Save the Keeling Curve!

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:13 PM GMT on March 11, 2014

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Climate change's most iconic research project is in danger--a victim of budget cuts in an era of increased government belt-tightening. The Keeling Curve is a measurement of the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere made atop Hawaii’s Mauna Loa, begun in 1958 by Dr. Charles Keeling. It is the longest-running such measurement in the world. The curve was instrumental in showing how human emissions of carbon dioxide were steadily accumulating in Earth's atmosphere, and raised awareness that human-caused climate change was an ever-increasing threat to the stability of our climate. After Keeling's death in 2005, the measurements were continued by his son, Ralph F. Keeling. Support from NSF, NOAA and NASA is being diminished or withdrawn, and Keeling has turned to crowd-funding to help raise funds to continue these important measurements. I hope you can join me in making a donation.


Figure 1. The Keeling Curve: climate change's most iconic image. The curve's steady year-by-year increase in CO2 due to burning of coal, oil, and natural gas has wriggles on top of it, due to the natural seasonal cycle in CO2--plants suck in CO2 during the Northern Hemisphere growing season, then release it during the winter. Image credit: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, USCD.


Figure 2. Dr. Charles Keeling posing at the entrance to the Charles Keeling Building at Mauna Loa, Hawaii. Image credit: NOAA/ESRL.

CO2 Levels Hit 401 ppm
The latest data from the Keeling curve website shows that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are surging upwards in their usual late winter push, as plants return CO2 to the atmosphere before the Northern Hemisphere spring growing season hits. CO2 levels reached 401 ppm (parts per million) last week on top of Mauna Loa, setting a new record. CO2 levels were at 280 ppm in 1870, increased less than 1 ppm per year in the 1960s, then accelerated to 2 ppm per year during the 2000s. Less than 1% of the increase since 1870 has been due to natural sources, such as volcanoes. The last time carbon dioxide levels reached 400 ppm—between 2.5 and 5 million years ago during the Pliocene Era—the Earth was 3.5 to 9° F warmer (2 to 5° C), and sea levels were 65 to 80 feet higher.

Links
There is a hashtag #savetheKeelingCurve
Eli Rabett's post, Shaking the Cup for Science
What Does 400 ppm Look Like? December 2013 blog post by Robert Monroe of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography.




Senate holds all-nighter on climate change
A group of 31 U.S. Senators pulled an all-nighter last night on the floor of the U.S. Senate, taking turns from 9 pm Monday night until 9 am Tuesday morning to promote policy actions on climate change. Many of the Senators involved issued tweets using the hashtag #Up4Climate. The all-nighter was another indication that politicians are becoming increasingly bold about speaking up on climate change.

Latest Version of our WunderMap App Now Includes WunderPhotos
Weather Underground has released today a new version of our WunderMap app for iPhone and iPad. The main new feature that we'd like to highlight is the WunderPhotos layer--now users can view, share, and submit photos all from within the app. Here are a few of the features of the new version of the WunderMap app:

◦ Improved Weather Station display, and both station size and station spacing are now adjustable (Weather Stations Layer ⇒ Settings).
◦ New WunderPhotos layer! View, share, and submit beautiful weather photos.
◦ Fixed incorrect elevation for some Personal Weather Stations.
◦ Swipe-to-delete search history items.
◦ "Terrain/Satellite” and other map options made more prominent.
◦ Bug fixes (crashes, visual glitches, and usability enhancements).
◦ Optimized performance across all devices.


The latest version is available to download for iPhone and iPad at https://itunes.apple.com/app/wundermap/id364884105?mt=8.

Jeff Masters

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457. etxwx
Quoting 456. sar2401:

I like Skippy. How about really big dog names, like Spike or Rex? Anything other than Arthur. He sounds like such a wimp. :-)


I've always wanted a Mastiff named "Fluffy". :)

We're having nice spring like weather this week in East Texas, lots of things starting to bloom.
And with that, I'm calling it a day. G'night all.

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Quoting etxwx:


How about Hurricane Skippy?

I like Skippy. How about really big dog names, like Spike or Rex? Anything other than Arthur. He sounds like such a wimp. :-)
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Quoting 454. BaltimoreBrian:
Face it Isaac. You'll be sooooooo disappointed if you end up with 99.9" of snow this season ;)

So would this guy, got to make it even!
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Face it Isaac. You'll be sooooooo disappointed if you end up with 99.9" of snow this season ;)
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Columbus and Cincinnati both need less than 1/2" of snow to move from 4th to 2nd place all time snowiest seasons. Indianapolis needs 3.6" to move from 3rd to 1st. Chicago needs less than 1.5" to move from 4th to 3rd. Detroit needs just under 10" to set a new record.
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Quoting 450. BaltimoreBrian:
Isaac I hope KDTW gets 3" tonight and 8" tomorrow :)

Didn't you give Kori a hard time in 2012?

I hope so too! Want the record broken and don't want to go to school tomorrow (technically today). I'm still up doing homework just in case though.
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Quoting 449. etxwx:


How about Hurricane Skippy?
Yippie!
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Isaac I hope KDTW gets 3" tonight and 8" tomorrow :)

Didn't you give Kori a hard time in 2012?
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449. etxwx
Quoting 447. Ameister12:

It was actually my intention to make one of the more pathetic sounding names a monster hurricane.


How about Hurricane Skippy?
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Quoting 439. KoritheMan:


I'd rather be hit by something more threatening, like Edouard, Marco, or Omar. But I'll take Nana if that's what it takes to get my annual hurricane.

And... yeah. Maybe. Just for a bit. :)

Isaias is the replacement of Ike and I know you would want to get hit by that. :P
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Quoting 446. KoritheMan:


Laura is hardly expedient to accomplish such a destructive feat anyway. The name sounds entirely too innocuous, lol.

It was actually my intention to make one of the more pathetic sounding names a monster hurricane.
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Quoting 444. Ameister12:

Yes... I probably went a bit over board with Laura. :P

I would never actually want a storm like that to hit anybody ever.



Laura is hardly expedient to accomplish such a destructive feat anyway. The name sounds entirely too innocuous, lol.
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Quoting 418. Ameister12:
Out of pure boredom one day, I decided to enter one of Force-13's Hypothetical Hurricane Season contests and my season ended up making it into the top 4!

If you guys would like to vote for my season, here's the link:
http://www.force-13.com/hypocontest.html
I'm contestant #2 (Adam B.) by the way.

If not, that's cool. I'm just happy he made a nifty little track map for my season!

Do you want to see what my 2014 hurricane season looks like?


The agony that the bloggers would be put through if this type of season were to occur.
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 8 Comments: 1382
Quoting 426. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Goodness you had Laura clobbering Tampa Bay.

Yes... I probably went a bit overboard with Laura. :P

I would never actually want a storm like that to hit anybody, ever!

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The lowest pressure has crossed the Mississippi just south of St. Louis.
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Quoting 441. Ameister12:

Just pretend that Nana is a huge tropical cyclone that brings tropical storm/hurricane force winds to parts of Louisiana. ;)


There is no way, even with a hurricane as large as, say, Ike, that the Baton Rouge metro would even get tropical storm force gusts; not with a northward-moving hurricane passing well to the east of even the Chandeleur Islands.

The west side is generally weaker, plus a northward movement implies that upper-level westerlies are beginning to impinge on the system, along with the possibility of some shear.

Sorry Adam. :)
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Quoting 424. KoritheMan:


No Louisiana, no vote. :)

Just pretend that Nana is a huge tropical cyclone that brings tropical storm/hurricane force winds to parts of Louisiana. ;)
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Quoting 430. Ameister12:

That hypothetical season is definitely not going to reflect my actual forecast for this upcoming season.

Well that's a relief.
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 8 Comments: 1382
Quoting 433. sar2401:

He can send Nana your way instead of toward me. A 90 mph cat 1 would probably make you happy for a bit. ;-)


I'd rather be hit by something more threatening, like Edouard, Marco, or Omar. But I'll take Nana if that's what it takes to get my annual hurricane.

And... yeah. Maybe. Just for a bit. :)
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Quoting TheGreatHodag:


that's not working for me unfortunately

Right click and open in a new tab. Works fine for me using Chrome. If you're still using IE, stop. :-)
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Quoting 435. BaltimoreBrian:


Never had someone say that about my images before.

Here is Chicago/O'Hare

Here is Detroit Metropolitan.


links worked. thanks.
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Quoting 434. TheGreatHodag:


that's not working for me unfortunately


Didn't work for me either....
Right click the image you want and click copy image location and paste it into another tab.

Or That....
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Quoting 434. TheGreatHodag:
that's not working for me unfortunately
Never had someone say that about my images before.

Here is Chicago/O'Hare

Here is Detroit Metropolitan.
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Quoting 429. BaltimoreBrian:
As I said in my comment, click on the images to enlarge.


that's not working for me unfortunately
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Quoting KoritheMan:


No Louisiana, no vote. :)

He can send Nana your way instead of toward me. A 90 mph cat 1 would probably make you happy for a bit. ;-)
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Quoting 423. sar2401:

I guess it's the local mets looking at past storms and thinking the models just don't get this one. The forecasts of 10-20 inches of snow are pretty amazing if they turn out to be right.


I guess. I've never seen the NWS issue a snow forecast above the highest model before.
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Quoting 426. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Goodness you had Laura clobbering Tampa Bay.

165 mph, .... That would be a couple hundred billion at least
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Quoting 421. sar2401:

Looks like Nana's track isn't good for me in Alabama, so I hope that doesn't come true. I suspect you've got too many CV storms if we do get an El Nino, but I'm not very good at long range guessing.

That hypothetical season is definitely not going to reflect my actual forecast for this upcoming season.
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Quoting 428. TheGreatHodag:could we have a link for that, i cant see the numbers on the chart
As I said in my comment, click on the images to enlarge.
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Quoting 420. BaltimoreBrian:
For Chicago the NWS is forcasting snow totals greater than ALL the models. I've not seen this before. How rare is it?

As always, click on images to enlarge. The NWS forecast is the green line with the squares.

Chicago



For Detroit the NWS is forecasting snowfall greater than almost all the models.




could we have a link for that, i cant see the numbers on the chart
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Invest 50L named Simpson
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Quoting 418. Ameister12:
Out of pure boredom one day, I decided to enter one of Force-13's Hypothetical Hurricane Season contests and my season ended up making it into the top 4!

If you guys would like to vote for my season, here's the link:
http://www.force-13.com/hypocontest.html
I'm contestant #2 (Adam B.) by the way.

If not, that's cool. I'm just happy he made a nifty little track map for my season!
Goodness you had Laura clobbering Tampa Bay.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8682
Quoting 418. Ameister12:
Out of pure boredom one day, I decided to enter one of Force-13's 2014's Hypothetical Hurricane Season contest and my season ended up making it into the top 4!

If you guys would like to vote for my season, here's the link:
http://www.force-13.com/hypocontest.html
I'm contestant #2 (Adam B.) by the way.

If not, that's cool. I'm just happy he made a nifty little track map for my season!


Way to destroy Tampa with your prediction.
Is there anyway for me to make a map like that
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 418. Ameister12:
Out of pure boredom one day, I decided to enter one of Force-13's Hypothetical Hurricane Season contests and my season ended up making it into the top 4!

If you guys would like to vote for my season, here's the link:
http://www.force-13.com/hypocontest.html
I'm contestant #2 (Adam B.) by the way.

If not, that's cool. I'm just happy he made a nifty little track map for my season!


No Louisiana, no vote. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
For Chicago the NWS is forcasting snow totals greater than ALL the models. I've not seen this before. How rare is it?

As always, click on images to enlarge. The NWS forecast is the green line with the squares.

Chicago



For Detroit the NWS is forecasting snowfall greater than almost all the models.




I guess it's the local mets looking at past storms and thinking the models just don't get this one. The forecasts of 10-20 inches of snow are pretty amazing if they turn out to be right.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8682
Quoting Ameister12:
Out of pure boredom one day, I decided to enter one of Force-13's Hypothetical Hurricane Season contests and my season ended up making it into the top 4!

If you guys would like to vote for my season, here's the link:
http://www.force-13.com/hypocontest.html
I'm contestant #2 (Adam B.) by the way.

If not, that's cool. I'm just happy he made a nifty little track map for my season!

Looks like Nana's track isn't good for me in Alabama, so I hope that doesn't come true. I suspect you've got too many CV storms if we do get an El Nino, but I'm not very good at long range guessing.

EDIT: I tried to vote for you but the form submission code isn't working right. When I vote for you I get an Error code: ERR_CACHE_MISS error. I'm using Chrome.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
For Chicago the NWS is forcasting snow totals greater than ALL the models. I've not seen this before. How rare is it?

As always, click on images to enlarge. The NWS forecast is the green line with the squares.

Chicago



For Detroit the NWS is forecasting snowfall greater than almost all the models.



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Quoting nwobilderburg:


Soon everything will be digital. At some point in the next 40 years where people can live their entire lives online. Pretty amazing to think about. Reality and virtual world are quickly merging into one.

I suppose you're right, and it will be a much poorer world for it. Reality is not, never was, and never will be digital. I suppose that people don't miss what they never had, so the next generation will think this is all a great thing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Out of pure boredom one day, I decided to enter one of Force-13's Hypothetical Hurricane Season contests and my season ended up making it into the top 4!

If you guys would like to vote for my season, here's the link:
http://www.force-13.com/hypocontest.html
I'm contestant #2 (Adam B.) by the way.

If not, that's cool. I'm just happy he made a nifty little track map for my season!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 414. KoritheMan:




Link

:D

Cool...
Granted, the only anime I have watched has been Cowboy Bebop and a few episodes of nary to when I was like 12. I will take a look at it.
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Today's selection of articles about science, climate change, energy and the environment.



Ukraine Crisis Endangers Exxon's Black Sea Gas Drilling: Energy

South Africa Oil-Stake Demand Risks Derailing New Industry

* Light pollution 'affects bats' tropical seed dispersal'

Call for more efficient livestock management

*** Scientists 'herd' cells in new approach to tissue engineering

*** Milky Way amidst a 'Council of Giants'



!!! To drink or not to drink: Decision-making center of brain identified

!!! Effective thermal camouflage and invisibility device for soldiers created

!!! Possible evidence for dark matter particle presented at UCLA physics symposium

Diets high in animal protein may help prevent functional decline in elderly individuals


!!! Long-term warming likely to be significant despite recent slowdown


After major earthquake, silence: Dynamic stressing of a global system of faults results in rare seismic silence

!!! Africa to spew half world's particle pollution by 2030

Tennessee editorial roundup


Florida editorial roundup

* Mars name-a-crater scheme runs into trouble (followup to an earlier article)

Cold snap knocks Texas electric generators offline

*** Shale gas extraction tax-free in Poland through 2020

* NC governor: Panel should decide who foots coal ash spill bill

Should Duke Energy be permitted to raise its rates to cover the cost of the coal-ash cleanup and put the entire burden on ratepayers? Discuss!

In Louisiana, an environmental lawsuit brings hope for a new chapter

Teen Whiz Kids Bag $630,000 in Prizes at Intel Science Fair

Want Safer Nuclear power? Fusion breakthrough by nuclear physicist Omar Hurricane may pave the way (video) I love the physicist's name. Especially this year!
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Quoting GTstormChaserCaleb:
Aww my hearts and prayers go out to all the passengers and crew members onboard flight 370. Innocent people don't deserve to die like this not with the way improvements have been made to air safety. This is why I always wish family and friends a safe trip.

Crowdsourcing volunteers comb satellite photos for Malaysia Airlines jet

(CNN) -- You -- the person now reading this story -- can help experts solve the mystery of what happened to Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, which disappeared over the open sea.

Aerial view of search is 'reality check'
In fact, thousands of aspiring good Samaritans are volunteering their time to scour part of the plane's search zone using detailed satellite images posted online by DigitalGlobe, a Colorado firm that owns one of the world's most advanced commercial satellite networks.

So many volunteers have joined the effort that the firm's website -- with its pinpoint pictures of everything floating in the ocean -- has crashed.
It is a busy week for "crowdsourcing," the Internet phenomenon where information is gathered from John and Jane Q. Public -- people like you -- and from your social media postings.

"This is a real needle-in-the-haystack problem, except the haystack is in the middle of the ocean," Luke Barrington of DigitalGlobe told CNN affiliate KMGH. "I will ask you to mark anything that looks interesting, any signs of wreckage or life rafts."

DigitalGlobe's satellite photos taken 400 miles above the Gulf of Thailand can capture a detail as small as a home plate. The challenge is finding the manpower to scour 1,235 square miles of such images on one of DigitalGlobe's websites, Tomnod.com -- with more pictures to be posted this week from satellites above the Strait of Malacca, said Abby Van Uum, an Edelman publicist retained by DigitalGlobe.

Man spots a floating plane in satellite photo, but it could be a boat too, he says.

Link

This is a really bad idea. Thousands of people that have no experience in analyzing satellite photos will be seeing all sorts of things and the vast majority will have already been checked or are just flotsam and jetsam that exists in the ocean. Every one will have to be checked, using up resources which are already insufficient.

This whole search is sounding like a giant cluster. Vietnam is suspending their search because Malaysia's not giving them information. The Malaysian Air Force chief is now denying he said the aircraft turned back toward Malaysia. The Philippine Navy and Air Force don't have the manpower and equipment to conduct a proper search. The Indonesians are flying around at 10,000 feet looking through portholes. I wish Malaysia would request the US Air Force Rescue Coordination Center (AFRCC) take over this search. The AFRCC really knows what they are doing and could help organize this search and get more and better resources to the area. National pride won't allow it however. What a mess. :-(
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Quoting 413. nwobilderburg:


Soon everything will be digital. At some point in the next 40 years where people can live their entire lives online. Pretty amazing to think about. Reality and virtual world are quickly merging into one.



Link

:D
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Quoting 411. sar2401:


Oh my heavens...a library with no books? Has everyone but me decided books are too 20th century? A book can't be changed. The page is going to be the same tomorrow as it is today. Digital books can (and will) be changed to match whatever political or social views are current. Am I the only one that sees a danger in this development?

Thank goodness I'll be dead before this trend starts to spread.


Soon everything will be digital. At some point in the next 40 years where people can live their entire lives online. Pretty amazing to think about. Reality and virtual world are quickly merging into one.
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Quoting 409. ncstorm:
Good night all..going to take my cue like some of the senators are doing now and call the Zsss..

I'll leave you with a peer reviewed reminder of the all nighter..





Goodnight ncstorm, you are a good blogger on here regardless of your views on Global Warming.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8682
Quoting etxwx:
A little evening reading:

and for something other than oil biz news:

Libraries designed without old-fashioned books, for new-fashioned readers


Oh my heavens...a library with no books? Has everyone but me decided books are too 20th century? A book can't be changed. The page is going to be the same tomorrow as it is today. Digital books can (and will) be changed to match whatever political or social views are current. Am I the only one that sees a danger in this development?

Thank goodness I'll be dead before this trend starts to spread.
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big rain storm for new haven,conn on Wednesday to warm for snow here
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Good night all..going to take my cue like some of the senators are doing now and call the Zsss..

I'll leave you with a peer reviewed reminder of the all nighter..





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just like it always was
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Climate chief warns battle to curb warming is becoming harder


By Pilita Clark, Environment Correspondent

March 11, 2014 5:48 pm

The struggle to curb global warming is becoming increasingly fraught and costly, the head of the world’s leading climate science authority has warned.
“We will have to work much harder to win this battle now than we would have been required to do 10 or 15 years ago,” Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, told the FT in an interview.


Speaking in London, Dr Pachauri said he was still optimistic the world would find a way of curbing the man-made greenhouse gas emissions that scientists say are warming the planet to potentially dangerous levels.
“The challenge is daunting but I don’t for a moment feel pessimistic,” he said, explaining there were many examples of technical advances and political actions underway to combat the problem.

The IPCC was set up in 1988 to give governments an expert assessment of how the climate is changing, and why. It will release the latest section of its fifth lengthy report at the end of this month.
Each of its assessments has confirmed what it says is unequivocal warming, caused largely by emissions of carbon dioxide, the main man-made greenhouse gas, produced by burning fossil fuels such as coal and gas.
However, carbon emissions have kept steadily increasing over the lifetime of the IPCC and last year rose to more than 400 parts per million, the highest level in millions of years.

Average global temperatures have already risen 0.85C over the past century, and governments have agreed this rise should not exceed 2C, though there is evidence that even 1.5C of warming could be risky.
Sea levels have also risen and Arctic summer sea ice has retreated faster than many scientists were predicting only a few years ago. Meanwhile, there is evidence that heatwaves are increasing in intensity in some parts of the world, along with heavy rainfalls.
The IPCC’s new report is expected to confirm that the cost of containing climate change will rise the longer governments wait to reduce emissions.
Dr Pachauri said: “We will be looking at the costs of mitigation in next month’s report but in our last report in 2007, we said if you want to stabilise temperature increases to no more than 2C – 2.4C at the least cost, then 2015 is the year when C02 emissions will need to peak.”

The world’s governments have made two big attempts to come up with a global agreement on cutting greenhouse gas emissions in the past 17 years.
The first was the 1997 Kyoto protocol, a treaty that was supposed to lead wealthy countries to cut their emissions by about 5 per cent from 1990 levels.
It has been seen as a failure because the US, then the world’s largest emitter, failed to ratify it and large developing countries such as China, now the biggest emitter, were never bound by it.
The second push came in 2009 at a meeting of world leaders in Copenhagen that was supposed to come up with a new deal but instead ended acrimoniously after failing to produce a stringent, binding agreement.
Governments are now negotiating a new binding treaty that is due to be agreed at the end of next year [2015] in Paris, and take effect from 2020.
There are already concerns that this attempt will also founder.

However, the head of the UN body that organises the negotiations, Christiana Figueres, said in London this week there was evidence governments now trusted each other to act far more than they did in 2009 at Copenhagen, especially China and the US.
“I am very hopeful about the US-China conversation and confident that both will be leaders in the agreement,” she said, pointing out Washington and Beijing had been holding their own talks about boosting co-operation on climate change.
In addition, each has been taking domestic action to curb emissions. China has said it will rein in emissions from coal-fired power plants that are contributing to dangerous levels of air pollution, and has also launched pilot carbon markets.
The Obama administration has taken steps to regulate coal plant emissions.
In addition, Ms Figueres said a report this month by the Globe International legislators group found nearly 500 climate laws have now been passed in countries around the world, up from fewer than 100 in 2002 and under 40 in 1997.

Among 66 nations accounting for almost 90 per cent of global emissions, eight passed key climate legislation last year, while another 19 made what Globe called “positive advances”.
However some countries, notably Australia, had taken steps to repeal existing climate laws and the combined sum of governments’ actions so far is unlikely to halt rising emissions soon.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.