97L in Western Caribbean Still a Threat to Develop

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:58 PM GMT on October 02, 2013

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A tropical disturbance (Invest 97L) over the Western Caribbean is moving to the northwest at 10 mph and is generating heavy rains over the Cayman Islands and Western Cuba. Grand Cayman Island had picked up 2.32" (59 mm) of rain as of 9:30 am EDT on Wednesday. Satellite loops show that 97L has a modest area of heavy thunderstorms that have increased substantially in areal coverage and in intensity since Tuesday, but there is little rotation apparent. Cayman Islands radar also does not show any rotation to the echoes, but there are several prominent low-level bands of heavy rain. The storm has low wind shear of 5 - 10 knots to work with, as well as an upper-air anticyclone aloft that is providing good ventilation above it. Dry air is over the Yucatan Peninsula and Gulf of Mexico, as seen on water vapor satellite loops, and this dry air is slowing development. Ocean temperatures are a very warm 29°C (84°F). An Air Force hurricane hunter flight is scheduled for Wednesday afternoon.


Figure 1. Wind forecast for 2 pm EDT Saturday October 5, 2013, from runs of the GFS model done six hours apart. The more recent run, initialized at 06Z (2 am EDT) on Wednesday, October 2 (left panel) predicts that 97L will have top winds below 35 knots (40 mph, light orange colors). This run showed the center of 97L making landfall in the Florida Panhandle about 120 miles east of Alabama late Saturday afternoon.The run initialized six hours earlier, at 00Z (right panel), showed a stronger storm, with top winds of 40 - 45 knots (46 - 52 mph.) This run showed the center of 97L making landfall near the Alabama/Florida border Saturday night. The images were generated using our wundermap with the model layer turned on.

Forecast for 97L: development into at least a tropical depression likely
Wind shear is expected to remain low on Wednesday, then steadily increase to the moderate range on Thursday, then to the high range on Friday, according to the latest SHIPS model forecast. On Wednesday night, 97L will cross the northeastern tip of Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, bringing 3 - 6" of rain to the peninsula and to Western Cuba. Passage over the Yucatan will act to disrupt the storm. The atmosphere will grow drier as 97L moves northwards over the Gulf of Mexico on Thursday and Friday, and the drier air combined with increasing wind shear will retard development, making rapid intensification unlikely. A trough of low pressure and an associated cold front will be moving through Louisiana on Saturday, and the associated upper-level westerly winds will be able to turn 97L more to the northeast as it approaches the coast on Friday. The GFS model develops 97L into a tropical storm, and predicts landfall will occur along the Florida Panhandle. The European model, which does not develop 97L into a tropical storm, is farther west, taking the storm over Eastern Louisiana. In their 8 am EDT Wednesday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 97L 2-day odds of development of 40%, and 5-day odds of 50%. I give a 30% chance 97L will be Tropical Storm Karen with top winds of 40 - 60 mph at landfall between Louisiana and the Florida Panhandle on Saturday, a 5% chance it will be stronger, and a 65% chance it will be a tropical depression or mere tropical disturbance. Heavy rains of 3 - 6" can be expected falling the coast from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle on Saturday, even if 97L does not develop into a tropical depression.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of 97L, taken at 12:30 pm EDT on October 2, 2013. Image credit: NASA.

Tropical Storm Jerry in the Central Atlantic no threat
Tropical Storm Jerry continues to slowly wander over the Central Atlantic, far from land. Jerry is not a threat to any land areas.

Jeff Masters

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Howz about we keep the two to once per page eh?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2765. aquak9
Quoting 2760. prcane4you:
yeah that guy never fails,he's like the pope.

He wears a funny-looking hat?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Best guess is perhaps a 75-80mph peak in 60 hours before weakening.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al972013_al122013.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201310031205
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2762. SLU
Quoting 2754. nrtiwlnvragn:


Yes closed with the latest HDOB data (Ob 19)


Great

12-11-2-0

Quantity over quality.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2761. WxLogic
Almost:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 2749. allancalderini:
Karen is here and probably with 60mph winds.Might become a hurricane tonight or tomorrow morning.I need to say that Scott was correct in this.
yeah that guy never fails,he's like the pope.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I know looks can be deceiving, but based on satellite presentation, I'd be surprised if this isn't classified as a 50-60mph TS when they fly through later this morning. What is Karen has stacked nicely and has at least 24hrs. in very ideal conditions. Could see a rapidly intensifying storm later today. Really expecting a 65-70mph TS by 11PM tonight. COC jumping has ended and this has congealed nicely, smart move by NHC to hold off on the HH; now they'll have a good chance to predict the speed and path a lot more accurately than if they flew in earlier in the morning.
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Much better defined center than yesterday. We have Karen.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2757. mrmombq
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION JERRY...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

1. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...AND HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH
CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER BRENNAN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
stormtrapper scott is the second coming of storm top
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2755. mrmombq
60 mph storm official
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 2744. SLU:
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.


Have they found a closed low?

It seems they are assuming that a system producing 60mph winds must have a closed circulation....




Yes closed with the latest HDOB data (Ob 19)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2753. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39056
2752. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12L/TS/K/CX
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 2738. Pallis:
Scott thought it would be a hurricane today. He did not say what exact time, but I was thinking this afternoon after the sea breeze calms down, if at all. All the aware ones had it pegged for intensification though.


I guess I shouldn't consider myself aware though, I was calling for a 35-45kt peak. Guess that shows how wrong I can be sometimes. I don't think this will become a hurricane today, but entirely possible that it attempts to do so within the next 48 hours.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2750. ncstorm
Quoting 2735. CybrTeddy:


They're all at school atm.


LOL..not all of them..its not just school kids..

If the rocket fuel is indeed in those waters of the GOM, I hope this isnt something that is going to surprise a lot of people..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Karen is here and probably with 60mph winds.Might become a hurricane tonight or tomorrow morning.I need to say that Scott was correct in this.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 2726. CybrTeddy:
Oh boy, we've got TS Karen.. hurricane watches going up for the Gulf Coast.
Oh boy what a happiness.Later with the same words be safe,take care,but wishing a landfall to see destruction.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2747. IKE

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Meant to say N.E. coast/tip of the Yucatan.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1005.2 mb

115830 2148N 08741W 9806 00216 0052 +235 +206 326007 008 014 000 00
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2744. SLU
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.


Have they found a closed low?

It seems they are assuming that a system producing 60mph winds must have a closed circulation....


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
-
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2742. WxLogic
Quoting 2736. Sfloridacat5:


Center looks to be right on or just off the northwest coast of the Yucatan.


Noticed the HH turning back to the SE which as you mentioned should be pretty much close to the tip of Yucatan.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Looking at the last fw minute development and the posibility of this already being a TS, I am going to remain vigilant here in Mississippi, but not worried. Now, if you are in Pensacola, you should be worried some. I'll eat the crow later, but this will be a Pensacola or east of Peansacola event.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2740. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39056
Quoting 2731. SLU:


2013 remember? Any crap passes for a TC this year.


Fortunately, this isn't "any crap."
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2738. Pallis
Quoting 2679. CybrTeddy:
Flight level winds are 77mph, surface 63.

If this is named, it could go all the way up to 65mph at the very first advisory.
Scott thought it would be a hurricane today. He did not say what exact time, but I was thinking this afternoon after the sea breeze calms down, if at all. All the aware ones had it pegged for intensification though.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2737. GatorWX
Quoting 2720. Bobbyweather:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031201
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION JERRY...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...AND HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH
CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.


ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


Whewww, exhales.... A lot of anticipation for that^.
Member Since: January 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3370
Quoting 2715. WxLogic:
If the LLC is where the HH is heading then is definitely well displaced from the convection from my point of view.


Center looks to be right on or just off the norteast coast of the Yucatan.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 2727. ncstorm:
No "yawns, season is boring, its dead, RIP, weak, dying" or any downcasting this morning??..this would be the time to really put those powers to work, you would think..


They're all at school atm.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
KAREN has finally formed, they are saying 60MPH winds! I already have my hurricane kit together!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
invest_RENUMBER_al972013_al122013.ren
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2732. LargoFl
Quoting 2724. Hurricane4Caster:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031201
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION JERRY...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...AND HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH
CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
ok we got Karen now.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39056
2731. SLU
Quoting 2661. washingtonian115:
Some impressive stuff for a fluff ball.


2013 remember? Any crap passes for a TC this year.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2730. GatorWX
Is this the newest scatterometer shot? Windsat, etc..

oops.

Member Since: January 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3370
2729. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39056
According to the hurricane hunters we have TS Karen.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2727. ncstorm
No "yawns, season is boring, its dead, RIP, weak, dying" or any downcasting this morning??..this would be the time to really put those powers to work, you would think..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Oh boy, we've got TS Karen.. hurricane watches going up for the Gulf Coast.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2725. IKE
Well...there it is.

Karen is born.

Time to gas up and supplies folks.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031201
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION JERRY...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...AND HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH
CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2723. LargoFl
Quoting 2698. JNTenne:
Good morning Cancun....

I had a great time there in the 80's..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39056
2722. GatorWX
Member Since: January 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3370
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031201
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION JERRY...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...AND HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH
CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.


ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2719. LargoFl
Quoting 2708. JNTenne:
Still on track to head over the warmer part of the GOM...
in that last frame almost looks like it wants to turn right.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39056
2718. IKE
Late on the TWO.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
The NHC is late on the TWO. Probably waiting for more recon observations before saying "a special advisory will be issued shortly."
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2716. LargoFl
Quoting 2712. EllasD:

oh!! we are ready, just need top off the gas tank at 3.02 a gallon, pick up some ice, booze and dog chews
good glad you got the chews!!
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39056

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.