Today's tropics, and retiring Emily's name

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:15 PM GMT on July 27, 2005

Share this Blog
0
+

The tropics remain relatively quiet. Franklin, who keeps saying "I'm not dead yet!", continues to stagger along as a bare minimal tropical storm. The two tropical waves I pointed out yesterday are still looking interesting, particularly the one closer to the Leeward Islands. This wave has a very broad circulation now, although it still lacks much in the way of convection. I'll talk more about these waves if they start to show more organization.

I'd also like to mention that the comments to this blog have gotten too excessive to be of value for the majority of our readers. I encourage those of you who are trying to set a record for a high number of posts to resist that urge. It is difficult for people to find some useful URL or question that needs answering, due to the large number of posts. However, I am pleased with the general tone of all the posts; flame wars have not been a problem. Thanks. On to today's topic--

Will Emily's name get retired?
Hurricanes began getting names in 1950, when the U.S. Weather Bureau began using the phonetic alphabet (Able-Baker-Charlie). In 1953, womens names were substituted, and in 1979, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the U.S. National Weather Service switched to a list of names that also included men's names. The current list of names recycles every six years, unless a hurricane gets its name retired. Any nation impacted by a severe hurricane can lobby the WMO to have the name of that hurricane retired. From 1950 - 2004, 62 hurricanes have had their names retired. The list includes one tropical storm, Allison of 2001, that caused billions in damage from its heavy rains. Only one hurricane has had its name retired in the Eastern Pacific--Hurricane Kenna of 2002, which hit Mexico.

The storm with the most appearances so far is Arlene, which has appeared nine times: 1959, 1963, 1967, 1971, 1981, 1987, 1993, 1999, 2005, and will come again in 2011. It took Emily five tries to have her name retired, and I'm sure the WMO will retire both Emily and Dennis of 2005. These will be the only July hurricanes to ever have their name retired. One June storm, Audrey of 1957, had her name retired.



Below is a list of Atlantic Ocean retired names, the years the hurricanes occurred, and the areas they affected. Keep in mind that a large number of destructive storms occurred before naming began in 1950, and are not included on this list. I'll add a link for this list to the tropical page.

Jeff Masters

Atlantic Storms Retired Into Hurricane History

Emily (2005): Grenada, Mexico
Dennis (2005): Cuba, Florida
Jeanne (2004): Florida
Ivan (2004): Grenada, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Alabama, Florida
Frances (2004): Florida
Charley (2004): Cuba, Florida
Juan (2003): Nova Scotia
Isabel (2003): North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland
Fabian (2003): Bermuda
Lili (2002): Cuba, Louisiana
Isidore (2002): Cuba, Mexico, Louisiana
Michelle (2001): Cuba, Bahamas
Iris (2001): Belize
Allison (2001): Texas
Keith (2000): Belize, Mexico
Lenny (1999): Virgin Islands, St. Maartin/St. Martin, Anguilla
Floyd (1999): North Carolina
Mitch (1998): Central America, Nicaragua, Honduras
Georges (1998): Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, Hispanolia, Cuba, Mississippi
Hortense (1996): Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Fran (1996): North Carolina
Cesar (1996): Nicaragua
Roxanne (1995): Mexico
Opal (1995): Florida
Marilyn (1995): Virgin Islands, Leeward Islands
Luis (1995): Leeward Islands
Andrew (1992): Bahamas, South Florida, Louisiana
Bob (1991): North Carolina, Northeast U.S.
Klaus (1990): Martinique
Diana (1990): Mexico
Hugo (1989): Antilles, South Carolina
Joan (1988): Curacao, Venezuela, Colombia, Nicaragua (Crossed into the Pacific)
Gilbert (1988): Lesser Antilles, Jamaica, Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico
Gloria (1985): North Carolina, Northeast U.S.
Elena (1985): Mississippi, Alabama, Western Florida
Alicia (1983): North Texas
Allen (1980): Antilles, Mexico, South Texas
Frederic (1979): Alabama and Mississippi
David (1979): Lesser Antilles, Hispaņola, Florida and Eastern U.S.
Anita (1977): Mexico
Eloise (1975): Antilles, Northwest Florida, Alabama
Fifi (1974): Honduras, Guatemala
Agnes (1972): Florida, Northeast U.S.
Celia (1970): South Texas
Camille (1969): Mississipi
Beulah (1967): Antilles, Mexico, South Texas
Inez (1966): Lesser Antilles, Hispanola, Cuba, Florida Keys, Mexico
Betsy (1965): Bahamas, Southeast Florida, Southeast Louisiana
Dora (1964): Northeast Florida
Cleo (1964): Lesser Antilles, Haiti, Cuba, Southeast Florida
Hilda (1964): Louisiana
Flora (1963): Haiti, Cuba
Hattie (1961): Belize, Guatemala
Carla (1961): Texas
Donna (1960): Bahamas, Florida and Eastern U.S.
Gracie (1959): Bahamas, South Carolina
Audrey (1957): Louisiana, North Texas
Janet (1955): Lesser Antilles, Belize, Mexico
Ione (1955): North Carolina
Diane (1955): Mid-Atlantic U.S, Northeast U.S.
Connie (1955): North Carolina
Hazel (1954): Antilles, North and South Carolina
Edna (1954): Massachusetts
Carol (1954): Northeast U.S.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 449 - 399

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

449. 1900hurricane
4:17 AM GMT on April 01, 2010
I want join in on these shenanigans!
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11709
448. Levi32
4:37 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Anyone want to see my first blog? LOl!

Unfortunately I have to go. I wish I could stay! *wimpers* See you all later tonight if I can!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
447. Levi32
4:34 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
I just posted in Dr. Master's first blog lol!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
445. atmosweather
4:31 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
SOUNDS GREAT LEVI!!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
444. Alec
4:30 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
OOOHHHH//////I AM SHOCKED! lets all go to Jeff Master's first blog.....
443. atmosweather
4:29 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
ALEC, YOU POSTED IN THIS BLOODY BLOG LOL!!!! THIS IS JULY!!!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
442. Levi32
4:29 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Hey guys let's go tackle the list of "A's". Bring back to life any old blog you like! LOL another crazy day!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
441. Levi32
4:28 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
OH NO! Just in Emily has reached Cat 4 status. Just look at that eye south of Jamaica!

ROFL!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
440. Levi32
4:27 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
NOOOOOO! I see you brought David's old blog back too ROFL!!! You can't do this!!!!!!!!!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
438. atmosweather
4:27 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
ROFLOL LEVI WERE MAKING MAGIC LOL!!! IVE JUST PULLED A BUNNY OUT A HAT AND ALEC IS CARBONATING TABLES WITH HIS TOES...GOD I NEED ANOTHER SHOT OF ABSYNTH QUICK...ALL HAIL THE OLD BLOGS..JUST LIKE THE OLD TIMES...AHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
437. Alec
4:27 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
LEVI WE'RE ON A TIME CAPSULE JOURNEY BACK IN TIME.....GET READY TO RIDE BACK TO THE PAST!!!LOL
436. Levi32
4:26 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
OK WHAT'S GOING ON HERE LOL!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
435. Levi32
4:25 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
What the heck are you doing in last year's blog!?!?!?!?
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
434. atmosweather
4:25 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
LOL I have learned to hit the ignore button after every ST post!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
433. Alec
4:24 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
SOUNDS KIND OF SIMILAR TO JUST RECENTLY, THE "I HAVE MY RESONS" POST....LOOK AT THIS:

Posted By: STORMTOP at 5:23 PM GMT on July 28, 2005.
ok punk from here on out i will do that...right now i am not ready to give any info on harvey until i review the new info i have....probably tomorrow..
432. atmosweather
4:22 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
LOL those two comments cracked me up!!!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
431. Alec
4:21 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
THAT WAS FROM STORMTOP RICH, I REMEMBER IT!LOL
430. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
4:21 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
STORMTOP comment:
Accu weather is way off on the major hurricanes at least 6 more will form and 2 may be cat 6...also i tend to agree with accu weather on the storms hitting the us..i might add one more and make it 7 though..
----
whoa..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 46915
429. atmosweather
4:21 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
"stormtop, thanks. you are a good guy too."

ROFLOL!!!!!!!!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
428. atmosweather
4:20 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
"ok everyone im not alec he is a real person i think lol....im only alec at night lol no just kidding trying to have some fun...alec is a great guy and a good forecaster..."

ROFLOL!!!!!!!!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
425. Alec
4:16 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
WEEEEEE
424. atmosweather
4:16 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
NHC DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ATMOSWEATHER

LOOK MARY I DON'T HAVE TIME TO DISCUSS WHAT DRESS LOOKS BEST ON YOU, YOU'LL JUST HAVE TO GUESS WITHOUT ME....OHH...WOOOPS...SORRY...BACK TO THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION.....ERMMM....I CANT REALLY SAY MUCH BECAUSE I DIDNT EVEN KNOW IT EXISTED AND SOMEONE JUST TOLD ME TO WRITE ABOUT IT...I DONT EVEN KNOW WHAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS....WHAT'S THE NHC?...I CAME FROM THE STREETS...DO YOU LIKE MUFFINS?
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
423. Alec
4:15 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
HEY REMEMBER WHEN THEY CALLED ME STORMTOP????THAT WAS SO FUNNY...LOL
422. txweather
1:16 AM GMT on July 29, 2005
No, cornflake, because we are in the part of the cycle where such hits occur. Also FL was incredible unlucky. But I stand by remarks about the bias of forecasters. Actually one of the biggest biass is the early north turn. We saw that many times last year.
421. punkasshans
6:43 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
Alec,

I think you worry too much. And if you really are stormtop's second identity (or stormtop is YOUR second identity) WHO CARES!

On with the discussion
420. cornflake826
6:21 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
TX I guess thats why we had to hits on the east coast within miles of each other, a west coast FL hit and a nasty panhandle hit last year, because we have bias forecasters.
419. Alec
5:59 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
never mind. im gonna go now.
418. Alec
5:53 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
well stormtop, they'll just say i put myself under 2 names and that im just fabricating this whole thing using two names synonymously.
417. STORMTOP
5:51 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
alec i think they get the message...we are both on here now...that should ring some bells lol..
416. Alec
5:49 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
stormtop, thanks. you are a good guy too.
415. Alec
5:47 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
i might as well quit being on here if they're going to confuse you stormtop with me.
414. STORMTOP
5:46 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
ok everyone im not alec he is a real person i think lol....im only alec at night lol no just kidding trying to have some fun...alec is a great guy and a good forecaster...
413. txweather
5:36 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
Jedkins, though not a much as the rest of the east coast Troughts will protect the FL southeast coast. Remember a trough north of the subtropical ridge can cause a weakness in the ridge south of it. When a trough stretches down to NC/SC, that still will have a chance to protect FL, because the weakening of the subtropical high will allow a storm to move more north. This is why storms forming in the far east atlantic have a hard hard time coming across.

My view also show a difference in age, when I first was real aware of hurricanes in the 80's one thing I first noticed was that any storm that went north of Puerto Rico was almost always a sea storm, nothing more. Now we are in a different era, but what you saw when you first started always gives you a bias and my bias is to always want to call for recurvature earlier than often happens.

You who became aware of storms in this era will have a tendency to always think they have a better chance of hitting than they probably do.

Stormtops predictions show this too, with the Gulf bias that he grew up with. Remember nothing hit the east coast from about 61-85(I'm sure some small storms did, but not many).

I'm sure this bias even extends to forecasters, though maybe not as much as with intensity(where I've been told its quite variable)
412. Alec
5:36 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
because you pop up on here just after i say my farewell. you've done it the last couple of days. their suspicious im just a hoax.
411. STORMTOP
5:34 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
alec why do they think im you...
410. mobilehurricane
5:34 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
i posted this on dr. master's newest entry, but thought i would post it here too since there still seems to be a lot of action here:
"i have a question for all of you weather guys out there who are bored waiting for the next storms to develop. I have mounted a steel rod on my roof to hold my weather equipment and have put on the last bit of equipment today after 2 months of work. the pole is mounted in the rafters of my attic and comes out of the top of the roof 8 feet. So...do i have an 8 foot lightning rod on my roof with a rain gauge and two anemometers with wind speed and direction on my roof that will cause a fire in my attic and destroy my equipment as well?! I have plenty of pine trees in the yard that are much taller than the pole on my roof, but it still worries me. I would like to know if anyone has any suggestions about how i could ground the pole or anything that would make my lightning rod a little more protected....ps. my time is limited as i may have severe storms in mobile tonight! thanks"
409. Alec
5:30 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
can you tell others stormtop that you aren't me because when i leave you pop up suddenly. its making them suspicious.
408. Alec
5:27 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
well you're using a computer stormtop. (just joking)
407. STORMTOP
5:26 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
ok punk from here on out i will do that...right now i am not ready to give any info on harvey until i review the new info i have....probably tomorrow..
406. STORMTOP
5:23 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
lol i agree hawk but you can have them..i like the old fashion way of forecasting hurricanes...like nash roberts used to do with his weather board and his crayolas ...now that was the real forecasting....just satellite pics and water vapor no computers.....i think computers i hope later then sooner are going to be responsible for lots of lives being lost...this is just my own opinion...i will say it again i dont like computers....lol
405. punkasshans
5:19 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
StormTop,

You can change your forecast if you just come out and say "I was wrong," this or that happened and it isnt going to happen. Thats fine! People will not critisize you if you say you just got it wrong and so you have to change your forecast. You can still say your ORIGINAL PREDICTION, but change your forecast.
404. Hawkeyewx
5:15 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
I think someone hinted at it earlier, but the FSU model develops this strong wave/disturbance into a hurricane within a couple days and takes it wnw to the southeastern Bahamas in about 4 days. The 12z GFS also seems to not pull it northward anymore once it gets to the Bahamas, although as usual it is having trouble hanging on to any low pressure center because it is still very weak. Don't bet your house on the models being right, but they are still interesting to look at.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 1924
403. STORMTOP
5:13 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
yes wsi i understand what the nhc has to do they have lots of lives in there hands..once i saw that low pressure form just south of gert on the yucatan i knew that was gerts demise...i didnt change because i didnt want people on this board to say im changing and i dont stick to my original forecast i posted..you are definitely right weather changes a lot and not even the best computers can pick up on certain things forming in the atmosphere that will affect a hurricanes path...i agree with you 100%
402. punkasshans
5:10 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
WSI and Stormtop,

No doubt the NHC is out to save people's lives, not to stick to their guns. If they realize they are wrong they are not going to keep telling us wrong information. StormTop can stick to his prediction, but in the end if you are predicting a landfall around florida, and still claiming it when the storm is hitting New York. . well, thats just not smart forecasting.
401. Hawkeyewx
5:08 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
Seems to me the NHC would be incompetent if they thought their previous forecast track/intensity was wrong but kept hyping that same wrong forecast just for the sake of not changing.
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 1924
400. txweather
5:07 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
One big item to note is the this model has a far too far southerly initial postion for the disturbance e of the islands. It has it near the low i'm tracking not where the thunderstorms are located.

Also nothing else shows such an intense low in the gulf. The quick spin up of such a low seems unlikely.

Also even though i think this system(the one east of the islands) will have little chance to make it to the US, there's always that possibility until you see it leaving and it might make a fairly close approach even if it doesn't hit. That being said I'm still not so hot on it developing.(of course the truth be know I just don't want it to ruin my prediction. I didn't predict anymore July storms).
399. punkasshans
5:07 PM GMT on July 28, 2005
Denials, i believe he already explained that some time back.

Viewing: 449 - 399

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron