Snowstorm Kills 21, Drops 2' of Snow; January U.S. Temperatures Near Average

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:47 PM GMT on February 14, 2014

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The latest blow from the Eastern United States' endless winter of 2013 - 2014 is winding down, as Winter Storm Pax scoots northeastward into Canada. Pax was the biggest Nor'easter of the winter so far, and dumped more than two feet of snow in the higher elevations of Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland, and New York. Snowfall rates as high as 6" per hour were observed in an intense band that accompanied the storm over portions of New Jersey and New York. As of 9 am EST Friday, over a foot of snow (12.5") had fallen in New York City's Central Park, 12.3" in Baltimore, 11.9" at Newark, 9.8" at Philadelphia, and 6" in Washington D.C. at Reagan Airport. The storm dumped 5.8" on Knoxville, Tennessee--the city's first 5"+ snowfall since Jan. 17, 1996. Columbia SC recorded snow for the third day in a row on Thursday, marking the first time since January 1940 that had occurred.

From the 10 am EST Friday NWS storm report, here are the top snowfall totals by state from Pax:

Virginia: 28.5", Pilot
West Virginia: 27.5", Mount Storm
Maryland: 26", Glyndon
New York: 25.8", Jewett
Pennsylvania: 22.5", Glencoe
North Carolina: 21", Boones Hill
Vermont: 20", Mt. Holly
New Jersey: 19.2", Highland Lakes
Massachusetts: 16", Ludlow
Delaware: 14.4", Greenville
Maine: 14", Farmington
Connecticut: 14", Fairfield
Kentucky: 14", Jenkins
New Hamshire: 11.6", Washington
Tennessee: 11.3", Jonesborough
Alabama: 10", Cullman, Hunstville
Georgia: 10", Batesville
South Carolina: 10", Clover
Rhode Island: 9.6", West Glocester


Figure 1. Can you find the car? Image taken on Thursday, February 13, 2014 from Frostburg, Maryland, where 21.5" of snow fell. Image credit: wunderphotographer ftaccino1.

Twenty-one Deaths, 400,000 Without Power
At least 21 deaths are being blamed on the storm, including three people who died of heart attacks while shoveling heavy snow in Maryland on Thursday. As of 9 am EST on Friday, approximately 400,000 customers were without power, almost entirely in the states that received the worst freezing rain: Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina. At the ice storm's peak on Thursday, about 700,000 customers were without power.


Figure 2. Historical temperature ranking for the U.S. for January 2014. A persistent trough of low pressure over the East brought a top-ten coldest January on record to eight states, but an equally strong ridge of high pressure over the West Coast brought a top-ten warmest January on record to California, Arizona, and Nevada. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

A slightly cooler than average January for the U.S.
January of 2014 saw the most severe cold in twenty years over much of the Eastern half of the U.S., but no states had their coldest January on record, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in their latest State of the Climate report. A persistent trough of low pressure over the East brought a top-ten coldest January on record to eight states, but an equally strong ridge of high pressure over the West Coast brought a top-ten warmest January on record to California, Arizona, and Nevada. As a result, the January temperature over the entire contiguous U.S. was only slightly cooler than average, ranking as the 53rd coolest January in the past 120 years. According to the Rutgers Global Snow Lab, January snow cover extent across the contiguous U.S. was the 16th smallest in the 48-year period of record. Above-average snow cover was observed across the Northern Plains, Midwest, and Northeast where numerous winter storms brought heavy snowfall during the month, but below-average snow cover was observed for most of the West and Southern Rockies.

According to NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), which tracks the percentage area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% and bottom-10% extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, January extremes were below average, with 12% of the nation experiencing top-10% extreme conditions, compared to an average of 18%.


Figure 3. Drought conditions in California in January 2014 were the most severe ever observed in January, dating back to 1895. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.

Dry in the west
January was a very dry month, ranking as the fifth driest January on record for the contiguous U.S., with eight states having a top-ten driest January. New Mexico had its driest January on record, with just 0.03" of precipitation, averaged over the entire state. The 0.02" of precipitation for Arizona ranked as their 2nd driest January on record. Drought conditions in California in January 2014 were the most severe ever observed in January, dating back to 1895. California had its driest 3rd driest January. It was the state's driest December-January on record, with 0.94 inch of precipitation, 7.35 inches below average. The previous record dry December-January occurred in 1975/76, when the two-month precipitation total was 1.32 inches. The December-February period is typically the wettest three months for California, and is an important time for the state's water resources. Winter precipitation is vital to replenish reservoirs and builds mountain snowpack that melts during the spring and summer. Last week's "Pineapple Express" storm over Northern California helped reduce the area of California in extreme drought from 67% to 61%, but the drought situation remains dire.

Warm again in Sochi
Friday was the warmest day yet of the Winter Olympics in sunny Sochi, Russia, where the temperature rose to 64° at 12:30 pm local time. We can expect continued issues with excessive warmth as high temperatures rise into the low 60s again on Saturday, before cooling off to more seasonable highs in the low 50s on Sunday. Temperatures at the mountain venues are typically 10 - 20° cooler than in Sochi, but have still been well above freezing during the daytime hours. According to an article in the USA Today, more than 100 winter Olympians have signed a petition urging world leaders to fight climate change. "The once-consistent winters that I saw as a young kid are no more, especially near my home in Vermont," U.S. cross country skier Andrew Newell, 30, says in a statement seeking support. At least 105 Olympians from 10 countries have signed on, including 85 Americans. They're asking countries to reduce heat-trapping carbon dioxide emissions, embrace "clean energy" and prepare for a global agreement at the United Nations' climate convention in Paris next year.

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

Winter Storm Pax (Becky1)
Screven County Georgia was hit hard by Winter Storm Pax. An estimated 80% of households lost power. We missed three days of school due to the power outages and trees across country roads.
Winter Storm Pax
What a Mess (zio)
Snow changing over to sleet and rain.
What a Mess
For the Birds! (Kennebunker)
Yup, we are getting slammed once again, but there are still berries left on the shrubs for the birds Their Valentine's treat!
For the Birds!
Frozen Wonderland (carolinabelle)
Taken at the height of the ice storm in Summerville, SC on 02/12/14 - beautiful, but dangerous weather!
Frozen Wonderland

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1485. yoboi
6:03 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1482. Naga5000:


What are you talking even talking about? Have you changed your mind on climate change or do you still share the opinion with those great links Yoboi posted? As for any other opinions you may share, well that's up in the air, as you are right, I don't know anything about you, besides your opinion on climate science.

Man, you sure do read into things too much.


Glad you think that I share great links.....For a time I had the feeling that you disagreed with them....I am glad that we are learning science together.....
Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2600
1484. DFWdad
5:56 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1471. Naga5000:


The science behind AGW is sound. Do not twist my words. If we continue to do nothing the most dire predictions WILL come true. If we do something to curb emissions and try to correct the energy imbalance, maybe not.

You do understand that the future is not set in stone, right?



I am sad for all of those who believe that the most dire predictions will come true. Not even the scientists believe the most dire predictions will come true. In fact, I am certain they do not call them predictions at all.

Scientists give a range of possibilities, with probabilities that they will occur.

Those, who want to affect policy, who think massive change needs to occur, grab the most dire possibilities and trumpet them. But's that policy making, not science.









Member Since: November 5, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 215
1483. VR46L
5:36 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1482. Naga5000:


What are you talking even talking about? Have you changed your mind on climate change or do you still share the opinion with those great links Yoboi posted? As for any other opinions you may share, well that's up in the air, as you are right, I don't know anything about you, besides your opinion on climate science.

Man, you sure do read into things too much.


I haven't changed my mind ..... But I don't infer anyone is a fascist by reading something on the internet , fascism is a political ideology. I dont run around inferring such things about people I know nothing about unlike some others ...

Anyway bored now ...
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6998
1482. Naga5000
5:28 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1481. VR46L:


Really ?

I think you would be better not trying to judge me as you know nothing about my political thinking ....


when you point a finger how many are pointing back at you Just saying .



What are you talking even talking about? Have you changed your mind on climate change or do you still share the opinion with those great links Yoboi posted? As for any other opinions you may share, well that's up in the air, as you are right, I don't know anything about you, besides your opinion on climate science.

Man, you sure do read into things too much.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 3969
1481. VR46L
5:25 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1480. Naga5000:


Never did, I merely pointed out the group you share an opinion with. see: reading comprehension


Really ?

I think you would be better not trying to judge me as you know nothing about my political thinking ....


when you point a finger how many are pointing back at you Just saying .

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6998
1480. Naga5000
5:21 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1479. VR46L:


Could have fooled me , BTW are you still calling me a fascist.....


Never did, I merely pointed out the group you share an opinion with. see: reading comprehension
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 3969
1479. VR46L
5:19 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1478. Naga5000:


Not at all, NC is displaying another outstanding lack of reading comprehension. We don't need any more of that on the blog. If you can't distinguish between the science that AGW is based on and future scenario prediction you probably shouldn't be discussing the science.


Could have fooled me , BTW are you still calling me a fascist.....
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6998
1478. Naga5000
5:15 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1476. VR46L:


NC , I think they are missing you on Dr Roods Blog .....


Not at all, NC is displaying another outstanding lack of reading comprehension. We don't need any more of that on the blog. If you can't distinguish between the science that AGW is based on and future scenario prediction you probably shouldn't be discussing the science.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 3969
1477. Naga5000
5:14 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1475. ncstorm:


how can i twist your words..you said IF..not I..

I know the future is not set in stone but your climatology models seem to think so..


Then you don't understand the difference between the science behind climate change and future scenario predictions. So you either A) don't comprehend what I said or B) are purposely misrepresenting what I said.

Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 3969
1476. VR46L
4:57 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1475. ncstorm:


how can i twist your words..you said IF..not I..

I know the future is not set in stone but your climatology models seem to think so..


NC , I think they are missing you on Dr Roods Blog .....
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6998
1475. ncstorm
4:47 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1471. Naga5000:


The science behind AGW is sound. Do not twist my words. If we continue to do nothing the most dire predictions WILL come true. If we do something to curb emissions and try to correct the energy imbalance, maybe not.

You do understand that the future is not set in stone, right?



how can i twist your words..you said IF..not I..

I know the future is not set in stone but your climatology models seem to think so..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225
1474. Dakster
4:39 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Another beautifully hot as heck day down here in South Florida...

When is that cold front coming? Is it gonna get us some relief from the heat?
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10815
1473. Naga5000
4:26 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1472. yoboi:



Naga we are still trying to figure out what happened in the past......


You may be trying to figure things out, but that's because you get your information from Watts, Goddard, hockeyschtick, and Spencer.
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 3969
1472. yoboi
4:25 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1471. Naga5000:


The science behind AGW is sound. Do not twist my words. If we continue to do nothing the most dire predictions WILL come true. If we do something to curb emissions and try to correct the energy imbalance, maybe not.

You do understand that the future is not set in stone, right?




Naga we are still trying to figure out what happened in the past......
Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2600
1471. Naga5000
4:21 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1463. ncstorm:


I thought this was proven science..why would there be an if?..if there is uncertanity then this is fear mongering..


The science behind AGW is sound. Do not twist my words. If we continue to do nothing the most dire predictions WILL come true. If we do something to curb emissions and try to correct the energy imbalance, maybe not.

You do understand that the future is not set in stone, right?

Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 3969
1470. jpsb
4:20 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1451. Neapolitan:
Our burning of fossil fuels--which pumps about 4 million metric tons of pure CO2 into the atmosphere every hour of every day--is contributing to the fastest climate change on record.


The end of the Younger Dryas, about 11,500 years ago, was particularly abrupt. In Greenland, temperatures rose 10° C (18° F) in a decade

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/abrupt/data4.html


The Younger Dryas saw a rapid return to glacial conditions in the higher latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere between 12,900–11,500 years before present (BP)[5] in sharp contrast to the warming of the preceding interstadial deglaciation. It has been believed that the transitions each occurred over a period of a decade or so,[6] but the onset may have been faster.[7] Thermally fractionated nitrogen and argon isotope data from Greenland ice core GISP2 indicate that the summit of Greenland was ~15°C colder during the Younger Dryas[6] than today. In the UK, coleopteran fossil evidence (from beetles) suggests that mean annual temperature dropped to approximately 5°C,[8] and periglacial conditions prevailed in lowland areas, while icefields and glaciers formed in upland areas.[9] Nothing of the size, extent, or rapidity of this period of abrupt climate change has been experienced since.[5]

http://www.princeton.edu/~achaney/tmve/wiki100k/d ocs/Younger_Dryas.html
Member Since: June 30, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1276
1469. yoboi
4:17 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1468. Neapolitan:
The phantom Iraqi WMDs were dreamt up by a handful of warmongering neocons beginning with Presidents Cheney and Bush. AGW, on the other hand, is a real and serious threat that's corroborated by mountains of solid evidence. There is no comparison whatsoever...



Not really the whole story neap.....they used intel from the clinton administration and UN intel as well....
Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2600
1468. Neapolitan
4:11 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1465. ncstorm:
I was referring to the statement itself as Bush used that as a reason to go in Iraq when there weren't any Weapons of mass destruction..in the same context, Kerry is saying the same thing for the white house to spend billions of dollars for climate change/GW that isnt accepted or agreed upon by all..you don't see the irony in that?
The phantom Iraqi WMDs were dreamt up by a handful of warmongering neocons beginning with Presidents Cheney and Bush. AGW, on the other hand, is a real and serious threat that's corroborated by mountains of solid evidence. There is no comparison whatsoever...
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
1467. ScottLincoln
3:50 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1444. rickdove:
when did man made global warming become climate change?

It's incorrect to imply "global warming became climate change."

Global warming is generally used to refer to the accumulations of heat energy in the climate system (the air, oceans, and ice).

Climate change is generally used to describe changes to climatic averages of various aspects of weather, which is being caused by global warming. The most notable and frequently discussed change is the increase in global average temperature.

The term "climate change" has been used for just as long as "global warming," so implying that there was a "change" is just not accurate:

Google Scholar search results.

NASA also has a write-up discussing climate science terminology.
Skeptical science also discusses the terms climate change and global warming, and why some politicians choose "climate change" over "global warming" for specific reasons.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3327
1466. ncstorm
3:39 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1464. Patrap:
You should read mo, and watch TV less maybe.

: )

The Pentagon dosen't think so, as they are moving to prepare as it worsens.

As are the Global Insurance INdustry

Maybe you should do a blog on it?

You know, prove the Consensus wrong and win a Prize.


Or maybe I'll post endless posts with links to GW music videos and appear like I know everything about science..

is there a prize for that?





Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225
1465. ncstorm
3:35 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1461. Patrap:
Really ?

As a USMC Veteran,

I think that's a slight to those Good Americans and the civilians in Country we lost to the Wars created by those who Pushed/Lied, and obfuscated to allow it to occur.

Your False equivalency of words are muted by your intent.


AGW is a Globally shared challenge,and if neglected, will pale any War's.

Dr. Masters timing was excellent once again.


no one said anything slighting Americans dying in the Iraq War..so you can calm down..you can be quite dramatic sometimes..

I have family that fought in the Iraq war as well and I take insult at you implying I said something ill towards our veterans..

I was referring to the statement itself as Bush used that as a reason to go in Iraq when there weren't any Weapons of mass destruction..in the same context, Kerry is saying the same thing for the white house to spend billions of dollars for climate change/GW that isnt accepted or agreed upon by all..you don't see the irony in that?

Of course not..why i even asked..


Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225
1464. Patrap
3:27 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
You should read mo, and watch TV less maybe.

: )

The Pentagon dosen't think so, as they are moving to prepare as it worsens.

As are the Global Insurance INdustry

Maybe you should do a blog on it?

You know, prove the Consensus wrong and win a Prize.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
1463. ncstorm
3:25 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1460. Naga5000:


If the most dire predictions are accurate and we face food shortages, massive societal upheaval and migration from rising sea levels, this is hardly "fear mongering".




I thought this was proven science..why would there be an if?..if there is uncertanity then this is fear mongering..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225
1462. Neapolitan
3:24 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1461. Patrap:
AGW is a Globally shared challenge,and if neglected, will pale any War's.
Will pale all wars...combined.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
1461. Patrap
3:23 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Really ?

As a USMC Veteran,

I think that's a slight to those Good Americans and the civilians in Country we lost to the Wars created by those who Pushed/Lied, and obfuscated to allow it to occur.

Your False equivalency of words are muted by your intent.


AGW is a Globally shared challenge,and if neglected, will pale any War's.

Dr. Masters timing was excellent once again.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
1460. Naga5000
3:20 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1458. ncstorm:
I posted this yesterday but I want to hear the advocates for GW chime in on this..if you agree with John Kerry?

Is Climate Change a weapon of mass destruction? as I wrote yesterday, it didnt work out so well for the last person who used the saying of weapons of mass destruction to fool the American public..is this fear mongering?


ABC News shared a link.
15 hours ago
"Climate change can now be considered another weapon of mass destruction, perhaps the world%u2019s most fearsome weapon of mass destruction," John Kerry said. http://abcn.ws/1nF3RM1


If the most dire predictions are accurate and we face food shortages, massive societal upheaval and migration from rising sea levels, this is hardly "fear mongering".


Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 3969
1459. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
3:19 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
1458. ncstorm
3:17 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
I posted this yesterday but I want to hear the advocates for GW chime in on this..if you agree with John Kerry?

Is Climate Change a weapon of mass destruction? as I wrote yesterday, it didnt work out so well for the last person who used the saying of weapons of mass destruction to fool the American public..is this fear mongering?


ABC News shared a link.
15 hours ago
"Climate change can now be considered another weapon of mass destruction, perhaps the world’s most fearsome weapon of mass destruction," John Kerry said. http://abcn.ws/1nF3RM1
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225
1457. Luisport
3:16 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
NWS Twin Cities ‏@NWSTwinCities · 21 h
Sunshine is allowing for a nice satellite view of a frozen Lake Superior today. #MODIS Link

Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2029
1456. luvtogolf
3:11 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
I see the trolls are out again this morning.
Member Since: June 12, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1340
1455. georgevandenberghe
3:01 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1202. washingtonian115:
No you see the local met's are basically telling people that winter is over and they can bring our the short sleeves and hang up the big coats.That is when you have a problem.Their advertising a warm up and all the while falsely advertising winter is done around here.Which is not true at all.


It is a matter of perception. The first sign is that an all out Mc Farland Signature arctic outbreak just doesn't have the punch of earlier season ones and my unscientific observation is that happens the last week in February. Cold season crops are vulnerable to -5C so I can't plant transplants of them out until late March unless I want to take a chance. (They can be seeded in late February or early March if the soil can be worked {yeah fat chance this year!!})

None of the epic arctic outbreaks I remember happened in February, all were in January or December but the DC POR record of -15F was set in mid February 1899.

Member Since: February 1, 2012 Posts: 19 Comments: 2233
1454. LargoFl
2:52 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
SHORT TERM FORECAST
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851 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-172000-
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SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
851 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014

.NOW...THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...A PLEASANT DAY IN STORE FOR ALL OF
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&&

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$$

TES
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42267
1453. georgevandenberghe
2:50 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1264. Climate175:
How's your garden doing so far this winter? Has any of your plants died completely?


Unknown till spring (which isn't later this week!).
I lost two "hardy" gardenias that were in pots. But the in ground parent I got the cuttings from in a neighbor's yard which is 10 years old also looks dead. Two others that I followed citrus protocol with along with all of my tender gardenias and all of my citrus are fine. Broccoli and lettuce were killed. Brussels sprouts may have been crushed to death this week by snow. Spinach should do fine. Rosemary in my front yard looks beat up. This is over 20 years old also. My porch pansies were either killed or severely damaged.

Member Since: February 1, 2012 Posts: 19 Comments: 2233
1452. Patrap
2:47 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
1451. Neapolitan
2:45 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
We've been over all of this many times; it helps to pay attention.
Quoting 1444. rickdove:
when did man made global warming become climate change?
The two terms are not interchangeable. Global warming is one manifestation of climate change. There are others. But both terms have been used for many, many decades now.
Quoting 1444. rickdove:
All 4 Sunday news shows talked about climate change not global warming.
It's surprising any of the four talked about climate at all; they usually spend 45 minutes each week talking about pretend scandals.
Quoting 1444. rickdove:
I'm confused. Are humans destroying the earth or not?
Yes. Or so say tens of thousands of scientists.
Quoting 1444. rickdove:
Seems like there is a debate going on but one side of the debate says there is no debate while debating.
There is no scientific debate. There are, however, political ideologues and fossil fuel profiteers who wish to stall any change, so they throw up one roadblock after another. These roadblocks are the "debate" you see.
Quoting 1444. rickdove:
The other side of the debate seems to believe this is a government conspiracy to centralize global government.
It's a fantastic conspiracy. Look how the government convinced the ice caps and glaciers to melt, global temperatures to rise, oceans to acidify, extreme weather to worsen, the very seasons to change. Dr. Evil would be envious.
Quoting 1444. rickdove:
i try to be objective and my head keeps spinning. My objective conclusion is that of course there is climate change (always has been) but how much humans are affecting it is debatable.
To some extent. Our burning of fossil fuels--which pumps about 4 million metric tons of pure CO2 into the atmosphere every hour of every day--is contributing to the fastest climate change on record.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
1450. aislinnpaps
2:43 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Good morning, afternoon and evening, everyone! It's 61 degrees with a high of 74 later, Spring is sprung!

Breakfast's on the sideboard: beignets smothered in powdered sugar, banana or corn fritters, Pain perdu (French toast) also smothered in powdered sugar, smoked sausage, broiled boudin patties, frittatas with spinach, bacon and cheddar, Eggs Sardou, toast or bagels with creole cream cheese, cheesy grits with shrimp, grillades and grits, crawfish, cheese and mushroom omelets, scrambled eggs with crawfish Étouffée to pour over it, big fluffy biscuits with sausage gravy, cheese Danishes, yogurt, fresh fruit and orange, apple or pineapple juice. Creole coffee. Enjoy!
Member Since: August 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3167
1449. Patrap
2:43 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Portlight Disaster Relief

Charleston Conference Review

January 30, Portlight successfully hosted it's second "Getting It Right" event in Charleston, South Carolina. Even with the threat of winter storm Leon, the workshop had a great crowd of emergency management representatives and disability stakeholder organizations. The winter storm reduced the amount of attendees however it served as the perfect framework for the workshop.

The workshop started out with Susan Dooha from CIDNY. Susan discussed her experiences with Hurricane Irene and Sandy, and her recently victory in the lawsuit against the City of New York. Mike Patterson from the Salvation Army discussed his Emergency Planning Committee for People with Functional Needs (EPCPFN) is doing to educate and help people with disabilities. Next we heard Elliot Harkavry who discuss how to get accessibility grants for shelters. Anita Cameron then discussed her personally experiences on a CERT team as a person with a disability. Sue Pniewski, Portlight's New Jersey Coordinator, shared what Portlight has done in New Jersey since hurricane Sandy. Next Marcie Roth, FEMA Office of Disability Integration, spoke about what FEMA does to include people with disabilities. Lastly, Mary Casey-Lockyer and Valerie Cole from the American Red Cross discussed how their shelter accommodate people with disabilities.

Thank you to all who attended the workshop and presented! We will announce the next "Getting It Right" conference soon!


Holly Kasper

Portlight Strategies, Inc.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
1448. pottery
2:42 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting toddbizz:


So you want a deadly storm to wreak havoc on the young and elderly to satisfy your thirst for extreme weather...let's see how you feel when one slips through to your house where your children are and watch in horror as your roof blows off due to the extreme weather...


I don't think he said that……...
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24925
1447. AussieStorm
2:38 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Weather Observations Website calls for input

Attention all weather buffs.



The call is out for you to contribute to an international weather site - WOW.



The Weather Observation Website is a collaboration between the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the UK's Met office.

It's an online weather community where you can share real time weather observations and photos - very handy if you are planning to go sailing, or want to check on the farm when you are away.

To see for yourself, go here, you'll see a map. Just zoom in to wherever you want to see the weather.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15979
1446. Sfloridacat5
2:36 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1440. washingtonian115:
I didn't believe them.I turn the channel after that.I thought the models showed a storm for the 23rd?.They moved in back?.


Looks like the system on Feb. 23/24 will move out to sea and not up the coast. That would limit any significant snowfall for the mid Atlantic.
It should be too warm in the S.E. for any wintery precipitation.

We'll have to wait for the next system around the end of the month. Looks like some cold air for the Eastcoast.
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9397
1445. AussieStorm
2:36 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Sydney's wettest weekend, in one of its driest summers

Over the past 48 hours, Sydney copped 28mm of rain making it the city's wettest weekend so far this summer. A summer that unfortunately is already doomed with only 12 days left.
The heaviest falls were observed overnight across the North Shore and the Northern Beaches with widespread rainfall reaching 20-30mm. Hornsby registered the wettest 24 hour period throughout the basin with 41mm, accumulating a total of 52mm throughout the weekend. The 22mm at Observatory Hill to 9am this morning adds to the 6mm the previous day, taking the weekend total to 28mm, the wettest weekend since late November.

Although many of us have been complaining how wet it has been and have been praying to the weather gods to bring back summer, we have to put this rainfall in perspective (summer/Autumn is Sydney's wettest period). So far Sydneysiders have had one of the greatest summers on record (unless your livelihood depends on rain!). This summer is comparable to the summer of 2004-2005 which had above average sunshine and more rain, but spread throughout less rainy days.

So far, this summer to date has seen 87mm of rainfall which is only 30% of the seasonal average of 297mm. The 2013-2014 summer has been dry, in fact the driest since 1952 and the 10th driest to date since records began 155 years ago.

Over the next two weeks, these figures could change slightly as showers are on the cards again tomorrow with another low pressure system bringing some more rainfall on Wednesday. One thing is certain, however, the season has now turned.


© Weatherzone 2014
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15979
1444. rickdove
2:34 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
when did man made global warming become climate change? All 4 Sunday news shows talked about climate change not global warming. I'm confused. Are humans destroying the earth or not? Seems like there is a debate going on but one side of the debate says there is no debate while debating. The other side of the debate seems to believe this is a government conspiracy to centralize global government. i try to be objective and my head keeps spinning. My objective conclusion is that of course there is climate change (always has been) but how much humans are affecting it is debatable.
Member Since: September 16, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 33
1443. Jedkins01
2:30 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1437. StormTrackerScott:


Hi Jed, the Euro has an interesting pattern setting up for FL starting on Friday going thru atleast early next week. Looking very stormy. I would post the images but Weatherbell won't allow them to be posted on this blog.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
354 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014

THU-SUN...
ATLC RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY WX FEATURE AS THE JET
PATTERN ACRS ERN CONUS ATLC RIDGE SHIFTS TO LIFTING ORIENTATION THRU
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. BOTH GFS/ECMWF MODELS DVLP INDEPENDENT
LOW PRES CELLS OVER THE PLAINS/UPR MIDWEST BY DAYBREAK THU AND
MERGES THEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES BY DAYBREAK FRI. THE RESULTING
STORM SYSTEM WILL CRANK A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE FL PANHANDLE BY
FRI NIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE AXIS DRAPED OVER
THE S FL PENINSULA AND THE LIFTING JET PUSHING THE STORM CENTER
RAPIDLY INTO NRN CANADA...THE FRONT HAS LITTLE PROSPECT OF MAKING A
CLEAN OR RAPID PASSAGE THRU THE STATE.

INDEED...BOTH GFS/ECMWF MODELS STALL THE FRONT OVER THE FL BIG BEND
BY 00Z SAT BEFORE MEANDERING IT ACRS THE PANHANDLE AND THE NRN
PENINSULA THRU THE WEEKEND. ECMWF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE A BIT MORE
AGGRESSIVE WITH THE SRN MOST PUSH OF THE FRONT...RESULTING IN POPS
THAT ARE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN THE GFS: 40-60PCT
FOR THE FORMER
VS 20/30 FOR THE LATTER. GIVEN THE DLVPG WX PATTERN...AM INCLINED TO
LEAN TOWARD THE MORE CONSERVATIVE GFS SOLUTION WRT POPS AS THE
ANTICIPATED STORM SYSTEM HAS YET TO PINCH OFF FROM THE LARGE LOW
OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA.

PREVAILING SRLY FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPS ABV AVG THRU THE WEEKEND...MIN
TEMPS IN THE U50S/M60S WILL BE 10-15F ABV CLIMO...MAX TEMPS IN THE
U70S/M80S WILL BE 5-10F ABV AVG.

&&



Yeah I've been watching this as well, hopefully it will happen, rainfall is especially appreciated this time of year, even more so given that its been unusually dry this time of year for the past few years in much of Florida. It seems this year is breaking away from that.


In general I've noticed an overall uptick in precip for Florida over the past few years, more like we used to have rather than what seemed like near constant drought for a while several years ago.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8029
1442. Ameister12
2:30 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Good morning everybody!

Today: freezing rain and snow; in four days: 60 degree temperatures and severe thunderstorms. Gotta love Ohio weather.


Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 5086
1441. Sfloridacat5
2:29 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Thursday next week - storms moving down the state of Fl.
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9397
1440. washingtonian115
2:28 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1430. StormTrackerScott:
Where's Washi at as she said Mets in Washington DC were saying Winter is done. OUCH!



More snow for NC?
I didn't believe them.I turn the channel after that.I thought the models showed a storm for the 23rd?.They moved in back?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17850
1439. StormTrackerScott
2:28 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Here's an update of the severe weather that rolled thru C FL on 2/12/2014

Link
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 4773
1438. Jedkins01
2:26 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1417. StormTrackerScott:
Well it appears Spring/Summer has arrive in FL as temps are expected to rise thru the 80's this week. The come Friday thru early next week the pattern looks more of a early Summer one for FL as afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected. Infact the Euro is showing several inches of rain across C & N FL. So we will need to see if this Euro actually verifies as we could be in for some flooding issues with day after day of torrential rains.




What I think is interesting is that nature seems to be pretty good at anticipating such changes. I noticed that here in Tallahassee we've really recently started to look like spring in just the past several days.

Obvious signs of this are sudden flowers blooming everywhere with bees buzzing around them, I've also seen butterflies and carpenter bees around the apartment, something I haven't seen since November. Also some green leaf buds are showing up now on deciduous trees.


What's interesting about this is that I did not see this happen this early here last winter. Much of these signs didn't pop up until March. Its funny because overall this winter has been quite a bit cooler here than last winter. The difference is last winter arrived really late and actually peaked in February.

I wonder if its that after thousands of years and beyond that for survival purposes, biology has become accustomed to responding to certain observable surface conditions that are associated with long term weather patterns. Its interesting because it seems both wild life and plants all over the world are known for having some what of an ability to predict coming pattern changes unintentionally.

Maybe its just coincidence or false correlation, I don't really know for sure.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8029
1437. StormTrackerScott
2:19 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1436. Jedkins01:


That's just irresponsible meteorology, one should not say winter is over at that latitude until the end of March into April.


Hi Jed, the Euro has an interesting pattern setting up for FL starting on Friday going thru atleast early next week. Looking very stormy. I would post the images but Weatherbell won't allow them to be posted on this blog.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
354 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014

THU-SUN...
ATLC RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY WX FEATURE AS THE JET
PATTERN ACRS ERN CONUS ATLC RIDGE SHIFTS TO LIFTING ORIENTATION THRU
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. BOTH GFS/ECMWF MODELS DVLP INDEPENDENT
LOW PRES CELLS OVER THE PLAINS/UPR MIDWEST BY DAYBREAK THU AND
MERGES THEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES BY DAYBREAK FRI. THE RESULTING
STORM SYSTEM WILL CRANK A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE FL PANHANDLE BY
FRI NIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE AXIS DRAPED OVER
THE S FL PENINSULA AND THE LIFTING JET PUSHING THE STORM CENTER
RAPIDLY INTO NRN CANADA...THE FRONT HAS LITTLE PROSPECT OF MAKING A
CLEAN OR RAPID PASSAGE THRU THE STATE.

INDEED...BOTH GFS/ECMWF MODELS STALL THE FRONT OVER THE FL BIG BEND
BY 00Z SAT BEFORE MEANDERING IT ACRS THE PANHANDLE AND THE NRN
PENINSULA THRU THE WEEKEND. ECMWF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE A BIT MORE
AGGRESSIVE WITH THE SRN MOST PUSH OF THE FRONT...RESULTING IN POPS
THAT ARE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN THE GFS: 40-60PCT
FOR THE FORMER
VS 20/30 FOR THE LATTER. GIVEN THE DLVPG WX PATTERN...AM INCLINED TO
LEAN TOWARD THE MORE CONSERVATIVE GFS SOLUTION WRT POPS AS THE
ANTICIPATED STORM SYSTEM HAS YET TO PINCH OFF FROM THE LARGE LOW
OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA.

PREVAILING SRLY FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPS ABV AVG THRU THE WEEKEND...MIN
TEMPS IN THE U50S/M60S WILL BE 10-15F ABV CLIMO...MAX TEMPS IN THE
U70S/M80S WILL BE 5-10F ABV AVG.

&&

Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 4773
1436. Jedkins01
2:16 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
Quoting 1430. StormTrackerScott:
Where's Washi at as she said Mets in Washington DC were saying Winter is done. OUCH!



More snow for NC?


That's just irresponsible meteorology, one should not say winter is over at that latitude until the end of March into April.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8029
1435. Sfloridacat5
2:01 PM GMT on February 17, 2014
7 day for Fort Myers
Pretty remarkable for February,even for S.W. FL.
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9397

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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