The heat is on

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:16 PM GMT on July 22, 2006

Share this Blog
0
+

Record heat has gripped much of the U.S. this week. The heat is currently most intense in the Desert Southwest, where yesterday Phoenix recorded its fourth highest temperature of all time, 118 F. Needles, California hit a record 120 yesterday, and the temperature topped out at 123 F in Death Valley--only 13 degrees cooler than the world record 136 F measured in El Azizia, Libya, in 1922. The heat should continue for another week in the Southwest, before a shift in the jet stream pattern brings more normal temperatures to the region late next week.

The heat is on in Europe, too
Europe has seen its own record heat wave this week. Britain broke its all-time July temperature record, with a 98 F (36.5 C) temperature recorded at the Royal Horticultural Society's gardens at Wisley in Surrey. This bested the previous record for July, 36 C, set in Epsom in 1911. Belgium also recorded its hottest July day ever, 99 F (37 C) on July 19. Paris and Berlin both recorded 102 F (39 C) on July 20. However, the 2006 heat wave has caused far fewer deaths than the intense heat wave of 2003 that killed over 35,000 people. The 2006 heat wave has claimed 20 victims in France, 2 in Spain, and 4 in Germany and the Netherlands. Much of the reduced death toll can be credited to better preparation learned from the 2003 heat wave.

The heat, combined with drought, has reduced the amount of cooling water available to cool the nuclear reactors in Germany and France, forcing those plants to cut back on electricity production. In Italy, hydroelectric power generation has been reduced due to the drought.

Warmest January through June ever in U.S.
The National Climatic Data Center reports that the June 2006 was the 2nd warmest June on record, and the first half of 2006 was the warmest in the United States since record keeping began in 1895. The average temperature for the 48 contiguous United States from January through June was 51.8�F, or 3.4�F above average for the 20th century. Globally, June was also the 2nd warmest June on record, and the period January through June was the 6th warmest such period on record.

Watching the tropics
There are no areas of disturbed weather to talk about the tropical Atlantic today, and none of the computer models are forecasting any development for the coming week.

The main action this week will be in the Eastern Pacific, where we have my favorite type of hurricane--a huge, spectacular Category 4 (almost 5) storm that is no threat to land. Daniel joins May's Typhoon Chanchu as the only Category 4/5 tropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere so far this year. Daniel could threaten Hawaii late next week, but the storm will probably be a weak tropical storm by that point, due to passage over cooler waters.


Latest satellite image of Hurricane Daniel

Jeff Masters

120 degrees (Westerberg)
But it's a dry heat. I'm sure it's going to get a couple degrees warmer today but I could not hang around any longer.
120 degrees

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 354 - 304

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

354. StormJunkie
1:37 PM GMT on July 23, 2006
Morning 459. Did you catch my Hugo post after yours the other night? Loooks like we may be in for some good T storms this afternoon today :)

Even if something did develop off the E coast, it would likely slide N and NE out to sea.

SSTs along the E coast and the N Gulf are extremely warm compared to last year. Just updated the year to year comparison maps in my blog. Note that the previous year maps are set to a forward date of Aug 1st.



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
353. Tazmanian
6:44 AM PDT on July 23, 2006
by the way where is dr m to give us a upate on this?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
352. Tazmanian
6:42 AM PDT on July 23, 2006
coool 456 if this makes TD 3 then are hurricane year is now this geting start up the is how far in the name dos any one think will go this year
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
351. Weather456
9:40 AM AST on July 23, 2006
RECON is heading it to it tomorrow
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
350. weatherhunter
1:37 PM GMT on July 23, 2006
I think that 98L has a great chance I mean Look at it and it is very close to shore so I say 60/40 in flover of it forming and I know it is a little too sonn to be asking that but this is just my own opion
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
349. Tazmanian
6:34 AM PDT on July 23, 2006
they this update 98L winds 25kts and mb down to 1009mb
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
348. Weather456
9:27 AM AST on July 23, 2006
This was an image made to illustrate TS Beryl, tell what you think.



Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
347. seafarer459
9:22 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
Morning SJ, as a resident of the holy city I am happy to hear the words "no development" :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
346. StormJunkie
1:08 PM GMT on July 23, 2006
Morning all. Welcome BT.

I don't think there is any significant spin out off the Carolina coast, although models have hinted at a very disorganized 850mb vorticity riding up the coast, although I think development is very unlikely.

I see we now have 98L. None of the models are develping it that I can see, but I did not check the NAM. I think this area is too close to the coast and unless it gets some seperation then it will have a hard time getting organized.

Any other thoughts on these areas?

StormJunkie.com-Find the best free weather data on the web. Froecast models, imagery, marine data, wind data, preparedness info, and much more.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
345. Stormy2day
8:56 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
Good Morning all!
yesterday was a perfect day boating in Bay waters - especially since most everyone listened to the mets telling us 60% chance of tstorms ...we had the Bay to ourselves. Ran from two small tstorms - found the blue skies and stayed under them until late afternoon.

This morning - got a splash of rain between 6:30 and 7:30 ...sun trying to shine through.
Pressure at 1012 and rising. Temp 80, dew point 76

-stormy
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
344. seafarer459
12:51 PM GMT on July 23, 2006
Morning all, That BOC system sure is looking impressive.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
343. BigToe
12:45 PM GMT on July 23, 2006
Do I detect a little spin SE of Charleston SC?? 32.2 x 78.3
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
342. Weather456
8:47 AM AST on July 23, 2006
Emilia, might become the next, Pacific Hurricane, that would be four in a row...
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
341. Weather456
8:46 AM AST on July 23, 2006
Good Morning All...98L is hear.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
340. hurricane23
12:16 PM GMT on July 23, 2006
Invest 98L Visible pic....



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
339. SLU
11:54 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
invest 98L in the Gulf of Mexico this morning
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
338. ricderr
11:37 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
thank you so much for the spell check.....can't live without it..lol
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 670 Comments: 21322
337. BahaHurican
7:33 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
site

parts

Otherwise your statement is so true . . .

not.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21190
336. ricderr
11:25 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
someone needs to tell dr masters that this sight is only about atlantic systems..seems everyday he's talking about the atlantic and all pasts of the world.
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 670 Comments: 21322
335. BahaHurican
7:13 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
Wow! Daniel is still going strong this morning! And it continues to head west. What a great run with this storm . . .
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21190
334. BahaHurican
6:40 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
Just looked at that GOM mass . . . it still looks like it will head "over the hill" and into the EPac . . . nothing seems to be steering it north.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21190
333. IKE
5:34 AM CDT on July 23, 2006
Looks like it might head to Texas/western LA. If that eastern trough was stronger it could pick up the SW Gulf blob and move it NE, but the trough should move out and high pressure build back in from the east.

Looks like a western gulf possibility.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
332. IKE
5:30 AM CDT on July 23, 2006
Check this out...."For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
Disorganized cloudiness...showers...and thunderstorms continue over
the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and adjacent coastal areas.
Upper-level winds could become more favorable for development
during the next couple of days.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through Monday.".....


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
331. BahaHurican
6:08 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
I didn't realize this was exclusively tropical atlantic discussion?????

I sure have seen everything under the sun - literally - discussed here, some of it not even about weather!

I'm also thinking that weather is NEVER an "isolated" topic. Taz' 113-degree weather is related to our TAtl weather directly or indirectly. Let's not be so quick to tell people who are posting genuinely-weather-related things not to post. . . .

And besides, whenever there is a storm in our basin, you won't have to ask people to post about it. That doesn't mean we have to completely ignore the rest of the world's weather . . .
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21190
330. BahaHurican
6:08 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
Jeez, guys,

Do u ever sleep? lol

I just got up, awakened by thunderstorms and a heavy downpour, oh say 1/2 hour ago now. Took a quick look at the satlink and noticed the weather blowing up over the Bahamas again.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21190
329. hurricane23
4:06 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
Posted By: jphurricane2006 at 3:05 AM GMT on July 23, 2006.
a new interest spot; i am going to keep an eye on the small blob by the bahamas; it has a nice curve shape to it. It could just die out within a few hours, but I think I will keep an eye on it just in case. Remember Beryl developed quickly after everyone had written it off the night before.



jphurricane2006 Here is what the models are doing with this area tonight...

The Canadian continually has developed the this wave and forms a closed circulation but, on this run it puts it off the coast of North Carolina.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2006072300&field=850mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

You can see what I'm talking about here. Notice the Dates as it says the 28th





GFS brings this unorganized wave into the Southern Bahamas by day 5.

NOGAPS continues to disoranize the wave before it enters the Caribbean by the 5th day.

The UKMET brings the wave into the Caribbean and like the Nogaps it is also nothing organized.

The North American Model shows the wave to the northeast of the Islands by day 4.







Member Since: Posts: Comments:
328. Tazmanian
9:59 PM PDT on July 22, 2006
why thanks skye wow the Z storm was some in was it well i am off
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
326. Skyepony (Mod)
4:46 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
Hmmm, last I looked Dr Masters has a image of a East Pacific Hurricane (which looks to be weakening) up there in his entry. This has always been refured to as a tropical weather blog. We tracked the southern hemisphere hurricanes in the winter. Hurricanes are as attracted to the oil industry in Australia as they are in the gulf...lol.

Taz has had his share of accurate forecasts, I'm still amazed at his Z storm prodiction before Wilma. He uses more intuition than most & would be missed if he was run off for living in CA.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37187
324. ProgressivePulse
12:44 AM EDT on July 23, 2006
Dhant Dhant Dhant And another one bites the dust.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 5020
321. Tazmanian
9:13 PM PDT on July 22, 2006
ct good ? i do not no but wait in tell anug come around then thing well be cooking out there
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
320. ChicagoStorm
11:08 PM CDT on July 22, 2006
If the 2006 hurricane season made the record books everywhere, how come the 2006 hurricane season has had only 2 tropical storms and its late July!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
319. Tazmanian
9:03 PM PDT on July 22, 2006
Posted By: SAINTHURRIFAN at 8:32 PM PDT on July 22, 2006.
taz just curious you are on a tropical atlantic weather blog and you constantly post about pacific systems and west coast weather are you from the orient or california?
and what ever you post on this blog that ends up being one long white blank i dont know what link it is but it really messes us dial up folks up i cant even scroll or page down trough it please keep your links on your blog.
which i never choose to look at for you never update it 1400 comments is way to many to look through not ridiculling you seemlike a nice young man just keep out those links and remember this is the atlantic hurricane area goodnight and god bless you


heh dr M blog of the day is talking about the hot weather and i have to be out in the 113 weather today so what i this post about the hot weather today seen ok of what dr M is talking about so whats the point dr M any one?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
318. SAINTHURRIFAN
3:40 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
you are right hades nothing against taz but he seems obsessed with the pacific when the season heats up and a major storm is nearing coast i dont think folks on the alantic or gulf coast will be interested in constant blogging about typhoons and california heat wave.
mainly wanted to tell him to keep his blog updated and to remember those links he post nothing personal just cant remember the last typhoon in the pacific or hurricane to hit california lol no sarcasm meantbe glad to share my experiences with him from camille fredrick elena george and katrina they all hit our ms coastline
Member Since: August 20, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 706
317. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
12:41 PM JST on July 23, 2006
*comfortable

heh, heh -_-'
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44481
316. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
12:40 PM JST on July 23, 2006
well "dry" heat is a little more confortable.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44481
315. catfuraplenty
3:35 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
Heat? Oh, yes. And so far, yes, this summer has been dull. If we didn't have the heat to complain about there'd be nothing to say.

And what is this stuff about 'a dry heat'? Hot is hot baby. When it's over 100 is toasting time.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
314. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
12:35 PM JST on July 23, 2006
really.. and here I've been posting some stuff about the West Pacific storms, heh thought this blog was for all tropical weather news.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44481
313. SAINTHURRIFAN
3:25 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
taz just curious you are on a tropical atlantic weather blog and you constantly post about pacific systems and west coast weather are you from the orient or california?
and what ever you post on this blog that ends up being one long white blank i dont know what link it is but it really messes us dial up folks up i cant even scroll or page down trough it please keep your links on your blog.
which i never choose to look at for you never update it 1400 comments is way to many to look through not ridiculling you seemlike a nice young man just keep out those links and remember this is the atlantic hurricane area goodnight and god bless you
Member Since: August 20, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 706
312. 0741
3:30 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
it been out all over united state here in miami when it not rainy it been in low 90 to middle 90
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
311. Tazmanian
8:18 PM PDT on July 22, 2006
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
650 PM PDT SAT JUL 22 2006

CAZ013>019-063-064-066>069-230730-
SHASTA LAKE AREA / NORTHERN SHASTA COUNTY-
BURNEY BASIN / EASTERN SHASTA COUNTY-NORTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY-
CENTRAL SACRAMENTO VALLEY-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY-
CARQUINEZ STRAIT AND DELTA-NORTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
MOUNTAINS SOUTHWESTERN SHASTA COUNTY TO NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
CLEAR LAKE/SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHEAST FOOTHILLS/SACRAMENTO VALLEY-MOTHERLODE-
WESTERN PLUMAS COUNTY/LASSEN PARK-
WEST SLOPE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA-
650 PM PDT SAT JUL 22 2006

...WIDESPREAD RECORD-BREAKING HEATWAVE CONTINUES...

ONE OF THE MOST SEVERE HEAT OUTBREAKS IN RECENT CALIFORNIA HISTORY
HAS ENVELOPED MUCH OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NUMEROUS TEMPERATURE
RECORDS WERE BROKEN TODAY. MAKING THIS HEAT WAVE MORE SEVERE THAN
MOST IS THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE THAT HAS RAISED DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE
REGION WELL ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. THIS RAISES THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND MAKES IT FEEL MORE OPPRESSIVE THAN THE ACTUAL TEMPERATURE.

IN ADDITION TO THE HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS BROKEN TODAY...THERE ARE
ALSO SEVERAL VERY WARM OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES THAT MAY SET NEW
RECORDS. THE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE OFFICIAL UNTIL
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT (LST) SO FOR NOW REMAIN UNOFFICIAL.

OFFICIAL HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS SET TODAY:

LOCATION TODAYS PREVIOUS RECORD
HIGH HIGH/YR SET

SACRAMENTO (DOWNTOWN) 109 105/2003
SACRAMENTO (EXECUTIVE) 110 103/2003
REDDING 112 111/1915
RED BLUFF 112 112/1956
STOCKTON 113 105/1971
MODESTO 112 106/1939

OTHER HIGH TEMPERATURES OF NOTE FOR STATIONS THAT DO NOT HAVE ENOUGH
OF A DATA BASE TO SUPPORT RECORDS:

QUINCY............106
CHICO.............109
OROVILLE..........110
MARYSVILLE........111
FOLSOM............113
SACRAMENTO INTL...110
TRAVIS/SUISUN.....109
VACAVILLE.........111
VALLEJO...........111

OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS LIKELY TO BE SET TODAY:

***PLEASE NOTE THAT RECORDS ARE NOT OFFICIAL UNTIL MIDNIGHT (LST)***

LOCATION TODAYS PREVIOUS RECORD WARMEST
LOW LOW TEMPERATURE/YR SET

SACRAMENTO (DOWNTOWN) 79 71/2003
SACRAMENTO (EXECUTIVE) 76 69/1960
STOCKTON 80 76/1960
MODESTO 84 74/2003

OTHER OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES OF NOTE:

REDDING 78 78/1938 (TIED RECORD)
RED BLUFF 77 78/1888 (JUST MISSED 100 YR+ RECORD)

ALSO...THE STREAK OF CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 100
DEGREES OR MORE IN SACRAMENTO HAS NOW REACHED SEVEN DAYS. THE RECORD
IS NINE DAYS...WHICH HAS BEEN REACHED MORE THAN ONCE BUT MOST
RECENTLY IN 1996. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR AT LEAST TEN DAYS AT
100 DEGREES OR MORE.



can any one say hot? wow look at this


sonora ca had a high of 113 as well
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
310. weatherhunter
3:10 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
yep
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
308. weatherhunter
2:58 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
Not me When the Shear Lesses We will see a lot more storms I mean Look at all the Stuff we are looking at already this year I mean The thing killing all the ones that are not being killed by the Dust is being killed by the shear I think A other 2004
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
307. jus991
2:53 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
who thinks this year is boring??!!!!...lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
306. jus991
2:52 AM GMT on July 23, 2006
me too
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
305. refill
10:51 PM AST on July 22, 2006
Good night allll!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
304. refill
10:44 PM AST on July 22, 2006
I agree with all of you, guys, 2005 isn't a comparison year....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 354 - 304

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.