Snow, Freezing Rain, Heavy Rain, and High Winds Hit Eastern U.S.; India Watches Lehar

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:31 PM GMT on November 26, 2013

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The weather gods are interfering mightily with the busiest travel period of the year in the U.S., as powerful Winter Storm Boreas plows up the Eastern seaboard, bringing a nasty mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain, heavy rain, high winds, and severe thunderstorms. Woe to ye who attempt to traverse the Pennsylvania Turnpike through Western Pennsylvania; my award for worst weather of the day goes to Somerset, PA. Tuesday's forecast calls for freezing rain of up to 1/10" ice accumulation, accompanied by 1 - 3" of snow, followed by rain and freeing rain Tuesday night, followed by another 2 - 4" of snow on Wednesday. Dangerous snowy and icy travel will dominate all the high elevation areas from the Smoky Mountains to Maine. The worst freezing rain will be in the mountains of Western North Carolina, where up to 1/4" of ice accumulation is expected. The greatest snows of 6+ inches will fall in Western New York and Northwest Pennsylvania. Rochester, NY is expected to get up to a foot of snow, due to strong northwest winds off of Lake Ontario that will add a extra lake effect boost. Six plus inches of snow are also a good bet in Pittsburgh and Buffalo.


Figure 1. Crews spray deicing solution onto an American Airlines 737 before departure at Dallas-Fort Worth International airport, Nov. 25, 2013. (AP Photo/Brandon Wade)

A very wet and windy storm for the coast
Boreas has tapped into an "Atmospheric River" of very moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, and the amount of water vapor available to make rain (the "Precipitable Water") will be near record highs (for November) along the East Coast. For example, in New York City, the Precipitable Water is expected to be near 1.7" on Wednesday morning; there has been only one higher value of Precipitable Water recorded there in November since 1948 (2.02" on November 11, 2003.) All this moisture will generate heavy rains for coastal New England and the Mid-Atlantic, with rain amounts of 3 - 4" commonplace. The low clouds and strong winds accompanying these rains will slow air travel throughout the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Fortunately, river levels are low due to moderate drought in much of the Northeast, and only minor flooding is expected from the heavy rains.

Accompanying the heavy rains along the coast will be high winds; a Wind Advisory for sustained winds of 20 - 30 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph, is in place along much of the coast from Delaware to Maine. While the rains will be gone on Thursday in time for the Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade in New York City, winds will still be strong, making conditions potentially too dangerous for the balloons used in the parade. These balloons are not allowed to fly if the city experiences sustained winds of 23 mph with gusts of 34 mph. The forecast calls for sustained winds of 15 - 20 mph gusting to 40 mph on Thursday.


Figure 2. Predicted precipitation for the 3-day period ending Friday, November 29, 2013. This week's storm is expected to dump heavy rains of 3 - 4 inches along a long swath from North Carolina to Maine. Image credit: NOAA.

Category 1 Cyclone Lehar headed towards India
Dangerous Category 1 Cyclone Lehar is slowly intensifying as it heads west-northwest at 10 mph towards India's Bay of Bengal coast. Satellite images show that Lehar--which is the Hindustani word for "wave"--continues to have a large Central Dense Overcast (CDO) of high cirrus clouds over its center, which is characteristic of intensifying tropical cyclones near Category 1 hurricane strength. Lehar has not been able to form a prominent eye, and is likely having problems getting organized in the face of moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots. Ocean temperatures are a very warm 28 - 29°C, and Lehar should be able to attain Category 2 strength before landfall. Cooler waters near shore and an increase in wind shear as the storm nears landfall will likely mean that Lehar will be weakening as it comes ashore. Landfall is expected to occur near 06 UTC Thursday, November 28, in the Andhra Pradesh state of India. This is the same portion of the coast that Cyclone Helen hit on Friday as a tropical storm with 40 mph winds. Helen's heavy rains killed eleven people, caused widespread severe agricultural damage, and left the soils saturated, which will make the rains from Lehar doubly dangerous. Also of concern is the storm surge, which will impact a portion of the coast that is heavily populated and low-lying. The India Meteorological Agency (IMD) is predicting a storm surge of up to 2 - 3 meters (7 - 10 feet) to the right of where the eye makes landfall.


Figure 3. Cyclone Lehar over the Bay of Bengal at approximately 04:30 UTC November 26, 2013. At the time, Lehar was at Category 1 strength with top winds of 85 mph. Image credit: NASA.

An unusually active tropical cyclone season for India
In addition to Cyclone Helen, India's Bay of Bengal coast also was hit this year by Tropical Cyclone Phailin, a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds, which killed 44 people and did $1.1 billion in damage on October 12, 2013. It's unusual for India to get hit by so many named storms in one year; the last time three or more named storms did so was in 1996, when six storms of at least tropical storm intensity hit. Only four Bay of Bengal tropical cyclones have hit India at hurricane strength since 2000, if we include Cyclone Phailin from 2013. The others were:

Category 1 Cyclone Aila of May 25, 2009, which hit near Kolkata, killing 96, causing $553 million in damage.
Category 1 Cyclone Thane, of December 30, 2011, which hit Southeast India, killing 48, causing $376 million in damage.
Category 1 Cyclone 05B, which hit Southern India on November 29, 2000, killing six.

The last major tropical cyclone to hit the portion of the coast that Lehar is threatening occurred on June 14 1996, when Category 4 Tropical Cyclone 07B struck, killing 731 people. Wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a detailed post on India's tropical cyclone history. During the past two centuries, 42 percent of Earth's tropical cyclone-associated deaths have occurred in Bangladesh, and 27 percent have occurred in India (Nicholls, R.J.N., N. Mimura, J.C. Topping, 1995, "Climate change in south and south-east Asia: some implications for coastal areas," J Glob Environ Eng 1995;1:137–54.)

Jeff Masters

Rimed Street Lantern (walcek)
At the Summit of Whiteface Mountain during a riming event.
Rimed Street Lantern
Rockport Dawn (ceocrocker)
Morning breaks cold and windy in Rockport, Maine.
Rockport Dawn
Cold Clouds (shenandoah)
Temperature 15° -- Coldest morning of the year so far.
Cold Clouds

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796. Climate175
3:05 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 793. Tazmanian:




what are you talking about I nevere asked for the countdown



reported
Im reported ? For what reason ?
Member Since: September 24, 2013 Posts: 7 Comments: 4739
795. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
3:04 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 786. Climate175:
Is that another nor'easter type storm ?


no its a ghoststorm right now nothing more
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 55983
794. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
3:04 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
793. Tazmanian
3:02 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 792. Climate175:
Want the countdown to 2014 hurricane season? : 186 days until the 2014 hurricane season, a Sunday, 6 months , and 5 days from now. Only because you asked Taz




what are you talking about I nevere asked for the countdown



reported
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
792. Climate175
3:01 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 788. Tazmanian:



it nevere started and its overe and done with right now
Want the countdown to 2014 hurricane season? : 186 days until the 2014 hurricane season, a Sunday, 6 months , and 5 days from now. Only because you asked Taz
Member Since: September 24, 2013 Posts: 7 Comments: 4739
791. ricderr
3:01 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Are you going to start the countdown clock to the 2014 season?



6 MONTHS 2 DAYS AND 16 HOURS UNTIL 2014 HURRICANE SEASON....PLEASE PREPARE ACCORDINGLY!!!!
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 676 Comments: 22344
790. Climate175
2:58 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Winter Storm Cleon is the next winter storm on the list..
Member Since: September 24, 2013 Posts: 7 Comments: 4739
789. Dakster
2:56 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 788. Tazmanian:



it nevere started and its overe and done with right now


Are you going to start the countdown clock to the 2014 season?
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10756
788. Tazmanian
2:54 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 785. Climate175:
3 days until the end of hurricane season.



it nevere started and its overe and done with right now
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
787. ricderr
2:52 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
3 days until the end of hurricane season




seems like it never started ;-)
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 676 Comments: 22344
786. Climate175
2:51 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 778. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


next chance for severe is fri sat of next week but its a ways out so don't hold me to it



Is that another nor'easter type storm ?
Member Since: September 24, 2013 Posts: 7 Comments: 4739
785. Climate175
2:50 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
3 days until the end of hurricane season.
Member Since: September 24, 2013 Posts: 7 Comments: 4739
784. Walshy
2:48 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Picking up in Boone, NC.
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 907
783. Walshy
2:46 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Tornado damage from NC last night.





Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 907
782. ricderr
2:41 PM GMT on November 27, 2013


next chance for severe is fri sat of next week but its a ways out so don't hold me to it



yep.....it is a long way out...but then come mid december....except for snow conditions....severe ought to take a break for a bit....hopefully...maybe....i sure as heck don't know...LOL.....happy thanksgiving eve!
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 676 Comments: 22344
781. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:39 PM GMT on November 27, 2013


cold tonight for a wide area of north america
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 55983
780. ScottLincoln
2:39 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 752. Sfloridacat5:
Could have been a more tornados had a few conditons changed.


That's the story of most very low end severe weather days.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3320
779. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:38 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 55983
778. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:32 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 769. ricderr:


next chance for severe is fri sat of next week but its a ways out so don't hold me to it



Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 55983
777. LargoFl
2:32 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
well other area's have the bad weather today,best let them post..stay safe out there folks and heed your local warnings..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42045
776. LargoFl
2:31 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
--------------------------------------------------- -----------------------------
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
406 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

NJC003-013-017-031-039-271500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FA.W.0010.131127T0906Z-131127T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
HUDSON NJ-ESSEX NJ-BERGEN NJ-UNION NJ-PASSAIC NJ-
406 AM EST WED NOV 27 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN...
HUDSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...
ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...
BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...
UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...
PASSAIC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1000 AM EST.

* AT 400 AM EST...RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT ONE
TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN ACROSS MOST OF NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY...CAUSING URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING...AND MINOR
FLOODING OF SOME SMALL STREAMS IN THE WARNING AREA.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
RAHWAY RIVER AT SPRINGFIELD...
ELIZABETH RIVER AT URSINO LAKE...
HOHOKUS BROOK...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4075 7437 4078 7438 4083 7434 4091 7433
4090 7428 4098 7429 4114 7421 4100 7389
4089 7393 4066 7407 4065 7418 4059 7421
4059 7429 4061 7431 4059 7445 4060 7446
4066 7441 4065 7445 4067 7447

$$

GOODMAN
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42045
775. Walshy
2:30 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Blizzard criteria being met but not enough for areal coverage for a warning.

Only Winter Storm Warning conditions around ASU.

Link
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 907
774. RitaEvac
2:29 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 770. fireflymom:
No heat at work this morning and the ac/heat repair guy says our roof where the unit is located is iced over. We are just South and on the Western side of Houston.  No wonder I can't hear the Pigeons  cooing overhead this morning.


Most earliest snow ever recorded in SE TX yesterday, though it didn't stick.
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 9685
773. LargoFl
2:28 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42045
772. Walshy
2:26 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Blizzard like conditions in the NC mountains. Don't recommend getting a Christmas tree today.

Link

Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 907
771. LargoFl
2:26 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 747. Sfloridacat5:
Coldest night of the year coming to the S.E. and Florida tonight.
yes around 39-40 here by me..lots of branches down but all in all nothing serious..but the ground is soaked which is a good thing..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42045
770. fireflymom
2:25 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
No heat at work this morning and the ac/heat repair guy says our roof where the unit is located is iced over. We are just South and on the Western side of Houston.  No wonder I can't hear the Pigeons  cooing overhead this morning.
Member Since: June 5, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 595
769. ricderr
2:24 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 676 Comments: 22344
768. georgia325
2:24 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 742. belizeit:
Looks likee Atlanta is getting some heavy snow.

Not so much, just spitting almost microscopic little flurries. You have to look really hard to see them.
Member Since: September 28, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 39
767. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:24 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 55983
766. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:21 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Darwin
Tropical Cyclone Advice #5
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALESSIA, CATEGORY ONE (01U)
10:59 PM CST November 27 2013
==========================================

At 9:30 PM CST, Tropical Cyclone Alessia. Category One (991 hPa) located at 16.2S 137.5E or 130 km east of Borroloola and 190 km west northwest of Mornington Island has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as south southwest at 3 knots.

Gale Force Winds
==================
15 NM from the center in southwest quadrant
20 NM from the center in southeast quadrant
30 NM from the center in northwest quadrant
60 NM from the center in northeast quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS

GALES with gusts to 50 knots are currently being experienced along the Northern Territory coast between Port Roper and the Queensland Border. Gales may extend east to Mornington Island in Queensland, and possibly further to Burketown on Friday if Tropical Cyclone Alessia take a more easterly track.

ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES could cause MINOR FLOODING on the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast between Port McArthur and Mornington Island.

HEAVY RAIN may lead to significant stream rises and flooding of low lying areas in the Roper-McArthur District and coastal areas in Queensland Gulf Country west of Mornington Island.

The Territory Controller advises residents from Port Roper to the Northern Territory/Queensland border that now is the time to make final preparations to your home shelter or identify which public emergency shelter to use. Public shelters are not open at this time.

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 16.6S 137.2E - 30 knots (Tropical Low)
24 HRS: 17.2S 136.9E - 25 knots (Tropical Low)
48 HRS: 17.0S 137.3E - 25 knots (Tropical Low)
72 HRS: 16.4S 135.9E - 20 knots(Tropical Low)

Additional Information
======================
Tropical Cyclone Alessia is currently located on the coast over southern Gulf of Carpentaria. Central position estimate and speed of movement are based on previous location on radar and the increase in westerly component of surface winds at Borroloola, Center Island and McArthur River Mine. Gales were observed at Center Island between 5:30 and 10:30 am this morning with maximum gusts reaching 57 knots [105 km/h]. Overnight scatterometer data indicated that the area of gales was confined to the southeast sector of the tropical low. However, all passes today have missed the southern Gulf of Carpentaria.

At 1200 UTC Dvorak analysis yielded DT=3.0 based on MET. Cloud features exhibit no curvature and is starting to show signs of shear from the west. Based on Mornington Island Radar the surface center appears to have crossed the coast near Wollogorang while the middle level circulation appears to continue towards the southeast on satellite. This is consistent with the system experiencing shear from the west. No significant dry air is evident on the Water Vapor imagery in the vicinity of the system.

Models vary in the strength of the shear with the GFS models the only ones keen on maintaining a southeast trend, all other models indicated southwest movement from 0000Z. Despite this, there is general consensus of slow movement over the next 24 hours or so.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
==================================
A Cyclone WARNING is now current for coastal areas from Port Roper to Mornington Island

A Cyclone WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Mornington Island to Burketown

The Cyclone WATCH from Burketown to Karumba has been cancelled
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 46907
765. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:21 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #30
VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM LEHAR (BOB07-2013)
14:30 PM IST November 27 2013
=====================================

Cyclone Warning for Andhra Pradesh coast (Orange Message)

At 9:00 AM UTC, the very severe cyclonic storm LEHAR over west central and adjoining southern Bay of Bengal moved west northwestward at about 8 knots during the past 6 hours and now lays center near 14.0N 85.5E, about 520 km east southeast of Machillipatnam and 470 km southeast of Kakinada.

It would move west northwestwards, weaken gradually and cross Andhra Pradesh coast near Machillipatnam as a cyclonic storm around Thursday afternoon.

According to satellite imagery, the current Dvorak intensity of the system is T4.0. Associated broken low/medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection is seen over Bay of Bengal between 10.0N to 17.0N and 81.0E to 88.0E. Convection has decreased rapidly during past three hours with respect to its organization and intensity. The lowest cloud top temperature is about -65C. The latest scaterrometry observations also indicate weakening in the wind field.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 65 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The state of the sea is phenomenal around the center. The central pressure of the severe cyclonic storm is 986 hPa.

The cyclonic storm LEHAR lies to the south of the upper tropospheric ridge which runs along 17.0N. The low level convergence along with low level relative vorticity has significantly decreased during past six hours. The vertical wind shear of horizontal wind has also increased marginally becoming moderate (15-20 knots). The cyclone has entered into a relatively colder sea area, also there is entrainment of dry and cold air from India into the periphery of the cyclone field. Under these circumstances, the very severe cyclone shows degeneration in intensity. As the system is expected to move over the colder area further nearer to the coast and there is possibility of increase in vertical wind shear and entraining dry and cold air, the system would weaken gradually. Due to strengthening of the upper level ridge to the north of the system, the northerly component of the movement is expected to increase during next 24 hours.

Forecast and Intensity
======================
9 HRS: 15.0N 83.8E - 50-60 knots (Severe Cyclonic Storm)
21 HRS: 16.1N 81.6E - 45-50 knots (Cyclonic Storm)
45 HRS: 18.7N 77.6E - Low Pressure Area

Storm Surge Guidance
=========================
Storm surge of height about 1.0-2.0 meters above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of west and east Godavari, Guntur and Krishna districts of Andhra Pradesh and Yanam district of Puducherry.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 46907
764. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:20 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
AWCN11 CWTO 271216
Weather summary for Southern Ontario and the
National Capital Region issued by Environment Canada
At 7:16 A.M. EST Wednesday 27 November 2013.

The following is a summary of weather event information received by
Environment Canada.

An early season winter storm has brought the first Major snowfall to
much of Eastern Ontario as expected, with much of Eastern Ontario
receiving 15 cm or more by early this morning. Snow fall warnings
will likely be discontinued later today as the snow moves away with
the storm centre into Quebec.

The Greater Toronto area was on the edge of this storm, with western
portions receiving 2 cm or less, and 4 to 8 cm falling inland from
Lake Ontario from about Yonge street and east.


The table below contains total snowfall amounts received by
Environment Canada as of 6.00 AM.

Location snowfall amount
(centimetres)

Gatineau 21
Ottawa Airport 23
Ottawa (1 km west of airport) 22
Richmond (sw part of Ottawa) 18
Casselman 23
Kemptville 20
Alexandria 15
Pembroke (estimated) 7
Brockville (estimated) 15
Kingston 15
Trenton 14
Bancroft (estimated) 8
Peterborough (estimated) 8
Whitby (estimated) 6
Toronto Highway 401/Yonge 7
Buttonville Airport 4
Pearson Airport 2
St Catharines south end 8

Please note that this summary may contain preliminary or unofficial
information and does not constitute a complete or final report.

END/OSPC


Special weather statement
Updated by Environment Canada
At 6:18 AM EST Wednesday 27 November 2013.


A cold and stiff northerly flow is developing in the wake of a
Winter storm centre that is tracking up the Eastern Seaboard of the
United States into Eastern Quebec.

As a result, conditions may become somewhat favourable for snow
squalls to develop off of Georgian Bay by late this afternoon. There
is potential for local snowfall amounts of 10 to 15 cm tonight
Across the regions, with Barrie being near the eastern edge of the
threat area.

Motorists should expect poor winter driving conditions to develop
from low visibility in bursts of heavier snow and local blowing snow.

Environment Canada is closely monitoring this situation and snow
squall watches or warnings may be issued later today or tonight as
required.

The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as
warnings may be required or extended.

END/OSPC
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 55983
763. HDPete
2:20 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 755. islander44:
Good day to all. Blowing like hell here in coastal Maine. Haven't felt the house shake like this since we rebuilt in 2002. We'll be lucky to keep power all day.

Have a great Thanksgiving, all and sundry.


Hello from Portland... it is indeed blowing hard here!!! and lots of rain... sideways at times.
Member Since: May 30, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5
762. RitaEvac
2:08 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Lil frost this morning, inches of rain, and snow yesterday in Houston area

Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 9685
761. aislinnpaps
2:05 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Good morning, afternoon and evening, everyone! It's 32 degrees with a wind chill of 24. I'm staying inside. *G*

Breakfast's on the sideboard: Breakfast's on the sideboard: Slow-Poached Eggs with Shrimp and cheesy Grits, regular or whole wheat English muffins with poached egg whites, low fat cheese, ham, tomato and sauce, crepes filled with cream cheese and strawberries, topped with whipped cream, eggs and hash browns, Egg, Cheese and chorizo Quesadillas, Apple Pie Breakfast Cakes, bagels with cream cheese and jelly or lox, cinnamon streusel muffins, cheese Danishes, yogurt, fresh fruit and orange, apple or pineapple juice. Regular and decaf coffee with flavored creamers to the side. Enjoy!
Member Since: August 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3167
759. DDR
2:02 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Good morning
The rains continue in Trinidad,almost 8 inches in the past 7 days alone,more showers on the way today.
Member Since: April 27, 2007 Posts: 14 Comments: 1729
757. Torito
1:46 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Navgem 144 hours is interesting for the northeast coast...

Member Since: April 30, 2013 Posts: 5 Comments: 4316
756. StormTrackerScott
1:41 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 755. islander44:
Good day to all. Blowing like hell here in coastal Maine. Haven't felt the house shake like this since we rebuilt in 2002. We'll be lucky to keep power all day.

Have a great Thanksgiving, all and sundry.


Geesh!
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 4669
755. islander44
1:40 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Good day to all. Blowing like hell here in coastal Maine. Haven't felt the house shake like this since we rebuilt in 2002. We'll be lucky to keep power all day.

Have a great Thanksgiving, all and sundry.
Member Since: June 8, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 66
754. Torito
1:39 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Tomorrow's TCFP.

Member Since: April 30, 2013 Posts: 5 Comments: 4316
753. StormTrackerScott
1:37 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 752. Sfloridacat5:
The main squall line stayed in the GOM until last night. The low level energy from the storm had shifted to the north by then and the day time heating was gone.
Also the upper level low, which was back over S.E. Texas stayed back in Tx for most the day.

Could have been a more tornados had a few conditons changed.



Yeah the line was stuck just offshore until after sunset.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 4669
752. Sfloridacat5
1:33 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
The main squall line stayed in the GOM until last night. The low level energy from the storm had shifted to the north by then and the day time heating was gone.
Also the upper level low, which was back over S.E. Texas stayed back in Tx for most the day.

Could have been a more tornados had a few conditons changed.

Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9234
751. StormTrackerScott
1:30 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Around December 6th it looks as if another cold blast is coming down from Canada.

GFS


The AO tanks around that time as well GGEM.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 4669
750. StormTrackerScott
1:29 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Quoting 744. PensacolaDoug:
Whats the GFS look like out in fantasy land?


.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 4669
749. Torito
1:27 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Member Since: April 30, 2013 Posts: 5 Comments: 4316
748. Torito
1:26 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Wind reports:

Wed, 27 Nov 2013 00:09 ET 45 mph NC 2 W Holden Beach
Lat: 33.91, Lon: -78.36 Observer: Mesonet
Wed, 27 Nov 2013 00:10 ET NC 2 NE Burgaw
Lat: 34.57, Lon: -77.91 Observer: Emergency Mngr

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES SNAPPED ALONG WITH SOME ROOF AND OTHER STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG STAG PARK ROAD
Wed, 27 Nov 2013 05:19 ET 59 mph CT 3 ENE Plum Island
Lat: 41.2, Lon: -72.14 Observer: Mesonet
Wed, 27 Nov 2013 05:45 ET NY North Babylon
Lat: 40.72, Lon: -73.32 Observer: Public

WIRES AND TREE LIMB DOWN ON DEER PARK AVE...CAUSING POWER OUTAGES.
Wed, 27 Nov 2013 06:02 ET MA Southborough
Lat: 42.3, Lon: -71.52 Observer: Amateur Radio

TOP OF 20 DIAMETER SNAPPED OFF CAUSING DAMAGE TO ROOF ON EDGEWOOD DRIVE
Wed, 27 Nov 2013 07:31 ET 45 mph SC 39 SSE Centenary
Lat: 32.5, Lon: -79.1 Observer: Buoy

BUOY 41004 REPORTS A WIND GUSTS OF 39 KNOTS.
Member Since: April 30, 2013 Posts: 5 Comments: 4316
747. Sfloridacat5
1:24 PM GMT on November 27, 2013
Coldest night of the year coming to the S.E. and Florida tonight.
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9234
746. WDEmobmet
1:12 PM GMT on November 27, 2013


well now this paints a completely different picture than what one would have led us to believe. I think its a safe bet... restraint is not within some's nature.

In the words of a fellow member.. "Bam"
Member Since: February 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 755

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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