Climate change consensus study examined

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:08 PM GMT on June 21, 2006

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I've had several people ask about the study Al Gore talked about in his movie, which found no scientific papers disputing the reality of human-caused climate change over the past ten years. Well, to be sure, there have been a few papers disputing the reality of human-caused climate change published in the past ten years, but they didn't happen to have the key words "global climate change" included in their citations. The study Gore cites was published in December 2004 in Science magazine by Naomi Oreskes, a professor at UC San Diego. The article examined peer-reviewed studies in the world's major scientific journals between 1993 and 2003 containing the phrase "global climate change" as keywords. Oreskes found that 75% of the 928 articles with those key words in their citations agreed with the consensus position stated by the UN's panel on climate change, that the observed global warming over the past 50 years has been caused in part by human activity. The other 25% of the papers took no position, and none of the papers disagreed with the consensus view. While the study is not a perfect measure of the scientific uncertainty in the published literature, the study does show that an overwhelming majority of published scientific research supports the idea that human activity is significantly modifying Earth's climate.

As Gore noted in his movie, the situation is quite different in the media, where about half of the stories in the study he cited cast doubt on the reality of human-caused climate change. The media are fond of trying to report both sides of an issue, so in the name of journalistic fairness, the public is receiving a highly skewed view of the scientific debate on climate change. In many cases, the opposing views presented by the media are from fossil fuel industry-funded "think tanks" that routinely put out distorted and misleading science intended to confuse the public.

I've collected a list of climate change position papers put out by the major governmental scientific institutes of the world that deal with the atmosphere, ocean, and climate. All of these organizations agree that significant human-caused climate change is occurring:

United Nations IPCC
American Meteorological Society
NOAA
U.S. National Academy of Sciences
NASA
EPA
American Geophysical Union
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Royal Society of the United Kingdom
Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society

Science Council of Japan, Russian Academy of Science, Brazilian Academy of Sciences, Royal Society of Canada, Chinese Academy of Sciences, French Academy of Sciences, German Academy of Natural Scientists Leopoldina, Indian National Science Academy, Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei (Italy), Royal Society (UK)

Australian Academy of Sciences, Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium for Sciences and the Arts, Brazilian Academy of Sciences, Royal Society of Canada, Caribbean Academy of Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, French Academy of Sciences, German Academy of Natural Scientists Leopoldina, Indian National Science Academy, Indonesian Academy of Sciences, Royal Irish Academy, Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei (Italy), Academy of Sciences Malaysia, Academy Council of the Royal Society of New Zealand, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, and Royal Society (UK)

If anyone can find examples of governmental scientific organizations that deny the consensus position, I'd be happy to make a second list of links. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have long been hostile to international climate change negotiations, so their scientific organizations may well have official positions opposing the consensus. However, the Saudis are apparently changing their stance, as announced in May 2006 at a U.N. sponsored meeting in Germany. "I believe the petroleum industry should actively engage in policy debate on climate change as well as play an active role in developing and implementing carbon management technologies to meet future challenges," said the president of the Saudi state-run oil industry giant, Aramco. In 2005, both Saudi Arabia and Kuwait signed and ratified the Kyoto Protocol to limit greenhouse gases. The Protocol does not call on them to reduce their emissions.

In summary, there is an overwhelming level of scientific consensus on human-caused climate change. Those who defend the contrary view are fond of pointing out that we shouldn't stifle their opposing point of view, since heroes like Galileo with his sun-centered solar system view and Wegener with his continental drift theory both challenged the overwhelming scientific consensus of their day and were proved to be correct. That is true. However, Galileo and Wegener did not have the public relations staff of multi-billion dollar companies helping them promote their contrary views. I'm not too worried about the contrarian view of human-caused climate change being stifled, and contrarians are encouraged to publish in the peer-reviewed scientific literature. I would like to see the media sharply reduce their coverage of the contrary views of such think tanks as the Competitive Enterprise Institute, George C. Marshall Foundation, and scientists such as S. Fred Singer of SEPP. Getting one's climate science information from these sources it similar to getting one's news from a tabloid newspaper. Sure, some of the stories are true, but a lot of the material is of questionable quality, to say the least. The media should focus on getting their scientific information from leading scientists who regularly publish in the peer-reviewed scientific literature.

Jeff Masters

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397. Slowchaos
1:04 PM GMT on November 05, 2010
Quoting jeffB:
Slowchaos wrote:

With that statement you seemed to be promoting the idea of either overtly or covertly suppressing free speech by having the news media ignore the contrary view. You attempt to give weight to your argument with the sheer number of those on your side, as if you should be heard more loudly because of numbers on your side.
The sheer number of believers equates to nothing in my book. NOTHING.


It's certainly possible for the vast majority of believers to be wrong!

HOWEVER:

There are lots of people who believe that governments are secretly controlling the weather. Some of them even post here. Do you think "the media" owe them coverage equal to that given conventional forecasts?

There are people who believe that they see faces, buildings, cities, amusement parks in photos returned from Mars. Do you think the media owe them coverage equal to that given NASA researchers?

There are people who believe that conventional medical care goes against God's will, and no illness should be treated with anything other than prayer. The next time there's an outbreak of a communicable disease in your area, do you think the media should divide their time equally between treatment and prevention tips and exhortations to prayer?

Holding a minority belief doesn't make you wrong, but neither does it somehow entitle you to an equal share of the public's attention.


I just now, 4 years later, I saw your reply to my comment Jeff. The faces on Mars, government controlling the weather, etc. have been covered by the media. They don't receive alot of coverage because most people are intelligent enough to see the foolishness in these things and don't show interest for long in these stories. If the general public does not show interest then the news media will drop its' coverage of it - free market, free press and free speech.

What you were suggesting was intentionally blocking the counter view even though there is plenty of public interest in that view - not free market and suppression of the press and free speech.

HUGE DIFFERENCE!!!
Member Since: June 21, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
396. guygee
10:13 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
Station 41010 - CANAVERAL EAST 120NM East of Cape Canaveral 28.95 N 78.47 W

2120 GMT on 06/22/2006:

Wind Direction (WDIR): ENE ( 60 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 13.6 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 17.5 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 4.6 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 8 sec
Average Period (APD): 5.6 sec
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 30.08 in
Air Temperature (ATMP): 80.2 F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.2 F

Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3059
395. guygee
1:52 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
The small area around the closed circulation identified in yesterday evening's NWS TPC/NHC tropical weather discussion is covered with weak to moderate convection centered at roughly 27.3 N 72.3 W, and seems to be somewhat separated from the main body of convection. In the visible satellite loops, I can no longer identify a closed circulation, although it could be under the convection.

According to this morning's tropical discussion, "The large upper low over the central Atlc is centered near 33n44w with the upper flow as far S as 13n from 31w-60w." This ULL looks to be squeezed on the NW side by an appraoching trough, but the flow on the SW side of the ULL south of 30 N seems to be enhancing the shear over the main body of convection.

According to the early morning AFD-Melbourne FL, "BOTH GFS AND WRF AMPLIFY THE INVERTED TROUGH JUST EAST OF THE BAHAMAS...
SAT/SAT NIGHT...
T-WAVE WILL PUSH CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE PENINSULA TO BRING POPS UP TO SCT AREAWIDE AS DLM MOISTURE INCREASES. HOWEVER...A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL STRENGTHEN INTO THE WEEKEND AS IT PUSHES INTO THE MIDWEST...DUE LARGELY TO THE ASCENDING RIGHT REAR QUAD OF AN H25 JET OVER THE NRN PLAINS. AS THE SYSTEM PUSHES ENE...IT WILL ERODE THE WRN PORTION OF THE BERMUDA RIDGE OVER THE SERN U.S. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH THE RIDGE WEAKENS...IT IS POSSIBLE THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE MAY MISS THE STATE TO THE NE."

According to the 530 AM EDT THU JUN 22 Offshore Waters Forecast for the SW North Atlantic,
"SYNOPSIS...A TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NE TO 31N72W TODAY WILL DRIFT W TO ALONG 79W EARLY SAT...INLAND OVER FLORIDA LATE SAT...THEN W OF AREA SUN. WEAK 1015 MB LOW PRES WILL FORM ALONG TROUGH NEAR THE N BAHAMAS EARLY SAT THEN MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE SAT AND BE W OF AREA SUN. RIDGE ALONG 31N EARLY TODAY WILL LIFT N OF AREA TONIGHT."
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3059
394. Skyepony (Mod)
1:24 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
new blog is up
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36160
393. snotly
1:08 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
Hurricane Mitch?
Member Since: August 27, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 682
392. guygee
1:07 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
Fascinating post F5. We see plenty of collapsing thunderstorms in central FL in the summertime, and in my experience the descending air is always cooler. If the steering flow is weak, a bounday forms around a collapsing storm as a little ring that is like a small cold front at the surface expanding outwards. If there are several of these boundaries, they sometimes collide and fire up new storms.

Your post made me curious on what causes the heat bursts. I found this link with a concise explanation written by meteorologist Jeff Haby, for anyone interested.
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3059
391. caneman
12:52 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
Just say no to tropical blobs!
Member Since: May 27, 2003 Posts: 14 Comments: 98
390. IKE
12:46 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
Looks like the blob is moving back now to the west.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
389. Cavin Rawlins
12:36 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
my new blog will be up this morining. To promote my blog i will have some quizzes in my blog.

Today quizz is - what is the most intense atlantic storm between 1995 and 2004? Leave answers at my blog?
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
388. IKE
12:35 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
What I don't get...is the shear forecast on the link provided on WU has the blob in a favorable area. Wonder what gives???
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
387. thelmores
12:27 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
looks like it is starting to flare up again....

this little storm may start becoming annoying like ophelia last year! LOL
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3788
386. thelmores
12:24 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
thanks SJ.... just took a quick glance before i ran out the door this morning.....
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3788
385. StormJunkie
12:16 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
That is interesting Fast5. Never seen that before. Learn something new everday. :)

SJ
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 15472
384. StormJunkie
12:14 PM GMT on June 22, 2006
thel, it is not headed towards PR. That is just convection that has been sheared/thrown off of the system. It is a little ENE of where it was yesterday IMO, and the convection is trying to fire near the center, but it is still getting sheared. It will be interesting to see how that convection does through the day.

SJ
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 15472
383. thelmores
11:54 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
looks like our bahama blob is heading on vacation in puerto rico! LOL

never would have guessed this track overnight....

still bears watching, as it could do a 180 and head back to the bahama's! LOL
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3788
382. Fast5
11:29 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
What is this all about, 91 degrees at 5:53am in Nebraska?
-------------------
Heat Bursts Occur Across South-Central Nebraska Early Tuesday Morning, June 20th.

Heat bursts are caused by decaying thunderstorms and only develop in an extremely unique environment. The rare setup for a heat burst is dry air directly beneath a weakening elevated thunderstorm. When a thunderstorm is weakening air within the thunderstorm begins to sink. If this sinking air is very dry and high enough it will begin to accelerate toward the ground since it is more dense. Any remaining precipitation will fall through this dry air and quickly evaporate. As the air continues downward, it warms rapidly due to compression.

A heat burst is noted by a rapid increase in temperature, a drop in the dew point temperature and an increase in winds. Here are some readings that occurred this morning.

Lexington Airport

Time Temp Dew Pt. Wind
3:10 am 70 63 Southwest 8 mph
4:30 am 86 48 South 32 mph gusting to 42 mph
5:30 am 81 52 South 25 mph gusting to 32 mph
The peak temperature was 87 degrees at 4:22 am
Holdrege Airport

Time Temp Dew Pt. Wind
3:50 am 72 61 Southwest 10 mph
4:10 am 82 54 Southwest 27 mph gusting to 41 mph
4:30 am 82 52 Southwest 31 mph gusting to 42 mph
4:50 am 81 54 South 23 mph gusting to 36 mph
Hastings Airport

Time Temp Dew Pt. Wind
4:53 am 77 62 South 15 mph gusting to 24 mph
5:53 am 91 44 South 17 mph gusting to 38 mph
6:53 am 84 53 South 21 mph gusting to 35 mph
7:53 am 82 53 South 24 mph gusting to 38 mph
Peak temperature was 94 degrees at 4:47 am
Peak wind gust was from the south at 52 mph at 7:24 am
Kearney Airport

Time Temp Dew Pt. Wind
4:15 am 70 63 South 15 mph
4:55 am 88 50 Southwest 35 mph gusting to 52 mph
5:55 am 82 52 South 28 mph gusting to 38 mph
The peak temperature was 93 degrees.
Grand Island Airport

Time Temp Dew Pt. Wind
6:02 am 79 59 Southwest 6 mph
6:53 am 85 51 South 23 mph gusting to 35 mph
8:13 am 81 59 Southwest 8
Peak temperature was 87 degrees at 7:59 am
Peak Wind Gust was from the South at 40 mph at 6:30 am
The greatest temperature change was at Kearney, where readings went from 70 degrees to 93 degrees between 4 and 5 am. The highest wind gust was 52 mph at both the Hastings and Kearney airports.

Composed by Steve Kisner / Warning Coordination Meteorologist

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/crnews/display_story.php?wfo=gid&storyid=2841&source=0
381. StormJunkie
11:06 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
WSI, the convection is firing up near the center again, just like it did during the day yesterday. It still bears watching. I still give it a 50% chance of making TD2.

StormJunkie.com-Models, imagery, SSTs and much more. Including WU blogger storm video.

SJ
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 15472
380. WSI
11:02 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Good morning.

Looks like the blob is just being a blog, nothing more. We'll see. I would like for it to remain a blob and come visit me with about 2 inches of rain. :)


weathercore.com. Drop by if you need some weather links.
379. ScienceCop
10:35 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Posted By: WxDan at 2:48 AM GMT on June 22, 2006.
Since we don't care about opposing views about Global warming, I submit that readers should make their own minds up. Here are a couple of interesting links:

http://www.canadafreepress.com/2006/harris061206.htm

http://www.junkscience.com/Greenhouse/cause.htm


TOM HARRIS and his front website canadafreepress.conmen is a LOBBYIST and PR Guy for many oily corporations.

Harris's details were just posted both in Jeff Master's Blog and to avoid wading through 800 replies, was duplicated in ScienceCop Blog.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/ScienceCop/comment.html?entrynum=42&tstamp=200606
Reply to Daveg from Jeff Master's Blog of Gore's Movie.
Posted By: ScienceCop at 6:50 AM GMT on June 21, 2006


TOM HARRIS
[LOBBIEST, PR Stooge]

http://www.canadafreepress.com/2006/harris061206.htm
Tom Harris is mechanical engineer and Ottawa Director of High Park Group, a public affairs and public policy company. He can be reached at lett...@canadafreepress.com

http://www.highparkgroup.com/tharris.htm
Tom Harris , Director, Ottawa Operations
Tom specializes in strategic communication and media relations and has 28 years experience in science and technology in the energy and environment, aerospace and high-tech sectors. He has worked with PRIVATE COMPANIES AND TRADE ASSOCIATIONS TO SUCCESSFULLY POSITION THESE ENTITIES AND THEIR INTERESTS WITH MEDIA AND BEFORE GOVERNMENT COMMITTEES AND REGULATORY BODIES. Tom holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Mechanical) from CARLETON UNIVERSITY and a Master of Engineering (Mechanical - thermo-fluids) from McMaster University.

http://www.highparkgroup.com/team.htm
KNOWN ASSOCIATES: Timothy M. Egan, President, Tom Harris, Director,
Ottawa Operations, Julio Lagos, Director, Regulatory Affairs
Senior Associates: Bernadette Coren, Marlo Lair, Kathleen McGinnis

Timothy M. Egan, has worked as a CONSULTANT in public policy and government relations for over 10 years. He has experience with the public service at the federal, provincial, and municipal levels, and now devotes his time to ON-GOING WORK FOR A RANGE OF CORPORATE CLIENTS ... on influencing public policy, issues advocacy, and fundraising.

Kathleen McGinnis, Senior Associate ... At HPG her practice has included ASSISTING CLIENTS WITH PROMOTIONAL AND POLICY MATERIALS, as well as sector analysis work.

http://www.highparkgroup.com/services.htm
Our Services
We are proud to offer our clients a wide range of services, including:
* policy and strategic consulting
* issues management !!!!!!!!!! Global Warming Issues, we see....
* DIRECT LOBBYING !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
* event planning
* media relations !!!! Getting garbage published for dupes to recirculate...

===============================

In addition more facts surfaced about sleazy Tom Harris:

In 2002 he was employed by APCO Worldwide, a known organized crime fraud arranger with a stable of "whitecoats" to give science-flavored deceptions uncovered by the Tobacco Racketeer trials of the 1990s. APCO created TASSC, a pure-fraud operation which had many of the same science-liars as an event they hosted in 2002 in Canada. Tom Harris was listed as contact for this event. APCO also organized the fraud operation known as "Friends of Science" at the same time.

http://www.climatesearch.com/newsDetail.cfm?nwsId=54

Tom Harris, Associate
APCO Worldwide (Canada
)
phone 613/288-0382
fax 613/565-1937
email tcharris@apcoworldwide.com
web http://www.apcoworldwide.com

Climate Specialists speaking at the news conference:
1 - Dr. Tim Patterson - Carleton University professor of earth sciences (Paleoclimatology specialization).
2 - Dr. Fred Singer, President of The Science & Environmental Policy Project and Distinguished Research Professor at George Mason University and Professor Emeritus of environmental science at the University of Virginia.
3 - Dr. Tim Ball - professor of Climatology, University of Winnipeg and the first climatology Ph.D. in Canada.
4 - Dr. Madhav L. Khandekar, Environmental consultant. 25 years Research Scientist from Environment Canada.
5 - Dr. Pat Michaels - Dr. Michaels is a research professor of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia, visiting scientist with the Marshall Institute and Senior Fellow in Environmental Studies at the Cato Institute, both in Washington D.C.
6 - Professor Fred Michel of Carleton University Department of Earth Sciences

Energy Engineering Specialists:
1 - Dr. J. Terry Rogers, Professor of Mechanical Engineering at Carleton University. He is currently the Chairman of the Research and Development Advisory Panel to AECL Board of Directors.
2 - Dr. Howard C. Hayden, Emeritus Professor of Physics, University of Connecticut.

Not attending news conference but available for phone & email interviews:
Dr. Roger Pocklington
Dr. Sallie Baliunas
Dr. Willie Soon
Dr. John Christy
Dr. Chris Essex
Dr. Roger Peilke
Dr. William M. Gray
Dr. Fred Seitz
Dr. George Taylor
Dr. Sherwood Idso
Dr. David Wojick, P.E.
Art Robinson of OISM
Dr. Herb I. H. Saravanamuttoo
Dr. Robert Balling
Dr. Ross McKitrick
Dr. Philip Stott

A more extensive list of experts available to be interviewed will be presented at the news conference on Nov 13.


============

http://climateark.org/articles/reader.asp?linkid=17546

OTTAWA -- Foes of the Kyoto Protocol, including Imperial Oil and Talisman Energy, are sponsoring a gathering in Ottawa today of scientists skeptical of the treaty as part of a last-ditch effort to derail Canada's ratification of it.

Organizers have rounded up approximately 25 scientists and engineers who are prepared to assail the scientific premises underlying Kyoto in an attempt to raise public doubts about the need for the treaty. ...

... "There's a lot of people who are prepared to vote on this even though they don't have enough information -- and that's not a very responsible thing to do," says Evan Zelikovitz, whose public affairs firm APCO Worldwide is organizing the "Kyoto's Fatal Flaws Revealed" press conference. ...

... The speakers are not being paid for their comments, but the cost of staging the Ottawa event is being borne by a group of contributors including Imperial, Talisman and a group of Canadian lime producers.

Producing lime -- used in applications ranging from water and sewage treatment to power generation -- is very energy-intensive, and the federal government's own research suggests the lime industry will be among those hardest hit under Kyoto.


============

More about TOM HARRIS' HIGH PARK GROUP
http://www.stikeman.com/newslett/EnNov04.htm

Timothy Egan, President, High Park Group; Senior Advisor, Canadian Electricity Association

Mr. Egan is president of the High Park Group, a public policy consulting firm that focuses largely on energy issues out of its offices in Toronto and Ottawa. He is retained by the Canadian Electricity Association on a range of issues, including U.S. advocacy (monitoring the U.S. Congress and Administration on issues of interest to the Canadian electricity industry).


============

http://groups.google.ca/group/sci.environment/msg/72bc37c24b8d6cd0?hl=en&

ENEMIES OF SCIENCE WEBSITE has been DEBUNKED HERE BEFORE.

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Friends_of_Science
"... The PR contact is listed as Sheila Roy of APCO Worldwide Canada,
who have been involved in climate change denial since at latest 2002
[3] (http://www.climatesearch.com/newsDetail.cfm?nwsId=54) [4]
(http://climateark.org/articles/reader.asp?linkid=17546).

In email correspondence in November 2005 Albert Jacobs from FoS
indicated that Roy was hired on a one off basis though APCO are
occasionally hired to "do specific jobs for us under incidental
contracts, as the need arises."

http://groups.google.com/group/alt.global-warming/msg/83a6d9058504e010
http://groups.google.com/group/alt.global-warming/msg/6d800713e165bc16
378. StormJunkie
10:11 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Morning all. Looks like some convection may be trying to build over what was the small cyclonic rotation area of the Bahama Blob. We will have to see if this continues through the morning. This system does look much less organized then it did last night. Off to work. I will check in later.

SJ

StormJunkie.com
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 15472
377. Trouper415
9:09 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Haha, nice work there ScienceCop.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 637
376. ScienceCop
8:06 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Posted By: skeptik at 10:33 PM GMT on June 21, 2006.
The following are all articles that dispute the end results of CO2 emmissions. Copy and paste in google and look at each article if you really want to see both sides of the Global warming debate.


You posted a bunch of liars, crackpots and crooks. Why should anybody think they have a "side", other than stuffing wads of oily money in their SIDE pockets?

Even the UN report that is referenced so often had built in errors in the computer modeling that exagerated a lot of the projections of temperature rise in the past century leading to an accelerating of the problem above what is being seen in real measurements today.

Does this mean I am right and you are wrong for what you believe, no, not really. It simply means that there are two legitimate sides to this and most every other debate and that neither side should be dismissed so casually.


You posted a bunch of liars, crackpots and crooks. Why should anybody think they have a "side", other than stuffing wads of oily money in their SIDE pockets? You know, CRIMIMIAL SCIENCE is also a science -- what ever made you guys think you would get away with this crooked business?


Global Warming:
The Origin and Nature of
the Alleged Scientific Consensus
Richard S. Lindzen


Lindzen was just debunked here in Jeff Master's Blog a few days ago, with a duplicate copy posted on my blog so people don't have to wade through 800 replies to find it. Here's a link:
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/ScienceCop/comment.html?entrynum=36&tstamp=200606
Richard S. Lindzen Facts Found on the Open Public Internet.
Posted By: ScienceCop at 2:17 AM GMT on June 19, 2006

The exact title of the science hoax Lindzen produced was for the "Cooler Heads Coalition", the same people that brought the phoney CEI ads to TV recently. Who ARE these people, and why do they hide behind front organizations connected to organized crime?

Competitive Enterprise Institute : TASSC Michael Fumento, TASSC Steven Milloy
Competitive Enterprise Institute has received $2,005,000 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
KOCH OIL Funding Competitive Enterprise Institute = $666,420
SCAIFE OIL FORTUNE Funding Competitive Enterprise Institute = $1,800,000
White Star Oil Fortune (Earhart Foundation) Funding Competitive Enterprise Institute = $90,000
OLIN Munitions & Chlorine-DDT Funding Competitive Enterprise Institute = $230,300
Consumer Alert : (a sub-group of Competitive Enterprise Institute) : TASSC Hugh Ellsaesser, TASSC Patrick J. Michaels, TASSC Michael Fumento
Consumer Alert has received $70,000 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
KOCH OIL Funding Consumer Alert = $10,000
OLIN Munitions & Chlorine-DDT Funding Consumer Alert = $28,000
Cooler Heads Coalition (a sub-group of the National Consumer Coalition which is a sub-group of Consumer Alert which is a sub-group of Competitive Enterprise Institute) : TASSC Patrick J. Michaels
hosted and financed by Consumer Alert, member and organizer of the National Consumer Coalition. The Coalition publishes the bi-weekly "Cooler Heads Newsletter" in conjunction with the Competitve Enterprise Institute. Current members are: 60 Plus Association, The Advancement of Sound Science Coalition (junkscience.com), Alexis de Tocqueville Institution, Americans for Tax Reform, Association of Concerned Taxpayers, Atlas Economic Research Foundation, Capital Research Center, Citizens Against Government Waste, Citizens for a Sound Economy, Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow, Competitive Enterprise Institute, Consumer Alert, Defenders of Property Rights, Foundation for American Liberty, Frontiers of Freedom, Fund for a New Generation, The Heartland Institute, National Center for Policy Analysis, National Center for Public Policy Research, Political Economy Research Center, Public Interest Institute, Small Business Survival Committee, United Seniors Association, and Women for Tax Reform. MOST OF THESE NAMES ARE FRONT OPERATIONS controlled by others on this list.



Settling Global Warming Science
Co-Authored by:S. Fred Singer and David H. Douglass


http://www.wunderground.com/blog/ScienceCop/comment.html?entrynum=11&tstamp=200606
How to mastermind a felony science fraud : Actual court evidence presented.
Posted By: ScienceCop at 7:34 AM GMT on June 01, 2006

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/ScienceCop/comment.html?entrynum=10&tstamp=200606
Fred Singer Federal Court Evidence used in trials of the Tobacco Mafia Godfathers
Posted By: ScienceCop at 7:18 AM GMT on June 01, 2006




When Is Global Warming Really a Cooling?
By Roy Spencer :


Partners, writer team Roy Spencer and John Christy fudged numbers for years on their publications of satellite temperatures used widely by the denialists. They got caught by a sharp-eyed investigative reporter, Tim Lambert, who also happens to understand science. They showed either (1) that they are incompentent and not to be trusted, or (2) they are crooks on the take and not to be trusted. Since Christy is associate of many known crooks proved through court evidence, the appearence of crookedness exists. Whether incompetent or rotten, not trustworthy sources.
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/em.php?mapid=561 John Christy's links to crooks.
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/index.php?mapid=579
Spencer and Christy's links to crooks.


Hurricanes and Global Warming: Is There a Link?
By George Taylor


http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=912
FACTSHEET: George H. Taylor
ORGANIZATIONS
* Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change
* Tech Central Science Foundation or Tech Central Station


Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change : TASSC A. Alan Moghissi
Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change has received $90,000 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
SCAIFE OIL FORTUNE Funding Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change = $100,000

Involved in the OISM Fraud Petition.



Global Warming and Hurricanes: Still No Connection
By Patrick Michaels


http://www.wunderground.com/blog/ScienceCop/comment.html?entrynum=12&tstamp=200606
Some of the Court Evidence of TASSC Organized Crime naming Patrick J. Michaels.
Posted By: ScienceCop at 7:43 AM GMT on June 01, 2006

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/ScienceCop/comment.html?entrynum=9&tstamp=200606
Patrick J. Michaels Refuted with Facts and his bias exposed.
Posted By: ScienceCop at 7:04 AM GMT on June 01, 2006


Interview with Dr. William Gray
By James K. Glassman


Gray involved in the APCO Associates (TASSC Criminals) Organized Crime hoax in 2002.
http://www.climatesearch.com/newsDetail.cfm?nwsId=54
Known associate of several organized crime science fraudsters.




Interview with Dr. James O'Brien
By James K. Glassman


James O'Brien investigation pending... his name appears on many known organized crime science fraud websites used in promoting their cause.


Interview with Dr. Roy Spencer
By James K. Glassman


Tech Central Science Foundation or Tech Central Station : TASSC Patrick J. Michaels, TASSC Michael Fumento, TASSC Steven Milloy,
Tech Central Science Foundation or Tech Central Station has received $95,000 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
KOCH OIL Funding Tech Central Science Foundation = $25,000
NOTE: Because TCS website runs paid commercial advertising, incomes from this is NEVER reported as charitable gifts by either the donor or receiver. The parent to TCS is DCI PR firm, whose incomes are likewise not reported publically, nor do client corporations necessarily report the payments to the public. A lot of EXXON ads run on TCS webpages, perhaps a disguised form of giving as it's doubtful that EXXON needs brand advertising to get people to fill up at the Tech Corner Station -- if internet ads were proven effective there would be EXXON ads everywhere on the net.

Tech Central = DCI = SwiftBoats Vets for Troooooth.
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=40
FACTSHEET: James K. Glassman
ORGANIZATIONS
* Tech Central Science Foundation or Tech Central Station
* American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research


American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research
American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research has received $1,625,000 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
KOCH OIL Funding American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research = $50,000
SCAIFE OIL FORTUNE Funding American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research = $6,251,000
White Star Oil Fortune (Earhart Foundation) Funding American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research = $448,800
OLIN Munitions & Chlorine-DDT Funding American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research = $7,022,124
American Enterprise Institute-Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies
American Enterprise Institute-Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies has received $105,000 from ExxonMobil since 1998.
OLIN Munitions & Chlorine-DDT Funding Brookings Institution = $1,217,000
KOCH OIL Funding Brookings Institution = $829,400

375. guygee
6:44 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Earlier today I thought the high coming off the East Coast would push north of the wave and turn it more west, but the high is more longitudinal-oriented than I thought. Also, that is a very large and impressive ULL off to the NE. The high is bridging the trough that came off the East Coast yesterday. I guess there will be no TD tomorrow, but I'll still be keeping an eye on it.

Also, the convection over the Carolinas didn't hold together and drop SSW like I thought it might. Sorry for the people in South GA and N. FL that need the extra rain.

Lucky for everyone else I don't make these predictions for a living.
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3059
374. guygee
6:13 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
No more mention of a closed circulation...

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
205 AM EDT THU JUN 21 2006
[...]
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AN UPPER HIGH ANCHORED OVER SOUTH CAROLINA IS OVER THE W ATLC N OF 27N W OF 76W ACROSS FLORIDA INTO THE FAR NE GULF. THE DEEP LAYERED TROUGH IS BEGINNING TO RETREAT N OVER THE W ATLC AND NARROW N OF 23N BETWEEN 71W-76W. SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N70W SW TO OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NEAR 22N75W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS E OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS NEAR 22N73W-26N70W. LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE E OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 200/250 NM OF LINE FROM THE GREATER ANTILLES NEAR 20N71W TO BEYOND 32N66W.
[...]
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3059
373. Skyepony (Mod)
5:16 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
The ukmet, nam, gfs & cmc 00z runs are out. Has it being sheared up. The cmc is being aggressive on rainfall, in general, like most the map 40+cm. I'm going build an ark, lol, in my dreams. nite all.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36160
371. ProgressivePulse
5:13 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
sorry I don't know how to post a link

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-rb.html
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
370. ProgressivePulse
5:12 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Underneath that mess of crap there is circulation.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
369. Skyepony (Mod)
5:05 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
I think we missed NOAA's outlook for July- Sept


as far as drought Fl & most of the gulf looked good for rain. The drought in Texas looked like bad news...

Too busy debating the cause & not watching the signs. The Saudi's saying continued use of oil like this & the oceans are gonna rise is like Phillip Morris saying you keep smoking these & it could give you lung cancer. Get out of denial your addicted to oil. This isn't the only reason we need to go with a clean source of power & it doesn't really matter which reason we make the change for.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36160
368. ProgressivePulse
4:51 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
This area is being sheared from the Northwest and from the Southeast. Amidst all of this I see the high level clouds trying to build back to the area of 25n75w or close to.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
367. Skyepony (Mod)
4:47 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Your not wearing on us JFL, glad to see enjoyed the model stuff.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36160
366. Skyepony (Mod)
4:42 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Normalguy~ I think we might be seeing it reforming to the SSE like lastnight, just bigger. & it doesn't look like it's gonna loose as much convection, to the NE, as it did lastnight. This is the time of night things get interesting.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36160
365. ProgressivePulse
4:39 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
The tiny circulation the NHC mentioned was upper level and now almost non-existant and dissipating. Still alot of action concentrated around the area, I don't know what is up but I am sure we will know tomorrow. I almost have to say shear got the best of this one, but the convection in the area says no.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
363. MahFL
4:36 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
I think the shear maybe relaxing a little in the NW part of the Bahamas blob, some convection is moving WSW and seems not to be being sheared too much, anyone else see that ?
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2912
361. rwwhot
4:31 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
No reason to get bent out of shape about the models not being perfect. They are just models. I do worry a bit about people thinking that just because current models produce long range results within a certain range that we should assume that these for upper and lower bounds for the problem. I think that could be a very harmful assumption.
Member Since: September 20, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
360. Trouper415
4:29 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Yep, blob is getting that convection even with the nasty shear.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 637
359. NormalGuy
4:18 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
JFLORIDA,

I am new at this but it almost looks like that "blob" is actually pulling moisture in from the SE. Am I seeing this right??
357. snowboy
4:09 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
not seeing what you're seeing ProgressivePulse..
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
356. Inyo
3:59 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
does anyone know anything about a 'freakishy huge' storm in the south pacific near New Zealand? It was mentioned in the newspaper but id love to hear more expert thoughts on it. It was a cold-core system.
Member Since: September 3, 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 867
355. Trouper415
3:57 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
Anyone who thinks switching to an alternative type of energy will kill the economy is far from correct. The switch to a new type of energy will takes decades to complete, not overnight. If the switch were to take place magically overnight, then there would be huge problems. Hundreds of thousands of people would be out of jobs, there would be billions of dollars of lost revenue, and countless other aspects that would kill the US and global economy. Since the switch will take many years to complete, there will be more than ample time for the US economy and the people who will be affected to make the necessary adjustments. All jobs will be replaced and just as we pay for oil, mandatory taxes could be implimented to suppliment the Government and its bodies of the lost income.

Just as Global Warming will not be solved overnight, neither will the switch to another type of energy.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 637
354. ProgressivePulse
3:48 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
25-26N 75W!
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
352. lightning10
3:30 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
I would like to note the record heat expected for the South West this weekend. :-(. There has been a lack of low clouds as of late and looks like the Southwest could be in for a long hot summer.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 41 Comments: 630
350. jeffB
3:22 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
bappit wrote:

For what it's worth, someone asked who is Campeche a couple of blogs ago. So I looked it up and campeche is Spanish for logwood, the name of a tree in English. Logwood was a big deal at one time, used to make a red dye. Belize was founded by logwood entrepreneurs. To think I've gone my whole life without knowing this.

Oh, wow -- I've known about logwood ever since I got some as part of my Gilbert chemistry set back in fifth grade! Now, that's sad.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 41
349. jeffB
3:21 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
snowboy wrote:

Thanks for the sluething, jeffB! And I agree, the anti-warming side has yet to produce any science that seriously challenges the theory of greenhouse gas induced global warming..

Lots of doubt being cast by the anti side on length of records, veracity of data, measurement locales, even objectiveness of researchers and scientists but NOTHING in terms of an actual challenge to the scientific priniciple of a greenhouse effect being in place on this planet and being enhanced through CO2 emissions.

You know why there's never been any peer-reviewed challenge - because the existence of a greenhouse effect (caused by water vapour, methane and CO2) is so patently obvious and true. And given that CO2 is one of the main greenhouse gases, inceases in CO2 levels such as we're seeing are obviously going to increase the effect..


Well, the thing is, people are trying to mount scientific challenges. They're even getting the occasional result published. It's just that their claims don't seem to be holding up as well as the opposing claims.

But sometimes I think that if I hear "but the models aren't perfect" one more time I'll scream. A lot of medical research is based on similarly imperfect animal models. I wonder how many of the climate-model skeptics are also opposed to animal testing? :-)
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 41
348. snowboy
3:14 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
good sluething, bappit
- our Bahamas Blob will really be cooking if it can pull in some of that energy from the south and east..
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
347. bappit
3:08 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
For what it's worth, someone asked who is Campeche a couple of blogs ago. So I looked it up and campeche is Spanish for logwood, the name of a tree in English. Logwood was a big deal at one time, used to make a red dye. Belize was founded by logwood entrepreneurs. To think I've gone my whole life without knowing this.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 5563

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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