Tropical outlook, NE flooding, and more on air pollution progress and challenges

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:45 PM GMT on May 17, 2006

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The flooding in the Northeastern U.S. is easing today, with most of the rivers in flood stage expected to drop below flood stage by Thursday afternoon. No new rain is expected across the region today or Thursday, but some light to moderate rains Friday may slow the recovery efforts. A series of modest rain systems should then cross through the region into early next week. By mid-week, the jet stream is forecast to move poleward and being a more summerlike pattern to North America.

Tropical outlook for the next week
With the coming of a more summerlike pattern next week, we will need to start watching the Western Caribbean for some possible tropical development; wind shear values there are starting to fall to levels where tropical development is possible again. Wind shear is quite low (5-10 knots) over the waters just north of Panama today and will stay low the next few days, but at present the clouds there are sparse and disorganized, and I am not expecting anything to develop this week. Next week things may be more favorable, when the remains of a cold front that pushes off the coast could provide enough of an initial disurbance to kick something off--if the front can push far enough south, where wind shear is lower. Again, I am not really expecting anything to develop, wind shear should still be high enough to make tropical development marginal.

Air pollution progress and health effects
Let's continue our dicussion of air pollution this week, focusing on the health effects. Significant progress has been made in recent years in cleaning the nation's air. Between 1970 and 2004, total emissions of the six major air pollutants regulated by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) dropped by 54 percent. This is particularly impressive when noting that the gross domestic product increased 187 percent, energy consumption increased 47 percent, and U.S. population grew by 40 percent during the same time--proof that economic growth and environmental protection do go hand in hand. However, air pollution remains a serious threat to public health and the environment. Outdoor air pollution in the U.S. due to particulate pollution alone was estimated by the EPA in 1997 to cause at least 20,000 premature deaths each year. Other estimates place this number at 50,000 to 100,000 deaths per year. A study in Southern California found that living near major roadways increases the risk of childhood asthma. Among those long-term kids studied that had no parental history of asthma who lived within 75 meters of a major road, 59% of asthma was attributable to residential proximity to the road. The annual costs of air pollution per person in the Los Angeles area were estimated at $3000-$4000 per person back in the 1970s. This cost has dropped significantly, and is now estimated at about $1000 per person. This $1000 per person amounts to $3 billion per year just for the Los Angeles area, and further efforts to control air pollution need to be looked at to see if this cost--and the human suffering that accompanies it--can be further reduced. Of course, the costs to businesses will also have to be factored in--for example, emissions control equipment can add over $1000 to the cost of a vehicle.

How to protect yourself when air pollution is high
You're exposed to air contamination any time you breathe polluted air. But when you exercise, work in the yard, or do other strenuous activities that make you breathe harder and faster, you take more polluted air into your lungs. Exposure to ozone and particle pollution is linked with a number of significant health problems. Children, people with lung disease, older adults and people with heart disease tend to be more vulnerable.

You can help protect yourself simply by changing the time or intensity of your exercise, yard work or other strenuous activities. Use the Air Quality Index (AQI) and daily air quality forecasts to help you determine when you need to make changes. These are posted on the Weather Underground web site for most major cities in the U.S., or you can get them from www.airnow.gov.

The AQI is a color-coded scale that tells you who needs to take steps to reduce their exposure to ozone or particle pollution and when. If you have heart disease, for example, pay close attention when particle pollution reaches Code Orange levels. If you have asthma, youll want to pay attention at Code Orange for particle pollution and for ozone.

Ozone pollution tends to be more of a problem in the warm summer months. Levels of this colorless, odorless gas can increase during the day, peaking in the late afternoon to early evening. At elevated levels, ozone is a threat to everyones health, but those who are most susceptible are people with lung diseases such as asthma, children, older adults and healthy people who are active outdoors.

Ozone causes cells in the lungs to swell and get inflamed similar to what happens to your skin cells when you get sunburned. Repeated episodes of this kind of inflammation may cause permanent damage to the lungs. Ozone aggravates asthma and other lung diseases, leading to increased medication use, visits to doctors and emergency rooms, and hospital admissions. Recent studies have also linked ozone exposure with premature death.

Can you tell if ozone is affecting you? You may experience symptoms like coughing, a burning sensation when you breathe, chest tightness, or shortness of breath. If you have asthma, you may find yourself needing to use medicine more frequently, or you may have asthma attacks requiring a doctor's attention.

Particle pollution can occur at any time of year. If you live in an area with high woodstove use, for example, particle pollution may be higher in your community in winter. In many areas of the eastern U.S., particle pollution may also be high in the summertime, often accompanied by high levels of ozone. People with heart or lung disease, older adults, and children are considered at greater risk from particle pollution than other people, especially when they are physically active.

Particle pollution can aggravate lung disease, causing asthma attacks and acute bronchitis, and may also increase susceptibility to respiratory infections. Particle pollution has been linked to heart attacks and arrhythmias in people with heart disease, and also to premature death in people with heart or lung disease.

If you or your children are healthy, you're not likely to suffer serious effects from short-term, peak exposures to particle pollution. But when particle pollution is elevated, you may experience irritation of the eyes, nose and throat, coughing, chest tightness, and shortness of breath.

Reducing your exposure to ozone and particle pollution isn't hard. Just take it a little easier. If pollution is forecast to be high in your area, cut back or change the time of your strenuous activities: go for a for a walk instead of a jog, or reschedule for times when the air quality is expected to be better. If you have asthma, be sure to follow your asthma action plan with air pollution levels are high. And don't exercise near busy roads; particle levels generally are higher in these areas.

Particle levels can be elevated indoors too, especially when outdoor particle levels are high, such as during an inversion or when there's a lot of smoke outside (such as from a wildfire). Certain filters and room air cleaners can help reduce indoor particle levels. You can also reduce particle levels indoors by not smoking inside or vacuuming, and by reducing your use of other particle sources such as candles, wood-burning stoves, and fireplaces. Go to http://www.epa.gov/iaq/homes/index.html for more information.

My next blog will be Thursday.
Jeff Masters

Around Town, Andover Massachusetts (KDTalbot)
Fireman rescues mail from this collection box in Shawsheen Square.
Around Town, Andover Massachusetts
Ipswitch River (danversgirl)
Ipswitch River floodong over Route One at the River Gate for the Topsfield Fair Grounds.
Ipswitch River

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97. K8eCane
7:58 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
is there a link to the new invest in indian ocean
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3122
96. K8eCane
7:56 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
and it's sort of easy to tell who speaks as an idiot and who speaks with knowledge..( although i don't like the word idiot)
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3122
95. K8eCane
7:55 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
i'm the one who wants to know the absolute latest on weather developments and i'll be honest...i learn the most here
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3122
94. RL3AO
7:50 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
New invest in the Indian Ocean.
93. GetReal
7:46 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
OMG stormtop is back!!! Where's the other Leftty half???
Member Since: July 4, 2005 Posts: 204 Comments: 8871
92. Zaphod
7:44 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Saw this on a motivational (?) poster:
There are no dumb questions, but there are a lot of inquisitive idiots.
Zap
Member Since: October 5, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 3239
91. Zaphod
7:43 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Well, FlCG,
They're here to help or learn except for those who
- are here because they want company
- need to save the "sheeple" from their own ignorance to gain some self-importance
- like to hear themselves talk
- enjoy picking on-line fights to feel bigger than they are in real life
- want to show off their knowledge
- need to know the absolute latest on weather developments

or who, like me, just like to post musings of questionable value.
Zap
Member Since: October 5, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 3239
90. rwdobson
7:42 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
No questions, it distracts us from the ad hominem attacks and ego puffing....lol
Member Since: June 12, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1589
89. FLCrackerGirl
7:26 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
SWL, There are No Such Thing As Dumb (Weather) Question.
Everyone's here To Learn Or Help.
Member Since: August 12, 2004 Posts: 47 Comments: 597
88. swlaaggie
7:15 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
rw,

Appears to be excellent. I will look at it in more detail later. Thanks very much.
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1032
87. swlaaggie
7:13 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Okay. I'll stop here with this line of questions and, rw, you are a good sport.

As a newcomer, I guess it's okay to ask weather related questions apart from analyzing a given storm? If not, someone please tell me so that I don't tick off or bore an entire web site of people.

Thanks.
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1032
86. rwdobson
7:11 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
does this make it clearer, or less so? i think you are right, some of the heating is compressional, but some is not. nifty graphics at least....

Link
Member Since: June 12, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1589
85. rwdobson
7:02 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
i'm not sure the air at the surface is compressed by an upper high. i think the reason it is warm under an upper high is that it usually prevents clouds from forming and allows the sun to warm things up.

there are sometimes "thermal lows" in the desert, beneath an upper high, where the air at the surface has become so warm that the surface pressure drops...you know, warm air is less dense than cool air.

high pressure at the surface is usually associated with cool weather for this reason.

i may be confusing you more...i think i am confusing myself.
Member Since: June 12, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1589
84. Randyman
7:02 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
For all of you who haven't seen this article...


Storm chaser Jim Cantore is 'THE WEATHER MAN'
DONNA HARTMAN
Herald Staff Writer

He's been battered by winds, soaked by rain and nearly stopped in his tracks by the storm surge of a category five hurricane.

But, he's still standing.

It's a good thing Jim Cantore is an outdoors lover.

"I can't sit down," he said. "I can't stand to be indoors. I love to be outside."

The Weather Channel's Cantore, 42, one of the most recognizable faces in weather forecasting, spends a lot of time outdoors - especially during hurricane season, standing in front of a camera, palm trees blowing behind him, rain pelting his face and wind stinging his eyes.

But, the man admits he was born to do the job.

"If you see me on a beach between June and November, I'm probably not there on vacation," he quipped during a telephone interview from his home in suburban Atlanta, where The Weather Channel has its headquarters.

Cantore is the special guest at the May 20 Hurricane Bash fundraiser for the Southwest Florida Chapter of the American Red Cross at Mote Marine Laboratory and Aquarium in Sarasota.

He has been asked to keep his remarks "lighthearted," but the Weather Channel's on-camera meteorologist and resident storm chaser, is as serious about the weather in person as he is when you see him reporting, with passion, intensity and purpose, live from the scene of an impending hurricane, flood or blizzard.

When he's in the field for The Weather Channel, he's usually standing on a beach somewhere, baseball cap on his head,

wearing a T-shirt or a Weather Channel issue windbreaker and holding a microphone.

He speaks clearly, quickly and precisely about a storm as he points out the thrashing waves of a tumultuous ocean and ominous, grey clouds simmering on the horizon.

"When Cantore is on, whether from a weather event or in the studio, his passion just raises the energy level of everybody near him," said The Weather Channel's senior vice president and general manager Terry Connelly in a statement provided by The Weather Channel.

Above all, Cantore has the utmost respect for the weather.

And, it's hard for him to tell funny stories, given the destruction, devastation and human despair he's witnessed in the aftermath of severe weather events, especially Hurricane Katrina.

During the Hurricane Bash, he said he'll stick to the festive spirit of the program, but he will warn Bradenton and Sarasota area residents to be vigilant. The Tampa Bay area, he said, is a prime target for a late hurricane season storm coming off the Gulf of Mexico.

"The worst case scenario would be a storm brewing over the Gulf and a trough of waves pushing through with all that water," Cantore said. "Tampa is one of the most vulnerable areas on the Gulf."

Baptism by snow

The Vermont native's passion for the weather started when he was 14 when the now-infamous "blizzard of 1978" blanketed much of New England with nearly four feet of snow. His hometown of White River Junction, Vt., was hit pretty hard and he and his father and brother were outside shoveling snow.

"We were jumping off the roof into a pile of snow and my brother buried himself in it," he said. "I jumped in and dug him out. You could say the blizzard of '78 was my coming out, weather-wise."

His father encouraged him to pursue his interest and he graduated from Lyndon State College in Lyndonville, Vt., with a degree in meteorology. He did an internship with Channel 7 in Boston in 1985 and, in 1986, he landed his dream job at The Weather Channel, which was still a fledgling network. The 24-hour channel went on the air in 1982 and now reaches 90 million households.

"The Weather Channel was my first job out of college," Cantore said.

With his aggressive field reporting from major storms, his hosting of the award-winning "Storm Stories," and his coverage of the weather at high-profile events such as "FOX/NFL Sunday" and the launch of the Space Shuttle Discovery, Cantore has earned the nickname, "the Mike Wallace of meteorology."

While Cantore is a weather celebrity, working for The Weather Channel is far from fun and games.

"It is a true test of stamina," Cantore said. "We're are like the little engine that could going up against the big networks, which are behemoths. It's incredibly challenging work."

Cantore and The Weather Channel's storm expert Dr. Steve Lyons take their jobs seriously, using their knowledge to dissect a storm and "get people out of harm's way," Cantore said.

Sometimes, as with last season's crushing Hurricane Katrina, that doesn't happen.

Of all the hurricanes he's covered in the field, Katrina, which devastated much of New Orleans and the Mississippi Gulf Coast, "was in a class by herself," Cantore said.

"I did whatever I thought I would never do - get caught in the storm," he added.

Cantore and his camera crew were about a quarter of a mile from the beach in Gulfport, Miss., when Katrina hit.

"It was an historic surge," he said. "I've never seen anything like it. There was a lot of sadness out there, a lot of people were shocked. I was shocked. There were boats sitting on top of casinos and casino barges 300 feet inland. The smell of death was intertwined with all that. But, you saw occasional spurts of the human spirit."

The surge forced his crew's truck into a ditch, but they were able to broadcast live from the scene later that night. In terms of evacuation and coordinating rescue efforts, he believes that governments and volunteer agencies have over the past year become far better prepared in a post-Katrina world.

"I saw failures at every level, from the homeowner all the way up to the president," he said. "We can do better. We know that."

His wife, Tamra, 48, a former behind-the-scenes Weather Channel employee, said she usually isn't concerned about her husband's welfare when he's in the field. But, she was scared when he called from the scene of Katrina.

"He said, 'It is bad. People are going to die in this storm and they just aren't listening,' " she said.

In terms of total destruction, Katrina surpassed Hurricane Charley. But, Charley, which hit Punta Gorda in 2004, packed a punch wind-wise, Cantore said. Charley was the worst hurricane of 2004 because its wind velocity didn't slow much after it made landfall.

"It's the kiss of death when you're still getting 75-to-90 mile-per-hour wind gusts after a hurricane has made landfall," he said. "We fared pretty well in Fort Myers (where he was stationed). When you got up to Port Charlotte and Punta Gorda, it was brutal."

Above-average season

Weather forecasters are predicting an above-average hurricane season in 2006, but the number of hurricanes and their forcefulness can't be foreseen, Cantore said. Hurricane season officially begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

Periods of frequent and strong hurricanes tend to run in cycles, he added. The 2004 and 2005 seasons were devastating because they were preceded by an era of below-average hurricane activity, coupled with intensive residential and commercial development in Gulf Coast states like Florida, Mississippi, Louisiana and Texas.

"We are in a phase of above-average activity with the caveat of possible global warming," he said. "A hurricane gets its energy from warmer water and it will be stronger. You don't need to do a science project to know that. Right now, we're just very vulnerable."

When a hurricane is brewing, the nitty-gritty of covering a storm isn't completed in an eight-hour shift.

"You get up at 6 a.m. and get to the site and you get 'bites' - people saying stuff like, 'I'm sick of hurricanes,' " Cantore said.

All weather, if it is adverse and affects people's lives, "is a bad thing," he said.

Viewers, Cantore added, turn to The Weather Channel before a storm because of the network's reputation for trustworthiness and sincerity.

"People expect me to be there and take them through the storm," he said. "Severe weather outbreaks are our Super Bowls and our Daytona 500s. We have to be there."

'Welcome to the game'

There are some "good road stories" from the field that Cantore will never tell, but he recounted a humorous incident from hurricane season 2004.

During Hurricane Jeanne, he and his camera man were riding on an amphibious vehicle of a private motorist in Palm City. A shiny sport utility vehicle came up from behind and started to pass them.

"We were getting soaked with wind and spray and we see this gold Explorer driving closer and closer and we realized it was news guys and it goes by us and I go, 'That's Brian Williams' (from NBC News) and he waves. It was like, 'Welcome to the game.' "
Member Since: July 26, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 222
83. K8eCane
6:57 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
i'm learning a lot today this is great
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3122
82. swlaaggie
6:57 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Alec,

Thanks. This look like a good starting point for me and I will take a look.
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81. Alec
6:56 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
I leave you with this diagram:
80. swlaaggie
6:53 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
rw - LOL. I swear I didn't wake up this morning and pick you to throw a million questions at. You are the only poor soul who elected to engage.

If the descending air is only occurring in the upper levels, then I'm at a loss to rationalize the compression effect. My understanding, obviously limited, is that when the descending air from the upper levels approaches the ground, it effectively is squeezed and compressed. It doesn't take much compression of air to get significant increases in temperature.

This is where my disconnect probably exists. This air must reach the ground or sea unless there is a counter-influence(i.e. your mention of the low level low). Maybe that's what you meant. Under these conditions, you have rising air from the surface counter-acting descending air from above.

Am I on track? or just beating it to death
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1032
79. Alec
6:52 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
pt100, upper level highs help hurricanes spread out their convection at the top(helps hurricanes "breathe") and hurricanes(areas of low pressure) will always go around surface highs(areas of high pressure)...they take the path of least resistance which is higher to lower pressure...In a hurricane's eye the air sinks but immediately surrounding the eye huge updrafts support a hurricane......well i gotta get going, questions always welcomed!:)
78. pt100
6:51 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
basics* lol
77. pt100
6:50 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Levi gave me this Linka couple of days ago which gave me the basis
76. Alec
6:47 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
I also advise anyone who would like to have a bunch of their questions answered about hurricanes go here: link
75. pt100
6:46 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Alec, tnx for the picture.
Am i right if i state that a high will never reach hurriane force because in the core there is a downflow which is opposite of the rising air from the groung/water? Where in a low they work together going up?
74. Alec
6:43 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
rwdobson, cold fronts and other features such as seabreeze collisions can also break the caps by forcing the air upwards..
73. rwdobson
6:38 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
SW, Someone who knows more about this will jump in, I hope...

but let me take a stab: caps, which are mid to upper level features, can be broken, over land or over sea, if the lift at the lower levels is great enough. I think that the intense lift caused by warm water and hot sunshine breaks through the cap to form the storms. I think that might be what's happening during monsoon season over the desert; the extra moisture creates enough lift to break through the cap caused by the upper ridge. The upper ridge only causes sinking air in the upper levels....
Member Since: June 12, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1589
72. Zaphod
6:37 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
swla,
I've been watching and learning a bit here for a year, but I too would like to see a "hurricanes 101" section, where the rational behind the "obvious" statements can be explained.

It's hard to gain an intuitive feel for the patterns and picking up on the unusual without understanding the basics.

So, please keep asking questions!
Zap
Member Since: October 5, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 3239
71. Alec
6:37 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
hope this helps:
70. pt100
6:34 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
there was a discussion about ST here yesterday and the conclusion was to use his knowledge and forget all the other things because that will never change...
69. swlaaggie
6:31 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
thanks rw - That makes intuitive sense regarding the shear issue and the two levels of activity(i.e. upper level high over a lower level low).

Still puzzled though. How do you have "lift", even over an area of warm water, when the net flow of air is in a descending direction?

Is it because the cap is higher over water than it is over land? In other words, is the cap high enough in the atmosphere that thunderstorms can still form due to higher moisture levels at a given altitude versus over land?
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1032
68. pt100
6:30 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
RW, wind goes from high to low pressure, aerodynamically spoken. If you have high P above low, won't the low be filled up from the top?
Or is it RELATIVELY high you are talking about?
66. Alec
6:26 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Posted By: STORMTOP at 5:46 PM GMT on May 17, 2006.
levi levi the blob wont develop in the caribbean you can bank on that to many negative factors out there so dont get all excited and worried...gee you have at least 10 days before you can think about some serious development....the tropics remain clear and the sheer is still high over the gulf an caribbean...there is nothing to worry about for now but im watching and i will break in if need be...this has been a bulletin by stormtops hurricane warning office...
Report As: Obscene | Spam | Copyright
Posted By: pt100 at 06:00 PM GMT op 17 Mei, 2006.
Hi stormtop, Frank here, thanks for the relieve!!
You are referring to to many negative factors and you mention only one, high shear. What are the oter ones?

Last yr STORMTOP did this to me. I asked him a question and he ran off...

65. pt100
6:25 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
hey, STORMTOP HAS PUSHED HIS CAPS LOCK BUTTON!!
64. IKE
6:24 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
STORMTOP didn't have time to respond again. He had to get back to his office....god how silly.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
63. rwdobson
6:18 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
swla-

a tropical storm, which is a low-level low pressure system, requires high pressure in the upper levels because this makes the winds relatively calm in the upper levels, which prevents wind shear. when you have low pressure in the upper levels, the storms get sheared apart.

over land, an upper high usually does result in dry hot weather. but over warm water, the lift from the warm water being evaporated is enough to let the clouds rise and break through the cap.

i'm probably over-simplifying and may be flat out wrong on some of this, but i think this is the jist of it....

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62. K8eCane
6:14 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Stormtop
Do you have your own blog?
This has been a questionBulletin from the K8eCane Weather Curiosity Office
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3122
60. swlaaggie
6:13 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Another set of questions folks. Thanks for being patient.

My understanding is that a high pressure ridge results in descending air which compresses and makes life miserably hot. We also see dry conditions because the atmsophere is effectviely capped and clouds can not rise to form thunderstorms. Additionally, winds around a high rotate clockwise. Okay so far?

If this is the case, then how would a high developing over an area in the tropics be favorable for storm development as per Levi's post below? I'm not arguing by any means with his statement, I just don't understand the difference in high's I guess.

Finally, if the wind around the high is rotating clockwise, how does the wind associated with the storm rotate counterclockwise?

Dazed and confused. Thanks for any help.
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1032
59. pt100
6:05 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
other*
58. pt100
6:04 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Hi stormtop, Frank here, thanks for the relieve!!
You are referring to to many negative factors and you mention only one, high shear. What are the oter ones?
57. STORMTOP
5:58 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
levi levi the blob wont develop in the caribbean you can bank on that to many negative factors out there so dont get all excited and worried...gee you have at least 10 days before you can think about some serious development....the tropics remain clear and the sheer is still high over the gulf an caribbean...there is nothing to worry about for now but im watching and i will break in if need be...this has been a bulletin by stormtops hurricane warning office...
56. bamaweatherwatcher
5:53 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
thanks rw
55. Levi32
5:53 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Pt100 good I am glad that link helped you.

I am leaving now for a while great talking with you all! I hope to see you all later today!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26647
54. rwdobson
5:51 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
bama, the main tropical page on WU has a map at the top w/sea temps. And then there are links for more detailed maps further down the page.
Member Since: June 12, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1589
53. pt100
5:49 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Hi all, hi levi, tnxs for the site you gave me, I learned from it!
52. bamaweatherwatcher
5:39 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
could someone direct me to a web page with the water temps?
51. Levi32
5:36 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
Lol Jughead.

If the front doesn't pick it up then the situation for the disturbance is perfect. The front comes along to aid in the convection, then it moves out so the high can build over the top of it.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26647
50. JugheadFL
5:34 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
likewise, trough=front...lol
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49. JugheadFL
5:28 PM GMT on May 17, 2006
yep, I definatley see the high trying to build. It all depends how the disturbance reacts to the trough in the next 24hrs. Even if it doesn't survive, there definatley will be some activity within the next week!
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48. atmosweather
1:30 PM EDT on May 17, 2006
Hey bamawww, welcome to Wunderground! Hope you are having a great day!
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47. Levi32
9:29 AM AKDT on May 17, 2006
Hello bamaweatherwatcher welcome to Wunderground! Yes it looks like the season is about to crank up fast.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.