Another extreme typhoon for the Philippines

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:35 PM GMT on November 10, 2006

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The Philippines are bracing for the onslaught of their third major typhoon of the past six weeks, as Category 4 Typhoon Chebi bears down on the main island of Luzon. The Philippines have been hit particularly hard this typhoon season. Super Typhoon Cimaron made landfall October 29 as a Category 5 storm with maximum sustained winds of 160-180 mph. Cimaron killed at least 15, left 2500 homeless, and destroyed about 8% of the island's rice and corn crop. However, disaster officials called the destruction wrought by Cimaron as "minimal" compared to the destruction of devastating Typhoon Xangsane, which hit Luzon on September 27 as a Category 4 storm. Xangsane killed 218 in the Philippines, did over $100 million in damage, and left tens of thousands homeless. Xangsane went on to deliver a serious blow to Vietnam as a Category 2 typhoon, killing 70.


Figure 1. Typhoon Chebi during its explosive deepening phase at 0600 GMT November 10, 2006. Image credit: Navy Research Lab.

The amazing thing about all three of these typhoons is that they performed remarkable feats of explosive intensification, deepening from a tropical storm to a Category 4 typhoon in less than 24 hours. It's unusual to see one storm do this in a season, let alone three--and all in the same place! Chebi, which means swallow in Korean, is expected to continue to intensify today into a Super Typhoon with 150 mph winds before making landfall early Saturday morning (Philippines time). The 7am satellite intensity estimate from the NRL Navy website put Chebi's winds at 145 mph, with a central pressure of 916 mb. Chebi is the 18th Category 4 or 5 tropical cyclone to form so far this year globally; the average number of these extreme cyclones is 17 per year.

I'll have an update on Chebi Saturday.

Jeff Masters

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225. HIEXPRESS
4:59 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Not a tropical wave (20E) - A tropical River
East Pacific - AVN Color Infrared Loop
Member Since: October 13, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 2156
224. Skyepony (Mod)
3:20 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
The gist so far was alot of flooding, power loss, stuctures damaged. No reported deaths yet:)

The Philippines name for Chebi is Queenie.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 223 Comments: 39360
223. HIEXPRESS
2:59 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Posted By: pottery at 8:09 AM
"They spent 28 hrs without stopping, with engineers from NASA and everywhere trying to figure out the timing on the motor."
An engineer is not necessarily a mechanic.
That was one thing I found out during storm responses - a good mechanic/electrician is in demand, you're a medic? Got plenty of those, You're a mechanic?!!
Member Since: October 13, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 2156
222. Patrap
2:34 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Hey sandcrab...Good news i see.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129795
221. sandcrab39565
2:27 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Good news from the Phippines, no casualties reported yet and damage minimal.
Member Since: June 25, 2006 Posts: 36 Comments: 9972
220. Skyepony (Mod)
2:23 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Good Morning all. Looks like Chebi is down to a cat 2.


Read back a little, the red underlined mispelled words in the comment box LowerCal mentioned...Where? Here? lol, I certainly have no such feature:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 223 Comments: 39360
219. HIEXPRESS
2:16 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Yes, insurance rates on Saturn are going up.
Member Since: October 13, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 2156
218. Randyman
1:39 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Sorry, let's try it again...for those of you who missed this...


Link
Member Since: July 26, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 222
217. Randyman
1:36 PM GMT on November 11, 2006

For those of you who missed this...

href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20061109/sc_nm/space_saturn_dc1" target="_blank">Link
Member Since: July 26, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 222
215. pottery
1:09 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
I'm sure it did. The other fun thing, we were pulled up next to some guys from Tennesee I think it was. They had found and rebuilt an old biplane they found in a barn somewhere. Fabulous piece of work. The Judges gave them a prize for the category, and said " if it flies, you have a chance at the " best of show ".. They spent 28 hrs without stopping, with engineers from NASA and everywhere trying to figure out the timing on the motor. Cranking the prop,cranking , cranking, cranking. Eventualy they got it to run and a Nasa test pilot took it up 3 feet, for 100 yds, to enormous applause, and they won.They were drunk for the rest of the show, with their arms hanging down like orangoutangs from spinning the prop..........
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24873
213. pottery
12:48 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Sounds like a good plan. Went to the airshow at OSKOSH a few years aback. INCREDIBLE. They had to shut down part of the approach for a while, because it was a cold night, a man woke up, zipped his small nylon tent shut, went to the stage area, temp rose, tent took off as it heated up, spent 1 hour hovering about, upside down. Great.........
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24873
210. pottery
12:41 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
Mornin Rand, whats your plan ??
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24873
209. pottery
12:40 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
And here is the weather, based upon personal observation, while scattering corn for chickens..........light overcast,wind calm, occasional thunder from the south, temp about 74, humidity high. Time 8:34 am.A good day for sweating...........
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24873
207. pottery
12:04 PM GMT on November 11, 2006
WAKE UP YOU BUNCH OF LAZYBONES>>>its morning, at least where I am.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24873
206. stormy3
11:08 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Goodnight everyone!
Member Since: September 3, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 198
205. LowerCal
11:07 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
stormy3 I don't want to get too far off my schedule so I'll have to say good night also.
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
204. LowerCal
11:02 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Good night Mike.
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
203. stormy3
11:00 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Also agree with the sleep idea. only thing bad about a day off is you have to stay on your normal sleep pattern or you get all screwed up. work 7p-7a. so i stay up all night.
Member Since: September 3, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 198
202. stormy3
10:57 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Morning wishcasteboy, it's 57 degrees in Tampa this morning, thats as cold as i want to get. had enough of the cold weather all those years i lived in Illinois.
Member Since: September 3, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 198
201. Wishcasterboy
10:55 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
I would love to continue this peaceful transaction of words, but it must wait. You see my energy level has gone down substantially since I came to consciousness, so sleep is the only remedy.

Mike
200. Wishcasterboy
10:49 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Sorry I left you hanging there.
199. LowerCal
10:43 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Hmm, maybe it isn't totally unrelated.
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
198. LowerCal
10:37 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
That is manipulation - misdirection of attention (the overstating minor problems).
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
197. LowerCal
10:33 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
I agree. I think misunderstandings far outnumber genuine disagreements.

Something totally unrelated. How can some spell so poorly when the comment box has a spell checker. Don't they wonder about the dotted red underlines? :D
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
196. Wishcasterboy
10:29 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Another big part of it is overstating the minor problems in government, as opposed to the more serious issues.
195. Wishcasterboy
10:26 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
I believe a lot of the problems we have start with communication breakdowns.
194. Wishcasterboy
10:23 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Yes infact sometimes my opinion turns out to be anything but mainstream!
193. Wishcasterboy
10:20 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
I can get really close to figuring it out, When suddenly I become very perplexed. At that point it's best just to go back and start from square one.
192. LowerCal
10:18 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Explain "think about it a lot". Do you mean to sort out the truth so you can form a valid opinion?
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
191. Wishcasterboy
10:15 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Obviously, but it's so much harder for people to see through the lies. I mean for me I actually have to think about it a lot to get anywhere politically!
190. LowerCal
10:10 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
It's amazing what many people will ignore when they are being told what they want to hear.

BTW he was not appealing to their better nature.
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
189. LowerCal
10:08 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
beep, LOL.

The closest I've been to a lightning strike is about 100 feet. I was indoors looking out the window toward where it struck. I jumped backward 5 feet but didn't even realize it for several seconds.

Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
187. Wishcasterboy
9:57 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
I had a super cell thunderstorm come right over my house. Somehow I herd it coming and dived to the floor when the thunderbolt hit my house. It felt like the whole room was shaking and all the electricity in my house turned of and came back on within a matter of seconds! It's not as fun as you might think!
186. Wishcasterboy
9:52 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Edit I will.
185. LowerCal
9:52 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Anything in particular you'd do with the snow and wind or do you just enjoy that weather?

Frankly I'd like to have a really strong thunderstorm. I've heard thunder twice in the last two years. I'm originally from Florida. I really miss that kind of weather.
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
184. LowerCal
9:48 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
People don't like/want to be manipulated. It's not an effective method of persuasion. I'm talking about appealing to a person's better nature. :)

That's good that you can think for yourself at your age. Some people take a lot longer if they ever do.

You don't come off as what you said but you might edit that comment for the sake of the younger members.
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
183. Wishcasterboy
9:40 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
All I care about this winter is getting snow and wind. It looks like I'm going to get at least one of those things.
182. Wishcasterboy
9:38 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Well I hope I didn't come off as an beep. How about we talk to eachother like human beings?
181. LowerCal
9:38 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
That's not typical El Nino. Hopefully you won't anything else like this for the rest of your ?rainy season.

I'll be glad when that jet stream finally migrates south.
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
180. Wishcasterboy
9:36 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
I'm a hard person to get past because I think for myself.
179. Wishcasterboy
9:34 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
Posted By: LowerCal at 9:29 AM GMT on November 11, 2006.

You are young. I am not. I'd rather persuade than argue. :)


LOL!! I'm sorry, I don't manipulate other people.
178. Wishcasterboy
9:32 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
7.89 in and plenty more on the way. Apparently we could have a really nasty wind storm of the way.
177. LowerCal
9:29 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
You are young. I am not. I'd rather persuade than argue. :)
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
176. LowerCal
9:25 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
I'd actually seen the CMC doing the same thing (the vampire scenario) much earlier and it seem like an impossible solution then. Now it's all happened except for the hurricane. I think I'll be wise now and just not comment on that part. ;)

BTW, got rain?
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
175. Wishcasterboy
9:23 AM GMT on November 11, 2006
But I love to argue!

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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