Intriguing Tipping Points TV Series Begins Airing Saturday at 9pm EDT

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:09 PM GMT on October 18, 2013

Share this Blog
48
+

How does one tell the most important story of our time--the emergence of our great Climate Disruption--without boring one's audience to tears, but at the same time, not resorting to over-hyped spinning of the science? “Tipping Points”, a landmark 6-part TV series that begins airing at 9 pm EDT Saturday, October 19 on The Weather Channel, aims to do just that. "Tipping Points" follows a group of preeminent scientists as they venture off the grid to explore the perilous tipping points making our weather systems more extreme and unpredictable.

The phenomena of “tipping points” follows the concept that, at a particular moment in time, a small change can have a large, long-term consequence on a fragile climate system already in a state of flux. Localized ecological systems are known to shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another when they are forced across critical thresholds. Further, when the situation is pushed past the “tipping point,” it will potentially lead to a chain reaction, putting other ecosystems around the globe in peril. “Tipping Points” will feature several of the most critical examples, including the collapse of the Greenland ice sheet, total melting of the Himalayan icecap glaciers, die-back of the Amazon rainforest, shutdown of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, and the rapid melt of the permafrost in Siberia. "Tipping Points" will not only show how climate changes affect local communities in exotic and distant locales like the Amazon or Siberia, but how it impacts and is relevant to people from Australia and Asia to Europe, South America to Canada and every community in between. The series explores what is happening at the most dramatic tipping points and looks to find answers to understand what can be done to stem the tide of change before we do irreparable damage, and ultimately put our own lives at risk.



The series is hosted by polar explorer and climate journalist Bernice Notenboom, the first woman to climb Mt. Everest and walk to the North and South Poles. She is joined by a number of leading international environmental scientists in each episode, such as Dr. Jason Box, Dr. Matthew England, Professor Peter Cox, and more. In each episode, Notenboom heads off to a far corner of the world to find scientists in the field undertaking vital climate research to try to understand how the climate system is changing and how long we have to make significant changes before we reach a tipping point--a point of no return when our climate system will be changed irreversibly.



The first episode at 9 pm EDT/8 pm CDT this Saturday will be "Amazon Rainforest Risks". "Tipping Points" host Bernice Notenboom will join Peter Cox, Professor of Climate System Dynamics at the University of Exeter, on an expedition across the vast Amazon Rainforest to explore the mega droughts and tree deaths occurring that threaten the forest's survival this century. The Amazon stores CO2 in its soils and biomass equivalent to about fifteen years of human-caused emissions, so a massive die-back of the forest could greatly accelerate global warming. Photosynthesis in the world's largest rainforest keeps the Earth cooler by taking about 2 billion tons of carbon dioxide out of the air each year. However, exceptional droughts in both 2005 and 2010 reversed this process. The Amazon emitted 3 billion tons of CO2 to the atmosphere in 2005, causing a net 5 billion ton increase in CO2 to the atmosphere--roughly equivalent to 19% of the total CO2 emissions to the atmosphere from burning fossil fuels that year. A 2013 NASA-led study found that an area of the Amazon rainforest twice the size of California continues to suffer from the effects of the 2005 mega drought. A 2008 paper by Professor Cox warned that their climate model predicted a rapidly increasing risk of 2005-like droughts from 1-in-20 years in the present climate to 1-in-2 years by 2025, if we continue emitting CO2 at our current "business-as-usual" pace. A 2013 study by Fu et al. found that the dry season length has grown by about seven days per decade in the southern part of the rainforest. If this trend continues in coming decades at half of that rate, the fire season that contributed to the 2005 drought would become the new norm by the late 21st century. The leader of the study, Rong Fu, explained: "The dry season over the southern Amazon is already a marginal for maintaining rainforest. At some point, if it becomes too long, the rainforest will reach a tipping point."



Typhoon Francisco headed towards Japan
Category 4 Typhoon Francisco continues to intensify over the warm waters of the Western Pacific about 200 miles west of Guam. Even though the eye of Francisco passed more than 150 miles west of Guam Friday morning, the huge storm brought sustained winds of 37 mph, gusting to 46 mph, to the island, along with 6.75" of rain. Satellite loops show that Francisco is well-organized with an impressive area of heavy thunderstorms and a prominent eye. With warm waters that extend to great depth and low wind shear, continued strengthening is likely, and Francisco is forecast to become a super typhoon with 150 mph winds by Saturday as it heads northwest towards Japan. The European model now shows that Francisco will miss Japan, but the GFS model predicts that Francisco will hit Japan on Thursday next week. There is very high uncertainty in the storm's track that far into the future, since the timing of Francisco's turn the northeast is difficult to predict.

The Atlantic is quiet
None of the reliable computer models for forecasting tropical cyclone genesis is predicting development over the next five days.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 248 - 198

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19Blog Index

From Dr. M's blog: "How does one tell the most important story of our time--the emergence of our great Climate Disruption--without boring one's audience to tears, but at the same time, not resorting to over-hyped spinning of the science?"

It troubles me that each of the so-called tipping points in Dr. Masters' blog are dramatic changes in the environment that would be immediately obvious to anyone on the planet. I think this show "Tipping Points" in fact is bad science because it thereby implies that tipping points are always highly visible dramatic changes.

We should not even be focusing on the concept of tipping points in the first place. Slow, gradual change can lead to dramatic outcomes over time. CO2 has a long residence time in the atmosphere in terms of the human life span. What happens now will have an effect lasting for generations.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6140
That is one round eye. We could get a VIS image in 6 hours or so.
Member Since: August 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 784
Already bored to tears...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 243. Patrap:
Global Cooling ?, have you not seen the graphing or the trend ?

Your angle is well, unrealistic and false.

Those over 50, will state that we have seen the Longer Growing season set in, a Later fall, and a earlier Spring, all backed up with official Obs and well, data.

Where is yours?
well perhaps we should look to the sun........
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Global Cooling ?, have you not seen the graphing or the trend ?

Your angle is well, unrealistic and false.

Those over 50, will state that we have seen the Longer Growing season set in, a Later fall, and a earlier Spring, all backed up with official Obs and well, data.

Where is yours?
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129334
NOLA 70.6F

With a Cool Brees too
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129334
A serious Question if I may..lets say Global Cooling begins to rear its head say 10 years from now..How exactly would we know and what effects would we begin seeing?....would winters be longer and colder as the years went by and shorter cooler summers?..or no...we would just see global temps fall overall?....with the current global warming if I may..I dont see hotter summers and warmer winters..matter of fact I hardly notice the warming at all...how about You folks??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Virginia gubernatorial candidates Democrat Terry McAuliff, former DNC chair, and Republican Ken Cuccinelli, II, attorney general for Virginia, before the start of a debate moderated by NBC4 Chuck Todd in McLean, Va., on Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2013. (Nikki Kahn/The Washington Post via Getty Images) | Getty

Climate Scientist Campaigns Against Ken Cuccinelli In Virginia Governor's Race
Posted: 10/17/2013 11:45 am EDT


WASHINGTON -- Climate scientist Michael Mann has teamed up with NextGen Climate Action in a new web video posted last week, urging Virginians to vote against Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the governor's race.

Mann, a former University of Virginia professor, has been the subject of Cuccinelli's anti-climate science attacks. Beginning in April 2010, Cuccinelli attempted to use his position as the state attorney general to subpoena Mann's records and email correspondence, in order prove that the scientist's research constituted "fraud" against taxpayers in the state. The effort dragged on for two years and cost UVA hundreds of thousands of dollars, but was ultimately unsuccessful.



Mann, who is now the director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, campaigned against Cuccinelli in the state in July. Now he's taking to the web, accusing the attorney general of "trying to attack the science of climate change by attacking me." Mann's entry into the Virginia campaign marks an unusual step for a climate scientist.

"One would like to think that the attorney general would be representing the people of his state. Unfortunately, Ken Cuccinelli chose to spend the taxpayers' money, forced the University of Virginia to spend $600,000 defending itself, and untold millions of dollars mounting this attack," Mann says in the video, posted last Tuesday. "Those millions of dollars could have been used to help Virginians already start to cope with the impacts that we're already seeing of climate change."

"Climate change is here. We have to do something about it now," Mann says. "There's nothing you can do that's more important than voting and encouraging your friends and family and everyone else you know to vote."


Published on Oct 8, 2013

Dr. Michael Mann is a world-renowned climate scientist and former University of Virginia professor. This animated interview recounts the grievances Prof. Mann faced at the hand of gubernatorial candidate Ken Cuccinelli, and details the threats to all Virginians caused by climate change.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129334
now THIS is the strong Cold front coming down next wens etc..just LOOK at all the 20's and 30's..wow its still Oct.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 236. Naga5000:


It's impossible to answer a post like that in real time, it is not worth the effort on my end. Anyways, refuting things like that point by point paradoxically turns the response into gish gallop of it's own.

Yep. That's the point of the tactic, of course. "Oh, you couldn't answer my sound bites!"

"Couldn't" and "don't have time" to point out the incredible number of inaccuracies, bum logic, and outright falsehoods are two different things.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Looks like the rains return this weekend for the east coast of Florida.........
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 234. HeinrichFrogswatter:


I am far from a denialist, but I find this response to be specious, much like the post you were commenting on. Putting a name to the technique does not refute the argument, it just sounds condescending. A point-by-point refutation of the "information" (half-truths, lies and straw men?) in the post would have been much more credible.

Now with that said, I am convinced by the evidence that AGW is real. What I am not yet convinced of are the dire consequences that will befall humanity. May happen, may not. No doubt things will be different and societies tend to not favor large-scale change, mostly because those changes cost money. However, according to my 23andme genetic profile, many of my ancestors came from Doggerland, which is now under the sea after the last sea level rise, yet at least some of them survived or I would not be here today.

I think humans are much more ingenious and adaptable than we often give them credit for. Humanity will carry on, whether we pay attention to the changes now or not. I'm not saying screw it, do nothing and we'll get by. I'm just saying that although the science is pretty conclusive that AGW is happening and will continue to happen if we don't do anything, the science hasn't yet convinced me that all AGW roads lead to doom. Carl Sagan, who as far as I am concerned was brilliant, predicted a nuclear winter-like scenario as a result of the Kuwait oil field fires during the Gulf War. True, he wasn't a climatologist but he was a pretty smart cookie. Just saying all predictions of doom don't necessarily come true.


It's impossible to answer a post like that in real time, it is not worth the effort on my end. Anyways, refuting things like that point by point paradoxically turns the response into gish gallop of it's own.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Sfloridacat5:


Very true, but not too many people affecting the climate live in the Sahara region. But what is happening there is also important.

Based on most news organizations, the U.S. is to blame for the demise of the world.
I don't know about GW, but USA, Russia, China, Brazil, Europe, they all to some degree share responsibility for the contamination an pollution of the environment the disappearance of our forests and jungles, habitats that is creating so much ecological hazards to both Fauna and floral globally speaking, and that is fact.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I wish the sun was up over Francisco, we'd probably see all the way down to the ocean unobscured with the proper satellite image resolution.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24545
Quoting 227. JTDailyUpdate:
Not trying to feed fuel into a flame war about GW; but found a interesting article from Georgia Tech's news releases that could explain the lull in global warming.

Stadium Waves Could Explain Lull In Global Warming


Note: Not going to post the full article, just the thesis

One of the most controversial issues emerging from the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) is the failure of global climate models to predict a hiatus in warming of global surface temperatures since 1998. Several ideas have been put forward to explain this hiatus, including what the IPCC refers to as unpredictable climate variability that is associated with large-scale circulation regimes in the atmosphere and ocean. The most familiar of these regimes is El Nino/La Nina, which are parts of an oscillation in the ocean-atmosphere system. On longer multi-decadal time scales, there is a network of atmospheric and oceanic circulation regimes, including the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.

Also found an image from the author's blog that can be found here that illustrates the progression of progression of the stadium wave




I've read this paper and it's interesting that the scientists found a cycle. However, it's a big leap to explaining a slow down in the surface temperature rate of increase. Sea temps have continued to increased at a faster rate and overall, looking at surface, ocean, and deep ocean temps the global warming signal has increased.

Interesting none the less.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 227. JTDailyUpdate:
Not trying to feed fuel into a flame war about GW; but found a interesting article from Georgia Tech's news releases that could explain the lull in global warming.

There is no lull in global warming. That's particularly true when we account for some things that we *know* are happening --La Nina, solar effects and vulcanism. When these are removed, we end up with a GW trend that looks like this for GISS:



Curry's substance-free paper is...well, substance free. But since there's nothing to explain, it's largely irrelevant. Now what was Tamino's term for such things? LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Wind shear in the Caribbean is very low. This along with the approaching MJO, could give us a October Atlantic Tropical Cyclone show.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TXPQ29 KNES 181516
TCSWNP

A. 26W (FRANCISCO)

B. 18/1432Z

C. 15.6N

D. 141.4E

E. ONE/MTSAT

F. T7.0/7.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/SWIR/TMI/SSMIS/AMSU

H. REMARKS...NEVER HAVE SEEN AN EYE SO WARM (17C - WMG) AND YET SO
SYMMETRIC IN NEARLY ALL COLOR RINGS FROM WHITE TO WMG ALONG EYEWALL. EYE
IS WELL EMBEDDED IN WHITE FOR A EYE NO. OF 6.0. CMG RING DOES NOT FULLY
SURROUND BUT WHITE RING WITH WMG EYE STILL YIELDS EYE ADJ. OF PLUS 1.0
FOR A DT OF 7.0. NOW A WEAK BAND DOES WRAP 1/4 AROUND THE STORM FOR A
BANDING FEATURE TO BE ADDED IF THE MET WAS HIGHER...AND THOUGH THE MET
COULD BE JUSTIFIED 7.5 FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT TREND COMPARED TO 24HRS AGO
(COOL EYE AND NOT SYMMETRIC). FELT THAT USING DR TREND JUST TO ADD BAND
FEATURE FOR DT WAS UNREALISTIC AND SO MET IS 7.0. PT IS 7.0 FT IS BASED
ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

18/1001Z 15.0N 142.0E TMI
18/1002Z 15.1N 141.9E SSMIS
18/1137Z 15.2N 141.9E AMSU


...GALLINA
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
86 here in Orlando. No fall temps here! Also seabreeze storms are back in the forecast starting tomorrow which is good as we could use the rain as it has been dry for 9 days now.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 7 Comments: 4322
Not trying to feed fuel into a flame war about GW; but found a interesting article from Georgia Tech's news releases that could explain the lull in global warming.

Stadium Waves Could Explain Lull In Global Warming


Note: Not going to post the full article, just the thesis

One of the most controversial issues emerging from the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) is the failure of global climate models to predict a hiatus in warming of global surface temperatures since 1998. Several ideas have been put forward to explain this hiatus, including what the IPCC refers to as unpredictable climate variability that is associated with large-scale circulation regimes in the atmosphere and ocean. The most familiar of these regimes is El Nino/La Nina, which are parts of an oscillation in the ocean-atmosphere system. On longer multi-decadal time scales, there is a network of atmospheric and oceanic circulation regimes, including the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.

Also found an image from the author's blog that can be found here that illustrates the progression of progression of the stadium wave


Member Since: Posts: Comments:


Guidance take Fransisco Close to Okinawa where the U.S. has over 40,000 Service member's.







Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129334
Quoting 220. FLwolverine:
Well, it's a good thing we humans noticed it. Plants are already getting the message. Revisions to US hardiness zone map Link. You remember, Dr M wrote about that.
Not to mention seasonal creep. It will not be long when the evidence from ice cores( which is already there, and will be examined more thoroughly ), ocean core samples, atmospheric analysis, and other scientific data will conclude that humans have, and has been for over a century, been partially responsible for the current warming trend. The fact that the climate is warming cannot be argued. ( although some continue to do so ) and soon absolute proof that we have pumped enough filth into the atmosphere to alter the Earths climate.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 88. NASCARfanatic:

There are alot of made up handles in the climate change blog though. They plus up each other's posts to push their climate change agenda. It's pretty obvious when some post have 1 or 2 plusses and others have 20. We're not stupid.
I'm not so sure that your "we're not stupid" remark applies here - I think that you are simply mistaken, not stupid. And I take it that you are opposed to what Dr. Masters teaches us about climate science and AGW/CC.

So why don't the cohort of climate denialists here plus each other - there seems to be a lot of you around. If you like someone's comment, and think it has substance, give them a shout-out with a plus.

A lot of "made up" handles at Dr. Rood's blog? Really?? I know most of the regulars there as "online friends" and see absolutely no evidence of multiple handles. The "Rood Regulars" are all quite different from each other, and have unique personalities that come to light over time. There's even a bunch of the regulars from Dr. Masters blog who come over to Dr. Rood's blog and post comments, and most of that bunch are intelligent, informed, and dedicated to basing their posts on evidence-based science.

Of course, there are mild to hard-core denialists on both blogs. Occasionally they wander over to Dr. Rood's blog and post bogus denialist claptrap, and continue to do so, even after repeated slap-downs with heavy doses of hard-core science, evidence and reality.

Most of the people that I follow and often plus at both blogs are not here for the "fun" of an online "social gathering" but rather to learn more about - and discuss - weather and climate. Although many of us - like most scientists themselves - are quite passionate about science, but not online social butterflies. If fact many "partier" types likely see us as boring.

I plus posts because I "like" them - the criteria that the plus sign says to use. I even plus posts of people with whom I often disagree, usually on other subjects where I appreciate their comments and information. I particularly plus many posts that add valid, evidence backed information to weather and climate science subjects, but I do not minus posts that simply voice an opposing viewpoint.

Pushing an agenda - well, yes - the same "agenda" that Jeff Masters' "pushes.' I understand the science, and appreciate the efforts of Dr. Masters and his colleagues, and the mission of this website he has set up to not only discuss severe and tropical weather, but climate science, including AGW/CC.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Typhoon 26W FRANSISCO

UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 8.1.5
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithm

Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.5
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 18 OCT 2013 Time : 150000 UTC
Lat : 15:45:05 N Lon : 141:20:34 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.6 / 932.0mb/129.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 6.6 6.6

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 20 km

Center Temp : +16.9C Cloud Region Temp : -76.0C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 128km
- Environmental MSLP : 1009mb

Satellite Name : MTSAT2
Satellite Viewing Angle : 18.9 degrees



Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129334
I wish we could see Francisco in Visible right now! Bad timing! :(
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 207. TropicalAnalystwx13:
Francisco's eye is unusually warm...about 20C, 68F.

Yeah, when you get the eye this warm in a tropical cyclone, it's usually a good sign that you're dealing with a strong one. Look how well the warm eye shows up on WV.



I'd say Francisco is probably a category 5 equivalent super typhoon right now, in spite of the somewhat warmish cloud tops for a storm of this strength.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 182. luvtogolf:
The warming we have had the last 100 years is so small that, if we didn't have meteorologists and climatologists to measure it, we wouldn't have noticed it at all.
Well, it's a good thing we humans noticed it. Plants are already getting the message. Revisions to US hardiness zone map Link. You remember, Dr M wrote about that.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 213. Patrap:
If your going to see Fransisco,

be sure to wear,

some flowers in your hair'


It seems to be moving erratically.
Member Since: August 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 784
Quoting 215. PlazaRed:

In a North American dominated blog like this getting off the USA subject is difficult most of the time.
The Sahara desert has an area of about 1,500,000 sq kms larger than the lower 48 states combined but its not often anybody ever talks about what's going on there!
People tend to look out of their windows at the world they see and not often consider what might be over the hills, let alone ocean's and mountain ranges.


Very true, but not too many people affecting the climate live in the Sahara region. But what is happening there is also important.

Based on most news organizations, the U.S. is to blame for the demise of the world.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 216. luvtogolf:
So I went out this morning and measured the rise of the GOM resulting from Global Warming. Much to my surprise, the GOM has risen .00001mm since my last measurement in 1965.

Edit: After my measurement I noticed a flock of obese blue hairs had come down from the north and settled in the shallows with their Big Mac's, jumbo fries, 44oz cokes and Twinkies for desert.

Conclusion: The rise in the water was caused my man-made McDonalds.


you have been flagged
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7945
Quoting 187. Birthmark:

A reminder: The US is *not* the Earth, just a small portion of Earth. You could look it up.

In a North American dominated blog like this getting off the USA subject is difficult most of the time.
The Sahara desert has an area of about 1,500,000 sq kms larger than the lower 48 states combined but its not often anybody ever talks about what's going on there!
People tend to look out of their windows at the world they see and not often consider what might be over the hills, let alone ocean's and mountain ranges.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 206. hydrus:
I am now going to gather some new evidence about what is happening to glacial ice and Greenland. Evidence that cannot be ignored, and I will post it.


More evidence to add to your pile. Don't know who to credit for the chart. I found it a while back but you're welcome to it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
If your going to see Fransisco,

be sure to wear,

some flowers in your hair'


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129334
Francisco is pretty much as good as it gets when it comes to tropical cyclones. A perfectly circular eye surrounded by a large area of very cold (-70,-80C) cloud tops, as well as a very symmetric structure.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
When we post information,it is usually with a link to a citation or to the info posted.

Without it, well, your swinging in da winds'

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129334
Quoting 200. luvtogolf:
Any news that global warming isn't happening causes a panic and causes a crisis.
Man, if I had credible proof of that, I would throw a party! What a relief it would be to know that my kids and grandkids would have a habitable world, without sea level rise and ultra extreme storms and extreme drought and food shortages - all of which could be in our future with AGW.

So, please, find some credible evidence. Find some science. Please.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 207. TropicalAnalystwx13:
Francisco's eye is unusually warm...about 20C, 68F.
Highest recorded thus far in any tropical cyclone is 30C. Tip's eye was >20C during its peak also.
Member Since: August 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 784
Francisco's eye is unusually warm...about 20C, 68F.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32685
Quoting 196. Neapolitan:
Yeah, it was 125 pluses, but it was for an off-topic comment. Go figure... ;-)
I am now going to gather some new evidence about what is happening to glacial ice and Greenland. Evidence that cannot be ignored, and I will post it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 200. luvtogolf:
Any news that global warming isn't happening causes a panic and causes a crisis.

Any news that global warming isn't happening is at odds with the facts. I suggest a new information source.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 127. Naga5000:


My personal opinion is an immediate weening off of fossil fuels needs to begin. I am not foolish enough to think that we can just drop fossil fuels altogether. I think a processed, managed conversion to carbon neutrality over a reasonable period of time is where we begin. Interestingly enough, Seattle has laid out a plan to be carbon neutral by 2050, it may be the correct course to follow. Link

This means solar, wind, geothermal, and even nuclear (although it is not my favorite option)


I completely agree, that is the balanced solution I think.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7945
Quoting 152. luvtogolf:
Global warming is a political issue. It is nothing more than another spoke in the wheel that advances the Democrat or leftist agenda.


How does global warming advance the leftist agenda?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Rumor does dat, sport.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 427 Comments: 129334
Quoting 163. Naga5000:


Steven Goddard is not a credible source of information and is easily debunked. For example, first, the U.S. is not global, second global warming does not mean record temperatures, it means increase in average temperatures, some records will fall along the way, but it is by no means proof that the planet is not warming. Third, it has been warming faster at night than the day. Link




" Observed trends (days per decade) for 1951 to 2003 in the number of extreme cold and warm days and nights per year. Cold is defined as the bottom 10%. Warm is defined as the top 10%. Orange lines show decadal trend (IPCC AR4 FAQ 3.3 adapted from Alexander 2006)."
Quoting 187. Birthmark:

A reminder: The US is *not* the Earth, just a small portion of Earth. You could look it up.


Well, some people act like the U.S. is the only nation on Earth that matters ;)
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7945
Francisco is in a sweet spot at the moment.

Wind shear for the WPAC. Interesting that the pressure (from JMA) is lower than the Dvorak estimates. Did a hurricane hunter flew in from Guam?
Member Since: August 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 784
Quoting 162. luvtogolf:
The world has warmed 0.05 degrees Celsius (0.09 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade over the past 15 years, a fraction of the 0.2ºC (0.36ºF) per decade rate confidently predicted by the U.N. six years ago.

Surely both the 0.2ºC and the 0.05ºC are the center of ranges. Do the ranges overlap?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 248 - 198

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.