Utor Pounds China; Japan Breaks All-Time Heat Record; Caribbean Disturbance

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:23 PM GMT on August 13, 2013

Share this Blog
43
+

Category 2 Typhoon Utor is closing in on Southeast China, where it is expected to come ashore near 08 UTC (4 am EDT) on Wednesday, about 150 miles southwest of Hong Kong. Widespread heavy rains are already falling across much of Southeast China, as seen on Hong Kong radar and China radar. Satellite imagery shows that Utor is a large typhoon, and will dump torrential rains capable of causing deadly flash floods and mudslides over much of Southeast China and Northern Vietnam over the next three days; a wide swath of 6+ inches of rain is predicted over a 24-hour period for Southeast China using satellite estimates of the typhoon's current rainfall intensity. Unfortunately, the heaviest rains will fall just south of an area of extreme drought responsible for $6 billion in damages so far in 2013 (Figure 2.) Utor has drawn in some dry air and is slowly weakening, and should make landfall as a Category 2 storm.


Figure 1. Radar image of Typhoon Utor from August 13, 2013 taken at 17:12 local time (10:12 am EDT.) Image credit: Meteorological Bureau of Shenzhen Municipality.

A rough summer for extreme weather in China
China has already experienced five billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2013. This is the most of any nation, according to insurance broker Aon Benfield. Utor is likely to the be sixth such disaster. The five Chinese billion-dollar weather disasters have all hit this summer:

1) Drought, Central and Eastern China, 1/1 - 7/31: $6.0 billion
2) Flooding, nationwide, 7/7 - 7/17: $4.5 billion
3) Flooding, Sichuan Province, China, 7/7 - 7/11: $1.6 billion
4) Flooding, China, 6/29 - 7/3: $1.4 billion
5) Flooding, China, 7/21 - 7/25: $1.4 billion

The most expensive of the these disasters, the $6 billion drought that hit Eastern China, helped intensify a remarkable and historic heat wave that assaulted Eastern China in July and August. In his latest post, wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt writes:

Virtually every possible heat statistic has been broken for most sites in eastern China (as well as central and southern Japan, and South Korea). I cannot think of any other heat event that has affected so many people for so long (including those that plagued the U.S. in the mid 1930s, Russia in 2010, and Western Europe in August 2003). Obviously, the Chinese authorities are keeping the fatalities from this ongoing event under wraps.

The Eastern China heat wave moved northwards and eastwards over Korea and Japan over the past few days, and brought Japan its all-time national heat record on August 12, 2013, when the temperature peaked at 41.0°C (105.8°F) at the Ekawasaki site in Shimanto. The previous record of 40.9°C (105.6°F) was recorded at Tajima and Kumagaya on August 16, 2007. the record heat wave also brought stiflingly hot weather to Tokyo, which on August 11 endured its warmest daily minimum temperature ever recorded: 30.4°C (86.7°F). This was also the 2nd warmest minimum on record for Japan.


Figure 2. Widespread drought over Eastern and Southeast China has caused at least $6 billion in damage, according to Aon Benfield. Image credit: Beijing Climate Center.

The Philippines clean up after Utor
The Philippines are cleaning up after Typhoon Utor powered ashore on the northern Philippine Island of Luzon on Monday near 3 am local time (3 pm EDT Sunday), as a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds. At least 3 deaths are being blamed on the storm, and 54 people are missing, mostly fishermen. Damage was heavy in Casiguran (population 24,000) near where the typhoon made landfall, with 80% of the infrastructure of the town reportedly destroyed.

Utor is a Marshallese word for squall line, and has been used for three tropical cyclones in the Western Pacific--in 2001, 2006, and 2013. Utor reached super typhoon status with 150 mph winds on Sunday, making it the strongest tropical cyclone globally so far in 2013. Earth's previous most powerful tropical cyclone of 2013 was Typhoon Soulik, which reached Category 4 strength with 145 mph winds on July 10. Soulik weakened to a Category 2 storm before hitting Taiwan on July 12.


Figure 2. Typhoon Utor approaches the Philippines in this 375 meter-resolution IR image taken by the VIIRS instrument on the Suomi satellite at 04:34 UTC August 11, 2013. At the time, Utor was a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds. Image credit: Dan Lindsey, NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research, Fort Collins.

Caribbean tropical wave may develop when it reaches the Gulf of Mexico
A tropical wave in the Central Caribbean is kicking up disorganized heavy thunderstorms over Jamaica today, and this activity will spread westwards into the Cayman Islands by Wednesday, and into Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and Western Cuba by Thursday. Wind shear is a very high 30 - 40 knots over the the wave, making development very unlikely through Wednesday. However, once the wave reaches the Western Caribbean on Thursday and pushes into the Gulf of Mexico on Friday, the wave will find a region with lower wind shear, and a strong tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical storm could form. If a tropical depression or tropical storm does form, and its circulation extends high above the surface, a trough of low pressure over the northern Gulf of Mexico would likely steer the storm northwards to a landfall between Eastern Louisiana and the Florida Panhandle. This is the solution presented by the Navy's 00Z run of the NAVGEM model, which shows a landfall on Saturday of a moderate-strength tropical storm. The other reliable models for genesis--the GFS, European, and UKMET--do not develop the system, or show very weak development. The European model takes much of the wave's moisture west-northwest across the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend, but the other models show the main moisture heading northwards into the Southeast U.S. Soils across the Southeast U.S. are already saturated, and tropical moisture from this storm system will be capable of dumping a large area of 4+" of rain, potentially causing significant flooding over the weekend. In their 8 am EDT Tuesday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave the system a 30% of developing by Sunday, and a 10% chance of developing by Thursday. The Hurricane Hunters are on call to investigate the system on Thursday.


Figure 4. Predicted precipitation for the 7-day period ending on Tuesday, August 20, 2013. Tropical moisture flowing north and northeastwards over the Southeast U.S. is expected to create a broad swath of 4+ inches of rain, capable of triggering damaging flooding. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.

Resilience to Extreme Weather panel discussion being livestreamed today (Tuesday)
The 6th annual National Clean Energy Summit is today, Tuesday, August 13, and will be livestreamed here. Of particular interest may be the 6pm EDT panel on Resilience to Extreme Weather, featuring:

- Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, Acting Under Secretary of Commerce, Oceans and Atmosphere and Acting Administrator, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
- Maria LaRosa, Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
- Patricia Mulroy, General Manager, Southern Nevada Water Authority
- Chris Taylor, Executive Director, West Coast Infrastructure Exchange

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 683 - 633

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18Blog Index

92L/INV/XX/XX
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 675. CybrTeddy:


2013 is not nearly as bad with instability as 2012 was.


I read this on an article forecasting the rest of the season's conditions:

"As we get later into the hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin, conditions are becoming more favorable for tropical development.
The massive plume of Saharan dust pushing off the coast of Africa will begin to dissipate, allowing for the moist environment necessary for systems to strengthen. This is also the time of year that shredding winds will back off, letting tropical systems have the time to develop."
Member Since: July 27, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 501
Quoting 641. 954FtLCane:

last time I checked a week without electricity is not fun. That's exactly what happened to many people down here whom were hit by Katrina as a cat one, Frances & Jeanne.. Don't know about you but doesn't sound like fun to me...


Evidently he's never been through a 90 mph storm. 90 mph will damage a lot of poorly built structures and topple a lot of trees down on top of homes and automobiles. It can knock power out for weeks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Pressures forecasted by last night's GFS for 18z today ended up being 1-2mb too high in the Caymans and Jamaica area.

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26654
Didn't notice the alert bar. Had a pretty good shower, .68, bringing me to 6.18 for the month. Keeping an eye on that potential storm.


Quoting LAbonbon:


Hi, ringeaux! I'm a new member, but lurked in years past whenever a storm was headed our way. I think I read a lot, learn a little as well :)

Hey, by any chance did you notice the yellow alert bar 'activate' after the line of storms went by? This is the second time I've noticed the alert actually lag the weather.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
There is a reason the 12Z UKMET likes the storm so much. The UKMET takes it further south into the BOC where anticyclonic flow will be more dominant and wind shear may be less problematic



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 668. Patrap:
That's amazing..........I spent 2 years with my ex at Eielson AFB , 26 miles from Fairbanks.....Very unusual
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Sorry if this was posted already. I may never catch up. :)

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
223 PM EDT TUE AUG 13 2013


ATTENTION THEN TURNS TOWARD A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY APPROACHING
THE NW CARIBBEAN FROM THE SE. THIS WAVE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WED NIGHT WITH THE NORTHERN EXTENSION
ENTERING THE S CENTRAL GULF BY THU MORNING. DISAGREEMENT WITH GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS REMAINS WITH RESPECT TO THE EVOLUTION OF
THIS WAVE. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BREAK OFF A PIECE OF THE WAVE
TAKING IT NORTHWARD AS AN UPPER TROUGH TO THE N DIGS SOUTHWARD.
THE GFS APPEARS TO BE SUFFERING FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK AND
CONTINUES TO SHOW AT LEAST 30 KT OF WIND IN THE NE GULF ON THE SE
SIDE OF DEVELOPING LOW PRES. THE REMAINDER OF GLOBAL MODEL
GUIDANCE...EXCEPT FOR THE CMC...TAKES THE WAVE ON A MORE SOUTHERN
TRACK ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THEN SW GULF/BAY OF
CAMPECHE...PUSHING INLAND OVER MEXICO THIS WEEKEND. THIS GRIDDED
PACKAGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW A PIECE OF ENERGY BREAKING OFF FROM
THE WAVE MOVING TO THE N AND NE...ALTHOUGH WINDS HAVE BEEN CAPPED
AT 15-20 KT. MEANWHILE THE REMAINING WAVE AXIS CONTINUES WESTWARD
CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 670. washingtonian115:
Instability has been a problem in the east/central Atlantic for the past 3 seasons (2011,2012,2013).The best chance for this is in the short term..even NHC mentions dry air eventually being a problem for this in the long run.


2013 is not nearly as bad with instability as 2012 was.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 629. Gearsts:
The wave in the atlantic is too far for a floater.


I think not.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Huffman's site has serious issues..sometimes it updates and sometimes it doesnt..how much is weatherbell for the model subscription every month?
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15666
Quoting 609. ringeaux:
I'm in BR, too. Been a member since fall of 2004. Read a lot. Learn a little.





Hi, ringeaux! I'm a new member, but lurked in years past whenever a storm was headed our way. I think I read a lot, learn a little as well :)

Hey, by any chance did you notice the yellow alert bar 'activate' after the line of storms went by? This is the second time I've noticed the alert actually lag the weather.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Lots of bark but no bite with 92L this afternoon
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30562
Quoting 666. CybrTeddy:


If such things were set in stone you'd think the NHC wouldn't bother mentioning this system.
Instability has been a problem in the east/central Atlantic for the past 3 seasons (2011,2012,2013).The best chance for this is in the short term..even NHC mentions dry air eventually being a problem for this in the long run.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17084
Quoting 663. washingtonian115:
Another one..sigh..bites the dust.Seriously this needs to let up if you want any healthy cape verde storms this year.If not expect a lot of struggling storms in the east Atlantic.
Quoting 663. washingtonian115:
Another one..sigh..bites the dust.Seriously this needs to let up if you want any healthy cape verde storms this year.If not expect a lot of struggling storms in the east Atlantic.



Chill out why not take a few weeks a way from the blogs and come back and see what we have
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128654
Quoting 660. opal92nwf:
It's funny how perspectives are really different when you don't take interest in weather. Right now I'm watching old TWC coverage from the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons and thinking back to how I thought of all the storms then.

When I lived in Illinois back then, that was before I became interested in hurricanes. I would really only watch TV coverage of the hurricanes if one of my family would turn the TV on. I remember very well watching the coverage of hurricane Charley and being impressed that it made landfall as a category 4 and then Ivan because it hit near where our house in Florida was.

But then after that, I remember having the perception that Frances was a really weak hurricane and not being as bad. And then with hurricane Jeanne, for some reason I thought that it was a tropical storm at landfall.

I think that for a lot of people who aren't really interested in weather and hurricanes at all don't realize how bad a storm is, and if they don't happen to see it on TV or have someone tell them, or it is not going to affect them, they are completely oblivious to it.


Frances was a pain because she impacted us for 3 days due to the slow movement. Today is the 9 year anniversary of Hurricane Charley impacting Florida. I went through Charley, Frances and Jeanne and in particular the day and night Charley came through is an experience I will never forget
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 663. washingtonian115:
Another one..sigh..bites the dust.Seriously this needs to let up if you want any healthy cape verde storms this year.If not expect a lot of struggling storms in the east Atlantic.


If such things were set in stone you'd think the NHC wouldn't bother mentioning this system.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Craig Setzer's (WFOR-Channel 4, Miami) Facebook Post from yesterday:

I am often asked what I think the hurricane season will be like in a given year. I typically answer, "It doesn't really matter because we live in South Florida and we are most prone to having a hurricane event, so we always have to be prepared." I'm also asked what I think about the hurricane season outlooks to which I reply, "Until the outlooks can predict locations of greater than normal hurricane risk, I think they are scientifically beneficial but not socioeconomically helpful." And so I don't make seasonal forecasts months in advance, and usually don"t weigh in on my opinions until about August.

It's August now, and I feel it's time to make a prediction. As many in South Florida say "one direct hit makes it a busy season no matter how many storms are in the Atlantic." And so my prediction is not based on intensity or numbers, just location. And based on what I've seen the past six weeks, I'm concerned that the state of Florida has a much higher than normal threat for tropical storms and hurricanes making landfall this year.

I don't claim to know all the nuances of atmospheric modeling and statistical indicators so you can take it for what it's worth, but the present pattern supports tropical activity headed toward Florida. Here's why. Last year we had an Atlantic ridge orientation that favored tropical cyclones that tended to recurve well out to sea. In other years we've had strong ridges that drive everything to the west into the Caribbean. Still other years we have a blocking ridge with infrequent breaks or opportunities from tropical cyclones to move north toward Florida. This year, the orientation of the ridge and blocks across the Atlantic, and the back edge of the ridge or weakness over the Gulf and eastern/central US, make it appear the door is wide open for tropical activity to head right in Florida's direction.

Of course, should this pattern change in the next month or so we could end up with storms being steered away. But from what I've seen so far, it looks like we could be very busy in Florida through at least September.

Every year we should be prepared for a hurricane in South Florida. But this year I think we should be especially prepared. I've bought water and will be topping off gas tanks and my supply kit in the next week or so. I upped my property insurance today. I'm starting to get ready, I suggest you do the same.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 658. 62901IL:

Thanks!


You're welcome XD
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6229
Quoting 651. Stormchaser2007:
NASA GEOS-5 has 93L getting obliterated by SAL later this week.

You can see the dust getting wrapped into the circulation at the end of the run...

Another one..sigh..bites the dust.Seriously this needs to let up if you want any healthy cape verde storms this year.If not expect a lot of struggling storms in the east Atlantic.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17084
Quoting 605. CybrTeddy:


Sorry but half the blog gets totally bummed out every single year when a storm goes out to sea, and it really does take the fun out of tracking these storms when half the blog is disinterested.


LOL..you should be used to it by now..its part of WU..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15666
Quoting 648. TheDawnAwakening:


I'm thinking north of the Lesser Antilles.


Yes... 99% chance it will miss the Lesser Antilles and NE Caribbean.
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6229
It's funny how perspectives are really different when you don't take interest in weather. Right now I'm watching old TWC coverage from the 2004 and 2005 hurricane seasons and thinking back to how I thought of all the storms then.

When I lived in Illinois back then, that was before I became interested in hurricanes. I would really only watch TV coverage of the hurricanes if one of my family would turn the TV on. I remember very well watching the coverage of hurricane Charley and being impressed that it made landfall as a category 4 and then Ivan because it hit near where our house in Florida was.

But then after that, I remember having the perception that Frances was a really weak hurricane and not being as bad. And then with hurricane Jeanne, for some reason I thought that it was a tropical storm at landfall.

I think that for a lot of people who aren't really interested in weather and hurricanes at all don't realize how bad a storm is, and if they don't happen to see it on TV or have someone tell them, or it is not going to affect them, they are completely oblivious to it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 424. ecflweatherfan:
I don't know how much credibility to put into this, but an observation from DeLand, FL is reporting 100F and a dewpoint of 73F. That would make the heat index 111F. I will gladly dispute that 100F temperature, as nowhere close by is even close to that temperature. Sanford, some 25 miles away is 95, Daytona Beach is 20 miles away 92 degrees. Everyone else in central Florida ranges from 86-92 degrees.
Could be right----I spent a couple of years there one summer (sarcasm flag on) and have never been in worse August/Sept weather. Devil goes there in summer to warm up.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 654. CaribBoy:


Luis (95), George (98), Lenny (99) were the worst. I've also experienced decent hurricanes like Jose in 99, Bertha in 96, Omar in 2008, and Earl in 2010.

Thanks!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 602. Ameister12:

I remember when Gustav was forecasted to become a Category 5 in the Gulf and hit LA as a strong category 4. Good thing that forecast didn't verify!

I remember watching in the wee hours of the AM wondering, why didn't we bail out ? I was so relieved to see it drop for 4 to 2...then to 1. Still caused lots of damage and had a small twister 2 blocks from me. And 5 days with no power....not a happy camper
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4680
Quoting 645. nrtiwlnvragn:


If I was cynical I would think NHC created the invests early to drive traffic to their little TWIT CHAT this afternoon.

I think that NHC created the invests so they could keep the twit chat up longer.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 636. 62901IL:

Ohhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh...wow...which ones have you been thru?


Luis (95), George (98), Lenny (99) were the worst. I've also experienced decent hurricanes like Jose in 99, Bertha in 96, Omar in 2008, and Earl in 2010.
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6229
Quoting 650. Drakoen:


Definitely mid levels as surface observations don't support anything but a wave axis at the surface.


Agreed.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 645. nrtiwlnvragn:


If I was cynical I would think NHC created the invests early to drive traffic to their little TWIT CHAT this afternoon.


LOL nrt.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14321
NASA GEOS-5 has 93L getting obliterated by SAL later this week.

You can see the dust getting wrapped into the circulation at the end of the run...

Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15921
Quoting 634. TheDawnAwakening:


This time of year and the current forecasted wind shear values and SSTs ahead of this wave, all equal an opportunity for our first hurricane of the year. Nice cyclonic spin associated with invest 92L, whether it's at mid levels or low levels its too soon to tell just east of Northeastern Honduras.


Definitely mid levels as surface observations don't support anything but a wave axis at the surface.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30562
Current development of Utor, wrapping aroung deeper convection to the northeast of its center, but some dry air is lurking around the northwestern side of the strenghtened eyewall now:


I say good night now. For late nighters in the US it may be interesting to follow the tweets of James Raynolds aka typhoonfury who is sleeping now, but before made sure that he will have to report something later on (residing in Zapho, part of Yangjiang, where Utor should make landfall):

James Reynolds %u200F@typhoonfury 3h
In town of Zhapo, beachfront hotel. It's dark but sea is roaring. Wild day tomorrow! Time for a precious few hours sleep! #typhoon #Utor



Hong Kong Raises Storm Signal, May Delay Market Opening
By Hwee Ann Tan & Joshua Fellman - Aug 13, 2013 8:13 PM GMT 0200

Hong Kong issued its third-highest storm signal the first time this year as Severe Typhoon Utor sweeps past China's financial center, possibly delaying the opening of the city's stock market today.

The Hong Kong Observatory raised the No. 8 Southeast Gale or Storm Signal at 1:40 a.m. local time today, and expects it to remain in force for most of the morning, according to a statement on its website.

According to its published rules, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd. will cancel premarket trading today should signal 8 still be in force between 7 a.m. and 9 a.m. The morning trading session will begin at least 2 hours after the signal is dropped.

At 2 a.m., winds with sustained speeds of as high as 81 kilometers (50 miles) per hour were measured in the previous hour, the observatory said. Utor was centered about 310 kilometers south-southwest of Hong Kong and is forecast to move northwest at about 16 kilometers per hour across the northern part of the South China Sea toward the western coast of China's Guangdong province, the observatory said.

The storm will pass about 250 kilometers southwest of Hong Kong this morning, the weather bureau said. ...
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 55 Comments: 6023
Quoting 642. CaribBoy:


Yes a hurricane may be possible, but I'm not so sure about a hurricane moving westward in the MDR towards the Caribbean...


I'm thinking north of the Lesser Antilles.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 629. Gearsts:
The wave in the atlantic is too far for a floater.
93 will be out of range till about 30 west lots of time with this sit back see what it does

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 640. TheDawnAwakening:


Obviously this wave is not that far north, it's around 15n not 20-25n


But 15N is not 10N. Normally we should have seen wave/low at 10N in a normal august.
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6229
Quoting 638. Tropicsweatherpr:


ATCF sometimes does this,has Invest up but delay the release of the BAMMS.


If I was cynical I would think NHC created the invests early to drive traffic to their little TWIT CHAT this afternoon.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128654
When the NHC comes out with their initial track for 92L move it to the West about 100 miles....bullseye! 75-85 mph Cat 1 maybe.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 634. TheDawnAwakening:


This time of year and the current forecasted wind shear values and SSTs ahead of this wave, all equal an opportunity for our first hurricane of the year. Nice cyclonic spin associated with invest 92L, whether it's at mid levels or low levels its too soon to tell just east of Northeastern Honduras.


Yes a hurricane may be possible, but I'm not so sure about a hurricane moving westward in the MDR towards the Caribbean...
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6229
Quoting 622. CaribBoy:
Cybrteddy has to know that every storms are not major hurricanes! I highly doubt a strong Cat 1 with 90MPH winds will do much damage to my area, but instead of that will bring lots of fun!!!

last time I checked a week without electricity is not fun. That's exactly what happened to many people down here whom were hit by Katrina as a cat one, Frances & Jeanne.. Don't know about you but doesn't sound like fun to me...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 631. CaribBoy:


Lol, obviously.. :/


Obviously this wave is not that far north, it's around 15n not 20-25n
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128654
Quoting 630. nrtiwlnvragn:


Does not look like cyclone models this cycle for the Atlantic storms, no entries in the TCVITALS file.


ATCF sometimes does this,has Invest up but delay the release of the BAMMS.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14321
Quoting 614. hurricanes2018:
LETS HOPE WE DO NOT GET ANY BIG HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT FEW WEEKS.I DO NOT LIKE WHAT I AM sEEING HERE!


What exactly are you seeing? I don't understand all of these maps.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 633. CaribBoy:


Like in a tornado lol BUT A VERY LONG TORNADO

Ohhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh...wow...which ones have you been thru?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 632. TropicalAnalystwx13:

Invest 92L's floater will be up shortly. Invest 93L will not get a floater from SSD for a while; not until 30-35W.

OK Thanks!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 603. CaribBoy:


Lol a hurricane moving westward is pure fantasy :)


This time of year and the current forecasted wind shear values and SSTs ahead of this wave, all equal an opportunity for our first hurricane of the year. Nice cyclonic spin associated with invest 92L, whether it's at mid levels or low levels its too soon to tell just east of Northeastern Honduras.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 628. 62901IL:

What was it like?


Like in a tornado lol BUT A VERY LONG TORNADO
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6229

Viewing: 683 - 633

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.