Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:53 PM GMT on October 25, 2006
Tonight's World Series game in St. Louis between the Tigers and the Cardinals has about a 60% chance of being rained out. A developing low pressure system over the Texas Panhandle is expected to pump plenty of moisture-laden air from the Gulf of Mexico northwards over Missouri today and tonight. An area of steady rain, already visible on regional radar, is moving northwards towards St. Louis, and should arrive at about 7pm local time. If the rain can hold off an extra two hours, there is chance they'll be able to play the game, but right now I'm expecting that the game will be rescheduled for Thursday. The weather outlook is a bit better for Thursday evening's game, but the low pressure system is moving slowly and will still be bringing rain and a few thunderstorms to Missouri through Friday afternoon. I give it a 30% chance of a rainout for Thursday. A rainout should act to give the Tigers a chance to regroup, get their game on track, and make this a competitive series! After the last rainout, the Tigers responded with seven straight victories.
Tropical Storm Paul is still alive despite 30 knots of wind shear, but the severely weakened storm is not capable of causing significant damage with its 45 mph winds. Wind shear is expected to increase even more today, finishing off Paul as a tropical cyclone by Thursday, as it makes landfall along the coast of Mexico north of Mazatlan. Los Cabos radar shows just a few heavy thunderstorms near Baja.
In the Atlantic, there are no threat areas to discuss, and none of the models are forecasting tropical development over the next six days. However, the GFS model is forecasting that a tropical storm may develop in the western Caribbean late next week.
Figure 1. Latest satellite image of Paul, updated every 1/2 hour.
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