70
8:40 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
that is the only real weather I can talk about can't go outside because it feels like 106. I WANT RAIN!!!!!!!!
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
376. Raysfan70
8:38 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
I want to know when it is going to rain in Florida? weather men keep saying 30% , 30%
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
375. Raysfan70
8:37 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
At least we are all getting along punk isn't that what everyone wanted?
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
374. whitewabit (Mod)
8:37 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
punk

your thoughts on todays weather and outlook for tomarrow
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32366
373. Raysfan70
8:36 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Thanks I will hold them proud till you come back will light one up for Alec to
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
372. Raysfan70
8:35 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
okay crab will check out the new recipe.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
371. hurricanecrab
8:35 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
I pass the torch(es) to you Raysfan. Light 'em in good health
Member Since: January 20, 2005 Posts: 64 Comments: 9242
370. hurricanecrab
8:34 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Raysfan - that sounded dangerously close to WEATHER. ha see ya later ..... off to Shera's
Member Since: January 20, 2005 Posts: 64 Comments: 9242
369. Raysfan70
8:34 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
I think Dr. Master's would enjoy are survival tips, since there is not much going on. Right guys and girls.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
368. whitewabit (Mod)
8:33 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
this is a weather blog but right now there is no weather we can we can put our hands on only remains of ten and storm off african coast which is weeks away
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32366
367. hurricanecrab
8:33 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
me g'wan to Shera's blog to post a recipe.

Punk - the conn is yours.

cheers
Member Since: January 20, 2005 Posts: 64 Comments: 9242
366. Raysfan70
8:32 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
told you don't put out the torch yet. Better get a couple of more.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
365. Raysfan70
8:31 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
yes the fish to we have what they are calling the dead zone they are saying that the waters in the gulf are making it alot worse because it is so hot the bottom of the Gulf here is littered and the Logger Head turtles are coming on shore dead or almost there.
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
364. hurricanecrab
8:29 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
LMAO Wabit!
Member Since: January 20, 2005 Posts: 64 Comments: 9242
363. punkasshans
8:29 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
People, i have nothing against you all having a different blog about food thats good for a weather situation. . HOWEVER, it isnt good in this blog. This blog is about tropical systems. Lets stick to that topic. I am sure Dr. Masters would want that too.
362. whitewabit (Mod)
8:28 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
punk

if you would read some of the previos posts you could have seen where this blog has been all day

crab get out that mob tourch again
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32366
361. CFLweather
8:27 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Former TD10 is still very much alive. There is alot of convection in the area surrounding it, but it can't get organized whatsoever. Some models are now pushing it into the Gulf in the coming days, which could make things interesting if it can hold together until then.
360. jeff14photos
8:27 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
hey ive never tried lobster is it good
359. hurricanecrab
8:27 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Punk - don't you think the spin at 83 looks like a pizza? ha ha just kidding ........ I'll stop now; thanks for kicking me back into play
Member Since: January 20, 2005 Posts: 64 Comments: 9242
358. whitewabit (Mod)
8:26 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
hurricanecrab

i can't swim, due to back, i would have to wait on the beach and see if i could trade you something for one or two
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32366
357. hurricanecrab
8:25 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Raysfan - were even the fish killed off? Sounds bad. Biblically bad.
Member Since: January 20, 2005 Posts: 64 Comments: 9242
356. CFLweather
8:25 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Yeah I leave the females. No point to taking them with tons of males to be had.

If we accidently take a female, we just throw her back once we get on deck.
355. punkasshans
8:24 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
This blog isnt for food

thank you
354. southbeachdude
8:24 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
Any updates on former TD 10? I am assuming it is finshed?
Thanks...... (finally Florida gets a break!)
Member Since: July 29, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 697
353. hurricanecrab
8:23 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
CFL - you're talking about Spiny Lobsters right (hereafter called Scatterometric lobsters to keep the weather thang going). YEs, I agree, easy to get, especially at night when they're out feeding.... I never take females.... there's ALWAYS enough males in nature to go around. My opinion. *L
Member Since: January 20, 2005 Posts: 64 Comments: 9242
352. Raysfan70
8:21 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
and with the Red Tide here killed off anything that was out there and wouldn't want to eat what lived. We have a dead zone here nothing living
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
351. CFLweather
8:20 PM GMT on August 19, 2005
There really is nothing better than a Florida lobster. Yeah Maine lobsters have alot of meat, but Florida lobster is much more satisfying. Also, they are rather easy to attain if you do any diving.

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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