Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:59 PM GMT on August 03, 2006
Here's a quick update on still Tropical Storm Chris.
From the National Hurricane Center discussion:
"The combination of dry low- to mid-level air and shear...associated with an upper-level cyclone that dropped southward into Chris...has taken its toll on the tropical cyclone. Chris is devoid of deep convection within about 75 N mi radius of the center."
Again in the 2006 Hurricane Season, shear rules. The GFS model continues to forecast shear over the westerly path is which Chris is moving.
With that said, eyes will be glued to this cyclone. If shear relaxes a bit, the storm could intensify. With the current shear trend, the storm might completely dissipate.
Hopefully the rule of King Shear will continue, making the residents of Florida and the Islands breathe a bit easier.
Figure 1. The long range radar from San Juan, Puerto Rico showing the showers and thunderstorms of Chris.
-John Celenza in for Jeff Masters
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