Isaac races through Newfoundland

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:37 PM GMT on October 02, 2006

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Hurricane Isaac is racing towards the southeast corner of Newfoundland at 35 mph, and will bring winds near hurricane force to the island today. Already this morning, winds have reached 36 mph with higher gusts at Sagona Island, Newfoundland. Sagona Island saw sustained winds of 76 mph gusting to 93 during the passage of the extratropical version of Hurricane Florence on September 13. Isaac's impact on Newfoundland will probably be similar to that of Florence, which destroyed one home and caused scattered power outages and minor damage. A 2-3 foot storm surge and 2-3 inches of rain are likely from Isaac.


Figure 1. Latest satellite image of Isaac, updated every 1/2 hour.

Elsewhere in the tropics
An non-tropical low pressure system has formed near 30N 30W, about 500 miles south of the Azores Islands. This low may gradually acquire tropical characteristics over the next few days as it drifts southwestward over warmer waters.

The computer models are indicating some development is possible by Thursday in the region between the Bahamas and Bermuda, along an old cold front. Any development here would probably move northeast out to sea, and could be a threat to Bermuda.

I'll haven't had a chance to finish my October tropical outlook, but hope to post that Tuesday morning.

Jeff Masters

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634. pottery
2:43 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Mornin all. my little prayer for the day
Please send a storm for my friends, they sound like they are all losing it, grasping at toothpics and stuff
Back later..........
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24307
633. cbbeachbum
2:39 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
New blog is up..
Member Since: September 18, 2006 Posts: 11 Comments: 1386
632. redmole
2:35 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Gatorx, you have mail!
631. Utah2Miami
2:31 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Gator

I am not sure if the mail went through to you or not. Regardless. I vote that they will never fall.
630. Gatorx
2:25 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Wrong. ..storm W try again...your almost there.
629. Gatorx
2:23 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
I have to go for now....be back at 11 to check my mail....keep thinking...its not that hard..just common sense.
627. K8eCane
2:22 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
why are you guys talking about the outer banks? i just got here
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3128
626. Gatorx
2:21 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Maybe Dr. Masters can send me his best guess...as no one as of yet has gotten the answer.
625. Gatorx
2:17 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
ok ric..mail me your revised answer.
624. weatherguy03
2:16 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Why are there no model runs on 98L

Do you really have to ask why??..LOL
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29704
623. ricderr
2:15 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
eeeewwwww eeeeeew... mr cotter....mr cotter i know the answer.....just call me horseshack
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 673 Comments: 21639
622. Gatorx
2:14 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Wow..lots of thinking going on...Hint..think thermodynamics.
621. G35Wayne
2:14 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
All of the shear is coming from king kongs fart
618. ricderr
2:05 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
that's waht i get for talking about feet in mouth...thank god for listerine
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 673 Comments: 21639
615. nash28
1:59 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Well, my late morning and early afternoon is pretty slammed. You can send it to me in email and I will work it WITHOUT checking the blog to make it fair.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
614. Gatorx
1:59 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
mmmm. ricderr taking foot out of mouth...that must hurt.
613. ricderr
1:58 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
hmmm...rand..so buy coastal property in asheville?.....
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 673 Comments: 21639
612. Gatorx
1:58 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
OK Nash- what is a better time? I will work around your schedule...
611. ricderr
1:57 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
actually it was utah...and if i misinterpreted..you have my most sincere apologies
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 673 Comments: 21639
609. Utah2Miami
1:54 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Ric- was that comment for me? (Regarding Taz and the whole foot in mouth thing).

My comment wasn't made to insult him. He has become quite endearing AND educational to me the past few months.
I, for one, appreciate his presence greatly.
608. nash28
1:53 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Crap Gator, I am in a meeting at 11am.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
607. ricderr
1:52 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
actually gator...a friend walked in the office...said i was a bit off.....i had the general idea...but he gave me the specifics..so now..i can probably do better..but i've cheated
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 673 Comments: 21639
606. ricderr
1:51 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
modified
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 673 Comments: 21639
605. Gatorx
1:51 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Guys...physics question at 11:00 am sharp....no ric you only think you know the answer.
604. nash28
1:49 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Thanks for the laugh Ric.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
603. Utah2Miami
1:48 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Don't wake up Taz- the little tyke needs his sleep. He just gets so damn excited about this tropical weather stuff it wipes him out!
601. fire16
1:46 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
One thing about this season- if storms form and go against the norm, nc is the spot it will happen.
Member Since: August 16, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 16
600. nash28
1:45 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Yawns....
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
599. Gatorx
1:45 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
ricderr...
mail call
598. ricderr
1:43 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
hey there momma jo......feel the breeze...it's coming.....wshhhhhhhh.....wshhhhhhhhh.....let run now...LOL
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 673 Comments: 21639
596. HCW
1:41 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Why are there no model runs on 98L
HARDCOREWEATHER.COM

Link
Member Since: August 10, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1408
593. ricderr
1:32 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
sw down the coast! ...and crashes into florida...as what...cat 3..cat 4...would the westerly shear rip it apart.....does it have an eye yet?......things are too quiet around here...we need some havoc.....havoc i say....
sprinklebottom
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 673 Comments: 21639
592. thelmores
1:22 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
hey Rand..... we looking at maybe a hatteras storm here??

looks like it forms around hatteras and gets shoved sw down the coast! LOL

guess we'll have to see the next couple model runs..... :)
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3805
590. PBG00
12:48 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Mornin all
Member Since: October 20, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 6650
589. weatherguy03
12:43 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
LOL. Here is my blog I just updated floodzone...Link You were reading my mind!!
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29704
588. thelmores
12:40 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
morning all! :)




Looks there is some "disturbed" weather NE of SA..... the shear has been incredible, but wil be interesting to see if these "waves" hold together and enter the carribean......

westcasting? oh well, what the hades! LOL

would seem like fizzle could be the word here! :)
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3805
587. weathermanwannabe
12:38 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
It's "bewy quiet" here this morning....
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9134
585. weathermanwannabe
12:33 PM GMT on October 03, 2006
Good Morning All......I'll just lurk today as it seems that things are quiet close to the US with the exception of the "clusters" of regular thunderstorms around Cuba/Hipaniola/Jamaica..While they can probably be classified as front remnants given their location, I would think that none of the models have shown an interest in this area at this point or NHC would have memtioned possible development in their brief discussion on this area....
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9134
584. nash28
11:48 AM GMT on October 03, 2006
Morning Rand.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.