IPCC: Climate Change Increasing Risk of Hunger, Thirst, Disease, Refugees, and War

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 11:42 AM GMT on March 31, 2014

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Climate change is already having "widespread impacts", and has the potential to worsen global hunger, water availability, disease, drought, flooding, refugees, and war in the coming decades if we do nothing to reduce it, said the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) today, in the latest installment of their once-every-seven-year report on the climate. Today's report on climate change impacts and how we can adapt to them warned that "throughout the 21st century, climate-change impacts are projected to slow down economic growth, make poverty reduction more difficult, further erode food security, and prolong existing and create new poverty traps." Today's report by the Nobel-prize winning group of scientists was the second of four parts. Part 1, released in September 2013, covered the physical science behind climate change. Part 3 (due out in mid-April, 2014) will discuss how we can mitigate (reduce) climate change impacts. Part 4 (due out in early November, 2014) will present a grand summary of Parts 1, 2, and 3. Some key themes from today's report:

Food supplies will tighten. To me, the most important finding of the report is the climate change's threat to reduce global food supplies, which have already been negatively impacted, and are at risk to get much worse: “Based on many studies covering a wide range of regions and crops, negative impacts of climate change on crop yields have been more common than positive impacts. Climate change has negatively affected wheat and maize (corn) yields for many regions and in the global aggregate." For the future, the report acknowledges that some areas will likely see increases in food production, due to increased CO2 in the air and more favorable precipitation, but the overall global trend in food supplies will likely be downward (Figure 1.) This downward trend in yields will occur in the face of rapidly increasing demand, as the population grows by 2 billion, resulting in "increased likelihood of under-nutrition resulting from diminished food production in poor regions."


Figure 1. Summary of projected changes in crop yields, due to climate change over the 21st century. The figure includes projections for different emission scenarios, for tropical and temperate regions, and for adaptation and no-adaptation cases combined. Over the period 2010 - 2029, about as many scenarios predict an increase in global crop yields as predict a decrease. However, beyond 2030, more than twice as many scenarios predict a decrease versus an increase. Relatively few studies have considered impacts on cropping systems for scenarios where global mean temperatures increase by 4°C or more. For five time frames in the near-term and long-term, data (n=1090) are plotted in the 20-year period on the horizontal axis that includes the midpoint of each future projection period. Changes in crop yields are relative to late-20th-century levels. Data for each time frame sum to 100%. Image credit: IPCC.

Water availability to people will decrease, as wet areas get wetter and dry areas get drier. Not only does climate change pose huge risks to our food supply, it also threatens water availability. “The fraction of global population experiencing water scarcity and the fraction affected by major river floods increase with the level of warming in the 21st century.”

We're not adapting fast enough to avoid serious damage. The report talks about "adaptation deficits", as demonstrated by our relatively poor ability to respond to impacts from from recent extreme climatic events. "Climate-change-related risks from extreme events, such as heat waves, extreme precipitation, and coastal flooding, are already moderate (high confidence) and high with 1°C additional warming (medium confidence)." IPCC author and Princeton Professor Michael Oppenheimer put it more succinctly to the Associated Press: “We’re all sitting ducks.”

Poor people are most at risk from climate change. Climate-related hazards constitute an additional burden to people living in poverty, acting as a threat multiplier.

Climate change increases the risk of violence. For the first time, the IPCC lays out the case that climate change can add a destabilizing factor that can make violence more likely in countries with social and economic inequalities. "Climate change can indirectly increase risks of violent conflicts in the form of civil war and inter-group violence by amplifying well-documented drivers of these conflicts such as poverty and economic shocks."

Climate change increases the risk of more refugees. "Displacement risk increases when populations that lack the resources for planned migration experience higher exposure to extreme weather events."

Climate change will be costly. Though the uncertainties are high, the costs for an additional 2°C rise in temperature are thought to be between 0.2 and 2.0% of global GDP. "Losses are more likely than not to be greater, rather than smaller, than this range, since it is difficult to account for catastrophic changes, tipping points, and many other factors."

Human health will suffer. "Throughout the 21st century, climate change is expected to lead to increases in ill-health in many regions and especially in developing countries with low income…the magnitude and severity of negative impacts are projected to increasingly outweigh positive impacts. Examples include greater likelihood of injury, disease, and death due to more intense heat waves and fires; increased likelihood of under-nutrition resulting from diminished food production in poor regions; risks from lost work capacity and reduced labor productivity in vulnerable populations; and increased risks from food- and water-borne diseases and vector-borne diseases" (like malaria.)

We can take action to reduce these substantial risks. "Mitigation is considered essential for managing the risks of climate change." Mitigation refers to human actions to reduce climate change. Burning fewer fossil fuels and thus putting less CO2 in the air is essential to mitigating climate change. We should view the next few decades as the era of ‘climate responsibility’, when we can make a huge difference to keep our future climate livable. The report emphasizes that if greenhouse gases continue to rise, the world can expect an additional 6 - 7°F (3.5 - 4°C) of warming by 2100, instead of the international goal of keeping this rise less than 2°F (1.2°C). Princeton's Dr. Oppenheimer compared these two choices as "the difference between driving on an icy road at 30 mph versus 90 mph. It's risky at 30, but deadly at 90." Uncertainty is not a reason to delay climate action, and it is cheaper to act now on climate change than to delay. The International Energy Agency said in 2013 that in order to keep global warming less than 2°C above pre-industrial levels, "Delaying stronger climate action until 2020 would avoid $1.5 trillion in low-carbon investments up to that point, but an additional $5 trillion would then need to be invested through to 2035 to get back on track." The latest IPCC findings will be a key discussion topic for world leaders at a September 23, 2014 Climate Summit in New York City, hosted by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon. The summit aims to mobilize political will to pave the way for an ambitious global legal climate agreement to be signed at the critical December 2015 Conference of Parties (COP) negotiations in Paris.

Links
Associated Press coverage of the IPCC Part 2 report.

New Blockbuster IPCC Climate Report: Comprehensive, Authoritative, Conservative, my September 2013 post on who the IPCC is, and how they write their reports.

Landmark 2013 IPCC Report: 95% Chance Most of Global Warming is Human-Caused, my September 2013 post on Part I of the 2013 - 2014 IPCC report.


Video 1. The IPCC released this video to accompany today's release of their 2014 Impacts and Adaptation report.

Jeff Masters

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1025. Patrap
2 Pings from Chile in my inbox from ReliefWEB.

Blank, both save for time sent...in UTC
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
1024. Patrap
Powerful earthquake strikes off Chile Live

At least nine significant aftershocks -- one magnitude 6.2 -- follow 8.2-magnitude quake off Chile's coast, USGS says. Watch CNN Chile.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
Has there been any actual tsunami in Chile?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1019. redwagon:


Gasline breaks...in evacuations.

Im not surprised.. this happened during the Tsunami of the Japan 2011 9.0 quake

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting Tornado6042008X:

Where in the US is the new Madird Fault?


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...enn city moova!
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Quoting 1007. trHUrrIXC5MMX:
huge fire breaks out in wake of quake




Gasline breaks...in evacuations.
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headin for Fort Worth
Member Since: October 6, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 785
Quoting 1009. Skyepony:

Looking at the posters/sources you may be right on a few of those.

I see TWC tweeting that these tsunami pics aren't from this event.

Even some reputable news is throwing old pics up just to have a cover shot that looks like they have today's pics..
.......Media -__-.........
Member Since: March 29, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 328
1016. Patrap
Quoting 1013. Chicklit:
8.2 is a big 'un


Tree shaka'

Globe shaker' Cher..

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
1015. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
a clearer 3d image
purple circles are quakes largest is 8.3
red green line compass heading
dark blue up down
lite blue fault line
white line coastal area

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54353

Quoting 1001. WaterWitch11:
Anyone care to comment on the prediction of a 8.6 along the new Madrid Fault in the US?

don't really think the number can be predicted...but if it happen before it can always happen again.

December 16, 1811, 0815 UTC (2:15 a.m.); (M ~7.2 – 8.1

December 16, 1811, 1315 UTC (7:15 a.m.); (M ~7.2–8.1

January 23, 1812, 1515 UTC (9:15 a.m.); (M ~7.0–7.8

February 7, 1812, 0945 UTC (3:45 a.m.); (M ~7.4–8.0
Where in the US is the new Madird Fault?
Member Since: March 29, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 328
8.2 is a big 'un

"According to researchers, the earthquake was violent enough to move the Chilean city of Concepcion at least 10 feet to the west and Santiago about 11 inches to the west-southwest."

LinkCNN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Wonder what the strong Chilean earthquake sounded like? Check out the waveform audio here: Link



Tsunami travel times
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1000. Patrap:
All since the 8.2 in CHile

5.2
75km WNW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 20:29:41 UTC-05:0010.0 km

5.3
111km NW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 20:20:58 UTC-05:0010.0 km


5.4
46km WNW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:37:49 UTC-05:0021.5 km

5.5
56km W of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:33:45 UTC-05:0012.6 km

5.6
70km WNW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:24:45 UTC-05:0010.0 km

5.7
95km NW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:06:44 UTC-05:0010.0 km

5.8
87km WNW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:03:12 UTC-05:0010.0 km

6.2
88km N of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 18:58:00 UTC-05:0018.1 km

5.7
92km NW of Iquique, Chile


Foreshocks started with a 6.7 on March 16th. That's an awful lot of lead time for foreshocks.
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this is no street party really


Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
1009. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting 997. hurricanehunter27:
Sky be careful about posting videos, a lot of them are actually of the 2010 8.8M just being reposted as the 8.0M

Looking at the posters/sources you may be right on a few of those.

I see TWC tweeting there are tsunami pics going around originally from here, a 2010 event.

Even some reputable news is throwing old pics up just to have a cover shot that looks like they have today's pics..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1008. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
huge fire breaks out in wake of quake


Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
1006. Patrap
www.tsunamiready.noaa.gov
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
CNN Chile Link
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Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
1002. aquak9
Quoting 996. Patrap:
The ring of Fire is a complicated thing, to say the least.


that's what I said after I ate those jalepeno-chipotle potato chips
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Anyone care to comment on the prediction of a 8.6 along the new Madrid Fault in the US?

don't really think the number can be predicted...but if it happen before it can always happen again.

December 16, 1811, 0815 UTC (2:15 a.m.); (M ~7.2 – 8.1

December 16, 1811, 1315 UTC (7:15 a.m.); (M ~7.2–8.1

January 23, 1812, 1515 UTC (9:15 a.m.); (M ~7.0–7.8

February 7, 1812, 0945 UTC (3:45 a.m.); (M ~7.4–8.0
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1000. Patrap
All since the 8.2 in CHile

5.2
75km WNW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 20:29:41 UTC-05:0010.0 km

5.3
111km NW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 20:20:58 UTC-05:0010.0 km


5.4
46km WNW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:37:49 UTC-05:0021.5 km

5.5
56km W of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:33:45 UTC-05:0012.6 km

5.6
70km WNW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:24:45 UTC-05:0010.0 km

5.7
95km NW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:06:44 UTC-05:0010.0 km

5.8
87km WNW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 19:03:12 UTC-05:0010.0 km

6.2
88km N of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 18:58:00 UTC-05:0018.1 km

5.7
92km NW of Iquique, Chile
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
Quoting 995. ncstorm:
BBC News (World) ‏@BBCWorld 11m

Landslides block roads as quake off Chile triggers tsunami alert and coastal evacuation http://bbc.in/1i1kD4D pic.twitter.com/hCqqTsRNag



Landslides.... prayers.
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3D IMAGE LARGEST PURPLE MASS IS 8.3

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54353
Quoting 989. Skyepony:
Sky be careful about posting videos, a lot of them are actually of the 2010 8.8M just being reposted as the 8.0M
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The ring of Fire is a complicated thing, to say the least.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
BBC News (World) ‏@BBCWorld 11m

Landslides block roads as quake off Chile triggers tsunami alert and coastal evacuation http://bbc.in/1i1kD4D pic.twitter.com/hCqqTsRNag

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15666
Quoting 990. Patrap:


That was before the 8.2 Quake

M4.7 - 181km SSW of Fukue, Japan
2014-04-01 22:16:53 UTC


M8.2 - 95km NW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 23:46:46 UTC


Are you starting to think there may be seismic stress/water warming in the Pacific? North and South?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 3m

Maximum #tsunami height of 7.6 ft reported in Pisagua, Chile at 9:02pm EDT. Forecast tsunami propagation from NOAA: pic.twitter.com/3ZlQFP0CYy
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15666
Quoting 986. redwagon:


Now a 4.7 in Japan.


That was before the 8.2 Quake

M4.7 - 181km SSW of Fukue, Japan
2014-04-01 22:16:53 UTC


M8.2 - 95km NW of Iquique, Chile
2014-04-01 23:46:46 UTC
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
989. Skyepony (Mod)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 955. Skyepony:


amazes me how someone could just sit there
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EVALUATION

SEA LEVEL READINGS INDICATE A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. IT MAY HAVE
BEEN DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER AND
COULD ALSO BE A THREAT TO MORE DISTANT COASTS. AUTHORITIES SHOULD
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THIS
CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR SEA LEVEL DATA TO DETERMINE THE
EXTENT AND SEVERITY OF THE THREAT.

FOR ALL AREAS - WHEN NO MAJOR WAVES ARE OBSERVED FOR TWO HOURS
AFTER THE ESTIMATED TIME OF ARRIVAL OR DAMAGING WAVES HAVE NOT
OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS THEN LOCAL AUTHORITIES CAN ASSUME
THE THREAT IS PASSED. DANGER TO BOATS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES CAN
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO RAPID CURRENTS. AS LOCAL
CONDITIONS CAN CAUSE A WIDE VARIATION IN TSUNAMI WAVE ACTION THE
ALL CLEAR DETERMINATION MUST BE MADE BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
CHILE IQUIQUE 20.2S 289.9E 0002Z 02 APR
ARICA 18.5S 289.7E 0011Z 02 APR
ANTOFAGASTA 23.3S 289.6E 0017Z 02 APR
CALDERA 27.1S 289.2E 0046Z 02 APR
COQUIMBO 29.9S 288.6E 0111Z 02 APR
VALPARAISO 33.0S 288.4E 0135Z 02 APR
TALCAHUANO 36.7S 286.9E 0219Z 02 APR
CORRAL 39.8S 286.5E 0251Z 02 APR
GOLFO_DE_PENAS 47.1S 285.1E 0403Z 02 APR
EASTER_ISLAND 27.1S 250.6E 0532Z 02 APR
PUERTO_MONTT 41.5S 287.0E 0546Z 02 APR
PERU MOLLENDO 17.1S 288.0E 0021Z 02 APR
SAN_JUAN 15.3S 284.8E 0039Z 02 APR
LA_PUNTA 12.1S 282.8E 0131Z 02 APR
TALARA 4.6S 278.5E 0218Z 02 APR
CHIMBOTE 9.0S 281.2E 0225Z 02 APR
PIMENTAL 6.9S 280.0E 0250Z 02 APR
ECUADOR LA_LIBERTAD 2.2S 278.8E 0239Z 02 APR
ESMERELDAS 1.2N 280.2E 0327Z 02 APR
BALTRA_ISLAND 0.5S 269.7E 0429Z 02 APR
COLOMBIA TUMACO 1.8N 281.1E 0346Z 02 APR
BAHIA_SOLANO 6.3N 282.6E 0417Z 02 APR
BUENAVENTURA 3.8N 282.8E 0433Z 02 APR
PANAMA PUERTO_PINA 7.4N 282.0E 0427Z 02 APR
PUNTA_MALA 7.5N 280.0E 0429Z 02 APR
PUNTA_BURICA 8.0N 277.1E 0441Z 02 APR
BALBOA_HEIGHTS 9.0N 280.4E 0645Z 02 APR
COSTA RICA CABO_MATAPALO 8.4N 276.7E 0441Z 02 APR
PUERTO_QUEPOS 9.4N 275.8E 0514Z 02 APR
CABO_SAN_ELENA 10.9N 274.0E 0531Z 02 APR
NICARAGUA SAN_JUAN_DL_SUR 11.2N 274.1E 0557Z 02 APR
PUERTO_SANDINO 12.2N 273.2E 0609Z 02 APR
CORINTO 12.5N 272.8E 0609Z 02 APR
EL SALVADOR ACAJUTLA 13.6N 270.2E 0628Z 02 APR
GUATEMALA SIPICATE 13.9N 268.8E 0642Z 02 APR
MEXICO PUERTO_MADERO 14.8N 267.5E 0649Z 02 APR
ACAPULCO 16.9N 260.1E 0711Z 02 APR
SALINA_CRUZ 16.5N 264.8E 0713Z 02 APR
HONDURAS AMAPALA 13.2N 272.4E 0655Z 02 APR

BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
THE TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE.

THE U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54353
Quoting 981. Grothar:


Yes, but I would be banned for two years. Let sar do it!


Now a 4.7 in Japan.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
NWS San Diego ‏@NWSSanDiego 11m

At this time NO #tsunami Watch, Warning, or Advisory is anticipated for the west coast since wave height expected to be less than 20 cm.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15666
NEXRAD Radar - Dyess AFB, TX - Hi-Res Vertically Integrated Liquid

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54353
Tsunami Information

Message Time: 02 Apr 2014 01:31 UTC

Message Num: 4

Message Text: click to read

Message Type: Expanding Regional Tsunami Warning

Supplement

Warning: Chile, Peru, Ecuador, Colombia, Panama A Tsunami Watch is in Effect For Costa Rica, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico, Honduras
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
yo Skye
tragedy yanks the ropes- and I JUST put the seismo
link back on my computer here at work YESTERDAY, coworkers laughed at me

keep the updates coming please

I will sit quietly under the table

okthxbai
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Quoting 958. Dakster:


Can you translate what they are saying into English?


Yes, but I would be banned for two years. Let sar do it!
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26477
980. xcool
http://www.chilenext.com/2013/12/tvn2.html
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The Hail core seems to be going diffuse in the radar return, so maybe that will be a good trend as far a Graham goes.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
I bet GLP is a zoo bout now.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647

696
WUUS54 KFWD 020148
SVRFWD
TXC503-020245-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0030.140402T0148Z-140402T0245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
848 PM CDT TUE APR 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN YOUNG COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 848 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 17 MILES
WEST OF OLNEY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
OLNEY AROUND 915 PM...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.



LAT...LON 3340 9896 3341 9895 3340 9842 3328 9842
3327 9896
TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 256DEG 27KT 3333 9902
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647
976. Skyepony (Mod)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


029
WUUS54 KSJT 020141
SVRSJT
TXC447-020230-
/O.NEW.KSJT.SV.W.0013.140402T0141Z-140402T0230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
841 PM CDT TUE APR 1 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN THROCKMORTON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

* AT 840 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF ELBERT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND PETS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
ELBERT AROUND 850 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3339 9894 3335 9894 3326 9895 3325 9918
3340 9921 3341 9913 3340 9896
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 256DEG 30KT 3333 9909

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH


SN
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128647

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.