State of U.S. global warming efforts: Business as Usual

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:49 PM GMT on January 24, 2007

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President Bush spoke of "the serious challenge of global climate change" in his State of the Union speech last night, and called for the U.S. to reduce gasoline consumption 20 percent over the next 10 years. The reduction in gasoline consumption would primarily be achieved through promotion of alternative fuels such as ethanol and liquefied coal. While it is a pleasant change to hear the president acknowledge the reality of the climate change problem and to propose measures that could significantly reduce U.S. consumption of foreign oil, his proposals do virtually nothing to combat global warming.

About one third of greenhouse gases emissions in the the U.S. come from cars and trucks. Thus, a 20% cut in gasoline consumption would reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by about 6%, at best. Since a large portion of the gasoline reduction would come from liquefied coal--which, when burned, makes double the CO2 of burning gasoline--even this modest 6% decrease in emissions might end up at zero. The President offered no plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from electric utilities or industry, whose emissions will continue to grow at about 2% per year. Overall, greenhouse gas emission will grow by 14% over the next decade under the President's plan, according to Philip Clapp, president of the National Environmental Trust. The consensus among most climate scientists is that emission of greenhouse gases must be radically cut 50-60% globally by 2050 in order to avoid dangerous levels of global warming. The President's business-as-usual plan to allow emissions to increase by 14% over the next decade will make it extremely difficult to achieve that goal, as the U.S. contributes about 25% of the world's greenhouse gas emissions.

Jeff Masters

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627. 51pc
9:14 AM GMT on February 01, 2007
That is very good! I support you!





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625. pottery
11:17 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Morning Green. Very well said......
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24653
624. greentortuloni
11:05 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Grimm wrote:

"Snowboy, I understand the president did not live up to your global warming iniative. However, global warming is not a new idea and did not just pop up during his presidency. What did Bill Clinton ever do to try to squash the problem before it became more pertinent? While I don't support the President in much that he is doing a lot of people want to place blame for everything on him. I still get a kick out of how people think the President really runs the country and his word is final. Let me clue you in on who really runs our country. BUREAUCRATS.Will Communists and opponents of free markets never learn? If I want to drive my SUV around at 20 mpg that is my right. You guys can go drive around those little cracker boxes. Also, please don't respond with the hybrid SUV's and trucks argument. The difference in gas mileage is neglible at best for the overall price difference."

I know Grimm reflected back on these posts later but there are some frequent themes in GW discussions here:

1) This is all about Bush: No. I personally think Bush is an incompetent ego-whore but I have no love for Clinton either and agree Clinton missed on oil/GW almost as bad as Bush has.

2) GW initiative infringe on rights. No, not on rights, On freedoms however, yes, they do. But necessarily. We all live on the same planet. This planet is our boat through the universe. If it was a inflatable dingy, the right to play with darts would be limited. Likewise, playing with matches in a wooden building, farting in elevators, not wearing seatbelts and so on.

3) In the same sense as number 2, it is not a free market anymore; e.g. we all pay a hidden tax for quality assurance in food. In a free market, tainted beef, poisoned cigarettes, etc. would be removed through the market reaction. We, as a society, have decided that a better way to enforce this policy is to act up front with laws and enforcement agencies. We collectively decide that the cost is better spread throughout society by taxes and higher prices rather than handled by the market.

Further, even in those cases, the assumption is that the guilty party will suffer through loss of business, etc and so therefore it is in their interest not to cheat. Some market cures are simply not possible: if the transaction is one off, if the damage does reflect on the cause or if it is an end-game. GW and Big Oil escape from market forces in all three of those ways.

4) Big Government meddling. Big government meddling is laws about behavior between consenting adults, free speech, etc.. I am a liberal but only in terms of freedom: If an action affects others, I recognise the need for laws. If it doesn't, no laws are needed. Consider that most 'liberal' laws are about the use of common resources, behavior in financial markets, and redistribution of wealth. Most conservative laws are about legislating individual behavior, removing social ties on wealth (and yet demanding common protection) and removing protections of common resources. I am all for simplifing the beaurocracy but without the common good, we are not a country but a collection of medieval fiefdoms.

5) In the US we pride ourselves on standing for freedom and justice internationally. we state, with a lot of reason, that we are the best country in the world. Forgetting about pride and behaving with the class due to being the best for a moment, it is simply in our best interests to play nice with the rest of the world. If we want to spread out ideals, we must lead by example. I remember hitch hiking through latin america and Venzuela in my early twenties and being welcomed as an American because of the admiration that was felt for freedom and the spirit of 'can do'. This is mostly gone, America is now seen as a symbol of 'take what you can', of hypocrisy and Haliburton/Cheney type backroom exploition and hidden agendas. If this is what america stands for, then fine, I am a patriot. However, lets not kid ourselves about who we are and what we stand for.

Sorry, all - no more posts from me except on weather. I am learning a lot and that is why I come here, having been in the Carribean in a few hurricanes and loving them as a force of nature (just not the damage done to people's lives and the horrible dreary stinky sleepless months putting everything back togather afterwards.)
Member Since: June 5, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1220
623. kellnerp
10:20 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
I wonder if anyone has thought about the fact that all the coal, oil and gas in the world are storing CO2 that was once in the atmosphere. Add to this the limestone bedrock which is primarily calcium carbonate which sinks CO2 and the conclusion has to be that worldwide CO2 was once quite a bit higher. If the greenhouse folks are right the earth was either quite a bit warmer once or warmer over a wider area (like the artctic being balmy).

And why focus on CO2 without going after CH4 an even more potent greenhouse gas?
Member Since: September 1, 2003 Posts: 0 Comments: 172
621. weatherboykris
4:51 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
goodnight!
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
620. weatherboykris
4:18 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
hi Skye
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
619. Skyepony (Mod)
4:15 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
1 lone ship near Arthur.
SHIP 0000(GMT) located -12.50S -157.30W ~332nm from Arthur WDir 310 WSpd 17.1kts
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 193 Comments: 38679
618. weatherboykris
3:55 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
you too
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
617. hurricane23
3:53 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
I haven't seen him on lately...Iam about to hit the sheets gotta work tommorow take care bro.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13839
616. weatherboykris
3:49 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
how you doing h23?Do you know where Atmosweather has been?I emailed him a question two weeks ago and he never answered.
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
615. hurricane23
3:41 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
mid to low 50's across most parts of south florida tonight with highs in the low 70's tommorow.

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us

For more visit Adrian's Weather
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13839
614. weatherboykris
3:39 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Temps next week will be quite cold come tuesday into wednesday with a strong cold front pushing into the southeast.Mid to low 40's across south florida are very possible.


NWS says upper 30s
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
613. hurricane23
3:24 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Temps next week will be quite cold come tuesday into wednesday with a strong cold front pushing into the southeast.Mid to low 40's across south florida are very possible.
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13839
612. snowboy
3:17 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
If President Bush were serious about alternative fuels, he'd be pushing for biodiesel made from hemp (which is more environmentally friendly, and doesn't take valuable corn fields out of production).
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2549
611. weatherboykris
3:15 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
teddy,check your blog.I Left a comment
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
610. CybrTeddy
3:08 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
cyclone check your mail.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24484
609. CybrTeddy
3:04 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
I have posted a Blog on the Fact what if theres a CAT 6 happening in the Atlatnic, I will update with a senerio in the Pacific Link
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24484
607. hurricane23
3:02 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
GALE WARNING 062 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 26/0109 UTC 2007 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone ARTHUR [987hPa] centre was located near 19.7 South
153.9 West at 260000 UTC.
Position poor.
Repeat position 19.7S 153.9W at 260000 UTC.
Cyclone is moving southeast about 20 knots.
Expect sustained winds of 45 knots close to the centre decreasing to
35 knots in the next 12 to 24 hours.
Expect winds over 33 knots within 120 miles of centre in the
southeastern semicircle and within
90 miles of centre in the northwestern semicircle.

Forecast position near 23.1S 151.5W at 261200 UTC
and near 26.8S 149.7W at 270000 UTC.

All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to
send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI. VOS reporting ships use
normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc
at met dot gov dot fj.



More Here
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13839
605. weatherboykris
2:04 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
see my blog
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
604. Patrap
1:59 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
GW & Hurricanes Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
603. Patrap
1:57 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
I c a Choo-choo..LOL!Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
602. Patrap
1:55 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Port Terminal Live feed in Infrared B & W..River to Right.Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
600. Patrap
1:50 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
This position still open as of today..Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
599. weatherboykris
1:47 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Sorry,
Thats why I always put my comments on the top of the page!


But your comments aren't at the top.never mind
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
598. Patrap
1:45 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Job openings ..Clean Criminal record.SOme College Preferred.Openings for computer minded and skilled observers.Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
596. franck
1:39 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Don't forget switch grass!!
Member Since: August 30, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
595. Patrap
1:38 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Heavens Above Home Page ..Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
594. weatherboykris
1:36 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
CB,no offense,but can't you just post links?It gets annoying having to scroll through pages of comments to get to the bottom.
Member Since: December 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11346
589. Patrap
1:21 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Hocus Pocus By Focus...Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
584. Tazmanian
1:07 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
sky i think the olny way to tell where the high will set up shop is in may right
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115362
583. Tazmanian
1:05 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
so sky will this have to wait and see whats see what we get in nexts week update
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115362
582. Skyepony (Mod)
1:03 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
Taz it looks more realistic than it did a few weeks ago when it had, near nuetral in a few months & then right back to a very stong El Nino for the summer. It has changed greatly in a few weeks which shows no consistantcy, also beyond the 1st few months on there it gets pretty hard to predict as the models fray.
bbl
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 193 Comments: 38679
580. Tazmanian
12:54 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
hey sky what you think about the map i post about may be a strong La Nina this year?
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115362
579. Skyepony (Mod)
12:52 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
The West Pacific storm season won't quit..lol. The new invest this morning 95W doesn't look as good as it did earlier, but their season is suppose to end with Nov.

& for those complaining we have no TCs how about Arthur?




click to enlarge
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 193 Comments: 38679
577. Tazmanian
12:43 AM GMT on January 26, 2007
for the ones that not yet seen it

That forcast has a strong La Nina all the way through peak H Season


lol
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115362

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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