Vietnam bashed by Xangsane; Isaac headed to Newfoundland

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:22 PM GMT on October 01, 2006

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Typhoon Xangsane slammed ashore the central Vietnamese coast just south of Dan Nang Sunday morning as a Category 2 storm. The eye passed just south of Dan Nang, sparing Vietnam's 4th largest city the worst of the eyewall's winds. Da Nang had its winds rise to 63 mph with higher gusts at the peak of the storm, and the weather station was able to stay operational throughout the typhoon. At least ten deaths have been reported in Vietnam so far, and thousands of houses were reported damaged or destroyed. Xangsane is not expected to be a prodigious rainmaker. Forecast 24-hour forecast rain amounts from NOAA's Satellite Analysis Branch (Figure 2) were mostly 2-8 inches. Xangsane has degenerated to a remnant low today, and advisories are no longer being issued on the storm.

In the Philippines, the death toll is 76, with 69 people still missing. Power is still out to over 12 million people on the Philippines' main island of Luzon, including nearly half the residents of the capital of Manila.


Figure 1. Typhoon Xangsane at landfall in Vietnam. Image credit: NOAA/NESDIS.


Figure 2. Expected 24-hour rain amount from Typhoon Xangsane. Image credit: NOAA.

Hurricane Isaac
Hurricane Isaac has peaked in intensity, and is now weakening thanks to higher wind shear from a trough of low pressure to its northwest. Isaac is expected to get absorbed by the trough on Monday and make the transition to a powerful extratropical storm. Isaac will bring winds near hurricane force to southeastern Newfoundland on Monday night. Isaac's impact on Newfoundland will probably be similar to that caused by the remains of Hurricane Florence in September--Florence destroyed one home and caused scattered power outages and minor damage.

Elsewhere in the tropics
An area of intense thunderstorms has developed about 600 miles southwest of the Cape Verdes Islands. This area is under about 15 knots of wind shear today, and the shear is expected to increase to 30 knots tomorrow, which should halt any development. Elsewhere, there's nothing to remark upon.

I'll have an update Monday morning.

Jeff Masters

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385. nash28
1:31 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
When I said we would probably have a few more invests this year to chat over?
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
383. GoofOff
1:26 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
The weather has been very boring in our region the past month and that suits me just fine. It also appears from the models that it will stay that way for at least 5 days and with the high pressure systems continuing to move across the USA, it will probably stay that way even longer. If we have another few years of this, my insurance may actually go down, but I doubt it. Anyway, I prefer higher insurance to having to repair my home and going without electricity for several days in hot and humid weather.
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 438
382. ricderr
1:23 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
"White-Legged Canadian"!
and remember candians...it's mph...not kph when you drive
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
381. nash28
1:20 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Remember what I said about Invests Rand??
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
379. ricderr
1:12 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
hmmmm....canadians will be showing themselves around south florida too pretty soon
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
377. ricderr
1:08 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
ok...caught up on football and nascar.....now to see if tiger won...and i'll be up on the important things...might even think about working some today......operative word...think
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
375. weathermanwannabe
12:57 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
I'm off for the day but have a great one...
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9211
374. ricderr
12:53 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
...Suds & Nachos!

Some of that good Cajun cuisine!

dang.....that would mean..i'm a cajun too...i garantee
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
373. Patrap
12:53 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
..Ol ladys up..gotta get her meds ready..b back later...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
372. Patrap
12:52 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
..Nice post..At least someone is upbeat..LOL..Im glad someone can take something good from the Blog..thts what its supposed to be..a place of Learning..with FRIENDLY banter...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
371. ricderr
12:51 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
apparently an Alcohol impaired Saints fan
well..i helped him out...bought him a beer for him to celebrate.....
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
369. Patrap
12:50 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
dats a common thing on Planes...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
368. weathermanwannabe
12:50 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
I'm neither (hate politicians), but in all honesty (and this is for the regulars on now as well as a few regulars not on yet this morning), I lurked on this site last year and this is my first year participating...It has been a great experience, I have learned so much about tropical weather from all of you, and I look forward to participating in the future...It has been a pleasure interacting with all of you.....
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9211
367. Patrap
12:50 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
..apparently an Alcohol impaired Saints fan
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
366. Patrap
12:49 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
..will be in that Number ..come Sunday...Suds & Nachos!
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
365. ricderr
12:48 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
dang.....was on a plane yesterday...and this guy was going on and on about them winning.....
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
364. Patrap
12:48 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
But were sure looking forward to kicking Tampas butt in da dome come Sunday!..LOL!
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
363. ricderr
12:47 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
what?........
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
362. Patrap
12:47 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
..the Damage done..Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
361. weatherguy03
12:47 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Oh and BTW, the Saints lost yesterday..LOL
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29705
360. Patrap
12:47 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
er Saints lost 21 18...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
359. weatherguy03
12:47 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
It has been accurate this season.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29705
358. ricderr
12:45 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
weather...that's not an answer...LOL.....unless you're a politician..or a weatherman
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
357. ricderr
12:44 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
well..i for one..after yesterday..will believe anything is possible...when both the saints..and bears can be undefeated.....this far into the season
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
356. weatherguy03
12:44 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Ric. When you look at that, coupled with El Nino. And given the recent pattern. Its hard to go against it.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29705
355. ricderr
12:43 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
The hurricane season ends Nov. 30th...
would thatbe climatology?
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
354. weatherguy03
12:43 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Nah, not this season Nash. November will not be a factor.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29705
353. nash28
12:42 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
No Ric, no pills.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
352. ricderr
12:42 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
GFS shear forecast the next two weeks,
weather....has that been accurate this year?
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
351. weathermanwannabe
12:42 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Probably a good call, but, as I mentioned Saturday morning, coastal Gulf waters are starting to cool a little bit as a result of the recent fronts (low 80's), so I think that significant development of anything is unlikely..But...you never know when the potential Deathstar will surface.....
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9211
350. Patrap
12:42 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
..dont go anywhere without a MRE ..a vicodin...and a bottle of Jack....for medicinal purposees
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
349. nash28
12:41 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
The hurricane season ends Nov. 30th. Wouldn't that be two more months??? All of October + November?
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
348. ricderr
12:40 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
but I am sure
written in stone sure?......would that not be just the opposite of no storms?...would pain pills be involved?
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
347. Patrap
12:41 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
I..was born..under a wandering ...invest...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
346. weatherguy03
12:39 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Actually, there is one month left in the season. And, if you look at the GFS shear forecast the next two weeks, coupled with an increasing El Nino. I would say its just about over. Yeah we may get one or two Subtropical Zeta's spin up in the Cen. Atlantic, but as far as the threat to the U.S, its over.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29705
345. nash28
12:39 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Yes I do. May not be landfalling systems, but I am sure we will have at least one more TS in the Carribbean or Gulf before the season officially ends.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
344. weathermanwannabe
12:37 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Over the Cape Verde season is....hmmmmmm..So you think we will have one or two tropical storms in October somewhere?
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9211
342. Patrap
12:35 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Love da snow though...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
341. ricderr
12:35 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Posted By: NHweatherman at 10:47 PM EDT on October 01, 2006.

Hey,

Can't wait for the first Noreaster, I have only been in two in my life from last year. I am from Florida, and was a hurricane chaser. Now that I am up in New Hampshire I chase Noreasters. I love to get out in the thick of the storm, any storm. We should start posting where the best areas for viewing the storms are going to be. I am going to post my picks for spots, I was right during hurricanes Charley, and Wilma, hopefully I can predict the best viewing for Noreasters also.

just thought i'd share...there are calmity seekers for every locale
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 674 Comments: 21735
340. Patrap
12:35 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Gee!...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
339. Patrap
12:34 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
..yeah..premature..thats the ticket ...
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
338. Patrap
12:34 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Get a grip..its called Humor...LOL
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
337. Patrap
12:34 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
MIMIC of Xangsane making landfall..Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128630
336. nash28
12:34 PM GMT on October 02, 2006
Gee, not sure how anyone can say the season is over when there is clearly two months left in it. Now, if you want to say the Cape Verde season is wrapped up, that's fine. However, to say the entire 2006 hurricane season is over, is a bit premature.
Member Since: July 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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