Winter is back to normal

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:38 PM GMT on January 26, 2007

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Winter is back to normal across most of the Northern Hemisphere this week, as Europe finally got its first major snowstorm and cold air outbreak. A powerful low pressure system swept across Europe this week, causing numerous flight delays and traffic accidents across Germany, France, and Austria. About 5,000 vehicles were stranded in eastern France when the A6 motorway was cut off by snow. Over 200 police and firefighters were sent to help stranded motorists. Over a meter of snow fell in the Alps, bringing ski areas their first decent snows this winter. London got their first significant snow of winter, as well.


Figure 1. The long-range forecast for February, March, and April. Image credit: Columbia University's International Research Institute for Climate and Society.

The 2-week forecast from the GFS model foresees a fairly normal winter pattern for the next two weeks over the Northern Hemisphere. The long-range forecast for the rest of winter and early spring (Figure 1) from Columbia University's International Research Institute for Climate and Society also predicts a fairly normal weather pattern for the coming three months. Most of Europe, North America, and northern Asia are predicted to have near normal to slightly above normal temperatures. Record high temperatures are most likely over portions of Africa, South America, and Southeast Asia.

Jeff Masters

Winter is here! (Jiri)
After a warm December and January, winter has finally arrived to Prague! The snow cover in Prague is now 15 cm (6 inches) and it's still snowing! For the first time this winter, you can go skiing in the city parks. In the picture, you can see the passenger train from Prague to Kladno. Unlike the motorists stuck in traffic jams, this train will arrive on time today!
Winter is here!
1st snow this winter (Derek1)
After many weeks mild weather winter has at last arrived in Geneva. Beautiful but treacherous!
1st snow this winter

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239. ryang
5:17 PM AST on January 28, 2007
It was battering on my window. I put music on so it would drown out the sound,it didn't work


LOL
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238. Thunderstorm2
9:16 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
I have to say im glad your back STL. I got your e-mail on WU BTW
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237. Thunderstorm2
9:13 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
It was battering on my window. I put music on so it would drown out the sound,it didn't work
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235. ryang
5:11 PM AST on January 28, 2007
That front that passed thorugh last night was hammering central and nothern florida.
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234. Thunderstorm2
9:07 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
Winter is now well underway

Im glad too,GOD!!!!
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233. hurricane23
4:06 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Glad u got it hooked up.
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232. hurricane23
4:04 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Not Much on the blog besides the very cool temps the will be takeing place over the next 2-3 days.
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231. Thunderstorm2
9:04 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
I had a struggle getting the internet installed in it. I went to sleep at 3am yesterday after fiddling with it
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230. hurricane23
4:00 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Great choice...

I have an e machine with 512mb and 160gb.I also have a 19inch acer flat screen conneted to it.Also own a sony vaio laptop.
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229. Thunderstorm2
9:02 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
Anything good happen on this blog while i was away
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228. ryang
4:58 PM AST on January 28, 2007
By the way what kind of pc did u get thunderstorm2?


I was going to ask,oh well.LOL
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227. Thunderstorm2
8:57 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
Nothing Much for me H23

Its some kind of Dell PC
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226. hurricane23
3:56 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Hey whats going on guys?

By the way what kind of pc did u get thunderstorm2?
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225. Thunderstorm2
8:54 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
good afternoon H23
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224. Thunderstorm2
8:54 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
yes i did
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223. ryang
4:54 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Hi 23.
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222. ryang
4:53 PM AST on January 28, 2007
I am well.You got rain last night.
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221. hurricane23
3:46 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Temps to slowly begin dropping...

THE COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY EXITED THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE
SUITE OF GUIDANCE HANDLED THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM VERY WELL...BOTH
WITH EXPECTED WEATHER AND TIMING OF THE FRONTAL APPROACH AND
FRONTAL PASSAGE.

WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ENTERING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA NOW THE
TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO DROP. MONDAY MORNING
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 40S INLAND
AREAS...TO UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50 COASTAL REGIONS.

Lastest model guidance trending a tad warmer.
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220. Thunderstorm2
8:51 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
hi ryan,how are you
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219. Patrap
2:48 PM CST on January 28, 2007
1032mb ridging in SE La...Impressive there.H23
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127541
218. ryang
4:48 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Hi TS2.
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217. Thunderstorm2
8:44 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
hi again,im getting held up trying to figure out how to work this new PC.
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216. hurricane23
3:40 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Very cold temps in alot of places showing up in the 12z GFS...

SEE HERE
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215. Inyo
8:33 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
Still getting light/moderate rain in Ventura, we're at around 2 inches now. Low hasnt moved a bit. We may get 3 or 4 before its over but LA still has had barely any.
Member Since: September 3, 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 873
214. Fshhead
8:19 PM GMT on January 28, 2007


Click the learn more button to go to the website. I encourage everyone to check out the Tesla electric car. Amazing!!!!!
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213. Patrap
2:01 PM CST on January 28, 2007
Gotta Get one of These I Guess!...6
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127541
212. Patrap
2:00 PM CST on January 28, 2007
I hear Siberia is coming.......
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127541
211. weatherboykris
8:01 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
darn
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
209. pottery
2:37 PM AST on January 28, 2007
I'm out till later................
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208. pottery
2:32 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Hey Baha, welcome to the world of unpreditctable predictions. Strange business, the weather. I love it for that very reason.......
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207. BahaHurican
1:23 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Geez,

This is a pretty non-wintry rain event right now. Only thing missing is the SE wind LOL.

Thing is, pottery, it's not FEELING much like 68 . . . well, with the rain it's now cooling off a bit. Usually we average arount 65 at night in the winter, but it's barely gotten below 70 here so far this winter.

I know I shouldn't complain, but I actually went out and bought a new winter coat (not really a coat, but the equivalent for around here :) last month. I'd like to have a reason to wear it this year . . .

And the rain is practically over before I even finish this comment.
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206. pottery
2:27 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Ryang, I left a note on yr. blog. And further, I dont believe that the forcast is correct for the ITCZ and the dust. But we shall see.......
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205. ryang
2:16 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Pottery NO.The I.T.C.Z is forecated to rise more to the north.The sahara dust will not be a major factor this year.
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204. ryang
2:14 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Very Cold.Come to my blog.I am talking about my TEMP there.
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203. pottery
2:12 PM AST on January 28, 2007
I'm predicting an intensely active hurricane season in the Atlantic. Namely that the Sahara dust is going to be the most intensely active player, eating everything that comes of Africa that dares to show any potential at all....
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202. pottery
2:10 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Ryang, hows the climate in the north there ?
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201. pottery
2:06 PM AST on January 28, 2007
....sorry, 68. Still, no lounging in the moonlit sea this evening.
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200. pottery
2:04 PM AST on January 28, 2007
....and dropping from 82 to 65 ? Get on the woollies..........
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199. pottery
2:00 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Hi Ryang......


Baha, rough seas and all. Wind to 20 knts, sounds wintery to me man .
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198. BahaHurican
12:53 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Pottery,

Your side of the isthmus . Nassau, Bahamas. I've been looking at the local radar, which shows a substantial line of clouds moving through. No rain so far, though.

Current Forecast for the area:

PUBLIC FORECAST FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT SUNDAY JANUARY 28, 2007

WARNINGS:

GENERAL SITUATION: A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST AND RACE THROUGH THE ISLANDS TODAY.

FOR: NORTHWEST
WEATHER: INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR THE BOATERS: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
WINDS: SOUTHEASTERLY AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS SHIFTING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SEAS : 6 TO 9 FEET

DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURE: 82F 28C
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE: 68F 20C
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197. weatherboykris
5:47 PM GMT on January 28, 2007
see my blog.just updated.
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
196. ryang
1:41 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Hello Pottery.
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195. pottery
1:37 PM AST on January 28, 2007
I have to re-activate in an hour and a half. Time for a cold beer...........
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194. pottery
1:34 PM AST on January 28, 2007
The brain is on "pause " right now. Not a problem........
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193. pottery
1:32 PM AST on January 28, 2007
OK I should of seem this. It must be Bahama or you would call yourself BaJa.
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192. pottery
1:27 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Baha, remind me, Baha ? or Bahama ?
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191. BahaHurican
12:21 PM EST on January 28, 2007
Afternoon everybody,

It's been overcast and pretty still here since about 10:30 a. m. local time. Temps are still fairly warm - upper 70s - but I'm hoping that will cool off nicely tomorrow.

It has been an unusually warm and wet winter here so far. I'm interested to see if the projected near normal to slightly cooler temperatures for the rest of the season actually pan out . . .
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190. pottery
1:14 PM AST on January 28, 2007
Atlantic SST has cooled off nicely. There are strong NE trades now, and the sea is 6 ft chop everywhere. Keeping things here in the low 80's but very pleasant. Long may it last.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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