The heat is on

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:16 PM GMT on July 22, 2006

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Record heat has gripped much of the U.S. this week. The heat is currently most intense in the Desert Southwest, where yesterday Phoenix recorded its fourth highest temperature of all time, 118 F. Needles, California hit a record 120 yesterday, and the temperature topped out at 123 F in Death Valley--only 13 degrees cooler than the world record 136 F measured in El Azizia, Libya, in 1922. The heat should continue for another week in the Southwest, before a shift in the jet stream pattern brings more normal temperatures to the region late next week.

The heat is on in Europe, too
Europe has seen its own record heat wave this week. Britain broke its all-time July temperature record, with a 98 F (36.5 C) temperature recorded at the Royal Horticultural Society's gardens at Wisley in Surrey. This bested the previous record for July, 36 C, set in Epsom in 1911. Belgium also recorded its hottest July day ever, 99 F (37 C) on July 19. Paris and Berlin both recorded 102 F (39 C) on July 20. However, the 2006 heat wave has caused far fewer deaths than the intense heat wave of 2003 that killed over 35,000 people. The 2006 heat wave has claimed 20 victims in France, 2 in Spain, and 4 in Germany and the Netherlands. Much of the reduced death toll can be credited to better preparation learned from the 2003 heat wave.

The heat, combined with drought, has reduced the amount of cooling water available to cool the nuclear reactors in Germany and France, forcing those plants to cut back on electricity production. In Italy, hydroelectric power generation has been reduced due to the drought.

Warmest January through June ever in U.S.
The National Climatic Data Center reports that the June 2006 was the 2nd warmest June on record, and the first half of 2006 was the warmest in the United States since record keeping began in 1895. The average temperature for the 48 contiguous United States from January through June was 51.8�F, or 3.4�F above average for the 20th century. Globally, June was also the 2nd warmest June on record, and the period January through June was the 6th warmest such period on record.

Watching the tropics
There are no areas of disturbed weather to talk about the tropical Atlantic today, and none of the computer models are forecasting any development for the coming week.

The main action this week will be in the Eastern Pacific, where we have my favorite type of hurricane--a huge, spectacular Category 4 (almost 5) storm that is no threat to land. Daniel joins May's Typhoon Chanchu as the only Category 4/5 tropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere so far this year. Daniel could threaten Hawaii late next week, but the storm will probably be a weak tropical storm by that point, due to passage over cooler waters.


Latest satellite image of Hurricane Daniel

Jeff Masters

120 degrees (Westerberg)
But it's a dry heat. I'm sure it's going to get a couple degrees warmer today but I could not hang around any longer.
120 degrees

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153. Weather456
6:36 PM AST on July 22, 2006
2004, hurricane ivan
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
152. Weather456
6:33 PM AST on July 22, 2006
jp, hurricane ivan
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
150. weatherguy03
6:31 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
Look again old man(Saint)..LOL...Link
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149. OneDay
10:27 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
oops, kudos to jp
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148. OneDay
10:26 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
Hey Saint...looks like Betsy (?)
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147. OneDay
10:22 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
And for the Texan bloggers...check out my blog for some statistics and info on TX landfalling tropical systems over the past 50 years.
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146. silverfox4025
10:19 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
Hi All
First time posting here. Stumbled here a few days ago and am hooked.
Am near Va Beach, Va. A question, has a tropical system ever struck Puerto Rico from the west.

Mike

Member Since: January 19, 2003 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
144. SAINTHURRIFAN
10:08 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
another trivia for you 1965 a cat 4 hurricaNe hit s/fla
much larger storm more widespread damage than andre what was it?
kind of curious all you fla bloggers on here seems like the only storms yall know are andrew to the present lol.
and bob my eyes must be old according to wu shear map 10 to 15
mph in the boc also all the heavy t/s associated with this front headed to gulf now that could be a problem. whaT about that 65 storm and the lack of blogging about it curious? also it made a 2nd landfall and it was the last time
this area was hit directly by a major hurricane
Member Since: August 20, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 709
141. thelmores
10:00 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
NOW THATS A DOWNPOUR!!!
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140. OneDay
10:00 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
not the best way to make up for a drought, but it's a start.
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139. OneDay
9:57 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
Check this out... 1 inch of rain in 10 minutes! 4:06 pm to 4:16 pm
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138. thelmores
9:55 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
happens to me too! LOL

hey.... on a slow day.... nice T-STORM! :D
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137. turtlehurricane
9:42 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
Its a thunderstorm line, nothing really tropics wise. I think this is a classic case of wanting to see something so bad that you think you see it, happens to me once in awhile-LOL
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136. tx101
9:38 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
finally a little rain here in central texas..actually only 91 so far today,great for middle of july...maybe tropical moisture will pump north out of the bay of campeche and bring more liquid gold to drought stricken texas...but.....not gonna happen. still 18 inches behind on precip for the last 12 month period
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135. thelmores
9:27 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
better loop of NW cuba blob
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134. BahaHurican
5:07 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
Weather is building up here. We prolly will get some rain again this evening. (It rained steadily for at least three hours yesterday evening.)

People keep mentioning swirls, but if the clouds are spinning clockwise, we shouldn't be worrying overmuch, right?
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133. thelmores
9:26 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
doh!!! real cuba radar LOL
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132. weatherguy03
5:25 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
Area in BOC is under 20 to 30 kt. shear today, so no development right now. Shear should drop the next few days as this slides to the NNW. Very close to Mexico though, so big development seems unlikely.
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131. thelmores
9:22 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
cuba radar
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129. OneDay
9:19 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
We've got a pretty robust (for this time of year) cool front making its way south into SE TX. If the energy associated with it (and causing our current severe weather) makes it into the GOM I bet we'll get a tropical system out of it. Especially considerring the forecasted low amount of shear after 24 hours.
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128. thelmores
9:17 PM GMT on July 22, 2006


can't really see much more than a T-storm.... what you see storm?
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127. thelmores
9:17 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
looks like we have a "mini-blob" in the central atlantic...... note sure of its fate.....

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125. turtlehurricane
9:08 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
do you think the low pressure in south western gom gonna develop?


Nope, not for a few days at least.
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124. jus991
9:04 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
do you think the low pressure in south western gom gonna develop?
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123. jus991
9:01 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
here in south florida...its been raining really bad, dark clouds and thunderstorms all day.
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121. AM91091
8:59 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
Mexican Coast now under TS Watch because of TS Emilia.
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120. Tazmanian
8:57 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
i am on lappy by the way power is out and 110 right now going for 111
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119. Tazmanian
8:55 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
110 and the power is out i am out of her
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118. AM91091
8:55 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
Posted By: ProgressivePulse at 8:49 PM GMT on July 22, 2006.
I use here and Unisys.


me too...Unisys is really good for historical storms
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117. Weather456
4:48 PM AST on July 22, 2006
Disturbance in the bay of campeche bears watching.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
116. ProgressivePulse
4:50 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
How are you this evening JP?
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115. ProgressivePulse
4:49 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
I use here and Unisys.
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113. ProgressivePulse
4:48 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
92 was overzealous with 27 storms
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112. ProgressivePulse
4:46 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
Good Place to check history. Click on the Best Track 1949 - 2004 for additional years.
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111. turtlehurricane
8:44 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
Hurricane Warning


There are maps, satellite images, advisories, and my analysis about Hurricane Daniel, newly formed tropical storm Emilia, and Typhoon Kamei on hurricane warning.
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110. ricderr
8:42 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
morganaaa..i'm sure you're wqaiting for that qafternoon fog to roll in off the coasat..any chance today?
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 676 Comments: 22344
109. ProgressivePulse
4:42 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
EPAC always seems to squeeze out 18 to 22 storms every year, rather consistant. Intensities fluctuate quite a bit though.
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108. ProgressivePulse
4:41 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
Your Welcome Disaster, glad to have ya!
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107. ProgressivePulse
4:39 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
I did some looking back in the EPAC and granted I missed a couple years but, 1992 was an active year for the EPAC as far as # of Hurricanes and Intensities, similar to what we are seeing this year.
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106. disasterrelief
8:41 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
Hey guys! I just wanted to let ya'll know that I am a fan of the blog. I have been reading it for months, and wanted to let you guys know that I always share ya'lls information as if it were my own with my peers. I am an adjuster with a large insurance company that is finally finishing with "clean-up" with hurricane rita down in Beaumont. I use this page as an employment page, and always appreciate the info on which storms to watch. Thanks for the great info and I'll look forward to all predictions! I look forward to a great season and ya'lls evaluation of it.
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105. Morgana
8:33 PM GMT on July 22, 2006
ricderr, lol Felton,CA just hit 111, I've got 105 here.
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104. ProgressivePulse
4:39 PM EDT on July 22, 2006
You too 23! Love the Rain.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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