Winter is back to normal

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:38 PM GMT on January 26, 2007

Share this Blog
3
+

Winter is back to normal across most of the Northern Hemisphere this week, as Europe finally got its first major snowstorm and cold air outbreak. A powerful low pressure system swept across Europe this week, causing numerous flight delays and traffic accidents across Germany, France, and Austria. About 5,000 vehicles were stranded in eastern France when the A6 motorway was cut off by snow. Over 200 police and firefighters were sent to help stranded motorists. Over a meter of snow fell in the Alps, bringing ski areas their first decent snows this winter. London got their first significant snow of winter, as well.


Figure 1. The long-range forecast for February, March, and April. Image credit: Columbia University's International Research Institute for Climate and Society.

The 2-week forecast from the GFS model foresees a fairly normal winter pattern for the next two weeks over the Northern Hemisphere. The long-range forecast for the rest of winter and early spring (Figure 1) from Columbia University's International Research Institute for Climate and Society also predicts a fairly normal weather pattern for the coming three months. Most of Europe, North America, and northern Asia are predicted to have near normal to slightly above normal temperatures. Record high temperatures are most likely over portions of Africa, South America, and Southeast Asia.

Jeff Masters

Winter is here! (Jiri)
After a warm December and January, winter has finally arrived to Prague! The snow cover in Prague is now 15 cm (6 inches) and it's still snowing! For the first time this winter, you can go skiing in the city parks. In the picture, you can see the passenger train from Prague to Kladno. Unlike the motorists stuck in traffic jams, this train will arrive on time today!
Winter is here!
1st snow this winter (Derek1)
After many weeks mild weather winter has at last arrived in Geneva. Beautiful but treacherous!
1st snow this winter

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 90 - 40

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6Blog Index

90. ricderr
1:27 PM GMT on January 27, 2007
THE GIFTS OF MARI
by Lucirina Telor Vevan

Between the cold raindrops,
the warm tears hide, cowering.
Inside the fires of passion
the numbness of fear chills us.
Amidst the smell of new-born roses
the smell of decay and death lingers.
In each dawn,
A night dies.
In each twilight,
a day agonises.
For each life
there is a death.
For each smile,
a tear.

For each dream
there is awakening.
In each greeting
there is a farewell.
In a single kiss
beats lie hidden.
Behind the smiles
Awaits the grimace of anger
to transform happiness
into grieving.

Misunderstood, loathed,
Mari's hand touches us all.
Cursed, blessed her gifts.
She gives us joys and griefs.
Peace, then pains of war.
Love, then the cold touch of hatred.
Happiness, then the numbness of sorrow.
But she also gives
The caress, after the strikes.
The kiss, after the absence.
Silence, after the deafening sounds.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
88. Patrap
7:23 AM CST on January 27, 2007
The T-storms and rain a cometh...6
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
87. ricderr
1:23 PM GMT on January 27, 2007
Ode to peace
Every year we honour the dead,
But it never ends, there's always bloodshed.
Conflict of war, one kind or another,
Worry and anguish for many a mother.
When will this world come to its senses?
Once and for all take down its defences.
A world where nations could love one another,
Men would regard each one as his brother.
Is this a dream, or can it come true?
Just like the summer sun, it's long overdue.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
86. ricderr
1:17 PM GMT on January 27, 2007
looks like weather peoms are in order todaay


Children together can make PEACE forever.
In all weather, thats clever.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
83. Patrap
7:14 AM CST on January 27, 2007
A neat lil chart on the cold I found...Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
82. Patrap
7:12 AM CST on January 27, 2007
The GFSx has a bead on the Cold plunge..Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
80. Patrap
7:08 AM CST on January 27, 2007
The big radar view I found..Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
79. Patrap
7:05 AM CST on January 27, 2007
The GREAT ST. Louis Storm of 06...hmmmmmm?Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
78. borlando
1:02 PM GMT on January 27, 2007
1st
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
77. Patrap
7:03 AM CST on January 27, 2007
St. Louis ,Mo. forecast..er here.Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
73. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
4:40 PM JST on January 27, 2007
Tropical Cyclone Arthur
28.0S 147.0W - 50 knots 985 hPa

forecasted 10 min sustained winds of 35 knots in 12 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Gale Warning
==============================
tropical cyclone is moving southeast at 20 knots

next Tropical Gale Warning at 1200pm UTC Saturday
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
71. anvilhead2
6:49 AM GMT on January 27, 2007
71st!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
70. Randrewl
6:37 AM GMT on January 27, 2007
Posted By: Randrewl at 6:35 AM GMT on January 27, 2007.

The featured blogs here for winter weather are updated maybe every two days....usually three or four.
What good does that do anyone?
My blog is updated every day. But still WU admin does not think it is important for timely updates on the featured blogs!
Hell, if I got paid for not doing my job I would still do it as good as they do!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
69. SunriseSteeda
3:48 AM GMT on January 27, 2007
When afternoon came it was freezin' rain
in the face of a hurricane west wind.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
66. HCW
11:20 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
Jeff what are your thoughts on the huge artic outbreak next week ? Do you see a couple of shots of snow for the deep south ?

http://www.hardcoreweather.com

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
65. Randrewl
10:36 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
Keep workin.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
64. Patrap
4:35 PM CST on January 26, 2007
Right now.Im heading out to Seafood friday Night....adio
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
63. Patrap
4:34 PM CST on January 26, 2007
The look ahead is Cold..maybe Dixie South get yer Galoshes and Long johns on cold.....
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
62. Patrap
4:33 PM CST on January 26, 2007
Pong....
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
61. Patrap
4:33 PM CST on January 26, 2007
Ping
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
60. weatherboykris
10:27 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
And I thought for just a minute you were being serious Patrap,LOL
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
59. Patrap
4:25 PM CST on January 26, 2007
end of line.......
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 421 Comments: 127550
58. weatherboykris
10:00 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
Hey everyone I was just wondering not that I want to leave this site but, do they have other sites like weather underground and a blog like this one like Dr Masters Site is. I have seen a few that people where talking about them but they don't have blogs like this one. Ive heard of some and I would just like a few names if anyone knows of any, that is good ones where you can get good information. I like learning and talking about Hurricanes and just like to find out new information on them. I know there not really talking about hurricane season right know. that's all. Thanks if someone can help me Sheri.


I think there are,but none with the open blogs and comments and email here.I think there's one called EastCoastWx
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
57. lightning10
9:58 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
Just as I had said earlyer I wouldnt have been shocked if the GFS goes towards a dryer pattern for the next week. Thats exactly what happend. New update just came out and it looks dry dry dry. Remember when in question take the dry road...

Long term (tue-fri)...the GFS is no longer showing any precipitation for
our area later Tuesday and Wednesday as the upper low finally returns and
moves through our area. The models are all over the map on this and
run to run consistency is really low so i'm going to leave the
forecast pretty much as is with partly cloudy skies and no rain. Not
much in the way of warming expected until at least the weekend when
the models show a strong eastern Pacific Ridge setting up along the
West Coast and remaining there well into the following week. In
short, if no rain falls from this system over the next couple days
we likely won't be getting any rain for at least the next 2 weeks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
56. catastropheadjuster
9:32 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
Hey everyone I was just wondering not that I want to leave this site but, do they have other sites like weather underground and a blog like this one like Dr Masters Site is. I have seen a few that people where talking about them but they don't have blogs like this one. Ive heard of some and I would just like a few names if anyone knows of any, that is good ones where you can get good information. I like learning and talking about Hurricanes and just like to find out new information on them. I know there not really talking about hurricane season right know. that's all. Thanks if someone can help me Sheri.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
55. lightning10
8:47 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
>_> That is very interesting Inyo. I have never noticed that before. Wouldnt it be interesting if 5 years from know we have a very very wet season?. I love patterns ^_^. Finding information about past winters is not easy to find. Do you have a good website for that?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
54. Inyo
8:26 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
It is also interesting to note that the driest year on record and the second wettest year on record (off by .1 inch from the wettest) both occurred between 2000 and 2005, and the wettest year on record and the second driest year on record both occurred between 1885 and 1890. Extremes tend to cluster around here, for whatever reason.
Member Since: September 3, 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 873
53. Inyo
8:24 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
So-cal has an extremely variable 'wet' season with yearly rainfalls in LA historically ranging from 4" to 38". Anything between 8 and 20 is quite common. There really isnt any 'average' here.
Member Since: September 3, 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 873
52. lightning10
8:12 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
On Second thought So Cal winters are fairly dry to start off with so I guess it is in a way average

:)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
51. weatherboykris
8:09 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
he's a valuable member who will be missed if he leaves.
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
50. weatherboykris
8:09 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
show STL your support!Vote in his poll Link
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
45. Randrewl
7:33 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
We will know more as we get closer to Spring. Or at least we will try to know more!!.


Not without a "POD" 03...LOL!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
44. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
4:31 AM JST on January 27, 2007
TCWC in Wellington, New Zealand
===============================
As 1800pm RSMC Nadi reported Tropical Cyclone Arthur near 24.5S 149.7E.

Tropical Cyclone Arthur 08F has 10 min sustained winds of 50 knots with a center pressure of 985 hPa.

The sustained winds forecasted to decrease to 45 knots.

cyclone is still in the Nadi area of responsibility but will past 25S later today as storm moves southeast at 20 knots.

Repeat as 1800pm RSMC Nadi reported Tropical Cyclone Arthur near 24.5S 149.7E.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
42. lightning10
6:42 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
What is this winter you speak of? There is no such thing down here in So Cal.

Here is som information from my local weather station South Whittier, CA...

Days With Rain This Month
4 Days

Rainfall This Month
0.09
Rainfall This Year (July - June)
0.77
Record Daily Rain For Month
0.04

Average Barometer This Month
30.08


High preasue rulled with an iron fist this month.

I would not be shocked if the GFS goes back to a dryer solution witch it had been predicting a day or so ago. Modles seam to have 0% consistancy for the past few days. I noticed that when it has a hard time with consistancy the dryer solution often is the right one (at leaste this season).



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
41. hurricane23
1:24 PM EST on January 26, 2007
Quite cool this morning going to work with temps around 49 degrees at the airport.A warm up is in the making this weekened when another cold front makes its way into the southeast come monday-tuesday time frame.After that things look to be back to normal with a building ridge which has been pretty persistent so far this winter keeping temps above normal most of the time.Overall things will get back to normal for us across southflorida while other parts of the U.S. experience very cold temps. Adrian
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13626
40. weatherboykris
6:23 PM GMT on January 26, 2007
they did worse than TSR last year.I"m pretty sure they did,anyway.And don't trust Klotzbach,he's smart and all,but he just was given leadership of CSU's forecast team last year.He's no Bill Gray yet.
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346

Viewing: 90 - 40

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Partly Cloudy
67 °F
Partly Cloudy