Hurricane Ingrid and Tropical Storm Manuel Drench Mexico, Killing 5

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:09 PM GMT on September 15, 2013

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Dangerous Hurricane Ingrid weakened Sunday morning, and is barely a hurricane, but the storm's heavy rains remain a major threat to Eastern Mexico. Sunday morning wind data from the Hurricane Hunters showed the highest surface winds in Ingrid were just below hurricane force, and it appears that upper-level outflow from Tropical Storm Manuel to its west may have increased wind shear over Ingrid, causing weakening. Ingrid is still embedded in a very moist environment with high ocean temperatures, making re-intensification likely if the wind shear drops, which appears likely, as Manual weakens after making landfall on Sunday afternoon. Satellite loops show that Ingrid is a relatively small storm, and has changed little in size today. The storm's heaviest rains were offshore Sunday morning, as seen on Mexican radar. Flooding from Hurricane Ingrid has already killed two people in Mexico, and Tropical Storm Manuel's floods have killed three people, according to CNN.

Ingrid is the second hurricane of the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season, and the hurricane's peak intensity of 85 mph winds on Saturday tied it with Hurricane Humberto as the strongest hurricane of the 2013 season so far. Ingrid's intensification into a hurricane on September 14 came eighteen days later than the usual appearance of the Atlantic's second hurricane of the season, which is August 28.


Figure 1. Rainfall for the 24-hour period ending at 8 am EDT September 14, 2013. Rainfall amounts in excess of five inches (red colors) affected portions of Mexico. Image credit: Conagua.

Forecast for Ingrid
All of the models predict that a ridge of high pressure building in to Ingrid's north will force the storm nearly due west into the coast of Mexico on Monday. The soils along the Mexican Gulf Coast in the state of Veracruz where Ingrid will be dumping its heaviest rains are already saturated from the rains of Tropical Depression Eight and Tropical Storm Fernand, and the expected 10 - 15 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of up to 25", will cause extremely dangerous flash flooding and mudslides. On the other side of Mexico, Tropical Storm Manuel will be making landfall on Sunday afternoon, and will bring similar prodigious amounts of rainfall.


Figure 2. Ingrid's rainfall amounts may rival those of Hurricane Alex, which struck Mexico north of Tampico as a Category 2 hurricane with 110 mph winds in 2010. Extremely heavy rains of up to 35" fell mainly on the Mexican side of the Rio Grande/Rio Bravo, particularly near Monterrey, where rainfall amounts were historic. The hurricane left 51 people dead or missing in Eastern Mexico, and damage was $1.8 billion. Flooding along the Rio Grande/Rio Bravo was the worst seen since 1960. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.

Ingrid's impact on Texas
In South Texas, Ingrid has already brought a storm surge of one foot to South Padre Island, where a coastal flood warning has been posted. Large swells up to seven feet high are causing dangerous surf, and the South Texas coast will receive a severe battering from waves expected to reach twelve feet high by Monday. No flash flood watches are posted for South Texas as present, but 2 - 4" of rain may cause some isolated flooding problems. Radar-estimated rainfall from the Brownsville radar shows that some areas north of the city have received 3" of rain, and coastal areas of Mexico 100 miles south of the border have received 5 - 10".

Jeff Masters

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945. HuracanTaino
3:44 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 7544:


agree now till oct ends look to the caribiean any thing could pop up at any time imo and dont forget we still did not have one major yet and oct is coming soon and it it just might happen down there .
I'm looking forward for a Lenny in late October and NOvember,,who knows? Is that kind of a weird year....
Member Since: May 31, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 859
944. HuracanTaino
3:42 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting CaribBoy:
Where are my PR mates?
I'm here..
Member Since: May 31, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 859
943. Brillig
2:56 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 865. Torito:
Humberto still gaining convection, even though it is doing so slowly.



Looks like a strong outflow boundary line is squelching further convection and even the circulation.
Member Since: June 23, 2006 Posts: 20 Comments: 408
942. 7544
2:35 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 934. CaribBoy:


It's OVER.



agree now till oct ends look to the caribiean any thing could pop up at any time imo and dont forget we still did not have one major yet and oct is coming soon and it it just might happen down there .
Member Since: May 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6811
941. CaribBoy
2:35 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Where are my PR mates?
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6168
940. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
2:34 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
939. CaribBoy
2:33 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 821. JrWeathermanFL:
I consider a 13/6/2 year to be normal. That's just my opinion. Only 4/4/2 left :P


Lol we won't get 2 majors.. but maybe 4 ugly 75MPH canes like INGRID
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6168
938. Torito
2:33 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Member Since: April 30, 2013 Posts: 5 Comments: 4316
937. CaribBoy
2:31 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 882. HurricaneHunterJoe:


Don't tell CaribBoy...it may break his heart


1 inch so far this september. Bored to death lol
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6168
936. redwagon
2:30 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 932. redwagon:




Lotsa stuff to track now that we finally got that MJO out of our hair. All it did was raise dry air even higher so it could be even further dried out.


BTW that little blob down by Panama is where Carla formed 50 or so years ago.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3235
935. hydrus
2:29 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 912. StormTrackerScott:
The pattern we are entering here in FL is worrisome as the train of storms crossing the state is about to occur and I am willing to bet our days of a major NOT hitting the US are about to come to an end of the next several weeks.
Would you please explain when you post something like this. I read your posts, but you dont always provide any info on why you think an event will occur.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21173
934. CaribBoy
2:29 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 910. VR46L:
Africa looks on shut down... The only cloud I could find



It's OVER.

Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6168
933. daddyjames
2:28 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 922. redwagon:


You mean a Wilma-type. CARIB water is the hottest around, wouldn't take much of a wave to spin up, what with all the instability Ingrid has left in her wake.


LOL - took me a moment to realize that you were referencing what I said in #915.

Looks as if the moisture flow that will be established from "los gemelos mal" brings much needed rain into the high plains, but not until the second front arrives, as most of this accumulates in the last 48 hours.

Unfortunately, if this pans out - Mexico still has a lot more rain in its forecast. This is additional to what has already fallen.



Member Since: June 25, 2011 Posts: 2 Comments: 3732
932. redwagon
2:28 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 925. 7544:
morning all getting a little blobish from the antilies going west keeps one eye out there and close to home stay tuned




Lotsa stuff to track now that we finally got that MJO out of our hair. All it did was raise dry air even higher so it could be even further dried out.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3235
931. StormTrackerScott
2:27 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 925. 7544:
morning all getting a little blobish from the antilies going west keeps one eye out there and close to home stay tuned


Yeah look at this.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
323 AM EDT MON SEP 16 2013

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY...250 MB TROUGH ACROSS THE ERN GULF WILL SLIDE SLOWLY SE
KEEPING SRN SECTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FL AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH
AXIS. EASTERLY LOW LVL FLOW AT 10-15 KNOTS WITH PWATS IN THE 1.9-2.0
RANGE WILL ALLOW SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS
TO REDEVELOP OVER E CENTRAL WITH HIGHEST COVERAGE EXPECTED ACROSS
SRN SECTIONS. MID LYR STEERING FLOW WILL ALLOW CONVECTION TO MOVE
INTO THE INTERIOR BY LATE AFTERNOON AND WEST OF THE KISSIMMEE RIVER
THIS EVENING. CONSIDERABLE MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS ACROSS PORTIONS OF E
CENTRAL FL WILL ALSO LIKELY SET UP DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARIES
THAT WILL PLAY A ROLE IN PREFERRED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AREAS.
HIGHS WILL BE SIMILAR TO SUNDAY IN THE UPPER 80S COAST TO LOWER 90S
INTERIOR. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS IN
THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS
EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES WITH AN EAST SWELL.

TONIGHT...LOW LVL ONSHORE FLOW AND DEEP MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE THE
CHANCE FOR ONSHORE MOVING SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE NIGHT.
EXPECT 20 PCT CHANCE NRN COASTAL AREAS TO 30 PCT S CSTL WHERE
DEEPEST MOISTURE WILL LINGER. LOWS IN THE 70S.

TUE-THU...STRONG ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS
A STRONGER SURFACE HIGH BUILDS OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC AND EVENTUALLY OFF THE COAST BY THURSDAY.

DEEPER MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
NW CARIBBEAN WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE TREASURE
COAST.
..WITH THE BEST RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY AT
40-60 PERCENT BEFORE A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS FILTERS IN FROM THE
NORTH. HOW MUCH DRIER DIFFERS BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF.

THE RESULTING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL DAYS OF
BREEZY CONDITIONS...AND A FAST MOVING AND DIFFUSE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE PUSHING WELL INLAND BY EARLY-MID AFTERNOON. WHILE THIS WILL
SHIFT THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION TO THE WEST COAST BY EARLY
EVENING...THE SEABREEZE CIRCULATION WILL NOT BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
SHUT OFF THE POSSIBILITY OF ONSHORE MOVING SHOWERS AND STORMS
THROUGH THE DAY.

FRI-MON...ONSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN AS THE GRADIENT SLACKENS IN
RESPONSE TO THE HIGH TO THE NORTH WEAKENING AND MOVING FURTHER INTO
THE ATLANTIC. GFS AND ECMWF DIFFER SLIGHTLY AS TO THE DEGREE OF
DRYING IN THE MID LEVELS AND STEERING FLOW...BUT BOTH DO SHOW ENOUGH
TO KEEP POPS AT 20-30 PERCENT FRI AND SAT WITH MUCH WEAKER STEERING.

BY SUNDAY...BOTH MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK
LOW AROUND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA/SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS
FEATURE WILL GET PICKED UP BY THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PUSHING
OFF THE EAST COAST AND LIFTED OUT TO THE NE ACROSS CUBA/SOUTH
FL/BAHAMAS IN THE MONDAY-TUESDAY TIMEFRAME. REGARDLESS OF HOW THIS
FEATURE DEVELOPS...IT APPEARS MODELS ARE GOING TOWARDS A WETTER
PERIOD SUN-TUES AND HAVE BUMPED UP POPS TO REFLECT THIS.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2881
930. CaribBoy
2:27 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 923. StormTrackerScott:
Getting warmer and warmer each passing day. Makes one wonder if El-Nino is finally coming.



Anyway IT REALLY LOOKS LIKE EL NINO CONDITIONS ARE PREVAILING IN THE MDR. AND THIS HAS BEEN THE CASE ALL SEASON.
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6168
929. wunderkidcayman
2:25 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Oh yeah Humberto is back alive advisories should start within 30-45mins
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11951
928. pcola57
2:25 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 924. Neapolitan:
It's alive:

AL, 09, 2013091612, , BEST, 0, 271N, 426W, 35, 1008, TS, 34, NEQ, 160, 0, 0, 100, 1015, 140, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, HUMBERTO, M,


Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6819
927. CaribBoy
2:25 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 881. VR46L:


Shhh .. If he thinks there is a possibility he is not so grumpy ... If no possibility He gets Very grumpy....



No possibility with this one. Trinidad and Tobago will get rain again... but that's a normal situation being in september. Ours, though, IS NOT NORMAL! THAT DROUGHT IS NOT NORMAL AT ALL!!!!!
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6168
926. wunderkidcayman
2:24 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Morning guys looks like it just about right that its the Caribbean and BOC and GOM time to shine during the second half of season as I said I think see 1-2 more storms for the month the when Oct ome I'm expecting to see most of the storm development to occur in the Caribbean and mostly W of 70°W
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11951
925. 7544
2:22 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
morning all getting a little blobish from the antilies going west keeps one eye out there and close to home stay tuned
Member Since: May 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6811
924. Neapolitan
2:21 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
It's alive:

AL, 09, 2013091612, , BEST, 0, 271N, 426W, 35, 1008, TS, 34, NEQ, 160, 0, 0, 100, 1015, 140, 100, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, HUMBERTO, M,
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13526
923. StormTrackerScott
2:20 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Getting warmer and warmer each passing day. Makes one wonder if El-Nino is finally coming.

Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2881
922. redwagon
2:19 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 913. daddyjames:




You mean a Wilma-type. CARIB water is the hottest around, wouldn't take much of a wave to spin up, what with all the instability Ingrid has left in her wake.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3235
921. CaribBoy
2:18 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 864. superpete:
T wave approaching 55 W with a decent amount of convection.Certainly a low-rider with a possibility to watch down the road.Conditions dont look that good for development, until it passes 70 west

CaribBoy - Should miss you by a good margin



As usual.
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6168
920. pcola57
2:17 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Morning VR,27windows,hydrus,scott,allan,GT,yoboi and everyone lurking.. :)
I am waiting for a new post from Dr. Masters..
Should be very interesting as poor Mexico has taken it on the chin..
And,in my eyes, several areas of interest lurking..
I expect the five day forecasts from the NHC to start to become more forthcoming..
Also, I am very interested in Dr. Masters mention of his posting on his experience in Gilbert as he stated a couple of posts ago..

Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6819
919. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:16 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 910. VR46L:
Africa looks on shut down... The only cloud I could find

I was always skeptical about an active Cape-Verde season, I said that this year look closer to home for development. I mean the activity in that region from the last 3 years has been somewhat hyperactive, so that is energy well spent and burnt out. Now that energy is focused elsewhere.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8194
918. StormTrackerScott
2:16 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 915. daddyjames:


Yeah, the last thing you want to see - going into October - is the BOC/GOM being the center of activity for the hurricane season . . .


Seeing the Gulf and Caribbean being the focus of activity is concerning now that we going into the end of September.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2881
917. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:14 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 912. StormTrackerScott:
The pattern we are entering here in FL is worrisome as the train of storms crossing the state is about to occur and I am willing to bet our days of a major NOT hitting the US are about to come to an end of the next several weeks.
I'll believe it when I see it. Last major to cross the state was Wilma which was 8 years ago. I suppose we will see one make landfall again I just don't know when.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8194
916. redwagon
2:14 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 911. StormTrackerScott:


We are going to see multiple lows form. Look at the Euro here at day 10. It shows one low over FL and another in the BOC.



Well, our 10-day in Austin is 20,20,20,50,70,40,0,50,40,40% so *something* must be coming.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3235
915. daddyjames
2:14 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 911. StormTrackerScott:


We are going to see multiple lows form. Look at the Euro here at day 10. It shows one low over FL and another in the BOC.



Yeah, the last thing you want to see - going into October - is the BOC/GOM being the center of activity for the hurricane season . . .
Member Since: June 25, 2011 Posts: 2 Comments: 3732
914. yoboi
2:13 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 905. VR46L:


But Alot of Floridians seem to want the wet season to not stop ...


Lol.....
Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2335
913. daddyjames
2:11 PM GMT on September 16, 2013


Member Since: June 25, 2011 Posts: 2 Comments: 3732
912. StormTrackerScott
2:11 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
The pattern we are entering here in FL is worrisome as the train of storms crossing the state is about to occur and I am willing to bet our days of a major NOT hitting the US are about to come to an end of the next several weeks.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2881
911. StormTrackerScott
2:09 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 907. redwagon:




Models unsure where in the GOM to send the CARIB feature.


We are going to see multiple lows form. Look at the Euro here at day 10. It shows one low over FL and another in the BOC.

Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2881
910. VR46L
2:08 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Africa looks on shut down... The only cloud I could find

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6898
909. StormTrackerScott
2:07 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 905. VR46L:


But Alot of Floridians seem to want the wet season to not stop ...


I will take all the rain I can get. Sitting at 52" for year here north of Orlando but as we all know the dry season is about 6 weeks away.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2881
908. VR46L
2:07 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 903. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Good morning everyone...





Should see some of those drough areas colours change on the next two maps .
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6898
907. redwagon
2:06 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 895. StormTrackerScott:



Yeah I agree especially now since all the models develope atleast an area of weak low pressure in the Gulf. Also the models are indicating several lows forming in the Gulf & Caribbean and riding NE over FL and the NW Bahamas. Fact of the matter is a very active pattern is setting up for FL one which could create a very dangerous flood threat down the road.




Models unsure where in the GOM to send the CARIB feature.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3235
906. daddyjames
2:05 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 901. hydrus:
52 degrees with low humidity. Getting a bit behind in the rainfall department. Checking the long range to see if we will have a stormy fall and winter. I am hanging in there but swamped with work.


whoo - a bit brisk outside this morning! Better swamped with work than rain, although you don't necessarily want to fall behind in either. :)
Member Since: June 25, 2011 Posts: 2 Comments: 3732
905. VR46L
2:05 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 898. StormTrackerScott:


Just because your location is dry doesn't mean the rest of are. Infact the only dry county in FL is Brevard County all other areas are well above average for rainfall really since April 1st.


But Alot of Floridians seem to want the wet season to not stop ...
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6898
904. daddyjames
2:03 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 898. StormTrackerScott:


Just because your location is dry doesn't mean the rest of are. Infact the only dry county in FL is Brevard County all other areas are well above average for rainfall really since April 1st.


Remember, all weather, like politics, is local.
Member Since: June 25, 2011 Posts: 2 Comments: 3732
903. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:03 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Good morning everyone...



Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8194
902. pcola57
2:01 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 896. hydrus:
Notice the Western Caribbean Sea.



Morning hydrus..
I don't have access to the pressure readings that stormpetrol posted last night..
But noticed several areas of lower pressures in that area..
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6819
901. hydrus
2:01 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 891. daddyjames:


Top o' the morning to you hydrus, how are things in your neck of the woods?
52 degrees with low humidity. Getting a bit behind in the rainfall department. Checking the long range to see if we will have a stormy fall and winter. I am hanging in there but swamped with work.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21173
900. MiamiNative
2:01 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Key West to West Palm Beach and beyond is about to get (or already getting) some nasty weather again today.

Member Since: July 16, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 32
899. Tropicsweatherpr
2:00 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
We have once again Humberto.

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_RENUMBER_al942013_al092013.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201309161329
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14243
898. StormTrackerScott
1:59 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 884. sabres:
Well, hopefully we can get "some" rain (albiet not 10+ inches like the GEM is indicating) over the next few weeks here in coastal Brevard County. I think some of us in Melbourne are roughly at 30% of their normal rainfall for the wet season thus far. Parts of south Florida have been, in general, pretty dry as well?


Just because your location is dry doesn't mean the rest of are. Infact the only dry county in FL is Brevard County all other areas are well above average for rainfall really since April 1st.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2881
897. pcola57
1:59 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 892. allancalderini:
That wave east of the leseer antilles reminds me of Matthew of 2010.


Been keeping an eye on that allan..
It does seem a bit sneeky and entering a prime area..
Anything is possible this season..
The un-predictable..
By the way Ingrid looks like she just might make a rain disaster for folks in Mexico.. :(
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6819
896. hydrus
1:59 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Notice the Western Caribbean Sea.

Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21173
895. StormTrackerScott
1:57 PM GMT on September 16, 2013
Quoting 889. Wunderwood:



Yeah I agree especially now since all the models develope atleast an area of weak low pressure in the Gulf. Also the models are indicating several lows forming in the Gulf & Caribbean and riding NE over FL and the NW Bahamas. Fact of the matter is a very active pattern is setting up for FL one which could create a very dangerous flood threat down the road.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2881

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.